Dernières nouvelles pour Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (ARCA:VOO)

Vanguard S&P 500 ETF

Technology

Financial Services

Healthcare

Consumer Cyclical

Industrials

Consumer Defensive

Communication Services

Energy

Utilities

Real Estate

Basic Materials

Other

The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the Standard & Poors 500 Index, a widely recognized benchmark of U.S. stock market performance that is dominated by the stocks of large U.S. companies. The advisor attempts to replicate the target index by investing all, or substantially all, of its assets in the stocks that make up the index, holding each stock in approximately the same proportion as its weighting in the index.

Microsoft Corp

Nvidia Corp.

Apple Inc

Amazon.Com Inc

Meta Platforms, Inc.

Alphabet  inc., Class A

Alphabet Inc Class C

Berkshire Hathaway Inc

Eli Lilly & Co.

Avago Technologi

Tesla Motors, Inc.

Berkshire Hathaway, Inc.

Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF

Vanguard S&P 500 Value ETF

Building wealth is a long-term journey. You have to diligently save and invest money over many years. However, modern banking tools make it easier to build a big nest egg on autopilot. You don't have to make each deposit into your stock portfolio or spend too much time monitoring the market.
Financial guru Vincent Chan lays out a path where people in their 20s can <a href="https://www.tiktok.com/@vincentchanco/video/7504269967353777441?lang=en">become millionaires by the time they retire</a>. However, since the strategy is on autopilot, it gives you time to focus on other things.
"You can pretty much forget about it until you're 60," Chan states.
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This claim only applies once you have the autopilot strategy in place. Here's how you can start building wealth without having to check your bank account every day.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Open A Roth IRA</h2>
Chan starts the video by recommending that his viewers open a Roth IRA at an established brokerage firm like Fidelity, Vanguard, or Schwab. Roth IRAs allow you to grow money tax-free, so you won't have to worry about capital gains when you retire.&nbsp;
These top brokerages offer simple user experiences that allow you to find what you need. They also have various financial services beyond Roth IRAs that can help you build wealth.
It's pretty easy to open a Roth IRA, and you don't have to be employed to get started. It works great for freelancers or individuals who want to contribute additional funds to a new retirement plan. Contributing to a Roth IRA does not affect your ability to contribute to an employer-sponsored retirement plan.
Trending: Maker of the $60,000 foldable home has 3 factory buildings, 600+ houses built, and big plans to solve housing — <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/boxabl-scaling-fast-from-spacex-orders-to-600-homes-built-this-60k-foldable-home-may-be-the-future-of-housing">this is your last chance to become an investor for $0.80 per share.</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Transfer $7.20 To Your Roth IRA Every Day</h2>
The next step in this autopilot plan is to transfer $7.20 to your Roth IRA every day. Keep in mind that this money will be taxed, but you won't pay taxes when you withdraw it. Contributing $7.20 per day to a Roth IRA results in $2,628 per year for years with 365 days.&nbsp;
However, you can contribute much more than $2,628 per year. The IRS currently limits taxpayers to an annual $7,000 contribution to a Roth IRA. However, anyone who is 50 years or older can contribute an additional $1,000 per year to their Roth IRA.&nbsp;
If you want to contribute $7,000 per year, you will have to transfer $19.17 per day. People who qualify for an $8,000 annual contribution should invest $21.91 per day.&nbsp;
The IRS periodically raises the maximum contribution limits, so it's good to stay updated and adjust your daily transfer accordingly. If daily transfers are too stressful, you can also opt for weekly or monthly transfers.&nbsp;
See Also: Maximize saving for your retirement and cut down on taxes: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/wideradvisor-retirement-planning">Schedule your free call with a financial advisor to start your financial journey – no cost, no obligation</a>.&nbsp;
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Automatically Invest In An S&amp;P 500 Fund</h2>
Chan encourages his audience to keep it simple and invest in an S&amp;P 500 fund. He mentions the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and the Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VOO#NYSE">VOO</a>) as potential choices. Notably, VOO only has a 0.03% expense ratio while SPY has a 0.09% expense ratio. VOO is technically cheaper to own, and both funds deliver nearly identical returns.
Chan mentions that the S&amp;P 500 usually goes up by 7% to 10% per year. The S&amp;P 500 automatically diversifies your money across the 500 largest profitable corporations. Companies are added or removed to the index based on their performance. It's a market-weighted index, so the tech giants will have more preference than companies with market caps just above $20 billion.
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<li>The team behind $6B+ in licensing deals is now building the next billion-dollar IP empire — <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/elf-labs-ym?v=123">invest early at $2.25/share.</a></li>
<li>‘Scrolling To UBI' — Deloitte's #1 fastest-growing software company allows users to earn money on their phones. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/mode-mobile-2">You can invest today for just $0.30/share with a $1000 minimum.</a></li>
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Image: Shutterstock

Personal Finance

Vincent Chan Shares How People In Their 20s Can Build Wealth On Autopilot: 'You Can Pretty Much Forget About It Until You're 60'

It's downgrade déjà vu. Late Friday, after Wall Street had already packed up for the weekend, Moody's quietly dropped the hammer: the U.S. just got its <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s/25/05/45479078/moodys-downgrades-us-credit-rating-over-debt-deficit-concerns">credit rating cut from Aaa to Aa1</a>.
If this feels familiar, that's because it is &#8211; and the market's playbook has been pretty consistent. The real question now: Will the market freak out for the third time, or has it finally learned to chill?
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Another 10% Correction Coming?</h2>
Let's rewind.
In August 2011, Standard &amp; Poor's made history by downgrading U.S. debt for the first time ever. The result? A 10.37% drop in the S&amp;P 500 Index over the next 41 trading days, <a href="https://x.com/adamkhootrader/status/1923970924589744439">according</a> to data analyzed by Piranha Profits. But fast forward 12 months, and the index was up 36%. Investors who bought the dip didn't just survive &#8211; they thrived.
Then came August 2023, when Fitch pulled the same move. Same script, different year. The S&amp;P 500 slid 10.31% over 58 trading days. But again &#8211; patience paid off. One year later, stocks were up a cool 37%.
Now, here comes Moody's, joining the downgrade party. And yes, if the market follows precedent, we could be looking at another 10% correction.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/05/45486452/jim-cramer-recalls-2011s-6-7-market-decline-after-us-debt-downgrade-says-it-ultimately-meant-nothing-dan-niles-sees-limited-downside-amid-tariff-rollbacks-fomo">Jim Cramer Recalls 2011&#8217;s 6.7% Market Decline After US Debt Downgrade, Says It &#8216;Ultimately Meant Nothing:&#8217; Dan Niles Sees Limited Downside Amid Tariff Rollbacks, FOMO</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Bulls Have Reasons To Shrug This One Off &#8211; But Will They?</h2>
But here's the twist &#8211; after two prior false alarms, has Wall Street stopped reacting to credit downgrades like it's the end of the world? After all, these cuts haven't exactly spelled disaster in the long run. Quite the opposite.
And let's not ignore the context: strong earnings from tech giants, resilient consumer spending, and cooling inflation may give bulls a reason to shrug this one off.
But if markets do panic on Monday, history suggests it could be yet another gift-wrapped opportunity to scoop up high-quality stocks at a discount.
Because if there's one thing we've learned, it's this: America's credit rating may slip &#8211; but investor memory tends to fade faster than a market dip lasts.
For investors holding broad S&amp;P 500 ETFs like SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), iShares Core S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IVV#NYSE">IVV</a>), and Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VOO#NYSE">VOO</a>), the Moody's downgrade may feel unsettling at first glance &#8211; especially heading into Monday's open. But history offers a useful compass. During the past two U.S. debt downgrades in 2011 and 2023, the S&amp;P 500 fell over 10% within two months, only to surge more than 35% over the following year. If markets follow a similar playbook, any short-term volatility could prove to be a golden buying window for long-term investors. 
In other words, don't be surprised if passive index investors wind up thanking Moody's by this time next year.
Will Wall Street overreact a third time? 
Or has the market finally grown up? 
We'll find out Monday.
Read Next: 
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</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Long Ideas

Broad U.S. Equity ETFs

Trading Ideas

ETFs

S&P 500 History Suggests 10% Drop After Downgrade — Followed By 35% Rally

When you hire a financial advisor, you're <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/are-you-rich">handing over more than just money</a>. You're handing over trust, peace of mind—and the assumption that someone with a professional title won't tank your portfolio during a dip. But what happens when the person you pay to manage risk ends up locking in losses that wipe out last year's gains?
That's the question one investor raised on Bogleheads.org, a popular online forum where personal finance enthusiasts—many of them DIY investors—gather to dissect strategy, question fees, and lean into the gospel of low-cost, long-term investing. Think of it as a home base for index fund purists and fee hawks.
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In a <a href="https://www.bogleheads.org/forum/viewtopic.php?t=452987">post under the site's Personal Investments section</a>, one user shared his dilemma: He's about 10 years from retirement, makes a strong income, and doesn't need to touch his retirement savings anytime soon. A few years ago, he hired a Registered Investment Advisor to manage about two-thirds of his savings, while he continued managing the other third himself.
The RIA had him in a 77% equity allocation that earned a solid 12% in 2024. So far, so good. But by early April, the advisor began emailing that if markets didn't correct, they'd sell out of everything and move to cash. And that's exactly what happened. Just days later, nearly all positions were liquidated and dumped into the Schwab Government Money Fund (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNVXX#NASDAQ">SNVXX</a>).&nbsp;
The investor logged into his portal and saw a negativer 3.6% return for the past 12 months. In less than 2.5 years, his net gain was now a slim 1.6%. "Meanwhile," he noted, with the one-third of his portfolio he manages solo, he was doing the opposite— <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/25/05/45337654/now-what-investor-with-100k-in-voo-wonders-whats-next-after-constantly-hearing-the-first-hurdle-is-the-hardest">buying Vanguard's S&amp;P 500 ETF</a> (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VOO#NYSE">VOO</a>)&nbsp; at $540, $500, and $475 as the market slid. On the very day the advisor sold him out of equities, he was buying more.
Trending: Maker of the $60,000 foldable home has 3 factory buildings, 600+ houses built, and big plans to solve housing — <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/boxabl-scaling-fast-from-spacex-orders-to-600-homes-built-this-60k-foldable-home-may-be-the-future-of-housing">this is your last chance to become an investor for $0.80 per share.</a>
He left readers with one simple question: "Based on these limited facts, who would you fire—him or me?"
The responses rolled in. One user didn't hold back: "I'd fire both—you and him." The criticism? Neither appeared to have an Investment Policy Statement, the document that usually outlines long-term strategy and helps avoid reactive decisions like market timing.
Another forum regular said it more bluntly: "The investor's biggest enemy is…the investor himself." Others piled on similar thoughts—calling out the lack of a unified strategy, the mixed messages of splitting management, and the advisor's sudden pivot to cash without a phone call.
Some highlighted red flags from the advisor side: the bold move to cash, the reliance on emails for major trades, and the potential tax consequences of exiting positions during a downturn. "It boggles me that an RIA would make big, bold moves like this," one commenter wrote. Another questioned whether this kind of decision was being made across other actively managed portfolios that week.
But not everyone thought the situation was disastrous. One user framed it as a potential turning point: "You made some mistakes. That's okay. It's not a huge hit to your portfolio. Learn from it." Others pointed out that the RIA gave notice—so why not step in and say no?
See Also: Invest where it hurts — and help millions heal:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/a-cure-for-osteoarthritis-powered-by-everyday-investors-cytonics-is-looking-to-beat-big-pharma-and-disrupt-a-390-billion-market"> Invest in Cytonics and help disrupt a $390B Big Pharma stronghold</a>.
Still, the general tone was clear: when you're paying an advisor, it's reasonable to expect discipline, not reaction. And when your self-managed portfolio outperforms the professional one, it's fair to start asking questions.
So, what should investors take away from this?
While this isn't financial advice, it does raise a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/05/45256709/approaching-retirement-suze-ormans-2025-plan-for-safe-high-earning-cash">few universal considerations</a>:
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Have a plan—and write it down. An Investment Policy Statement helps remove emotion from investing. It should spell out risk tolerance, allocation, and when (if ever) to pivot.</li>
<li>Communication matters. If your advisor is selling everything and moving to cash via email, and you're surprised by it—you might have a bigger problem than market timing.</li>
<li>Split strategies can backfire. Letting an advisor manage part of your money while you run the rest can lead to conflict, confusion, and inconsistent outcomes.</li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/04/44610661/why-timing-the-market-is-a-terrible-idea">Market timing rarely wins</a>. Whether it's a dip or a full-blown correction, pulling out at the wrong time often means missing the rebound.</li>
<li>Fees still count. One poster estimated that, based on assets under management, the advisor might be taking around 1%—or $30,000 annually. If you're losing trust, that number looms larger. </li>
</ul>
At the end of the day, the real question might not be "Who should I fire?"—but "What's the long-term plan here?" Because whether you're investing in index funds, private startups, or your own side hustle, one thing's clear: guessing the market rarely beats a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/smartasset">steady hand and a solid plan</a>.
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Image: Shutterstock

SNVXX

He Made 12% Last Year—Now His Advisor Moved Everything Into SNVXX And He's Down 3.6%: Is It Time To Fire The Guy Who Just Locked In His Losses?

From despair to euphoria in record time, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/s-p-500">the S&amp;P 500</a> has pulled off a historic U-turn, rallying 22% from its April 7 lows to turn green on the year.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/register?utm_adType=bzprocontent&amp;utm_campaign=14daytrial&amp;utm_ad=0515"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="633" height="488" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/15105908/Screenshot-2025-05-15-at-8.26.50-PM.png" alt="" class="wp-image-916749" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/15105908/Screenshot-2025-05-15-at-8.26.50-PM.png 633w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/15105908/Screenshot-2025-05-15-at-8.26.50-PM-300x231.png 300w" sizes="(max-width: 633px) 100vw, 633px" /></a></figure>
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/register?utm_adType=bzprocontent&amp;utm_campaign=14daytrial&amp;utm_ad=0515" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Chart created using Benzinga Pro</a>
Charlie Bilello, founder of Compound Capital Advisors, <a href="https://x.com/charliebilello/status/1922302125024923719?s=31">called it</a> &#8220;one of the biggest short-term comebacks in market history.&#8221; And it's not just an index story &#8211; ETF investors in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), the iShares Core S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IVV#NYSE">IVV</a>) and the Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VOO#NYSE">VOO</a>) are riding the same wave.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Trade Truce Sparks Turbocharged Turnaround</h2>
What triggered the rip? 
A sudden thaw in U.S.-China trade tensions. Tariff threats that had markets rattled just weeks ago were slashed: the U.S. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/05/45348699/us-listed-chinese-stocks-rally-as-countries-agree-to-ease-import-tariffs">cut its rate on Chinese goods</a> from 145% to 30%, and China blinked right back &#8211; lowering its retaliatory tariffs from 125% to 10%. Global markets exhaled, and stocks took flight.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/05/45442127/palantir-soars-500-in-a-year-while-unitedhealth-tanks-40-tech-leaves-healthcare-in-the-dust">Palantir Soars 500% In A Year While UnitedHealth Tanks 40% — Tech Leaves Healthcare In The Dust</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">SPY Has A Classic Bullish Setup</h2>
Technically, SPY is lighting up every bullish signal on the board. At $586.53, SPY trades well above its eight-day simple moving average (SMA) of $574.16, its 20-day SMA of $557.10, and its 50-day SMA of $553.63. Even the 200-day SMA at $574.12 trails the price &#8211; classic bullish setup.
Momentum-wise, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) sits at a strong 9.81, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reads 65.95, just shy of overbought territory but still flashing strength.
For holders of SPY, IVV, and VOO, the message is clear: the market isn't just bouncing &#8211; it's sprinting. The comeback has put passive investors back in the green, with technicals suggesting the rally could have more room to run.
Just weeks ago, this market looked cornered. Now, it's rewriting the rebound playbook.
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Image: Shutterstock

Analyst Color

Technicals

Analyst Ratings

Rout To Rally: S&P 500 Stages Fastest Flip In Market History With 22% Comeback

<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/s-p-500">The S&amp;P 500</a> is quietly pulling off a winning streak that even some bulls didn't see coming. For the second quarter in a row, the index has notched double-digit earnings growth &#8211; clocking in at 13.4% for the first quarter &#8211; leaving ETF investors in the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), iShares Core S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IVV#NYSE">IVV</a>) and Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VOO#NYSE">VOO</a>) with something to cheer about.
According <a href="https://insight.factset.com/sp-500-earnings-season-update-may-9-2025?utm_source=Direct&amp;utm_medium=Email&amp;utm_campaign=FO-05-09-2025&amp;utm_content=httpsinsightfactsetcomsp500earningsseasonupdatemay92025">to</a> FactSet, 90% of S&amp;P 500 companies have reported results so far, and 78% of them beat earnings estimates &#8211; not only topping the 10-year average (75%) but also surpassing the five-year norm (77%). While the average earnings surprise of 8.5% came in just below the 5-year average (8.8%), it&#8217;s well ahead of the 10-year benchmark (6.9%).
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/05/45294428/wall-street-rallies-after-us-seals-first-trade-deal-you-better-go-out-and-buy-stock-trump-says">Wall Street Rallies After US Seals First Trade Deal: &#8216;You Better Go Out And Buy Stock,&#8217; Trump Says</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">3 Sectors That Fueled Surprise Profits</h2>
This uptick didn't happen overnight. Since the end of the first quarter, earnings growth estimates have steadily climbed &#8211; from 7.1% on March 31 to 12.8% last week, now landing at a strong 13.4%. Much of the fuel came from surprise profits in Communication Services, Financials, and Health Care.
Eight out of eleven sectors are showing year-over-year earnings growth, with Health Care, Communications Services, Info Tech and Utilities leading the pack. Even more impressively, this is now the seventh straight quarter of earnings growth for the S&amp;P 500.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">62% S&amp;P 500 Companies Delivered Revenue Beats</h2>
The revenue side of the story is more muted &#8211; 62% of companies beat top-line expectations (below the 5-year average of 69%), with aggregate revenue surprises averaging just 0.7%. But that still translates to a 4.8% revenue growth rate &#8211; the 18th consecutive quarter of sales growth.
Looking ahead, analysts are expecting earnings growth to cool slightly, with forecasts of 5.2%, 7.4%, and 6.7% for the second through fourth quarter. But with a forward P/E of 20.5 (above the 5- and 10-year averages), markets are already pricing in strength &#8211; or at least resilience.
For ETF investors watching SPY, IVV, or VOO, the S&amp;P 500 just sent a second bullish signal in a row: earnings are holding up &#8211; and then some.
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/05/45283497/federal-reserve-will-be-the-last-to-cut-says-expert-anticipating-4-cuts-in-2025-a-thaw-in-us-china-trade-dispute-is-good-news">Federal Reserve &#8216;Will Be The Last To Cut&#8217; Rates, Says Expert Who Still Expects Four Cuts In 2025</a></li>
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Photo: Shutterstock

Earnings

Earnings Beats

News

S&P 500 Q1 Earnings Jump 13.4% - SPY Investors Just Got Their Second Straight Double-Digit Surprise

The first $100,000 is the hardest. Once you reach this milestone, compounding starts to work in your favor and push you toward other financial goals.
A Redditor knew this detail when asking for advice in the Dividends subreddit. The original poster has $100,000 invested in the Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VOO#NYSE">VOO</a>) and stated that you're <a href="https://www.reddit.com/r/dividends/comments/1kfwo5g/100k_invested_in_voo_now_what/">"basically a millionaire"</a> once you hit this threshold.
"Now what?" the Redditor asked.
Although reaching the six-figure mark is a great feat, many commenters encouraged the Redditor to keep going and stay invested.
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<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Forget About It For 30 Years</h2>
Multiple commenters told the Redditor to forget about their portfolio for the next 30 years.
"Forget about that account for 30 years," one of the top comments suggested.
Assuming an annualized 8% return, the $100,000 balance will turn into $1 million after 30 years. That's true even if the Redditor doesn't contribute another dollar to their portfolio. It demonstrates how returns can stack on top of each other and boost total returns.
The Redditor doesn't have to make any flashy moves to reach a $1 million portfolio, assuming that the 8% annualized return remains intact.&nbsp;
Trending: Can you guess how many retire with a $5,000,000 nest egg? <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/5mil-nest-egg-adv">The percentage may shock you</a>.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Continue To Invest</h2>
Although the Redditor is off to a great start, most commenters encouraged the Redditor to keep going. Investing more money will give the Redditor more choices in the future. Retirement will be more doable when the time arrives, and one commenter suggested that the Redditor can "pass it down to his family."
Another Redditor said that wealth building doesn't end once you reach $100,000. While this benchmark makes it easier to build your net worth, regular portfolio contributions will get you there even faster.
"You keep investing; job's far from done&#8230;I assume you want to hit a million faster, so you are going to need to continue to add to that money and make it grow."
It's impossible to predict how your financial situation will change in the next 10-15 years. Saving and investing money now will leave you better prepared for worst-case scenarios while setting you up for best-case scenarios.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/gbr-savings-by-age">If You're Age 35, 50, or 60: Here&#8217;s How Much You Should Have Saved Vs. Invested By Now</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Keep Your Foot On The Pedal</h2>
One commenter questioned the notion that your wealth "explodes after $100k" and encouraged the original poster to continue investing. The commenter suggested only taking your foot off the pedal after you are halfway to your financial independence number.
Another commenter suggested that the Redditor continue with their current money habits. The same money habits that helped the Redditor end up with a $100,000 portfolio can result in a $200,000 portfolio sooner.&nbsp;
Momentum is a strong force, and you can reach your financial goals sooner if you continue. However, if the Redditor decides to rest, they risk losing all of the momentum. It's hard to get an object at rest to move, but once something is in motion, it's easier to continue on that path.
The Redditor has an opportunity to grow their portfolio. Compounding is a nice bonus, but the Redditor should continue to make regular investments.
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<li>Inspired by Uber and Airbnb &#8211; Deloitte's fastest-growing software company is transforming 7 billion smartphones into income-generating assets &#8211; <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/mode-mobile-2">with $1,000 you can invest at just $0.30/share!</a></li>
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Image: Shutterstock

'Now What?' — Investor With $100K In VOO Wonders What's Next After Constantly Hearing The First Hurdle Is The Hardest

Following a rocky April opening, thanks largely to aggressive U.S. tariff policy and economic jitters, the S&amp;P 500 has been on a surprising tear, recording its longest string of gains since 2004. 
Along for the ride are two of the most recognizable index-tracking ETFs: Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VOO#NYSE">VOO</a>) and State Street&#8217;s SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>). Though they might look very similar on the surface, recent history has highlighted some distinct differences between the two funds — differences that could be influencing investor behavior in more than one way.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Neck And Neck, Temporarily</h1>
VOO and SPY each picked up about 3% during the past week, fueled by healthy tech earnings, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/05/45164558/us-adds-177000-jobs-in-april-topping-forecasts-as-economy-navigates-tariff-impact">robust labor market reports</a>, and a collective exhalation of relief regarding <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/05/45175235/nasdaq-100-leads-wall-street-rally-as-china-signals-openness-to-fentanyl-talks-easing-trade-tensions">waning trade tensions</a>. But the path to those gains was far from smooth. Trump&#8217;s tariff rollercoaster created historic daily volatility, with the Cboe Volatility Index reaching levels not seen since 2020, in April. And in the midst of the chaos, VOO came out with more than profits, it made investor dollars at a record-breaking rate.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Fund Flows</h1>
In a month of wild market fluctuations, VOO <a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-05-01/vanguard-s-voo-world-s-biggest-etf-nabs-record-flows-in-april?sref=TBDibEcD">recorded </a>almost $21 billion in inflows, according to data by Bloomberg, its largest monthly total ever. This takes us back to February, when <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/broad-u-s-equity-etfs/25/02/43794873/vanguard-overtakes-state-street-as-top-etf-provider-3-funds-in-focus">VOO&#8217;s growing popularity propelled it past SPY</a> in terms of total assets. For the year to date, VOO has attracted $55 billion, while SPY has seen a net outflow of $27 billion. In blunt terms: investors appear to be voting with their wallets, and Vanguard is winning the popularity contest.
SPY, after a $2.2 billion inflow during April, is on course to record its worst year of flows since 2015, according to Bloomberg. Many find the slightly higher expense ratio of 0.095% over VOO&#8217;s very low 0.03% difficult to accept, particularly at times of turmoil.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Cost &amp; Liquidity: Pay More, Trade More</h1>
SPY&#8217;s primary strength continues to be its liquidity. With more than 77 million in average daily volume, it&#8217;s the most actively traded ETF in America, making it perfect for short-term traders. VOO, though still extremely liquid, averages closer to 8.6 million per day with slightly broader bid-ask spreads. 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Structure &amp; Efficiency</h1>
This is where the divergence becomes more distinct. SPY, the old master of ETFs, is a Unit Investment Trust (UIT). That constrains it from reinvesting dividends or lending out securities, both of which might otherwise boost returns. VOO, being an open-end fund, does both. It reinvests dividends until distributed quarterly and lends out securities to generate additional income, bolstering its aggregate return potential.
Tax efficiency also works in VOO&#8217;s favor. Its in-kind creation/redemption feature serves to keep capital gains distributions to a bare minimum, an advantage that SPY, owing to its UIT structure, cannot emulate so well.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">The Retail Wave</h1>
While SPY continues to lead in gross trading volume, VOO is slowly gaining mindshare among individual investors. Indeed, on sites such as Interactive Brokers, VOO frequently topped the most-traded list last month, which indicates that longer-term investors are moving toward its low-cost, tax-efficient model, Bloomberg reported.
VOO and SPY both offer exposure to the same S&amp;P 500 giants Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), and NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>), but they cater to different investor appetites. SPY is for the high-frequency trader who values lightning-fast execution. VOO is for the buy-and-hold investor who prefers to let compounding and low fees do the heavy lifting.
In this story of two tickers, SPY might still reign supreme in the trading pits, but VOO is quietly and quickly redefining what a heavyweight in the ETF space means.
Read Next:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/broad-u-s-equity-etfs/25/05/45203808/etfs-last-week-tech-fueled-rally-powers-gains-during-trade-optimism"> </a> • <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/broad-u-s-equity-etfs/25/05/45203808/etfs-last-week-tech-fueled-rally-powers-gains-during-trade-optimism">ETFs Last Week: Tech-Fueled Rally Powers Gains During Trade Optimism</a>
Photo: Shutterstock

AAPL

MSFT

NVDA

VOO Vs SPY: $21 Billion April Surge Puts VOO Ahead In The S&P 500 ETF Showdown

Retail investors are raising concerns over U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's recent remarks on tariffs and the ongoing trade tensions with China, delivered at a closed-door investor summit hosted by JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>). 
Bessent&#8217;s comments, which sparked a $2.2 trillion surge in the markets, have been criticized by retail traders who say they were shut out of potentially market-moving information.
What Happened: On Wednesday, popular financial newsletter The Kobeissi Letter voiced concerns about fairness in a post on X, referring to Bessent's recent appearance at a private, closed-door investor summit.
The post highlights that the event wasn&#8217;t &#8220;open to the public or media,&#8221; and it was where Bessent first said that he expects a &#8220;de-escalation with China,&#8221; before describing the current trade environment as &#8220;unsustainable for both sides.&#8221; 
See More: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/tech/25/04/44970168/elizabeth-warren-slams-tim-cook-over-alleged-backdoor-deal-with-trump-to-shield-apple-from-crushing-china-tariffs-creates-the-appearance-of-impropriety">Elizabeth Warren Slams Tim Cook Over Alleged Backdoor Deal With Trump To Shield Apple From Crushing China Tariffs: &#8216;Creates The Appearance Of Impropriety&#8217;</a>
These remarks were made at 12:00 PM EST, according to the post, following which the markets witnessed a surge in volumes, with the S&amp;P 500 Futures rallying +5%, resulting in a total gain of $2.2 trillion in market cap, while retail traders and investors were still kept in the dark.
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Retail investors were just cheated: Yesterday at 12:00 PM ET, US Treasury Secretary Bessent said he sees &quot;de-escalation with China&quot; and the current situation is &quot;unsustainable.&quot; These comments were provided at a CLOSED-DOOR investor summit hosted by JP Morgan. This summit was… <a href="https://t.co/gQGKVBYhi4">pic.twitter.com/gQGKVBYhi4</a>
&mdash; The Kobeissi Letter (@KobeissiLetter) <a href="https://twitter.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1915007666604175549?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 23, 2025</a></blockquote>
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It was only at 5:18 PM EST that President Donald Trump said tariffs on China &#8220;will not be as high as 145%,&#8221; which finally brought retail into the loop.
&#8220;Investors at the JP Morgan event were able to front-run these headlines,&#8221; it says, before asking, &#8220;How is this fair for retail investors?&#8221;
Other X users have raised similar concerns, with Cheddar Pool, a service that tracks options order flows, sharing insights on an S&amp;P 500 &#8220;Whale&#8221; who added $2.2 million in 1DTE (one day to expiry options) at 3:21 PM EST on Tuesday, while asking &#8220;Bessent, was that you?&#8221;
According to the post, that whale is now up 460%, with gains of over $10 million, within just a day.
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<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Bessent, was that you? &#x1f914; This <a href="https://twitter.com/search?q=%24SPY&amp;src=ctag&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">$SPY</a> whale is now up +460% in ONE DAY +$10,000,000!!! <a href="https://t.co/l603kEVQhK">https://t.co/l603kEVQhK</a>
&mdash; Cheddar Flow (@CheddarFlow) <a href="https://twitter.com/CheddarFlow/status/1914715157210497425?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">April 22, 2025</a></blockquote>
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<figcaption class="wp-element-caption"> Scott Bessent and the Treasury did not immediately respond to Benzinga&#8217;s request for comments. Why It Matters: There have been growing concerns regarding leaks and insider trading within the current administration, with Scott Galloway calling the April 9th tariff pause the &#8220;greatest day of insider trading in history,&#8221; citing the suspicious timing of <a href="https://benzinga.com/news/25/04/44891038/clearly-word-got-out-scott-galloway-says-april-9-will-go-down-as-the-greatest-day-of-insider-trading-in-history">large options trades</a>.</figcaption></figure>
Others, such as Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.), part of Trump&#8217;s inner circle, have <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/04/44806734/marjorie-taylor-greene-made-large-stock-purchases-ahead-of-trumps-90-day-tariff-pause-hakeem-jeffries-calls-it-problematic">come under scrutiny</a> for making large stock purchases ahead of the 90-day pause on tariffs. 
Rep.&nbsp;Adam Schiff&nbsp;(D-Calif.) and Sen.&nbsp;Elizabeth Warren&nbsp;(D-Mass.) have outright accused Trump of <a href="https://benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/04/44728524/adam-schiff-and-elizabeth-warren-call-for-investigation-into-possible-insider-trading-by-trump-allies-as-markets-surge-after-90-day-tariff-pause-it-sure-looks-like-corruption">manipulating the markets</a> to &#8220;benefit his Wall Street donors.&#8221;
Price Action: The Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VOO#NYSE">VOO</a>) is up 1.6% on Wednesday, followed by the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), which tracks the Nasdaq, up by 2.27%. The SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) is up 1.03%.
Photo courtesy: Maxim Elramsisy / Shutterstock.com
Read More: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/25/04/44969920/its-not-going-to-end-well-former-sec-chair-gensler-says-chinese-are-tough-negotiators-who-believe-they-can-outwait-us-policy-volatility">&#8216;It&#8217;s Not Going To End Well&#8217;—Former SEC Chair Gensler Says Chinese Are &#8216;Tough Negotiators&#8217; Who Believe They Can Outwait US Policy Volatility</a>

Equities

Markets

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust

Scott Bessent's China 'De-Escalation' Scoop Delivered To Wall Street Early At Closed-Door Event — $2.2 Trillion In Gains Later Questions Arise If Retail Investors Were 'Cheated'

Winning a large sum of <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/25/03/44066359/someone-asked-for-small-money-saving-habits-that-made-a-big-difference-and-the-responses-poured-">money</a> is a dream come true, but for many, it quickly turns into a financial puzzle. With terms like index funds, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/25/01/43217229/couple-with-1-1-million-seeks-passive-income-to-retire-by-40-reddit-explodes-over-portfolio-choices">dividend stocks</a>, high-yield savings accounts, real estate investing, and <a href="https://in.benzinga.com/markets/25/02/43871141/reddit-erupts-investor-with-1-million-locked-for-12-years-asks-whats-the-safest-way-to-get-passive-i">passive income</a> strategies swirling around, it's easy to feel lost when you&#8217;re new to this world of investing.
The stock market, in particular, attracts investors because of its historical returns and the ability to generate long-term wealth without active management.
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<li>The average American couple has saved this much money for retirement —<a href="http://www.benzinga.com/money/smartasset"> How do you compare</a>?</li>
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One Reddit user, a 30-year-old with a $30,000 salary and his wife earning $40,000, recently found themselves in this exact situation after winning $2.5 million and remaining with $1.5 million after taxes. They currently own two homes: one with a $100,000 mortgage and another generating $1,000 per month in rental income, but are unsure how to make their windfall last.
Their concerns are whether they can retire early and live off $70,000 a year without running out of money and whether they should invest in the S&amp;P 500, keep funds in high-yield savings account accounts, or buy more rental properties. They&#8217;ve also never invested before and need guidance on safe, long-term strategies.
&#8220;We live simple lives and don't plan on changing that. We won't be telling anyone about the winnings. Long story short, the three options we are considering so far are to invest in the S&amp;P 500 about $1 million of it and live off that if possible, live off the high-yield savings accounts if that's possible, or buy properties and be landlords. Even though that's still a working job we would be doing it together,&#8221; the poster wrote.
Trending: BlackRock is calling 2025 the year of alternative assets. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/masterworks">One firm from NYC has quietly built a group of 60,000+ investors who have all joined in on an alt asset class previously exclusive to billionaires like Bezos and Gates.</a>
The r/FinancialPlanning Reddit community has jumped to the comment section with plenty of advice and recommendations for the couple, so let&#8217;s dive into those.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">How to Invest $1.5 Million and Live Off Passive Income? Reddit Suggests Strategies</h2>
Invest in Low-Cost Index Funds&nbsp;
Many commenters urged the couple to avoid putting all their money into real estate and instead diversify in stock market index funds, which historically outperform real estate with less hassle.
&#8220;The best way to invest is total market index funds. I have preferred an 80% U.S./20% international for those 35 years. With $1.5 million, that means $1.2 million (I would use [Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/vti#NYSE">VTI</a>)]) and $300,000 international (I would use [Vanguard Total International Stock ETF (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/vxus#NASDAQ">VXUS</a>)]),&#8221; a Redditor advised.
Citing the 4% withdrawal rule, this commenter calculated the potential return on investment the poster would have if he invested in an index fund: &#8220;I would probably say stick it in a solid index fund. On average, your money will double every 7 to 10 years. After a few years, you could technically live off of $100,000 or so without ever touching the balance. If you take out now, you could safely withdraw $60,000 a year. Example: it grows 7%-10% a year. You pull out 4%. It will grow to $5-$10 million when you're 60. If you pulled out nothing, it could grow to $26 million.&#8221;
&#8220;A mutual index fund like [Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/voo#NYSE">VOO</a>)] will grow faster than real estate and you won&#8217;t have the job of being a landlord,&#8221; a Redditor suggested.
This commenter mentioned dividend income and how there are many ETFs and closed-end funds that can generate the amount the couple aims for with their investment.
&#8220;There are plenty of ETFs and closed-end funds that pay monthly dividends and offer a very wide range of risk/reward. It wouldn&#8217;t be too difficult to assemble a portfolio of those to generate a pretty steady monthly income that would meet your goal,&#8221; he wrote.
See Also: Hasbro, MGM, and Skechers trust this AI marketing firm — <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/rad-intel">invest pre-IPO from $0.60 per share now</a>.
Avoid Lifestyle Inflation, Pay Off Debt, and Consult a Fiduciary
Several users warned against quitting jobs immediately and instead suggested paying off debt, keeping the windfall secret, and seeking professional advice.
&#8220;If you're into living simply, I'm paying off all my debt first. It gives you freedom and allows you to do whatever you want from there. Also, I'm going to keep working, maybe not as many hours, or the same jobs, but something to keep myself busy and not raise a lot of eyebrows about where I got the money for the life I'm living. Maybe you switch to doing something you've always wanted to do,&#8221; a Redditor said.
Touching on the fact that the poster should consult with a fee-only financial advisor, this commenter also suggested being aware of insurance sales.
&#8220;Talk to a financial advisor ([certified financial planner]) all [certified financial planners] are fiduciaries and will have some understanding of investing, insurance, tax, etc. Do not fall for the insurance sales. Some insurances are beneficial, but most are a huge waste,&#8221; he wrote.
&#8220;Rule 1: Don't tell a soul. (Kinda already broke that rule). Rule 2: Don't do anything different for one year,&#8221; a Reddit user suggested.
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<li>Deloitte's fastest-growing software company partners with Amazon, Walmart &amp; Target – <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/mode-mobile-2">Many are rushing to grab 4,000 of its pre-IPO shares for just $0.26/share!</a></li>
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Image: Shutterstock

VXUS

$1.5M Rich But Clueless – Couple With $82K Combined Income Says 'Need Help' After Winning Big, Reddit Explodes Over What They Should Do Next

Many investors start their journey by buying <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44565770/30-year-old-with-65k-in-stocks-sparks-debate-focusing-mostly-on-etfs-but-now-betting-on-bonds-small-caps-and-international-plays">stocks</a> they like, chasing dividends, or diversifying across various assets, only to later realize their portfolio needs a serious overhaul.
Whether it's portfolio allocation, dividend investing, or <a href="https://in.benzinga.com/25/03/44553948/investor-with-640k-portfolio-aims-for-early-retirement-hoping-to-retire-in-5-years-or-less-but-faces-tough-choices-reddit-weights-in">early retirement</a> planning, the right strategy depends on clear financial goals. There are investors who hunt for high-yield <a href="https://in.benzinga.com/personal-finance/25/03/44551261/early-retiree-making-17000-a-year-in-dividends-shares-top-7-stock-picks-says-ive-zero-regrets">dividends</a> while others prioritize growth, only to find that their holdings are too scattered or underperforming.
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<li>Many are using retirement income calculators to check if they&#8217;re on pace —<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-do-i-calculate-my-retirement-income-adv"> here&#8217;s a breakdown on what&#8217;s behind this formula.</a></li>
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One such investor, a 36-year-old with a $253,542 stock portfolio has recently turned to Reddit for advice. Despite his substantial holdings, he earns just $4,200 in annual dividends and admits his investments are &#8220;all over the place.&#8221;
&#8220;I feel like my portfolio is all over the place. I certainly don't feel I'm getting $4,000 annual dividends either. How would you restructure all this? Have no clear goals, but I'd like to retire early from work burnout,&#8221; he wrote.
His portfolio leans heavily into S&amp;P 500 ETFs like Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VOO#NYSE">VOO</a>) and SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and tech stocks like Nvidia (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>), Apple (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), and Microsoft (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), but commenters noted overlap, inefficiency, and low yield as major issues. His post sparked intense discussion, with many Redditors pointing out overlapping ETFs and a lack of focus in his strategy.
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Investor With $253,000 In Stocks And Only $4.200 In Dividend Income Asks For Redirection–Reddit Delivers
Consolidate Overlapping ETFs and Ditch Underperformers
Many commenters pointed out that VOO and SPY track the same index, making one redundant, while others noted that individual stocks like Apple and Microsoft are already heavily weighted in his ETFs, creating unnecessary duplication.
&#8220;VOO and SPY are exactly the same thing, S&amp;P 500 index funds. You don&#8217;t need both. Your SPY is smaller than VOO, so sell SPY and put the money into VOO. You don&#8217;t need VOO/SPY and [Fidelity ZERO Total Market Index Fund (FZROX)] too. Since VOO has slightly outperformed FZROX, I would sell FZROX and put the money into VOO,&#8221; a Redditor advised.
Suggesting the poster trim speculative holdings, this commenter recommended a focus on long-term sustainable businesses or broad-market ETFs: &#8220;First of all, simplify by selling stocks from companies you don't know much about. If you're interested in a company and want to invest in them, just make sure they can last another 20 years in business. Second, if you're aiming now for a more long-term hold, try to even out the ETFs and dividends a little more.&#8221;
Also touching on the overlap, a Reddit user also mentioned the taxes the investor will need to pay if the dividend income is in a taxable account.
&#8220;Well, do you want to be in ETFs or individual stocks? You have overlap everywhere. Dividends are a waste since it is just your money being returned to you, and making a taxable event if these are in a taxable account. A lot of dead money in the Mikey market account,&#8221; he wrote.
&#8220;I don&#8217;t like this market, but I&#8217;d dump [Walt Disney (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/dis#NYSE">DIS</a>)]. Swap out [Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/amd#NASDAQ">AMD</a>)] for [Broadcom (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/avgo#NASDAQ">AVGO</a>)]. Buy some [Cintas Corp. (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ctas#NASDAQ">CTAS</a>)],&#8221; a comment reads.
See Also: Hasbro, MGM, and Skechers trust this AI marketing firm — <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/rad-intel">invest pre-IPO from $0.60 per share now</a>.
Don't Mix Dividends With Growth Blindly
Several Redditors argued that the poster is stuck between growth and income strategies, which is hurting his overall returns. Since he's only 36 years old, many suggested prioritizing growth now and shifting to dividends later.
&#8220;Read the Simple Path to Wealth and Bogle. Then stop chasing yield. You&#8217;re giving up valuable years of deep equity growth,&#8221; one Redditor advised.
Suggesting a focused approach on either pure growth or a dividend mix, a commenter mentioned two different ETFs and possible allocations.
&#8220;In my opinion, your 3 options are: 100% VOO, 100% [Schwab U.S. Dividend Equity ETF (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/schd#NYSE">SCHD</a>)], or 50/50 VOO/SCHD. Keep it simple. Pick one strategy and stick with it,&#8221; he said.
A Redditor touched on bonds, saying he doesn't think these assets are a good choice for a 36-year-old&#8217;s portfolio: &#8220;[Fidelity U.S. Bond Index Fund (FXNAX)] is a US bond fund. That&#8217;s the Boglehead influence. You don&#8217;t need bonds at 36 years old. Bonds aren&#8217;t going to grow your portfolio.&#8221;
&#8220;You&#8217;re young enough that you could simply buy VOO and nothing else for maximum returns and buy more dividends later, but if seeing a dividend amount returned every year motivates you, you could do SCHD as well,&#8221; a Reddit user recommended.&nbsp;
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/gbr-savings-by-age">If You're Age 35, 50, or 60: Here&#8217;s How Much You Should Have Saved Vs. Invested By Now</a></li>
<li>‘Scrolling To UBI' — Deloitte's #1 fastest-growing software company allows users to earn money on their phones. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/mode-mobile-2">You can invest today for just $0.26/share with a $1000 minimum.</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

AVGO

CTAS

SCHD

36-Year-Old With $253K In Stocks Says 'Need Some Direction' – Only Gets $4.2K Dividends And Reddit Is Losing It Over His Holdings

Warren Buffett,<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/warren-buffett"> the Oracle of Omaha</a>, used sixty years to demonstrate that a steady, rational strategy to investing outperforms wild swings. Yet when it comes to counseling the average investor, his counsel has been stunningly straightforward: Don&#8217;t try to beat the market, just buy it. 
&#8220;Basically any attempts to pick the times to buy or sell, I think, are a mistake for 99% of the population. And I think that even attempts to pick individual securities is a mistake for people," Buffet said in an interview with Yahoo! Finance in 2017.
With the advent of smart, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs">low-cost ETFs</a> in 2025, even passive investors will face a decision that&#8217;s anything but passive. 
At the heart of this conundrum? Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VTI#NYSE">VTI</a>) vs. Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VOO#NYSE">VOO</a>)—two excellent Vanguard ETFs that go very different ways to (mostly) the same place: long-term growth.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44934617/the-magnificent-meltdown-qqq-tanks-as-big-techs-shine-wears-off-but-theres-a-silver-lining">Magnificent Meltdown: QQQ Tanks As Big Tech&#8217;s Shine Wears Off, But There&#8217;s A Silver Lining</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The Index Investing Dilemma: All-In Or All-Stars?</h2>
VOO and VTI are similar trains on parallel tracks. Both are powered by passive strategy, both have low fees (0.03% expense ratio), and both are designed by Vanguard—a brand name that is virtually synonymous with low-cost, high-integrity investing. But they&#8217;re going to slightly different destinations.
VOO follows the S&amp;P 500 Index, a tried-and-true index of America&#8217;s biggest 500 companies, including blue-chip royalty Apple (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Amazon (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Microsoft (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), the most popular choices for long-term investors.
VTI takes it bigger and wider. It follows the CRSP U.S. Total Market Index, with more than 3,600 holdings, from Wall Street giants to upstart micro-caps. It&#8217;s not merely large-cap exposure—it&#8217;s market democracy in ETF wrapper.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Why VOO Sounds Like The Safe Bet (Particularly Now)</h2>
2025 has experienced more mood swings than a deprived caffeine trader. In such a volatile world, VOO is reassuring in its concentration. Its concentration on well-known companies means investors are wagering on companies with balance sheets as impenetrable as fortresses and dominance in their markets. These behemoths don&#8217;t merely weather economic storms; they tend to come out stronger.
VOO&#8217;s diversification by sector is a double insulation. If tech gets hit or healthcare hiccups, the spread of the ETF across industries reduces the sting. And with huge liquidity and low fees, VOO is as simple to own as it is to trust.
In brief, VOO is a solid ship when the market gets rough.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Why VTI Could Be The Smarter Long-Term Gamble</h2>
But for those with a longer horizon and a bit more willingness to take risk, VTI has a strong argument. By investing in the entire investable universe of U.S. stocks, it gets the full sweep of American ingenuity—from behemoths like Google to feisty small-caps with explosive growth potential.
VTI's not-so-secret weapon is small—and mid-cap exposure. These companies can be volatile in the short term, but they often drive outsized returns over time. VTI also neutralizes sector or size biases that might weigh down narrower ETFs.
Even with recent market drawdowns, VTI has returned approximately 3.4% in price appreciation over the last year, and a 1.3% dividend yield on top of that. 
So while VTI may zig when big caps zag, those zigs usually accumulate serious wealth over decades.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">The Buffett Litmus Test</h2>
So which of these ETFs is most like Buffett&#8217;s mantra? Both ironically, as noted by 24/7 Wall Street.
Buffett extols simplicity and staying power—traits found in VOO&#8217;s rigid dedication to America&#8217;s best-known brands. But he also adores the compounding that comes with broad diversification, which VTI provides in abundance.
Verdict: VOO&#8217;s big-cap roster will be your best friend if you prefer a peaceful sail over market tempests. It&#8217;s the comfort food of ETFs: tried and true, filling, and less likely to leave you with heartburn when things turn sour.
If you wish to invest in America&#8217;s economic future, VTI is your pass. It is more comprehensive, more ambitious, and possibly better positioned to ride the next wave of market champions.
In the end, both ETFs are winners. But only one will feel right depending on whether you're looking to preserve capital or power growth.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/25/04/44933717/graniteshares-unleashes-2x-lucid-and-rivian-etfs-but-are-driv-and-idrv-the-smarter-ev-plays">GraniteShares Unleashes 2x Lucid And Rivian ETFs, But Are DRIV And IDRV The Smarter EV Plays?</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

AMZN

VOO Vs. VTI: Buffett Approves This Battle For Your Portfolio

It was the summer of 1971. The United States was embroiled in the Vietnam War, inflationary pressures were building, and global confidence in the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets">U.S. dollar was faltering. </a>
On August 15, President Richard Nixon addressed the nation and made a historic announcement: the U.S. would suspend the convertibility of dollars into gold, effectively ending the Bretton Woods system.
The move—now known as the "Nixon Shock"—broke the last tie between paper money and the precious metal, inaugurating the era of floating fiat currencies and sparking one of the most consequential monetary transitions in modern history.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Gold vs. Stocks Performance Since Nixon Killed The Gold Standard</h3>
Imagine waking up on August 16, 1971, with $5,000 to invest. 
The S&amp;P 500 index was trading at 100 points, while an ounce of gold cost just $43.50. 
Had you bought gold, you would have taken home around 115 ounces of bullion. Had you put your money into the S&amp;P 500, you&#8217;d have secured a diversified slice of the 500 largest publicly traded U.S. companies.
At first glance, gold appears to have been the winning bet. 
Fast forward to April 2025, and those 115 ounces of gold would now be worth roughly $379,500, based on a spot price of $3,330 per ounce. 
That&#8217;s a total return of about 7,500%—not bad for something you can stash in a vault.
By contrast, the S&amp;P 500 has grown from 100 to 5,282 points over the same period, delivering a price appreciation of approximately 5,182%. Your $5,000 would have grown to just $264,100. 
Gold wins. Yet, only on paper.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="528" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/18092549/image-27-1024x528.png" alt="" class="wp-image-878256" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/18092549/image-27-1024x528.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/18092549/image-27-300x155.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/18092549/image-27-768x396.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/18092549/image-27-1536x792.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/18092549/image-27.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">The Dividend Illusion</h3>
Here&#8217;s what most investors miss: the S&amp;P 500 index, as quoted daily, reflects only price movements. 
It doesn't account for the powerful stream of dividends that companies pay out to shareholders—cash payments that, when reinvested, have a compounding effect on long-term returns.
If you had collected those dividends every year and simply pocketed them in cash without reinvesting, your total would have been modestly higher than the price-only return. 
Over 53 years, with an average dividend yield of around 2.81%, you would have accumulated about $7,452 in cash. 
Combined with the $264,100 value of your original stock investment, you'd have ended up with roughly $271,552. Better than the price-only figure, but still well behind gold.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">The Power Of Reinvestment</h3>
Now let's consider the full picture. If you had reinvested every dividend back into the S&amp;P 500 over those 54 years, your $5,000 would have ballooned into an astonishing $1,185,516.
That's not a typo. It's a total return of 23,610%, or 47x your original investment. 
The power of compounding, of reinvesting the cash paid out by companies rather than spending it or letting it sit idle, is what transforms long-term equity investing into a wealth-generating engine.
So while gold may have shone brightly during the inflationary storms and monetary turmoil that followed Nixon's speech, it ultimately lagged behind the compounding machine that is the S&amp;P 500, with one important condition: you had to reinvest those dividends.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Investment Type</th>
<th>Strategy</th>
<th>Final Value (Apr 2025)</th>
<th>Total Return</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Gold</td>
<td>Hold physical gold</td>
<td>$379,950</td>
<td>+7,500%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500 (Price Only)</td>
<td>No dividends</td>
<td>$264,100</td>
<td>+5,182%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500 (Dividends Taken in Cash)</td>
<td>Dividends collected, not reinvested</td>
<td>$271,552</td>
<td>+5,331%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500 (Total Return)</td>
<td>Dividends reinvested</td>
<td>$1,185,516</td>
<td>+23,610%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Are S&amp;P 500 ETFs Reinvesting Dividends?</h3>
Today's investment vehicles tracking the S&amp;P 500—such as the Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VOO#NYSE">VOO</a>) and the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>)—do provide investors with exposure to dividends, but they are distributing funds. This means that dividends are paid out in cash and are not automatically reinvested within the ETF. 
To replicate the compounding effect seen in historical total return scenarios, investors must manually reinvest those dividends or activate a dividend reinvestment plan (DRIP) through their brokerage account.
Read now: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/04/44883642/peter-schiff-rings-alarm-after-foreign-investors-dump-6-5-billion-in-us-equities-in-a-week-quips-trump-thought-tariffs-would-bring-capital-into-america">Peter Schiff Rings Alarm After Foreign Investors Dump $6.5 Billion In US Equities In A Week, Quips &#8216;Trump Thought Tariffs Would Bring Capital Into America&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock/FOTOGRIN

If You Had Bet On Gold After The 1971 Nixon Shock, You'd Have Beaten The S&P 500 — Unless You Did This One Thing

Tariffs will have ZERO long-term impact on the stock market.
There…I said it.
Don't believe me? Basic math says I'm correct.
If you're scared of tariffs, you won't be after reading this
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="937" height="625" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/16200326/image-1-1.jpeg" alt="" class="wp-image-10856" srcset="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/16200326/image-1-1.jpeg 937w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/16200326/image-1-1-300x200.jpeg 300w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/16200326/image-1-1-768x512.jpeg 768w" sizes="(max-width: 937px) 100vw, 937px" /></figure>
In a healthy economy, tariffs should have a long-term impact on the stock market.
But we don't live in a healthy economy.
Regardless of what any politician does to the stock market…
The Federal Reserve can add digits on a computer screen, and your stocks will skyrocket.
And that's exactly what they'll be doing soon.
Not necessarily because they want to…because they have to.
Here's the situation.
The U.S. is $36.6 trillion in debt.
$9.2 of that $36 trillion needs to either be refinanced or paid this year.
Let's examine both options and see how all roads lead to higher stock prices.
Option 1:
The $9.2 trillion is paid off.
There are only a handful of ways to make this happen.
<ul>
<li>Tax citizens to pay it off</li>
<li>Cut government spending and reallocate funds</li>
<li>Print money (Quantitative Easing)</li>
</ul>
Here's why printing money is the only logical choice of the 3.
The government collected ~$5 trillion in taxes last year.
Which means we're still $4 trillion short.
Plus, Trump is preaching zero income taxes.
So, raising taxes to collect $4 trillion more? Political suicide.
Paying off the $9.2 trillion with taxes is off the table.
Next, the government can cut spending elsewhere and reallocate funds.
Such as the military, federal programs, etc.
But that wouldn't work either.
Military = $900B
Social Security = 1.4T
Medicaid and other health insurance programs = $1.6T
Even if I tally up all government expenditures, it still doesn't pay off the debt.
And finally…the only possible choice.
The Federal Reserve will perform quantitative easing.
Which is a fancy way of saying they'll print money out of thin air.
This money will be used to purchase bonds from the US Treasury.
This directly injects cash into the financial system.
If the Fed creates $9.2 trillion, it's practically impossible for stocks not to rise.
Alright, so that's what'll happen if the Fed performs quantitative easing.
The other option is refinancing the debt at new interest rates.
Basically…kicking the can down the road.
The problem with refinancing at new rates is that interest rates are relatively high right now.
And the US is already paying ~$1.2T in yearly interest.
If we refinance $9.2T at current rates, that $1.2T in yearly interest would soar.
Not good.
So what's the solution?
Cutting rates, of course.
Afterwards, the debt will be rolled over.
So the Fed's options are the following:
Print $9.2 trillion (stocks would go parabolic)
Or cut rates, which means more lending will occur.
Lending with interest is how smaller banks effectively create money.
So no matter what happens, more money will be printed.
Which means your assets will rise.
There you have it.
Stocks will rise – regardless of Trump's tariffs.
All roads lead to the money printer.
If you're wondering when a genuine bear market could take place…
The most likely answer is 2026.
We live in a global economy with 4-year debt cycles.
The year of quantitative tightening and rate hikes worldwide is most likely 2026.
Until then, enjoy this monumental buying opportunity.
&#x2A;&#x2A;
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Government

Politics

Opinion

Federal Reserve

Why Tariffs Will Have Zero Long-term Impact On The Stock Market

<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="608" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/14191955/image-4-5.png" alt="" class="wp-image-10607" srcset="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/14191955/image-4-5.png 1024w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/14191955/image-4-5-300x178.png 300w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/14191955/image-4-5-768x456.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
The forward price-earnings (P/E) multiple&nbsp;<a href="https://substack.com/redirect/78cd1c8e-7a7f-463b-9706-be924c3eba10?j=eyJ1Ijoid252OGYifQ.jVQb6opeiKhMTzCAB2x0eMpa3LqEuHgwpXD1DeTk7x0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">has limited value</a>&nbsp;during normal times.
And the metric arguably has even less value during periods of elevated uncertainty.
That's because the E is based on analysts' estimates for the near future. And when the outlook for business is increasingly uncertain and rapidly changing, it&nbsp;<a href="https://substack.com/redirect/c87cda18-f109-461b-a81b-7a452e85bca1?j=eyJ1Ijoid252OGYifQ.jVQb6opeiKhMTzCAB2x0eMpa3LqEuHgwpXD1DeTk7x0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">can take time for many analysts to adjust that E</a>.
This is especially the case right now as many companies&nbsp;<a href="https://substack.com/redirect/d96ef969-ff73-4121-8748-7a21656e3776?j=eyJ1Ijoid252OGYifQ.jVQb6opeiKhMTzCAB2x0eMpa3LqEuHgwpXD1DeTk7x0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">have not yet factored the impact of tariffs into their guidance</a>, which&nbsp;<a href="https://substack.com/redirect/4294b042-8707-48de-ac31-b3aa112fea7e?j=eyJ1Ijoid252OGYifQ.jVQb6opeiKhMTzCAB2x0eMpa3LqEuHgwpXD1DeTk7x0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">analysts lean on</a>&nbsp;when they establish their earnings forecasts.
"We&#8217;ve been reading earnings call and conference transcripts closely since November across market capitalizations, sectors, and industries and feel fairly confident in saying that U.S. public companies have been very reluctant to discuss tariff impacts (outside of China) until specific details have been provided by the administration, and even then, many still have not given sell-side analysts a lot of specifics to start factoring into their models," RBC's Lori Calvasina&nbsp;<a href="https://substack.com/redirect/fea7c782-7f6f-4f6d-ba2d-ba8b050fb5b6?j=eyJ1Ijoid252OGYifQ.jVQb6opeiKhMTzCAB2x0eMpa3LqEuHgwpXD1DeTk7x0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">wrote</a>&nbsp;earlier this month.
Assuming tariffs are negative for earnings — which is&nbsp;<a href="https://substack.com/redirect/1fe3cd83-2f30-4138-9127-453f00b15379?j=eyJ1Ijoid252OGYifQ.jVQb6opeiKhMTzCAB2x0eMpa3LqEuHgwpXD1DeTk7x0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">what everyone assumes</a>&nbsp;— this means the E is being distorted higher by stale estimates.
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="549" height="316" src="blob:https://contributor.benzinga.com/58585138-daa7-4763-8c56-ef4a0bef50af" /><a href="https://substack.com/redirect/74810673-83e8-44f8-9a0e-5424bffef84d?j=eyJ1Ijoid252OGYifQ.jVQb6opeiKhMTzCAB2x0eMpa3LqEuHgwpXD1DeTk7x0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"></a></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
Forward earnings estimate haven't really moved amid the market sell-off. (Source:&nbsp;<a href="https://substack.com/redirect/040a7c7e-33cb-4dd8-9fe3-c9ad1a6caf63?j=eyJ1Ijoid252OGYifQ.jVQb6opeiKhMTzCAB2x0eMpa3LqEuHgwpXD1DeTk7x0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">FactSet</a>)
With stock prices falling the way that they have been in recent weeks, the P/E ratio could be&nbsp;<a href="https://substack.com/redirect/c87cda18-f109-461b-a81b-7a452e85bca1?j=eyJ1Ijoid252OGYifQ.jVQb6opeiKhMTzCAB2x0eMpa3LqEuHgwpXD1DeTk7x0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">creating the illusion</a>&nbsp;that stocks have gotten cheaper than they are in reality.
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="550" height="317" src="blob:https://contributor.benzinga.com/a2d7f383-241e-4374-b1b1-801f7ecf791f" /><a href="https://substack.com/redirect/b1f3c191-cc18-452d-a48a-53bd0421f604?j=eyJ1Ijoid252OGYifQ.jVQb6opeiKhMTzCAB2x0eMpa3LqEuHgwpXD1DeTk7x0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"></a></td>
<td></td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
Forward P/E ratios have come down. But is the E accurate? (Source:&nbsp;<a href="https://substack.com/redirect/717a08b8-eb90-434b-b588-66dd2d56699e?j=eyJ1Ijoid252OGYifQ.jVQb6opeiKhMTzCAB2x0eMpa3LqEuHgwpXD1DeTk7x0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">FactSet</a>)
Generally speaking, it's&nbsp;<a href="https://substack.com/redirect/79a2ee52-041b-4132-9c76-75ecc805b236?j=eyJ1Ijoid252OGYifQ.jVQb6opeiKhMTzCAB2x0eMpa3LqEuHgwpXD1DeTk7x0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">not a great idea</a>&nbsp;to be trading in and out of the stock market,&nbsp;<a href="https://substack.com/redirect/f7566c7b-af97-4c3b-9bbc-7e610bde424f?j=eyJ1Ijoid252OGYifQ.jVQb6opeiKhMTzCAB2x0eMpa3LqEuHgwpXD1DeTk7x0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">especially during periods of stress</a>. It's especially treacherous to be trading based on P/E ratios, more so when the Es are unreliable.
Unfortunately, we&nbsp;<a href="https://substack.com/redirect/4294b042-8707-48de-ac31-b3aa112fea7e?j=eyJ1Ijoid252OGYifQ.jVQb6opeiKhMTzCAB2x0eMpa3LqEuHgwpXD1DeTk7x0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">might not get</a>&nbsp;a clean E any time soon.
"There is a reasonable probability that absent some resolution/clarity, transparency could be compromised," BofA's Savita Subramanian wrote on Thursday. "Companies tend to shut down guidance amid uncertainty."
This sentiment is in line with Goldman Sachs' David Kostin, who&nbsp;<a href="https://substack.com/redirect/4294b042-8707-48de-ac31-b3aa112fea7e?j=eyJ1Ijoid252OGYifQ.jVQb6opeiKhMTzCAB2x0eMpa3LqEuHgwpXD1DeTk7x0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">expects</a>&nbsp;"during upcoming quarterly earnings calls fewer companies than usual will provide forward guidance." This is because recently announced tariffs have made it&nbsp;<a href="https://substack.com/redirect/0579e271-c909-4957-91ca-67c6efc7a519?j=eyJ1Ijoid252OGYifQ.jVQb6opeiKhMTzCAB2x0eMpa3LqEuHgwpXD1DeTk7x0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">very difficult to project</a>&nbsp;where business is headed.
If you're going to trade, be careful about trading based on expectations for the near future. The <a href="https://substack.com/redirect/0579e271-c909-4957-91ca-67c6efc7a519?j=eyJ1Ijoid252OGYifQ.jVQb6opeiKhMTzCAB2x0eMpa3LqEuHgwpXD1DeTk7x0" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">savviest minds in the market caution</a> this is a guessing game.

Market Summary

Sam Ro: Put The P/E Ratio In Timeout For Now

Investing might look easy for some, but that isn&#8217;t always the case. For a young <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/personal-finance/25/04/44658629/23-year-old-investor-with-75k-portfolio-1-8k-dividend-income-reveals-top-assets-asks-what-i-should-look-at-or-add-to-reddit-debates">investor</a> with a long time horizon, the decision to hold onto individual stocks or shift into broad-market <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44255172/marjorie-taylor-greene-buys-more-bitcoin-etf-shares-ahead-of-trumps-strategic-reserve-executive-order">ETFs</a> can be pivotal.
While concentrated bets on high-growth companies can yield amazing returns, they also come with heightened volatility and sector risk. On the other hand, index funds provide stability and market-matching returns but may lack the explosive upside of single-stock picks.
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<li>Deloitte's fastest-growing software company partners with Amazon, Walmart &amp; Target – <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/mode-mobile-2">Many are rushing to grab 4,000 of its pre-IPO shares for just $0.26/share!</a></li>
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The debate becomes even more pressing when an investor is sitting on unrealized losses. Should they cut their losses and reallocate, or hold firm, trusting their long-term goal will come to be? The answer often depends on risk tolerance, time horizon, and the strength of their investment motivation.
One Reddit user, a 23-year-old investment banker, has shared his concerns regarding his portfolio on the online discussion board. The poster has a $58,000 portfolio but is currently down around $4,000 on his holdings.
His portfolio is heavily concentrated in tech giants, including Alphabet (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOGL#NASDAQ">GOOGL</a>, GOOG)), Amazon (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>)​, Microsoft (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), Nvidia (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>), and Meta (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), alongside Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VOO#NYSE">VOO</a>) and Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BRK#NYSE">BRK</a>, BRK.B)).
The poster shared that he can save $6,000 per month from his salary, allowing consistent investments, and he&#8217;s in for the long run. He&#8217;s also acknowledged that his portfolio is tech-heavy but says he plans to dilute exposure by dollar cost averaging into VOO monthly. Although he&#8217;s down on his Magnificent 7 stocks, he is unfazed, saying it is a great discount opportunity.
&#8220;I see this as a perfect opportunity to pick up more shares of great companies at discounted prices. I'm down close to $4,000 so far from my Mag7 holdings. Do you suggest I sell at a loss and reallocate into VOO or hold on to it and ride it out?&#8221; he asked.
Trending: It&#8217;s no wonder Jeff Bezos holds over $250 million in art — <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/masterworks">this alternative asset has outpaced the S&amp;P 500 since 1995, delivering an average annual return of 11.4%. Here&#8217;s how everyday investors are getting started.</a>
The comment section exploded with mixed opinions, so let&#8217;s dive into those.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Reallocate Mag7 Stocks Into VOO Or Hold On It And Ride It Out?</h2>
Sell Individual Stocks and Go All-In on VOO or Diversified ETFs
Many commenters argued that the investor's portfolio lacks diversification and overlaps with VOO's top holdings, making it redundant.
&#8220;Buy VOO and you'll have all of those under one position,&#8221; a comment reads.
&#8220;Terribly un-diversified. Just buy an index fund. It has all those,&#8221; another Redditor suggested.
This user recommended selling individual stocks and adding global diversification to the portfolio.
&#8220;I will suggest more ETFs. VOO is already overweight in the individual stocks you have, for the most part, so your diversity is lacking. Personally, I would sell all except for VOO and BRK.B and get some international in there,&#8221; he said.
&#8220;I would recommend diversifying with some sort of index fund or ETF. I wouldn&#8217;t sell at a loss unless you are cashing anything out and tax loss harvesting later in the year,&#8221; a comment reads.
See Also: Hasbro, MGM, and Skechers trust this AI marketing firm — <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/rad-intel">invest pre-IPO from $0.55 per share now</a>.
Hold High-Conviction Stocks but Increase VOO Allocation Over Time
Other Redditors argued that the poster&#8217;s long time horizon and high conviction justify keeping his Mag7 stocks while gradually increasing VOO exposure.
&#8220;I&#8217;d heavily caution against selling anything here. If you sell anything, immediately reinvest back into your VOO ETF or your high-conviction Mag7 stocks. The Mag7 will likely outperform the broad market for a long time. Study past &#8220;monopolies&#8221; and how long they outperformed before being disrupted (the answer is decades),&#8221; a Redditor suggested.
A commenter recommended keeping a middle-ground approach, namely keeping tech exposure but adding diversification.
&#8220;Good job, young rich homie. I&#8217;d suggest a Mag7 ETF and a diversified ETF investing in international markets, too. Diversification is the only free lunch in investing. Good luck!&#8221;
While supporting holding strong companies, this Redditor suggested making VOO the portfolio&#8217;s foundation: &#8220;A little concentration on tech. However, you own great companies and you are 23, so keep them and buy more at a discount! VOO is great as a core holding and should be the biggest slice of the pie as your portfolio grows.&#8221;
As a compromise between stock picking and diversification, a Redditor suggested a tech-heavy ETF.
&#8220;Instead of investing in the Mag7 by themselves, why not add [Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/qqqm#NASDAQ">QQQM</a>)]? It has a lower expense ratio than [Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/qqq#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>)] and it holds large tech companies, which seems to fit your philosophy at the moment. If you want growth, it's also best to diversify. How about some international exposure? [Vanguard Total International Stock ETF (NASDAQ: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/vxus#NASDAQ">VXUS</a>)] is a great ETF, and [Vanguard Total World Stock ETF (NYSE: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/vt#NYSE">VT</a>)] also has some international exposure,&#8221; he said.
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GOOGL

QQQM

Young Banker Holding $58K Portfolio Sees Red – 'Reallocate Into VOO Or Hold On To It And Ride It Out?' – Reddit Explodes

The <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/tariffs">90-day tariff pause</a> announced by President Donald Trump&#8216;s administration may offer temporary relief, but JPMorgan analyst Fabio Bassi warns that the macro backdrop remains fragile.
While countries that have not retaliated are spared for now, a 10% blanket tariff stays in place and tariffs on Chinese imports are jumping to 145%. That lifts the average U.S. tariff rate to around 30% &#8211; a significant economic headwind.
Bassi sees the recent move as a tactical timeout rather than a meaningful shift. Even under the unlikely scenario of China being removed entirely from the U.S. import equation, the average tariff rate would only fall back to the 10% level.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Pause, Not A Pivot As Recession Risk Looms</h2>
The size of the tariff-induced tax hike &#8211; estimated at over 3% of GDP &#8211; keeps recession fears alive. Bassi maintains a 60% probability of a U.S. and global recession. His 40% non-recession case hinges on a reversal of the China tariff escalation and a halt to further trade tensions elsewhere.
With sentiment weak and data mixed, macro headlines are set to dominate again. The so-called "Trump put," Bassi notes, was triggered by both a sharp equity selloff and a dysfunctional Treasury market, pushing the administration to ease up.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/management/25/04/44774273/jpmorgan-ceo-jamie-dimon-expects-sp-500-growth-forecast-to-be-cut">JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon Expects S&amp;P 500 Growth Forecast To Be Cut</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">S&amp;P 500 Faces Binary Path</h2>
JPMorgan has trimmed its S&amp;P 500 year-end target to 5,200, but Bassi lays out a nearly binary risk-reward path. A drawn-out trade war could drag the index toward 4,000, while a meaningful trade breakthrough &#8211; with Europe, Japan and a softened stance on China &#8211; could launch a rally toward 5,800.
Investors in the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), the iShares Core S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IVV#NYSE">IVV</a>) and the Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VOO#NYSE">VOO</a>) should remain wary of their holdings.
In the meantime, he expects markets to remain range-bound, with any short-term bounce vulnerable to fading if not backed by real policy clarity or Fed support.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Global Hedges: China Tech, India In Focus</h2>
As U.S. risks mount, Bassi highlights select opportunities abroad. China tech remains investable, especially given the likelihood of aggressive policy support from Beijing. ETFs like the KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KWEB#NYSE">KWEB</a>) and iShares MSCI China ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCHI#NYSE">MCHI</a>) offer exposure to that rebound theme.
India also gets a bullish nod, with potential policy tailwinds making it a compelling risk-on trade. U.S. investors may want to keep an eye on the iShares MSCI India ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INDA#NYSE">INDA</a>) as a way to diversify away from the choppy U.S. outlook.
Bassi's view is clear: the tariff pause is not a pivot. With macro risks still elevated and the market vulnerable, investors may want to hedge through global plays rather than rush back into the U.S. exceptionalism trade.
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Photo: Shutterstock

Asia

Emerging Market ETFs

INDA

KWEB

MCHI

S&P 500 Could Tank To 4,000 If 'Trump Put' Fizzles, Says JPMorgan

Editor's Note: This article has been updated to reflect that the fund formerly known as the Invesco Defensive Equity ETF is now the Invesco Bloomberg Pricing Power ETF.
The S&amp;P 500's fireworks this week may have lit up Wall Street, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/jeremy-siegel">but Jeremy Siegel</a> isn't buying into the revelry just yet.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Pause Doesn&#8217;t Equal Peace: Trump's Tariff Timeout Isn't The Endgame</h1>
Despite a 9.5% one-day rally that put the index in rarefied post-World War II territory, Siegel <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/10/jeremy-siegel-says-stocks-are-not-out-of-the-woods-yet-due-to-difficult-china-negotiations-ahead.html">told</a> CNBC's Squawk Box that investors celebrating a tariff truce may be getting ahead of themselves. "We're not out of the woods," the WisdomTree chief economist warned, pointing to the looming uncertainty in U.S.-China trade negotiations.
President Donald Trump's 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs sparked the market&#8217;s surge, but with the 10% tariff now permanent and China countering with 84% on U.S. goods, this is hardly a peace treaty. 
According to Siegel, investor sentiment remains shaky, still reeling from the initial tariff shock. That means the S&amp;P 500, down 11% from its highs and still negative for April, may struggle to reclaim its February peak anytime soon.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/04/44730455/bearish-sentiment-hits-7-week-high-mimicking-35-year-old-record-which-marked-the-bottom-of-the-october-1990-bear-market">Bearish Sentiment Hits 7-Week High, Mimicking 35-Year Old Record Which Marked The Bottom Of The October 1990 Bear Market</a>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Next Stop: July 9 and More Trade Turbulence</h1>
The market's next inflection point? Likely July 9, when the next tariff round could escalate tensions further.
For investors riding the broader index rebound, ETFs like the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), iShares Core S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IVV#NYSE">IVV</a>) and Vanguard S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VOO#NYSE">VOO</a>) have all surged — but Siegel suggests caution.
For investors looking to play defense, sector ETFs like the Invesco Bloomberg Pricing Power ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/POWA#NYSE">POWA</a>) or the Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>) may offer some shelter.
On the flip side, those still leaning into the rebound could watch the iShares U.S. Technology ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IYW#NYSE">IYW</a>) as tech has led past snapbacks, but remains exposed to global trade flows.
This isn't an "all clear" for risk-on strategies. Bulls may want to wait for more than just headlines before charging back in.
Read Next: 
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44734009/tech-sector-heading-into-a-period-of-mass-uncertainty-amid-tariffs-and-upcoming-earnings-season-says-dan-ives-the-damage-is-real">Tech Sector Entering A Period Of &#8216;Mass Uncertainty&#8217; Amid Tariffs And Upcoming Earnings Season, Says Dan Ives: &#8216;The Damage Is Real&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: <a href="https://www.shutterstock.com/g/zimmytws">zimmytws</a> via Shutterstock

Macro Economic Events

Sector ETFs

Economics

iShares Dow Jones US Technology Sector Index Fund

POWA

TSX:DEF

Jeremy Siegel Sounds The Tariff Alarm: Bulls May Want To Be Cautious (UPDATED)

<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img decoding="async" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/07151508/Screen_Shot_2025-04-06_at_10.56.45_PM-1.avif" alt="" class="wp-image-9950" /></figure>
<a href="https://earningshub.com/earnings-calendar/this-week?utm_source=marketmadness-newsletter.beehiiv.com&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_campaign=the-black-monday-breakdown" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"></a><a href="https://earningshub.com/earnings-calendar/this-week?utm_source=marketmadness-newsletter.beehiiv.com&amp;utm_medium=referral&amp;utm_campaign=the-black-monday-breakdown" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">This Week's Earnings Calendar</a>
Markets just wrapped up one of the toughest two-day stretches in recent memory, with a drop of over 10 percent. On Wednesday at 4 PM, President Trump announced a sweeping plan to impose "reciprocal" tariffs on every country around the globe.
Initially, investors responded with cautious optimism. A report from the Wall Street Journal suggested the tariffs would be limited to just 10 percent. That changed quickly. Trump presented a chart showing actual rates, and while 10 percent was the floor, many countries faced far steeper penalties, China was hit the hardest with a combined rate of 54 percent.
Markets began to slip after hours. By Thursday, the selloff accelerated. Major indexes each lost more than 4 percent, and yet some investors began calling it a buying opportunity. With the market already down over 10 percent year to date, it seemed like a fair bet.
But Friday morning brought a fresh headline: China would strike back with its own tariffs on US goods, totaling 34 percent. Markets opened lower and closed with a nearly 6 percent loss, another blow to an already volatile week.
Over the weekend, I poured through research, commentary, and analysis. One theme kept popping up: "Black Monday." That phrase brings back memories of 1987, and the fear that we might see a repeat began to spread among investors and analysts.
Global markets followed the same path. Asian exchanges opened sharply lower. Japan fell 6 percent out of the gate, and China dropped 9 percent. As I write this on Sunday evening, US futures are down more than 3 percent and have not seen a single moment of green.
Corrections like this are never easy, but they are normal. Long term investors should see times like these as moments to reassess, reframe, and possibly reenter. To borrow from&nbsp;The Art of War, "In the midst of chaos, there is also opportunity."
This will pass. It always does.
Keep your head up. Stay focused on the long term. And remember, investing rewards patience.
&#x2A;&#x2A;
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Global

The Black Monday Breakdown: This Week's Market Forecast

Good Morning Traders! In today&#8217;s Market Clubhouse Morning Memo, we will discuss SPY, QQQ, AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, GOOGL, META, and TSLA.
Our proprietary formula, exclusive to Market Clubhouse, dictates these price levels. This dynamic equation takes into account price, volume, and options flow. These levels are updated every day and shared with all Clubhouse Members, prior to the opening of the market.
We recommend closely monitoring these stocks, and be prepared to leverage potential breakouts or reversals. As always, stay alert and ready to adjust your tactics based on the market&#8217;s pulse to optimize your trading gains. Now, let&#8217;s dive into the stock analysis:
SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (SPY)
Bulls want SPY to maintain stability above our key pivot at 496.93, then drive higher to challenge resistance at 497.55. If buyers maintain control and firmly establish price above this level, further upside towards the next target at 498.17 becomes likely. Sustained strength there would clear the path to test the resistance at 498.93, with our ultimate bullish goal for today sitting at 500.17.
On the downside, losing the 496.93 pivot would empower sellers to push price lower towards initial support at 494.93. Continued bearish dominance could expose a deeper move to test support at 493.24. Heavy selling through this level may trigger additional weakness, targeting the strong support at 491.70, with potential capitulation down to our extreme bearish target at 490.11.
Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (QQQ)
QQQ bulls aim to hold firmly above our critical reference of 413.72. Strength above this point should motivate buying momentum toward the next important resistance at 414.83. If price action remains constructive and buyers sustain pressure, expect a rally toward 416.23, and potentially extend further upward to 417.49. Our highest bullish expectation for today stands at 419.19.
Conversely, if buyers fail to maintain 413.72 as support, bearish forces are likely to drive the price down initially towards 412.59. Continued weakness could escalate selling pressure, bringing support at 411.80 into play. Persistent selling beyond this point would lead to further downside tests at 410.34, with today&#8217;s ultimate bearish objective being 409.44.
Apple Inc. (AAPL)
For Apple bulls, holding the line firmly at 181.25 is essential. Successfully defending this area could ignite upward momentum towards the next bullish hurdle at 182.96. If buyers stay committed, continued advancement should reach resistance at 184.09. A strong bullish presence today might propel Apple's price to our optimistic target of 184.96.
Should 181.25 fail under selling pressure, bears would aim to drive prices down initially toward 180.10. Persistent weakness may then lead to a deeper sell-off targeting 178.61. If selling accelerates, Apple could see additional declines toward support at 178.18, with our lowest bearish target today situated at 177.20.
Microsoft Corp. ( MSFT)
Bulls in Microsoft are looking to defend our crucial pivot at 354.73 today. A strong hold above this level could trigger bullish moves towards the next resistance level at 358.28. If buyers establish control firmly there, we anticipate continued upward movement toward 359.64. Sustained bullish enthusiasm may eventually propel Microsoft to our ultimate daily bullish target of 363.81.
If Microsoft struggles and falls decisively below 354.73, bears are likely to take charge and press lower toward the immediate support at 352.26. Breaking down this level would heighten bearish sentiment, potentially driving the price toward deeper supports at 347.85 and then 342.88. Continued bearish activity could even challenge today&#8217;s low bear target at 335.57.
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)
NVIDIA bulls need to gain decisive control above our significant pivot at 90.43 and push upward to initially reclaim resistance at 92.47 as new support. Continued bullish commitment could then lead the auction higher to 95.02. Sustained buying enthusiasm might fuel a further rally toward resistance at 96.58, with today&#8217;s bullish ambition reaching as high as 98.02.
If bulls fail to defend 90.43 today, bearish forces may quickly seize control, targeting immediate downside support at 89.28. Increased selling could further test the next level at 87.80. Weakening conditions may drive price action lower towards 86.32, with potential bearish exhaustion leading NVIDIA down to our lowest bearish objective at 84.52.
Alphabet Inc Class A (GOOGL)
Alphabet bulls seek firm control above today&#8217;s pivotal level of 141.71, aiming initially for an advance toward resistance at 143.17. If bullish momentum remains steady, expect further price appreciation towards our maximum bullish target at 144.72.
On the bearish side, failure to hold 141.71 would likely see bears aggressively target initial downside support at 140.57. Further selling pressure could push Alphabet to challenge deeper support at 139.46. Under intensifying bearish activity, the price may retreat as low as today&#8217;s ultimate bearish target of 137.79.
Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>)
Bulls in Meta aim to keep the price strongly above our pivotal level at 488.81. Sustaining this bullish momentum would open the door to an upward test of resistance at 492.33. Ongoing buyer participation may enable further upward movement towards 498.03, ultimately targeting today&#8217;s ambitious bullish objective at 500.83.
If Meta cannot hold above 488.81, bearish activity could intensify, quickly driving price action lower toward support at 483.11. Continued selling pressure could push further downward, testing the next level at 479.47. Accelerated bearish momentum would likely trigger deeper selling toward today&#8217;s lowest bearish target of 475.19.
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>)
Tesla bulls are initially aiming to secure the price action firmly above today&#8217;s pivot at 223.98, with their first bullish challenge lying at 226.53. If bullish momentum stays strong, expect buyers to target a higher push toward the significant level at 230.65. Continued strength from the broader market may push Tesla even higher to 235.74, with today&#8217;s maximum bullish target set at 238.50.
On the downside, if bulls lose control at 223.98, bears will aim aggressively lower toward support at 220.65. Further weakness could bring selling into deeper support at 217.78. Should bearish pressure increase, we anticipate a potential retreat toward Tesla's lowest bearish objective for today at 213.88.
Final Word:&nbsp;
Markets today lack impactful economic reports but face intense volatility driven by escalating tensions surrounding global trade conflicts and newly implemented tariffs. Traders must remain highly vigilant, as price action will hinge on unpredictable trade-related headlines that could significantly impact market sentiment throughout the session.
Given the elevated uncertainty, managing risk carefully is crucial today. Expect large and potentially rapid price movements across sectors. Keep position sizing prudent, remain disciplined, and stay nimble to effectively navigate today&#8217;s turbulent conditions. Good luck and trade carefully!
The Morning Memo is curated by RIPS, a pro trader with years of experience in equities, options, and futures trading. RIPS is at the heart of the exclusive Market Clubhouse community, offering his insights, expertise, and real-time mentorship.
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How To Trade The Market As Global Trade Tensions Escalate

<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="936" height="556" src="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/07061618/image-1.jpeg" alt="" class="wp-image-9835" srcset="https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/07061618/image-1.jpeg 936w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/07061618/image-1-300x178.jpeg 300w,https://contributor-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/07061618/image-1-768x456.jpeg 768w" sizes="(max-width: 936px) 100vw, 936px" /></figure>
<a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fef1fda4a-e58e-43ae-93d8-5b12ae44ecaf_1024x608.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"></a>
It's been a challenging few days.
There's been a mountain of news about the direction of&nbsp;<a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/2025/04/regulating-imports-with-a-reciprocal-tariff-to-rectify-trade-practices-that-contribute-to-large-and-persistent-annual-united-states-goods-trade-deficits/">global trade policy</a>, which has been followed by a tsunami of research and insights intended to help investors make sense of it all.
I've spent a ton of time sifting through much of it, and I've concluded: It is impossible to know what will happen next.
While&nbsp;<a href="https://www.tker.co/p/wall-street-agrees-tariffs-are-bad">everyone agrees</a>&nbsp;that the announced tariffs are negative at least in the near-term, the range of potential outcomes is very wide and impossible to define precisely. Not only are the indirect effects hard to capture, the uncertainty is heightened by the possibility that at least some of the tariffs are short-lived or negotiated lower.
Consequently, I'd caution against listening to folks who have a high degree of confidence in the particular outcome they're touting. There are just too many unknowns to be able to model a clean forecast.
A couple of analysts I follow had some particularly insightful commentary on the murky state of things.
"There is no tariff playbook," BofA's Savita Subramanian wrote on Thursday. "Known unknowns are plentiful." From her note:
Investors looking for historical parallels are faced with scant observations from incomparable eras (e.g., 1930s Smoot Hawley ended badly). Import/export exposure by company is difficult to estimate and not regularly disclosed. Full supply chains are hard to figure out. Secondary impacts are even hazier: prolonged negotiations could stall activity spiraling into a recession. Calls to boycott U.S. goods could ramp further. But pricing power and currency moves can mollify tariff impacts. Ex-U.S. multinationals can avoid tariffs (and maybe enjoy lower corporate tax rates) by expanding U.S. footprint. Our constructive equity outlook relies on at least partial resolution from which corporates can plan and grow by early 2H25, as capacity buildouts are multi-quarter phenomena.
Among the many challenges in analyzing the impact on the stock market is the fact that regulations don't require publicly-traded companies to disclose many details about their overseas exposure. This is something I've mentioned in past discussions about&nbsp;<a href="https://www.tker.co/p/us-listed-companies-share-of-global-profits">S&amp;P 500 revenues generated outside of the U.S.</a>
To Subramanian's point about boycotts,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.tker.co/p/boycott-america-gdp-stock-market-negative-impact">earlier this week</a>&nbsp;Goldman Sachs economists also highlighted the challenges in estimating the magnitude of this second order effect.
Subramanian estimates that the impact of tariffs could drag S&amp;P 500 earnings per share (EPS) by 5% to 32%. Yes, that's a wide range. And even she acknowledges that it's derived from an "oversimplified scenario analysis."
On&nbsp;<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2025-04-04/bloomberg-surveillance-jobs-and-tariffs-podcast">Bloomberg Radio on Friday</a>, Renaissance Macro's Neil Dutta addressed the shock to GDP that economists have been estimating as a result of the announced tariffs. He too cautioned: "These calculations understate the hit to some extent, because you're just looking at direct costs. You're not including, ‘What are the ramifications to corporate confidence? Household confidence?' The spillover and knock-on effects. I think that's why I think it can be even worse."
In terms of modeling how the ongoing trade war will unfold, Dutta added: "We're all just guessing at this point."
Oaktree Capital's Howard Marks, also speaking to Bloomberg on Friday,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2025-04-04/bloomberg-talks-howard-marks-talks-market-selloff-podcast">said</a>: "The world economy and the world order beyond the economy — meaning geopolitics and international relationships — has been shook up like a snow globe by the events of the last days, and nobody knows what it&#8217;s going to look like."<a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4e66fe10-8fe0-4cbd-a67c-22ea11dd7d48_782x436.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"></a>
<a href="https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/f_auto,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F4e66fe10-8fe0-4cbd-a67c-22ea11dd7d48_782x436.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"></a>"Today, whatever your forecast may be, you have to say the probability that I&#8217;m right is lower than ever," Marks added. "Because the probability that we know what the future is going to look like is lower than ever."
While uncertainty and market volatility may be elevated in the near term, experts generally agree that stocks continue to be attractive for long-term investors. It's just that the near future has become very difficult to predict.
It's times like these where the best move is to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.tker.co/p/sam-ro-unlucky-market-timer">stick to your financial plan</a>, which hopefully takes into consideration periods of high volatility and uncertainty.
Watch earnings season &#x1f440;
If there's any good news, the first quarter just ended. This means we'll soon be in earnings season, when companies will give more color on what they see and where they expect things to head.
This could be productive, because so far we haven't heard much about&nbsp;<a href="https://www.tker.co/i/156333109/tariffs-are-not-factored-into-earnings-guidance">how tariffs may impact earnings</a>. Here's what RBC's Lori Calvasina had to say in her research note on Wednesday:
We&#8217;ve been reading earnings call and conference transcripts closely since November across market capitalizations, sectors, and industries and feel fairly confident in saying that U.S. public companies have been very reluctant to discuss tariff impacts (outside of China) until specific details have been provided by the administration, and even then, many still have not given sell-side analysts a lot of specifics to start factoring into their models. The incremental information provided Wednesday (we hope) will enable sell-side analysts to push companies a bit harder to get the conversation going about these policies. This is important, because for U.S. equities to put in a durable bottom, EPS forecasts need to be adjusted which in turn will give investors confidence to assess valuations and make decisions about when opportunity has been unlocked in certain corners of the U.S. equity market.
"Like most analysts and strategists, we&#8217;ll be digesting the implications of the newly announced reciprocal tariffs in the coming days," Calvasina wrote.
All eyes and ears will be on Corporate America in the coming weeks as earnings season picks up.
Will we get&nbsp;<a href="https://www.tker.co/p/sp500-earnings-guidance-q1-2025">more clarity</a>? Or will we learn they have no clue where things are headed either?
As always,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.tker.co/p/stock-market-drawdowns-bull-markets">keep your stock market seat belts fastened</a>. Investing in the stock market is&nbsp;<a href="https://www.tker.co/p/stock-market-down-days-drawdowns-down-years-normal">an unpleasant process</a>.
More insights from Sam Ro:
<ul>
<li>One Of The Most <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/03/44361076/one-of-the-most-misunderstood-moments-in-stock-market-cycles">Misunderstood </a>Moments In Stock Market Cycles</li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/03/44079509/preparing-for-worse-doesnt-mean-dumping-stocks-investing-wisdom-from-market-guru-sam-ro">Preparing</a> For Worse Doesn't Mean Dumping Stocks</li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/exclusives/25/02/43917155/warren-buffett-americas-businesses-usually-find-a-way">Warren Buffett</a>: America&#8217;s Businesses &#8216;Usually Find A Way&#8217;</li>
</ul>
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