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Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:TSCO) Stock, Chaîne d'Options

TRACTOR SUPPLY COMPANY

Tractor Supply

Tractor Supply is the largest operator of retail farm and ranch stores in the United States. The company targets recreational farmers and ranchers and has little exposure to commercial and industrial farm operations. Currently, the company operates 2,311 of its namesake banners in 49 states, along with 206 Petsense by Tractor Supply stores. Stores are generally concentrated in rural communities rather than urban and suburban areas. In fiscal 2024, revenue consisted primarily of livestock, equine & agriculture (26%), companion animal (25%), and seasonal & recreation (23%).

Tractor Supply Co

We have discussed why I favor real estate and Real Estate Investment Trusts. Since 1972, REITs have outperformed the major indexes. According to CEM Benchmarking, publicly traded real estate has outperformed every asset class except private equity since 1998. REITs have an excellent track record of paying and growing dividends.
Most people would rather chase stories than be the landlord and lender. I know far more wealthy lenders and landlords than I do rich dreamers.
Right now, most investors either hate real estate or simply do not think about it. The instant experts of the internet are convinced that real estate is heading to zero and will crash the banking system. They believe only bitcoin and AI stocks are worth buying. That is not going to happen.
Make your own call on bitcoin and AI. But consider this: who needs real estate?
Bitcoin and AI companies and their employees do. They need office space. They live somewhere. They shop at stores, pharmacies, and frequent gas stations and convenience stores. They visit doctors and labs. They travel to conferences usually held in hotels.
Those that actually manufacture products will eventually need warehouse and logistics space. Bitcoin miners need physical locations to house all those computers.
The majority of high-tech startups are going nowhere, but the people involved will still interact with real estate and make landlords wealthy regardless of how their ventures turn out.
I am not the only one who likes real estate at current prices.
&nbsp;I am seeing insiders who run these REITs (people who know the market better than anyone) begin making open market purchases of their own stocks.
John Rakolta Jr. is Chairman of Walbridge, one of the largest privately owned construction companies in the United States. Walbridge is a top U.S. builder of automotive and manufacturing facilities and has achieved considerable market diversity through expansion into the hyperscale data center market. He is also a Director of Agree Realty and has been aggressively buying shares in the open market recently.
While the instant experts of the internet scream &#8220;retail apocalypse&#8221; and predict the death of brick-and-mortar stores, Agree Realty (Ticker: ADC) has not only survived but thrived by completely rewriting the playbook. Agree Realty represents everything I look for in a long-term holding: contrarian thinking, exceptional management, fortress-like financials, and a business model that generates predictable cash flows in an unpredictable world.
In 2010, while everyone was fleeing retail real estate like it was radioactive, Agree Realty management team made a prescient decision that would define the company future. They launched their acquisition platform with a laser focus on &#8220;e-commerce resistance,&#8221; a concept largely ignored by the investment community at the time.
Consider that timing. This was just two years after the financial crisis, with Amazon retail dominance becoming increasingly apparent and traditional retailers closing stores left and right. Most investors and REITs were fleeing the sector. But Joey Agree and his team saw something different. They understood that certain types of retail were not going to disappear. They were going to evolve and become more essential than ever.
This was not just lucky timing. It marked the beginning of what would become one of the most successful strategic repositioning stories in REIT history.
Agree management articulated something Wall Street was missing: the emergence of the omni-channel economy. As Joey Agree explained in 2016, &#8220;Every retailer in the country is going to have to have billions of dollars, national retailers, to experiment, to test and eventually effectuate a true omni-channel experience because you cannot be an e-commerce-based retailer or just a brick-and-mortar-based retailer today. It does not work.&#8221;
This was not corporate speak. It was a fundamental insight that would prove prophetic. While others saw physical stores as dinosaurs, Agree saw them as critical infrastructure for the new retail economy. Stores were not just selling locations anymore; they were fulfillment centers, pickup points, showrooms, and customer experience hubs all rolled into one.
The company &#8220;RETHINK RETAIL&#8221; campaign was not marketing fluff. It was a declaration of war against conventional wisdom.
Let me walk you through some of Agree greatest hits, because this is where the company investment acumen really shines:
Tractor Supply Company (Ticker: TSCO) &#8211; Agree first acquired a Tractor Supply location in Q3 2013 when the company was still relatively unknown outside rural markets. Management saw something special: a retailer with no national competition serving the growing rural lifestyle market with products that could not easily be replicated online.
By Q2 2016, management was saying: &#8220;While neither Tractor Supply Company nor Hobby Lobby maintains a public credit rating, both possess investment-grade quality financials with very strong balance sheets.&#8221; They were ahead of the rating agencies by years.
By Q3 2018, their conviction was proven right: &#8220;We have a fantastic relationship with their real estate team. The business is really thriving. They have no national competition. They also have the highest-rated e-commerce website of any retailer.&#8221;
Today, after acquiring over 115 locations since 2013, Tractor Supply is Agree second-largest tenant at 4.9% of base rent. More importantly, TSCO was upgraded to investment grade (BBB by S&amp;P and Baa1 by Moody) in October 2020, validating Agree early assessment of the company credit quality.
Gerber Collision In 2014, Agree identified and met with The Boyd Group, parent company of Gerber Collision, recognizing early that this was a company positioned to consolidate a highly fragmented auto collision repair market. Their first acquisition came in Q3 2017.
By Q1 2018, management was already calling Gerber &#8220;the premier auto collision operator in the United States&#8221; and committed to working with them across all three growth platforms. By Q1 2022, they were describing their strategy as &#8220;identifying early on a retailer that we thought was in a tremendous position to access a fragmented space and had the balance sheet capabilities to do so.&#8221;
The result? Agree built a preferred development relationship with Gerber, developing over 20 locations to support their organic growth. Today, Gerber Collision is their 12th largest tenant with over 95 locations representing 2.3% of base rent.
Sunbelt Rentals First acquired in Q4 2015, Sunbelt Rentals represented Agree&#8217;s bet on the shift from equipment ownership to rental in the construction industry. As management explained in Q4 2019: &#8220;the only investment-grade operator in the country. If you look at the equipment ownership versus rental in this country&#8230; it is very, very low relative to Western Europe. And so, there&#8217;s a big opportunity in this country for equipment rental rather than ownership.&#8221;
The parent company, Ashtead Group, achieved investment grade ratings (BBB- by S&amp;P in August 2018, Baa3 by Moody), and by Q1 2022, management noted that &#8220;Our decision to invest in Sunbelt Rentals was recently reinforced by their upgraded BBB rating by Fitch.&#8221;
Sunbelt is now Agree 13th largest tenant with over 55 locations, representing 2.3% of base rent.
TJX Companies (Ticker: TJX) Agree relationship with TJX (parent of T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods) dates back to 2012 when they developed their first T.J. Maxx. The company recognized early that off-price retailers had a sustainable competitive advantage in their treasure-hunt shopping experience and deep vendor relationships.
The insight proved prescient. As management noted in Q2 2017: &#8220;At the same time, in terms of women&#8217;s apparel, you look at T.J. Maxx&#8230;the off-price retailers have thrived.&#8221; By Q4 2017, they were saying: &#8220;the TJX Companies&#8230;is now our #5 tenant. We have a strong bias towards off-price retail and the experience and value proposition that it provides for consumers.&#8221;
Today, TJX is their 6th largest tenant at 3.1% of base rent, and the company continues to expand aggressively. Since 2012, Agree has acquired or developed over 55 TJX locations.
Let me give you a comprehensive look at Agree top tenants, because this portfolio tells the story of a company that has systematically assembled the cream of American retail:
Top 15 Tenants by Annualized Base Rent:
<ol start="1" class="wp-block-list">
<li>Walmart (Ticker: WMT) (5.9%, $38.5M ABR) &#8211; The undisputed king of retail, with the most advanced omni-channel operation in the world. Investment grade (AA from multiple agencies).</li>
<li>Tractor Supply (Ticker: TSCO) (4.9%, $31.8M ABR) &#8211; Dominant rural lifestyle retailer with no national competition. Upgraded to investment grade in 2020 (BBB/Baa1).</li>
<li>Dollar General (Ticker: DG) (4.4%, $28.4M ABR) &#8211; Leading small-box discount retailer serving rural and urban markets where traditional retailers can&#8217;t compete economically. Investment grade (BBB/Baa2).</li>
<li>Best Buy (Ticker: BBY) (3.3%, $21.7M ABR) &#8211; The last major electronics retailer standing, with a successful omni-channel model and services business. Investment grade (BBB/Baa1).</li>
<li>Kroger (Ticker: KR) (3.2%, $20.5M ABR) &#8211; One of America&#8217;s largest supermarket chains with advanced digital capabilities and strong market positions. Investment grade (BBB-/Baa1).</li>
<li>TJX Companies (Ticker: TJX) (3.1%, $20.0M ABR) &#8211; Off-price retail leader with T.J. Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods. Investment grade (A-/A2).</li>
<li>CVS Pharmacy(Ticker: CVS) (3.1%, $19.9M ABR) &#8211; Healthcare-focused pharmacy chain with integrated health services. Investment grade (BBB/Baa2).</li>
<li>Dollar Tree (Ticker: DLTR) (2.8%, $18.3M ABR) &#8211; Fixed-price point retailer with defensive characteristics. Investment grade (BB+/Ba1 &#8211; sub-investment grade but improving).</li>
<li>O&#8217;Reilly Auto Parts (Ticker: ORLY) (2.8%, $18.3M ABR) &#8211; Leading automotive aftermarket parts retailer with strong same-store sales growth and e-commerce resistance. Investment grade (BBB+/Baa1).</li>
<li>Hobby Lobby (2.8%, $18.2M ABR) &#8211; Dominant craft retailer with no direct national competition and products difficult to replicate online. Privately held but with investment-grade quality financials.</li>
<li>Lowe&#8217;s (Ticker: LOW) (2.8%, $17.9M ABR) &#8211; Second-largest home improvement retailer with strong omni-channel capabilities. Investment grade (BBB/Baa2).</li>
<li>Gerber Collision (2.3%, $15.2M ABR) &#8211; Leading auto collision repair chain owned by Boyd Group. Investment grade parent (BBB-/Baa3).</li>
<li>Sunbelt Rentals (2.3%, $15.0M ABR) &#8211; Equipment rental leader owned by Ashtead Group. Investment grade parent (BBB/Baa3).</li>
<li>7-Eleven (2.2%, $14.2M ABR) &#8211; Convenience store leader with defensive location characteristics. Investment grade parent.</li>
<li>Burlington (Ticker: BURL) (2.2%, $14.0M ABR) &#8211; Off-price apparel retailer with strong growth trajectory. Sub-investment grade but improving credit profile.</li>
</ol>
What strikes me about this list is the intentionality behind every single tenant. These are not random retail relationships. They are carefully curated partnerships with companies that have either achieved market dominance, possess unique competitive advantages, or operate in sectors with natural barriers to e-commerce disruption.
Perhaps most impressive is the credit quality: 68.3% of Agree base rent comes from investment-grade tenants. This is not an accident. It is the result of a deliberate strategy to partner with retailers that have strong balance sheets and sustainable business models.
The tenant mix also reveals smart sector allocation:
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Grocery Stores (10.1%): Essential, frequent-visit retailers with omni-channel capabilities</li>
<li>Home Improvement (9.1%): Large-ticket items requiring customer inspection and immediate fulfillment</li>
<li>Convenience Stores (7.8%): Location-dependent businesses with defensive characteristics</li>
<li>Tire &amp; Auto Service (7.8%): Services that require physical presence and specialized equipment</li>
<li>Dollar Stores (7.0%): Serving markets too small for traditional competitors</li>
</ul>
I want to spend a moment on Walmart specifically, because at 5.9% of base rent, they are Agree largest tenant, and this relationship exemplifies everything the company does right.
Walmart is not just surviving the retail apocalypse. They are winning it. The company has built the most sophisticated omni-channel operation in retail, with stores serving as fulfillment centers, pickup locations, and last-mile delivery hubs. Their e-commerce growth has been explosive, but rather than cannibalizing store sales, it is making their physical locations more valuable than ever.
For Agree, Walmart represents the perfect tenant: investment grade credit (AA rating), growing business model, and a real estate strategy that aligns perfectly with the omni-channel future. These are not legacy stores that might become obsolete. They are critical infrastructure for Walmart continued growth.
While the tenant quality is impressive, what really captures my attention is Agree&#8217;s balance sheet. This is what a fortress looks like:
<ul class="wp-block-list">
<li>Investment grade ratings: Baa1 from Moody&#8217;s, BBB+ from S&amp;P</li>
<li>Net debt to recurring EBITDA: 4.9x actual, 3.4x proforma (including forward equity)</li>
<li>Fixed charge coverage ratio: 4.3x</li>
<li>No material debt maturities until 2028</li>
<li>Total liquidity: approximately $2.6 billion</li>
<li>Outstanding forward equity: over $1.3 billion</li>
<li>Revolver capacity: $1.2 billion</li>
</ul>
This gives them tremendous flexibility to take advantage of market dislocations.
With their fortress balance sheet and $2.6 billion in liquidity, Agree is positioned for accelerated growth. Management recently raised their 2025 investment guidance to $1.3-$1.5 billion (up from $1.1-$1.3 billion), reflecting confidence in their ability to find attractive opportunities.
The investment pipeline is enormous: management estimates over 169,000 net lease opportunities across their target sectors, with $92+ billion in opportunities reviewed since 2018. They have been highly selective, investing only $8.0 billion over that period, demonstrating disciplined capital allocation.
In a world where dividend cuts have become commonplace, Agree has paid 159 consecutive monthly dividends with an average AFFO payout ratio of just 75% over the past ten years. The dividend has grown at approximately 6% annually over the past decade, reaching $2.99 per share in 2024.
This is not a yield play built on an unsustainable payout ratio. It is a genuine dividend growth story backed by growing cash flows and conservative financial management.
Here is what I find most compelling about Agree Realty: they have built a dominant position in a sector that most investors still view with skepticism. This creates a sustained competitive advantage. While others avoid retail real estate, Agree gets first look at the best opportunities.
The &#8220;retail apocalypse&#8221; narrative has created a two-tiered market where strong retailers with good real estate get phenomenal terms, while struggling concepts cannot secure financing at any price. Agree benefits from both sides of this dynamic: they get attractive pricing on quality assets while weak competitors are eliminated from their markets.
In a market obsessed with the next shiny object, Agree Realty has quietly built one of the highest-quality REIT portfolios in the market by betting on American retail evolution rather than its demise. They have assembled a collection of retailers that are not just surviving the omni-channel transition. They are thriving because of it.
While others were running from retail real estate, Agree was building relationships with the winners. While others were chasing yield at any cost, Agree was building a sustainable dividend growth engine. While others were leveraging up in good times, Agree was building a fortress balance sheet for all seasons.
This is the kind of contrarian, quality-focused investment that can anchor a portfolio for decades. In a world of uncertainty, Agree Realty offers something increasingly rare: predictable, growing cash flows backed by essential real estate infrastructure and managed by a team with a &#x2A;proven track record of outstanding capital allocation.
Sometimes the best investments are hiding in plain sight, dismissed by the crowd but quietly compounding wealth for those patient enough to see past the headlines.
The insiders in real estate see the opportunity.
You should as well.

Opinion

BURL

DLTR

ORLY

TSCO

Alpha Buying: How This Company Quietly Took Over American Storefronts

JP Morgan analyst Christopher Horvers maintains Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSCO#NASDAQ">TSCO</a>) with a Neutral and lowers the price target from $59 to $56.

News

Price Target

Analyst Ratings

JP Morgan Maintains Neutral on Tractor Supply, Lowers Price Target to $56

U.S. stocks settled higher on Friday, with the Nasdaq Composite jumping more than 1% during the session. Major indices also recorded gains last week, with the S&amp;P 500 adding 4.6% and the Nasdaq jumping 6.7%. The Dow also notched a weekly gain of 2.5%.
Wall Street analysts make new stock picks on a daily basis. Unfortunately for investors, not all analysts have particularly impressive track records at predicting market movements. Even when it comes to one single stock, analyst ratings and price targets can vary widely, leaving investors confused about which analyst&#8217;s opinion to trust.
Benzinga&#8217;s Analyst Ratings API is a collection of the highest-quality stock ratings curated by the Benzinga news desk via direct partnerships with major sell-side banks. Benzinga displays overnight ratings changes on a daily basis three hours prior to the U.S. equity market opening. Data specialists at investment dashboard provider Toggle.ai recently uncovered that the analyst insights Benzinga Pro subscribers and Benzinga readers regularly receive can successfully be used as trading indicators to outperform the stock market.
Top Analyst Picks: Fortunately, any Benzinga reader can access the latest analyst ratings on the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/22/09/28888638/exclusive-study-finds-benzinga-analyst-ratings-data-yields-market-beating-strategie">Analyst Stock Ratings</a> page. One of the ways traders can sort through Benzinga&#8217;s extensive database of analyst ratings is by analyst accuracy. Here&#8217;s a look at the most recent stock picks from each of the five most accurate Wall Street analysts, according to Benzinga <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-stock-ratings">Analyst Stock</a> Ratings.
Analyst: Richard Davis
<ul>
<li>Analyst Firm: Canaccord Genuity</li>
<li>Ratings Accuracy: 87%</li>
<li>Latest Rating: Maintained a Buy rating on ServiceNow, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOW#NYSE">NOW</a>) and increased the price target from $900 to $1,075 on April 24. This analyst sees around 14% upside in the stock.</li>
<li>Recent News: On April 23, ServiceNow reported better-than-expected first-quarter financial results.</li>
</ul>
Analyst: Jay McCanless
<ul>
<li>Analyst Firm: Wedbush</li>
<li>Ratings Accuracy: 86%</li>
<li>Latest Rating: Maintained a Neutral rating on Century Communities, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CCS#NYSE">CCS</a>) and cut the price target from $93 to $88 on April 24. This analyst sees around 61% surge in the stock.</li>
<li>Recent News: On April 23, Century Communities reported first-quarter financial results and missed its adjusted EPS and revenue estimates.</li>
</ul>
Analyst: Doug Anmuth 
<ul>
<li>Analyst Firm: JP Morgan</li>
<li>Ratings Accuracy: 85%</li>
<li>Latest Rating: Maintained an Overweight rating on Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>) and raised the price target from $180 to $195 on April 25. This analyst sees around 19% upside in the stock.</li>
<li>Recent News: On April 24, Alphabet reported better-than-expected first-quarter financial results and announced a 5% increase to the dividend with the quarterly payout going to 21 cents per share.</li>
</ul>
Analyst: Matthew McClintock
<ul>
<li>Analyst Firm: Raymond James</li>
<li>Ratings Accuracy: 84%</li>
<li>Latest Rating: Maintained an Outperform rating on Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSCO#NASDAQ">TSCO</a>) and cut the price target from $61 to $57 on April 25. This analyst sees around 14% upside in the stock.</li>
<li>Recent News: On April 24, The company reported quarterly earnings per share of 34 cents, missing the analyst consensus estimate of 37 cents. Quarterly revenues of $3.47 billion (up 2.1% year over year) missed the street view of $3.54 billion.</li>
</ul>
Analyst: Zachary Fadem
<ul>
<li>Analyst Firm: Wells Fargo</li>
<li>Ratings Accuracy: 84%</li>
<li>Latest Rating: Maintained an Overweight rating on Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMG#NYSE">CMG</a>) and cut the price target from $60 to $55 on April 24. This analyst sees around 6% upside in the stock.</li>
<li>Recent News: On April 23, Chipotle Mexican Grill reported worse-than-expected first-quarter sales results.</li>
</ul>
Read More: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/price-target/25/04/45007044/wall-streets-most-accurate-analysts-give-their-take-on-3-real-estate-stocks-delivering-high-dividend-yields-5">Wall Street&#8217;s Most Accurate Analysts Give Their Take On 3 Real Estate Stocks Delivering High-Dividend Yields</a> </li>
</ul>
Photo via Shutterstock

Pre-Market Outlook

Markets

Trading Ideas

GOOG

5 Stocks In The Spotlight Last Week:  Wall Street's Most Accurate Analysts Weigh In

Raymond James analyst Matthew McClintock maintains Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSCO#NASDAQ">TSCO</a>) with a Outperform and lowers the price target from $61 to $57.

Raymond James Maintains Outperform on Tractor Supply, Lowers Price Target to $57

Guggenheim analyst Steven Forbes maintains Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSCO#NASDAQ">TSCO</a>) with a Buy and lowers the price target from $60 to $55.

Guggenheim Maintains Buy on Tractor Supply, Lowers Price Target to $55

Mizuho analyst David Bellinger maintains Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSCO#NASDAQ">TSCO</a>) with a Outperform and lowers the price target from $62 to $58.

Mizuho Maintains Outperform on Tractor Supply, Lowers Price Target to $58

Baird analyst Justin Kleber maintains Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSCO#NASDAQ">TSCO</a>) with a Outperform and lowers the price target from $63 to $56.

Baird Maintains Outperform on Tractor Supply, Lowers Price Target to $56

U.S. equities are pushing higher for a third straight session, eyeing the longest winning streak since the Trump tariff announcement on April 2, as optimism over corporate earnings and easing trade <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets">tensions boosts risk sentiment.</a>
Positive quarterly results and robust guidance from U.S. firms is fueling hopes the economy can weather the ongoing tariff headwinds and avoid a recession.
Meanwhile, signs of a potential thaw in the U.S.-China trade conflict emerged, with the White House reportedly considering exceptions for certain Chinese auto parts.
At midday trading in New York, the Nasdaq 100 surged 2.2%, climbing above the 19,000 mark for the first time in two weeks. The S&amp;P 500 advanced 1.5%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average underperformed, rising 0.9%.
Technology stocks broadly outperformed, with strength concentrated in the Magnificent Seven and the semiconductor space.
Among major movers, ServiceNow Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOW#NASDAQ">NOW</a>) soared 15% after reporting results that beat Wall Street expectations and issuing bullish forward guidance. In contrast, shares of International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBM#NYSE">IBM</a>) slumped 8% as the tech giant showed lower-than-expected non-GAAP earnings. 
In the consumer staples sector, Procter &amp; Gamble (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PG#NYSE">PG</a>) dropped more than 5% after missing revenue estimates.
Treasury yields continued to ease, with yields on the 10-year Treasury down 5 basis points to 4.33%. 
Gold rebounded modestly after suffering a 2.7% slide on Wednesday. Natural gas prices extended their losing streak, plunging 4.9% and heading for a tenth consecutive negative session. 
In the crypto market, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) eased 0.5% to trade at $93,300. 
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Thursday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, ETFs</h2>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>19,095.73</td>
<td>2.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,456.36</td>
<td>1.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>1,943.95</td>
<td>1.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>39,944.47</td>
<td>0.9%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated by 12:15 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/?utm_source=BZprocontent&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) rose 1.5% up to $543.71.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) rose 0.9% to $399.51.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>)&nbsp;rallied 2.1% to $464.72.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) rallied 1.5% to $193.08.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Technology&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>) outperformed, up 3%; the&nbsp;Consumer Staples&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLP#NYSE">XLP</a>) lagged, down 0.8%.</li>
</ul>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Thursday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h2>
Stocks reacting to earnings included: 
<ul>
<li>Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMG#NYSE">CMG</a>): up 0.6%</li>
<li>O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ORLY#NASDAQ">ORLY</a>): down 3.1%</li>
<li>Raymond James Financial, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RJF#NYSE">RJF</a>): up 0.7%</li>
<li>Molina Healthcare, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MOH#NYSE">MOH</a>): down 6.4%</li>
<li>Texas Instruments Incorporated (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TXN#NASDAQ">TXN</a>): up 6.0%</li>
<li>FirstEnergy Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FE#NYSE">FE</a>): up 0.4%</li>
<li>ServiceNow, Inc. up 14.9%</li>
<li>Lam Research Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LRCX#NASDAQ">LRCX</a>): up 5.5%</li>
<li>ResMed Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RMD#NYSE">RMD</a>): up 10.0%</li>
<li>Discover Financial Services (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DFS#NYSE">DFS</a>): up 3.6%</li>
<li>International Business Machines Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBM#NYSE">IBM</a>): down 7.6%</li>
<li>Newmont Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NEM#NYSE">NEM</a>): up 3.6%</li>
<li>Rollins, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ROL#NYSE">ROL</a>): up 1.2%</li>
<li>United Rentals, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/URI#NYSE">URI</a>): up 8.9%</li>
<li>Tyler Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TYL#NYSE">TYL</a>): down 3.0%</li>
<li>Edwards Lifesciences Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EW#NYSE">EW</a>): up 7.1%</li>
<li>Las Vegas Sands Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LVS#NYSE">LVS</a>): up 5.2%</li>
<li>Alaska Air Group, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALK#NYSE">ALK</a>): down 9.7%</li>
<li>American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAL#NASDAQ">AAL</a>): up 2.3%</li>
<li>PepsiCo, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PEP#NASDAQ">PEP</a>): down 4.1%</li>
<li>CBRE Group, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CBRE#NYSE">CBRE</a>): up 2.5%</li>
<li>Entergy Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ETR#NYSE">ETR</a>): up 0.4%</li>
<li>The Procter &amp; Gamble Company: down 5.3%</li>
<li>Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BMY#NYSE">BMY</a>): down 0.2%</li>
<li>Southwest Airlines Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LUV#NYSE">LUV</a>): down 0.2%</li>
<li>Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VLO#NYSE">VLO</a>): down 1.8%</li>
<li>Comcast Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMCSA#NASDAQ">CMCSA</a>): down 5.3%</li>
<li>Dow Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DOW#NYSE">DOW</a>): up 2.1%</li>
<li>Willis Towers Watson Public Limited Company (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTW#NASDAQ">WTW</a>): down 5.2%</li>
<li>Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSCO#NASDAQ">TSCO</a>): down 4.8%</li>
<li>Hasbro, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HAS#NASDAQ">HAS</a>): up 16.1%</li>
<li>CMS Energy Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMS#NYSE">CMS</a>): up 2.3%</li>
<li>Xcel Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XEL#NASDAQ">XEL</a>): down 1.8%</li>
<li>CenterPoint Energy, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CNP#NYSE">CNP</a>): up 1.8%</li>
<li>LKQ Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LKQ#NASDAQ">LKQ</a>): down 10.7%</li>
<li>PG&amp;E Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PCG#NYSE">PCG</a>): down 0.8%</li>
<li>Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KDP#NASDAQ">KDP</a>): down 0.6%</li>
<li>Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCX#NYSE">FCX</a>): up 5.5%</li>
<li>Merck &amp; Co., Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRK#NYSE">MRK</a>): down 0.6%</li>
<li>Nasdaq, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NDAQ#NASDAQ">NDAQ</a>): down 0.4%</li>
<li>L3Harris Technologies, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LHX#NYSE">LHX</a>): up 0.4%</li>
<li>Pool Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/POOL#NASDAQ">POOL</a>): down 6.1%</li>
<li>Dover Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DOV#NYSE">DOV</a>): up 1.8%</li>
<li>West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WST#NYSE">WST</a>): down 2.2%</li>
<li>Ameriprise Financial, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMP#NYSE">AMP</a>): down 0.2%</li>
<li>Fiserv, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FI#NYSE">FI</a>): down 16.4%</li>
<li>The Interpublic Group of Companies, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IPG#NYSE">IPG</a>): up 3.4%</li>
<li>Allegion plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALLE#NYSE">ALLE</a>): up 9.7%</li>
<li>Union Pacific Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UNP#NYSE">UNP</a>): down 3.1%</li>
</ul>
Stocks slated to report earnings after the bell include T-Mobile US, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TMUS#NASDAQ">TMUS</a>), VeriSign, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VRSN#NASDAQ">VRSN</a>), Eastman Chemical Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EMN#NYSE">EMN</a>), Principal Financial Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PFG#NASDAQ">PFG</a>), Physicians Realty Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DOC#NYSE">DOC</a>), The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HIG#NYSE">HIG</a>), Weyerhaeuser Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WY#NYSE">WY</a>), Republic Services, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RSG#NYSE">RSG</a>), Digital Realty Trust, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DLR#NYSE">DLR</a>), Gilead Sciences, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GILD#NASDAQ">GILD</a>), Erie Indemnity Company (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ERIE#NASDAQ">ERIE</a>), Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOGL#NASDAQ">GOOGL</a>), and Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INTC#NASDAQ">INTC</a>).
Read also: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/04/44985682/apples-ai-delays-rising-cost-pressures-trigger-price-target-cut-from-bank-of-america">Apple AI Delays, Rising Cost Pressures Trigger Price Target Cut From Bank Of America</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

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Select Sector SPDR-Consumer Discretionary

Wall Street Rally Extends Into Third Day: What's Driving Markets Thursday?

Tractor Supply Company (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSCO#NASDAQ">TSCO</a>) shares traded lower on Thursday after the<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pressreleases/25/04/b44974845/tractor-supply-company-reports-first-quarter-2025-financial-results-provides-second-quarter-guidan" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"> company reported first-quarter results.</a>
The company reported quarterly earnings per share of 34 cents, missing the analyst consensus estimate of 37 cents. Quarterly revenues of $3.47 billion (up 2.1% year over year) missed the street view of $3.54 billion.
New store openings and the contribution from Allivet drove the increase in net sales.
Tractor Supply&#8217;s comparable store sales decreased 0.9% year over year compared to an increase of 1.1% in the prior year&#8217;s first quarter, with comparable average transaction growth of 2.1%.
Also Read: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/04/44979310/durable-goods-orders-jump-9-2-in-march-but-one-category-tells-the-real-story" rel="noreferrer noopener">Durable Goods Orders Jump 9.2% In March, But One Category Tells The Real Story</a>
Gross profit increased 2.8% year over year to $1.26 billion, and gross margin increased 25 basis points to 36.2%.
The gross margin rate increase was primarily attributable to &#8220;disciplined&#8221; product cost management and the continued execution of an &#8220;everyday low price strategy.&#8221;
Operating income decreased 5.3% to $249.1 million from $263.1 million in the first quarter of 2024.
In the first quarter of 2025, the company opened 15 new Tractor Supply stores. And while it opened two new Petsense by Tractor Supply stores, it also closed two stores.
Outlook: Tractor Supply said it is &#8220;actively working with its vendor and supply chain partners to navigate the impact of recently announced tariffs, while also monitoring the broader macroeconomic factors impacting its customers.&#8221;
Tractor Supply lowered its FY25 GAAP EPS guidance to $2.00–$2.18 from the previous range of $2.10–$2.22, compared to the $2.17 estimate.
It also widened its FY2025 sales outlook to $15.48 billion to $16.07 billion from the prior view of $15.63 billion to $15.93 billion, versus the $15.73 billion estimate.
Comparable Store Sales is expected to increase in the range of +0% to +4% (prior view: +1% to +3%).
What&#8217;s Next: For the second quarter, the company expects net sales growth to be up 3% to 4%. Comparable store sales growth is expected to be flat to up 1%. Earnings per diluted share will be between 79 and 81 cents (estimate: 84 cents).
Price Action: TSCO shares are trading lower by 4.13% to $48.64 at last check Thursday.
Now Read:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/25/04/44970516/boeing-adjusts-strategy-amid-trump-tariff-fallout-ceo-kelly-ortberg-says-wont-build-aircraft-for-customers-who-will-not-take-them-as-china-halts-deliveries" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Boeing Adjusts Strategy, Won&#8217;t &#8216;Build Aircraft For Customers Who Will Not Take Them&#8217; As China Halts Deliveries</a></li>
</ul>
image: Shutterstock

Earnings

Guidance

Movers

General

Tractor Supply Q1 Results: Earnings Miss, Revenue Outlook Widened

Telsey Advisory Group analyst Joseph Feldman maintains Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSCO#NASDAQ">TSCO</a>) with a Outperform and maintains $67 price target.

Telsey Advisory Group Maintains Outperform on Tractor Supply, Maintains $67 Price Target

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Tractor Supply shares are trading lower after the company reported mixed Q1 financial results and lowered its FY25 EPS guidance with its midpoint below estimates.

Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSCO#NASDAQ">TSCO</a>) is looking for Q2 GAAP EPS of $0.79-$0.81 vs $0.84 analyst estimate. sees sales of $4.374 billion-$4.417 billion vs $4.47 billion analyst estimate.

Tractor Supply Sees Q2 GAAP EPS $0.79-$0.81 vs $0.84 Est; Sees Sales $4.374B-$4.417B vs $4.47B Est

Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSCO#NASDAQ">TSCO</a>) lowers FY2025 GAAP EPS guidance from $2.10-$2.22 to $2.00-$2.18 vs $2.17 analyst estimate. Widens FY2025 sales outlook from $15.63 billion-$15.93 billion to $15.48 billion-$16.07 billion vs $15.73 billion estimate.

Tractor Supply Lowers FY2025 GAAP EPS Guidance from $2.10-$2.22 to $2.00-$2.18 vs $2.17 Est; Widens FY2025 Sales Guidance from $15.63B-$15.93B to $15.48B-$16.07B vs $15.73B Est

Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSCO#NASDAQ">TSCO</a>) reported quarterly earnings of $0.34 per share which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $0.36 by 5.56 percent. This is a 8.11 percent decrease over earnings of $0.37 per share from the same period last year. The company reported quarterly sales of $3.47 billion which missed the analyst consensus estimate of $3.54 billion by 2.00 percent. This is a 2.12 percent increase over sales of $3.40 billion the same period last year.

Earnings Misses

Tractor Supply Q1 EPS $0.34 Misses $0.36 Estimate, Sales $3.47B Miss $3.54B Estimate

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Earnings Scheduled For April 24, 2025

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Shares of companies in the broader consumer discretionary sector are trading higher after President Trump indicated tariffs against China will be lowered and trade tensions may de-escalate. Tariff concerns have weighed on the sector this year due to their expected impact on consumer spending.

Tractor Supply (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSCO#NASDAQ">TSCO</a>) is set to give its latest quarterly earnings report on Thursday, 2025-04-24. Here's what investors need to know before the announcement.
Analysts estimate that Tractor Supply will report an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.37. 
Anticipation surrounds Tractor Supply's announcement, with investors hoping to hear about both surpassing estimates and receiving positive guidance for the next quarter.
New investors should understand that while earnings performance is important, market reactions are often driven by guidance.
<h3>Past Earnings Performance</h3>
During the last quarter, the company reported an EPS missed by $0.02, leading to a 0.13% increase in the share price on the subsequent day.
Here's a look at Tractor Supply's past performance and the resulting price change:

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Quarter</th>
<th>Q4 2024</th>
<th>Q3 2024</th>
<th>Q2 2024</th>
<th>Q1 2024</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>EPS Estimate</td>
<td>0.46</td>
<td>0.45</td>
<td>0.79</td>
<td>0.34</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>EPS Actual</td>
<td>0.44</td>
<td>0.45</td>
<td>0.79</td>
<td>0.37</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Price Change %</td>
<td>0.0%</td>
<td>-1.0%</td>
<td>2.0%</td>
<td>3.0%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1745427659_0.png" alt="eps graph" />
<h3>Stock Performance</h3>
Shares of Tractor Supply were trading at $50.28 as of April 22. Over the last 52-week period, shares are down 3.53%. Given that these returns are generally negative, long-term shareholders are likely a little upset going into this earnings release. 
<h3>Analyst Insights on Tractor Supply</h3>
For investors, staying informed about market sentiments and expectations in the industry is paramount. This analysis provides an exploration of the latest insights on Tractor Supply.
A total of 9 analyst ratings have been received for Tractor Supply, with the consensus rating being Outperform. The average one-year price target stands at $62.78, suggesting a potential 24.86% upside.
<h3>Comparing Ratings Among Industry Peers</h3>
This comparison focuses on the analyst ratings and average 1-year price targets of Ulta Beauty, Chewy and Dick's Sporting Goods, three major players in the industry, shedding light on their relative performance expectations and market positioning.
<ul>
<li>Analysts currently favor an Neutral trajectory for Ulta Beauty, with an average 1-year price target of $409.62, suggesting a potential 714.68% upside.</li>
<li>Analysts currently favor an Outperform trajectory for Chewy, with an average 1-year price target of $40.42, suggesting a potential 19.61% downside.</li>
<li>Analysts currently favor an Neutral trajectory for Dick's Sporting Goods, with an average 1-year price target of $233.83, suggesting a potential 365.06% upside.</li>
</ul>
<h3>Overview of Peer Analysis</h3>
The peer analysis summary provides a snapshot of key metrics for Ulta Beauty, Chewy and Dick's Sporting Goods, illuminating their respective standings within the industry. These metrics offer valuable insights into their market positions and comparative performance.

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Company</th>
<th>Consensus</th>
<th>Revenue Growth</th>
<th>Gross Profit</th>
<th>Return on Equity</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Tractor Supply</td>
<td>Outperform</td>
<td>3.11%</td>
<td>$1.33B</td>
<td>10.37%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Ulta Beauty</td>
<td>Neutral</td>
<td>-1.88%</td>
<td>$1.33B</td>
<td>16.33%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chewy</td>
<td>Outperform</td>
<td>14.91%</td>
<td>$926.00M</td>
<td>9.40%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dick's Sporting Goods</td>
<td>Neutral</td>
<td>0.45%</td>
<td>$1.36B</td>
<td>9.58%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

Key Takeaway:
Tractor Supply ranks at the top for Revenue Growth with 3.11%. It is in the middle for Gross Profit at $1.33B. Tractor Supply is at the bottom for Return on Equity with 10.37%.
<h3>Unveiling the Story Behind Tractor Supply</h3>
Tractor Supply is the largest operator of retail farm and ranch stores in the United States. The company targets recreational farmers and ranchers and has little exposure to commercial and industrial farm operations. At the end of fiscal 2024, the company operated 2,296 of its namesake banners in 49 states, along with 206 Petsense by Tractor Supply stores. Stores are generally concentrated in rural communities, as opposed to urban and suburban areas. In fiscal 2023 (most recent data available), revenue consisted primarily of livestock, equine &amp; agriculture (27%), companion animal (25%), and seasonal &amp; recreation (22%).
<h3>Unraveling the Financial Story of Tractor Supply</h3>
Market Capitalization: Boasting an elevated market capitalization, the company surpasses industry averages. This signals substantial size and strong market recognition.
Revenue Growth: Tractor Supply displayed positive results in 3 months. As of 31 December, 2024, the company achieved a solid revenue growth rate of approximately 3.11%. This indicates a notable increase in the company's top-line earnings. In comparison to its industry peers, the company stands out with a growth rate higher than the average among peers in the Consumer Discretionary sector.
Net Margin: Tractor Supply's financial strength is reflected in its exceptional net margin, which exceeds industry averages. With a remarkable net margin of 6.26%, the company showcases strong profitability and effective cost management.
Return on Equity (ROE): Tractor Supply's financial strength is reflected in its exceptional ROE, which exceeds industry averages. With a remarkable ROE of 10.37%, the company showcases efficient use of equity capital and strong financial health.
Return on Assets (ROA): Tractor Supply's ROA stands out, surpassing industry averages. With an impressive ROA of 2.42%, the company demonstrates effective utilization of assets and strong financial performance.
Debt Management: Tractor Supply's debt-to-equity ratio is notably higher than the industry average. With a ratio of 2.39, the company relies more heavily on borrowed funds, indicating a higher level of financial risk.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/TSCO/earnings">To track all earnings releases for Tractor Supply visit their earnings calendar on our site.</a>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Exploring Tractor Supply's Earnings Expectations

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Shares of companies in the broader consumer discretionary sector are trading higher amid Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's remarks about trade de-escalation with China, which may relieve potential cost pressures for the consumer and lead to an uptick in spending.

Telsey Advisory Group analyst Joseph Feldman <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/TSCO/analyst-ratings">reiterated an Outperform</a> rating on the shares of Tractor Supply Co (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSCO#NASDAQ">TSCO</a>) with a price forecast of $67.
The company is scheduled to report its first-quarter FY25 earnings on April 24.
Tractor Supply&#8217;s sales are projected to grow 4.8% to $3.6 billion in the upcoming quarter, with comparable sales rising 1.3%, slightly ahead of the 1.0% FactSet consensus, said the analyst. 
The optimistic outlook is driven by improved weather conditions and the company's continued market share gains. 
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/dividends/25/04/44863342/retail-giant-costco-raises-dividend-by-12">Retail Giant Costco Raises Dividend By 12%</a>
Despite a flat retail landscape and easing COVID-19 pandemic-era comparisons, weaker inflation may impact average transaction size, reflecting broader economic uncertainty, the analyst wrote.
Gross margin is expected to rise by 98 basis points to 36.3%, driven by better supply chain performance and a shift toward higher-margin private label and media segments. 
But, ongoing strategic investments like adding a new distribution center are projected to increase SG&amp;A costs by roughly 250 basis points to 28.7%, leading to an anticipated 60 basis point decline in operating margin to 7.6%, said the analyst.
Analysts reaffirm a 2025 EPS estimate of $2.20 for Tractor Supply, above the FactSet consensus of $2.16 and within company guidance. 
The outlook sees potential gains in the second half of the year as market conditions stabilize. The long-term thesis remains bullish, backed by the retailer&#8217;s &#8220;Life Out Here 2030&#8221; strategy. 
TSCO Price Action: Tractor Supply Co. shares closed Thursday up 1.58% at $50.14.
Read Next: • <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/25/04/44850301/target-under-pressure-from-discretionary-spend-slowdown-mounting-inventory-risk-goldman-sachs-downgrades-stock">Target Under Pressure From Discretionary Spend Slowdown, Mounting Inventory Risk, Goldman Sachs Downgrades Stock</a>
Photo: <a href="https://www.shutterstock.com/g/refrina">refrina</a> via Shutterstock

Reiteration

Tractor Supply Earnings Outlook Brightens With 2025 Profit Growth Potential, Says Analyst

Tractor Supply's (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSCO#NYSE">TSCO</a>) short percent of float has fallen 14.13% since its last report. The company recently reported that it has 32.84 million shares sold short, which is 6.44% of all regular shares that are available for trading. Based on its trading volume, it would take traders 7.57 days to cover their short positions on average.
<h3>Why Short Interest Matters</h3>
Short interest is the number of shares that have been sold short but have not yet been covered or closed out. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-short-a-stock?adType=benzinga-insights&amp;ad=short-interest&amp;campaign=wallstreetadvantage">Short selling</a> is when a trader sells shares of a company they do not own, with the hope that the price will fall. Traders make money from short selling if the price of the stock falls and they lose if it rises.
Short interest is important to track because it can act as an indicator of market sentiment towards a particular stock. An increase in short interest can signal that investors have become more bearish, while a decrease in short interest can signal they have become more bullish.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/short-interest?adType=benzinga-insights&amp;ad=short-interest&amp;campaign=wallstreetadvantage">List of the most shorted stocks</a>
<h3>Tractor Supply Short Interest Graph (3 Months)</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1744905623_0.png" alt="short_fig" />
As you can see from the chart above the percentage of shares that are sold short for Tractor Supply has declined since its last report. This does not mean that the stock is going to rise in the near-term but traders should be aware that less shares are being shorted.
<h3>Comparing Tractor Supply's Short Interest Against Its Peers</h3>
Peer comparison is a popular technique amongst analysts and investors for gauging how well a company is performing. A company's peer is another company that has similar characteristics to it, such as industry, size, age, and financial structure. You can find a company's peer group by reading its 10-K, proxy filing, or by doing your own similarity analysis.
According to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/">Benzinga Pro</a>, Tractor Supply's peer group average for short interest as a percentage of float is 13.40%, which means the company has less short interest than most of its peers.
Did you know that increasing short interest can actually be bullish for a stock? <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-make-money-on-a-short-squeeze?adType=benzinga-insights&amp;ad=short-interest&amp;campaign=wallstreetadvantage">This post by Benzinga Money explains how you can profit from it.</a>
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and was reviewed by an editor.

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