Dernières nouvelles pour Exxon Mobil (NYSE:XOM) Stock

EXXON MOBIL CORP

Exxon Mobil

ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2023, it produced 2.4 million barrels of liquids and 7.7 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2023, reserves were 16.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 66% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.5 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.

Exxon Mobil Corp

XOMA Royalty Corp

XOMA Royalty Corporation - Depositary Shares Rep Series B 8.375% Cumulative Preferred Stock

XOMA Royalty Corporation - 8.625% Series A Cumulative Perpetual Preferred Stock

Tidal ETF Trust II YieldMax XOM Option Income Strategy ETF

WIIM

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TRGP

Shares of energy stocks are trading higher amid strength in oil and natural gas prices.

Trading Ideas

CNBC Halftime Report Final Trades: Lockheed Martin, Exxon Mobil

The <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/s-p-500">S&amp;P 500 had</a> a rough start to 2025, sinking 6.53% over the first quarter, but not every sector suffered the same fate. 
While energy stocks lit up the leaderboard with a scorching 9.31% gain, consumer discretionary and technology stocks took a beating, plunging 14.23% and 13.1%, respectively.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Energy's Power Play</h2>
Oil and gas stocks came out swinging, with Hess Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HES#NYSE">HES</a>) leading the charge, soaring 21.34% over the past three months. EQT Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EQT#NYSE">EQT</a>) followed closely, rising 19.61%, while Devon Energy Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DVN#NYSE">DVN</a>) and Coterra Energy (CTRA) also <a href="https://www.sectorspdrs.com/sectortracker">posted</a> double-digit gains. 
The biggest energy players, Chevron Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>) and Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>), delivered solid performances as well, gaining 15.34% and 10.57%, respectively.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/long-ideas/25/03/44512999/chevron-hits-52-week-high-warren-buffetts-5th-largest-holding-is-on-fire-but-should-you-buy">Chevron Hits 52-Week High – Warren Buffett&#8217;s 5th Largest Holding Is on Fire, But Should You Buy?</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Consumer Discretionary's Divide</h2>
It was a brutal quarter for consumer discretionary, but not all stocks in the sector were drowning. Auto parts retailers proved surprisingly resilient, with O'Reilly Automotive Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ORLY#NASDAQ">ORLY</a>) accelerating 17.64% and AutoZone Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AZO#NYSE">AZO</a>) climbing 16.33%. Yum! Brands Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/YUM#NYSE">YUM</a>), the parent company of Taco Bell and KFC, also managed a 15.18% gain, proving that fast food remains a winning bet even in choppy markets.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">Tech's Tough Quarter—But Some Shined</h2>
Tech stocks had a miserable run, but a few managed to buck the trend. VeriSign Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VRSN#NASDAQ">VRSN</a>) surged 23.03%, leading the charge, while Intel Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INTC#NASDAQ">INTC</a>) and Roper Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ROP#NASDAQ">ROP</a>) gained 11.87% and 11.21%, respectively. IBM (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBM#NYSE">IBM</a>) also posted a solid 9.53% gain, and Palantir Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PLTR#NASDAQ">PLTR</a>) continued its momentum, adding 8.56%.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">What's Next?</h2>
With the second quarter underway, investors will be watching if Energy can keep its momentum or if beaten-down sectors like Tech and Consumer Discretionary stage a comeback. 
For now, it&#8217;s clear: Energy stocks ruled the first quarter, while Tech and Discretionary stocks got left in the dust.
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Image: Shutterstock

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President Donald Trump has expressed fury over recent remarks by Russian President Vladimir Putin suggesting Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy should be replaced. 
What Happened: In a weekend interview, Trump said he was "very angry" and warned of economic retaliation if Russia fails to cooperate on halting the Ukraine war.
Putin proposed a transitional government for Ukraine, which would effectively push out Zelenskyy. Trump, in response, threatened to impose sweeping &#8220;secondary tariffs&#8221; on any country purchasing Russian oil, including a 25% to 50% tariff on Russian crude and related products.
Trump made Ukraine a centerpiece of his foreign policy agenda and has pushed for an end to the war. His team helped broker a partial ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine, allowing safe passage in the Black Sea and a halt on attacks targeting energy infrastructure. But tensions with Moscow remain high.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/25/03/44450604/putin-prayed-for-his-friend-trump-at-church-after-assassination-attempt">Putin Prayed for &#8216;His Friend&#8217; Trump at Church After Assassination Attempt</a>
"If Russia and I are unable to make a deal on stopping the bloodshed in Ukraine, and if I think it was Russia's fault — which it might not be — but if I think it was Russia's fault, I am going to put secondary tariffs on oil, on all oil coming out of Russia," Trump <a href="https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/donald-trump/trump-angry-putin-zelenskyy-iran-sanctions-rcna198729">told </a>to NBC News.
Despite previous criticism of Zelenskyy, Trump signaled he would act against Putin if diplomacy fails. He also said he plans to speak with Putin again this week. "The anger dissipates quickly… if he does the right thing," Trump said, describing their relationship as "very good."
Trump said he also "was pissed off" about Putin's comments about temporary governance and that his anger about Putin's comments had been made known to Moscow.
Trump's tariff threats echo a similar strategy he applied to Venezuela, where countries importing oil from Caracas risked U.S. trade penalties. The same could apply to top buyers of Russian oil such as China, India, Turkey, and Brazil.
Read Next
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/25/01/43216865/putin-agrees-with-trump-ukraine-war-avoidable-if-trump-had-been-in-office" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Putin Agrees With Trump: Ukraine War Avoidable if Trump Had Been in Office</a>

News

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Trump Threatens Russian Oil Tariffs, Says He's 'Very Angry' At Putin

Exxon Mobil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 5 years by 8.79% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 25.4%. Currently, Exxon Mobil has a market capitalization of $510.07 billion. 
Buying $100 In XOM: If an investor had bought $100 of XOM stock 5 years ago, it would be worth $313.95 today based on a price of $117.55 for XOM at the time of writing.
<h3>Exxon Mobil's Performance Over Last 5 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1743199209_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Here's How Much $100 Invested In Exxon Mobil 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today

Investors with a lot of money to spend have taken a bullish stance on Exxon Mobil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>).
And retail traders should know.
We noticed this today when the trades showed up on publicly available options history that we track here at Benzinga.
Whether these are institutions or just wealthy individuals, we don't know. But when something this big happens with XOM, it often means somebody knows something is about to happen.
So how do we know what these investors just did? 
Today, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/">Benzinga</a>'s options scanner spotted 9 uncommon options trades for Exxon Mobil.
This isn't normal.
The overall sentiment of these big-money traders is split between 66% bullish and 33%, bearish.
Out of all of the special options we uncovered, 5 are puts, for a total amount of $218,295, and 4 are calls, for a total amount of $243,511.
<h3>Projected Price Targets</h3>
Analyzing the Volume and Open Interest in these contracts, it seems that the big players have been eyeing a price window from $100.0 to $130.0 for Exxon Mobil during the past quarter. 
<h3>Analyzing Volume &amp; Open Interest</h3>
Looking at the volume and open interest is an insightful way to conduct due diligence on a stock.
This data can help you track the liquidity and interest for Exxon Mobil's options for a given strike price.
Below, we can observe the evolution of the volume and open interest of calls and puts, respectively, for all of Exxon Mobil's whale activity within a strike price range from $100.0 to $130.0 in the last 30 days. 
<h3>Exxon Mobil Option Activity Analysis: Last 30 Days</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1743173144_0.png" alt="Options Call Chart" />
<h3>Biggest Options Spotted:</h3>

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Symbol</th>
<th>PUT/CALL</th>
<th>Trade Type</th>
<th>Sentiment</th>
<th>Exp. Date</th>
<th>Ask</th>
<th>Bid</th>
<th>Price</th>
<th>Strike Price</th>
<th>Total Trade Price</th>
<th>Open Interest</th>
<th align="right">Volume</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>06/18/26</td>
<td>$8.7</td>
<td>$8.55</td>
<td>$8.55</td>
<td>$125.00</td>
<td>$100.9K</td>
<td>251</td>
<td align="right">118</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>06/20/25</td>
<td>$0.9</td>
<td>$0.85</td>
<td>$0.9</td>
<td>$130.00</td>
<td>$76.7K</td>
<td>12.6K</td>
<td align="right">864</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>01/16/26</td>
<td>$3.1</td>
<td>$2.97</td>
<td>$2.98</td>
<td>$100.00</td>
<td>$59.5K</td>
<td>8.9K</td>
<td align="right">200</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>03/20/26</td>
<td>$3.8</td>
<td>$3.65</td>
<td>$3.65</td>
<td>$100.00</td>
<td>$57.3K</td>
<td>531</td>
<td align="right">178</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>04/17/25</td>
<td>$2.39</td>
<td>$2.28</td>
<td>$2.27</td>
<td>$118.00</td>
<td>$45.4K</td>
<td>1.1K</td>
<td align="right">1</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<h3>About Exxon Mobil</h3>
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2023, it produced 2.4 million barrels of liquids and 7.7 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2023, reserves were 16.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 66% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.5 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
In light of the recent options history for Exxon Mobil, it's now appropriate to focus on the company itself. We aim to explore its current performance.
<h3>Present Market Standing of Exxon Mobil</h3>
<ul>
<li>With a trading volume of 1,437,789, the price of XOM is up by 0.15%, reaching $118.07.</li>
<li>Current RSI values indicate that the stock is may be approaching overbought.</li>
<li>Next earnings report is scheduled for 6 days from now.</li>
</ul>
<h3>Expert Opinions on Exxon Mobil</h3>
Over the past month, 2 industry analysts have shared their insights on this stock, proposing an average target price of $136.5.
Turn $1000 into $1270 in just 20 days?
20-year pro options trader reveals his one-line chart technique that shows when to buy and sell. Copy his trades, which have had averaged a 27% profit every 20 days. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/options-moneyline-2/?t=Moop1arja3be22op14&amp;adType=benzinga-insights&amp;ad=options-activity&amp;campaign=wallstreetadvantage">Click here for access</a>. 
&#x2A; Consistent in their evaluation, an analyst from Barclays keeps a Overweight rating on Exxon Mobil with a target price of $135. 
&#x2A; Maintaining their stance, an analyst from Morgan Stanley continues to hold a Overweight rating for Exxon Mobil, targeting a price of $138. 
Trading options involves greater risks but also offers the potential for higher profits. Savvy traders mitigate these risks through ongoing education, strategic trade adjustments, utilizing various indicators, and staying attuned to market dynamics. Keep up with the latest options trades for Exxon Mobil with <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/">Benzinga Pro</a> for real-time alerts.

Options

Markets

Decoding Exxon Mobil's Options Activity: What's the Big Picture?

Morgan Stanley analyst Devin McDermott maintains Exxon Mobil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $141 to $138.

Price Target

Analyst Ratings

Morgan Stanley Maintains Overweight on Exxon Mobil, Lowers Price Target to $138

Shares of energy major Exxon Mobil Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) are<a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/movers" rel="noreferrer noopener"> trading higher </a>on Wednesday.
The company is preparing to increase its isopropyl alcohol (IPA) <a target="_blank" href="https://corporate.exxonmobil.com/what-we-do/materials-for-modern-living/high-purity-solvent-to-support-next-generation-of-tech-manufacturing#Whydoisopropylalcoholpuritylevelsmatterformicrochips" rel="noreferrer noopener">production</a>, aiming to produce 99.999% ultra-pure IPA to meet the growing needs of the semiconductor sector.
Exxon&#8217;s Baton Rouge facility will undergo upgrades to manufacture this high-purity IPA to meet the growing demand by 2027.
Also Read: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/25/03/44491397/dollar-tree-q4-earnings-surpass-estimates-unloads-family-dollar-for-1b" rel="noreferrer noopener">Dollar Tree To Offload Family Dollar Business For $1 Billion, Anticipates 3% To 5% Standalone Same-Store Sales Growth</a>
&#8220;Our experience and expertise at our Baton Rouge manufacturing complex uniquely position us to provide an end-to-end American supply chain for IPA to U.S.-based chip manufacturers,&#8221; the company said in a statement.
With the increasing size and complexity of semiconductors, next-gen chips require 99.999% pure IPA. This high purity is essential to avoid damage to the delicate circuitry of chips, particularly those measuring as small as 2 nanometers.
IPA is used in semiconductor manufacturing to dry wafer surfaces and remove impurities, making ultra-pure IPA a critical component in chip production.
The company is expected to spend $100 million for the expansion of the facility, according to a report from Reuters.
Exxon has been manufacturing IPA since 1920 and has continuously advanced its production techniques. During the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, the company was the&nbsp;largest producer of IPA in the U.S. for hand sanitizers.
Price Action: XOM shares traded higher by 1.34% at $118.15 at last check Wednesday.
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Photo via Shutterstock.

Equities

Media

General

Exxon Mobil Eyes Semiconductor Boom With 99.999% Pure Isopropyl Alcohol Production Expansion: Details

April tends to be a favorable month for U.S. equities, and history makes a compelling case for this. Over the past 95 years, the S&amp;P 500 has gained an average of 1.1% in April, finishing <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets">higher 61% of the time.</a>
In April, the index notched some of its most powerful monthly rallies in history, surging 43.6% in April 1933 and 17.9% in April 2020. Yet, it&#8217;s not always been a smooth ride — the worst April returns were a 20% crash in 1932 and a 9.5% drop in 1970.
Zooming in on the past three decades, April's track record becomes even more convincing. 
The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), the benchmark ETF tracking the S&amp;P 500, delivered an average gain of 1.9% over the last 30 Aprils, making it the second-best month of the year after November. SPY ended April in the green 77% of the time.
That said, 2025 has started on a cautious note. Through March 26, the S&amp;P 500 is down about 3% year-to-date. 
Yet history suggests a seasonal tailwind could soon be at play — especially in four specific sectors that have consistently outperformed the broader market in April.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Financials (XLF): Banks Lead The Earnings Charge</h3>
The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) has historically been April&#8217;s top-performing sector. 
Since its inception in 1999, XLF has risen an average of 2.7% during the month, with gains coming in 65% of the time. The seasonal strength is largely tied to the first-quarter earnings season, which kicks off in April and is typically led by major banks. Optimism surrounding annual earnings outlooks often provides a boost.
XLF has already outperformed the broader market in 2025, gaining 4.5% year-to-date. Within the sector, JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>) stands out: Over the past 45 years, JPM shares have climbed an average of 2.6% in April, delivering positive returns 68% of the time.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Consumer Discretionary (XLY): Big Tech Retailers Deliver Spring Strength</h3>
The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) also posted a strong seasonal performance, rising 2.4% on average in April over the last 26 years. It has a 65% winning rate during the month.
April is historically the best month for Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), with an average gain of 7.6% and a 70% success rate. 
Likewise, Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) tends to accelerate this time of year, with April returns averaging 5.9%, making it the second-strongest month for the electric vehicle maker, behind only November's 11.9% surge.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Materials (XLB): A Solid Spring For Commodities And Chemicals</h3>
The Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLB#NYSE">XLB</a>) also delivered strong April sector performers. XLB has risen an average of 3.1% in April over the past 26 years, with a 65% win rate. The ETF is up about 3% year-to-date, suggesting some early momentum heading into April.
One heavyweight in the materials space, Linde plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LIN#NYSE">LIN</a>) — which represents roughly 20% of XLB's holdings — has consistently delivered in April. With 32 years of historical data, Linde has averaged a 3.5% gain in the month and ended April in positive territory 69% of the time.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Energy (XLE): The Strongest April Performer</h3>
Energy stocks have historically delivered the most robust gains in April, with the Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) averaging a 4.1% return and closing the month higher 62% of the time. 
Yet, it&#8217;s worth noting that this impressive figure is skewed by an extraordinary rebound in April 2020, when XLE surged nearly 30% following a historic 35% plunge in March 2020 — a period marked by collapsing oil prices and pandemic-driven market chaos. 
Looking at long-term leaders within the sector, Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) shares have gained an average of 2.7% in April over the past 40 years, while Chevron Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>) performed slightly better, rising 3.1% on average over the same period. 
Below is a table showing each sector&#8217;s average performance in April.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>ETF</th>
<th>Avg. April Return (%)</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Real Estate&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLRE#NYSE">XLRE</a>)</td>
<td>0.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>)</td>
<td>1.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Consumer Staples&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLP#NYSE">XLP</a>)</td>
<td>1.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Health Care&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLV#NYSE">XLV</a>)</td>
<td>1.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;</td>
<td>1.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLC#NYSE">XLC</a>)</td>
<td>1.95%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>)</td>
<td>2.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Consumer Discretionary&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund</td>
<td>2.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Industrials&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLI#NYSE">XLI</a>)</td>
<td>2.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund </td>
<td>2.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Materials&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund </td>
<td>3.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Energy&nbsp;Select Sector SPDR Fund</td>
<td>4.07%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
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Sector ETFs

ETFs

AMZN

TSLA

XLRE

Select Sector SPDR-Consumer Discretionary

These 4 S&P 500 Sectors Could Outperform The Market In April, If History Has A Say

Shares of oil and gas giant Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) are hitting 16-week highs on Tuesday as investors bet President Donald Trump's latest tariff threat could be a positive <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/25/03/44460897/oil-prices-rally-exxon-hits-16-week-highs-as-trump-vows-25-tariffs-on-any-country-buying-venezuelan-crude">catalyst for the stock. </a>
What To Know: Trump took to Truth Social on Monday with the <a href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114217914259825110">promise</a> of 25% tariffs on any country that buys oil or gas from Venezuela, set to go into effect on April 2. 
The secondary tariffs target major buyers of Venezuelan oil, including China, India, Spain, Italy and Cuba and could disrupt global oil supply chains. Exxon Mobil could potentially see new opportunities if the proposed tariff sends countries looking for alternative supply. 
Read Next:<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44475805/homebuilders-kb-home-lennar-cut-prices-as-homebuyer-demand-has-slowed-materially"> Homebuilders KB Home, Lennar Cut Prices As Buyer Demand Has &#8216;Slowed Materially&#8217;</a>
According to data from the Commerce Department, the U.S. bought $5.6 billion of oil and gas from Venezuela in 2024. Trump's proposed tariff could lead to a shift in U.S. oil import patterns, potentially benefiting domestic producers such as Exxon. 
Oil prices jumped after Trump proposed the tariffs Monday with WTI crude oil futures reaching $69.40 per barrel on Tuesday, the highest level in three weeks. A tighter global supply of oil would send prices higher, also benefiting major refiners who have <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/25/03/44343416/oil-titan-harold-hamm-warns-drilling-could-stop-if-oil-prices-remain-low-you-cant-drill-baby-drill">recently warned</a> that low oil prices could affect their ability to remain viable. 
Oil prices remain somewhat muted for now, due in part to an extension granted to Chevron Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>), which allows the company until May 27 to exit its Venezuelan oil operations. 
The United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>), tracking the spot price of WTI, is up nearly 3% over the past five days and the SPDR Energy Select Sector Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>), tracking the U.S. energy sector, is up 2% over the same period.  
Read More:&nbsp;
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/25/03/44444175/trump-orders-steps-to-dismantle-department-of-education-what-it-means-for-student-loans">Trump Orders Steps To Dismantle Department Of Education: What It Means For Student Loans</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Specialty ETFs

Commodities

Politics

Movers

Trump's Tariffs On Buyers Of Venezuelan Oil Could Boost Energy Sector, Exxon Mobil Stock

Financial giants have made a conspicuous bullish move on Exxon Mobil. Our analysis of options history for Exxon Mobil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) revealed 28 unusual trades.
Delving into the details, we found 46% of traders were bullish, while 46% showed bearish tendencies. Out of all the trades we spotted, 9 were puts, with a value of $343,839, and 19 were calls, valued at $1,808,648.
<h3>What's The Price Target?</h3>
After evaluating the trading volumes and Open Interest, it's evident that the major market movers are focusing on a price band between $95.0 and $140.0 for Exxon Mobil, spanning the last three months.
<h3>Volume &amp; Open Interest Development</h3>
Looking at the volume and open interest is an insightful way to conduct due diligence on a stock.
This data can help you track the liquidity and interest for Exxon Mobil's options for a given strike price.
Below, we can observe the evolution of the volume and open interest of calls and puts, respectively, for all of Exxon Mobil's whale activity within a strike price range from $95.0 to $140.0 in the last 30 days. 
<h3>Exxon Mobil Option Volume And Open Interest Over Last 30 Days</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1742838333_0.png" alt="Options Call Chart" />
<h3>Significant Options Trades Detected:</h3>

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Symbol</th>
<th>PUT/CALL</th>
<th>Trade Type</th>
<th>Sentiment</th>
<th>Exp. Date</th>
<th>Ask</th>
<th>Bid</th>
<th>Price</th>
<th>Strike Price</th>
<th>Total Trade Price</th>
<th>Open Interest</th>
<th>Volume</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>07/18/25</td>
<td>$4.1</td>
<td>$4.0</td>
<td>$4.09</td>
<td>$120.00</td>
<td>$818.0K</td>
<td>3.7K</td>
<td>2.0K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>04/17/25</td>
<td>$3.45</td>
<td>$3.35</td>
<td>$3.39</td>
<td>$115.00</td>
<td>$148.5K</td>
<td>18.4K</td>
<td>953</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>06/20/25</td>
<td>$0.75</td>
<td>$0.7</td>
<td>$0.72</td>
<td>$130.00</td>
<td>$120.7K</td>
<td>7.7K</td>
<td>3.9K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>06/20/25</td>
<td>$1.63</td>
<td>$1.6</td>
<td>$1.6</td>
<td>$125.00</td>
<td>$77.9K</td>
<td>19.4K</td>
<td>1.0K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>03/20/26</td>
<td>$7.15</td>
<td>$6.8</td>
<td>$6.87</td>
<td>$125.00</td>
<td>$68.7K</td>
<td>400</td>
<td>101</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<h3>About Exxon Mobil</h3>
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2023, it produced 2.4 million barrels of liquids and 7.7 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2023, reserves were 16.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 66% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.5 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
After a thorough review of the options trading surrounding Exxon Mobil, we move to examine the company in more detail. This includes an assessment of its current market status and performance.
<h3>Present Market Standing of Exxon Mobil</h3>
<ul>
<li>Trading volume stands at 6,375,283, with XOM's price up by 0.42%, positioned at $115.98.</li>
<li>RSI indicators show the stock to be may be approaching overbought.</li>
<li>Earnings announcement expected in 32 days.</li>
</ul>
<h3>What Analysts Are Saying About Exxon Mobil</h3>
In the last month, 1 experts released ratings on this stock with an average target price of $135.0.
Unusual Options Activity Detected: Smart Money on the Move
Benzinga Edge's Unusual Options board spots potential market movers before they happen. See what positions big money is taking on your favorite stocks. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-checkout/?t=Be8be9arja3be22bz20&amp;adType=benzinga-insights&amp;ad=options-activity&amp;campaign=wallstreetadvantage">Click here for access</a>. 
&#x2A; An analyst from Barclays persists with their Overweight rating on Exxon Mobil, maintaining a target price of $135. 
Options trading presents higher risks and potential rewards. Astute traders manage these risks by continually educating themselves, adapting their strategies, monitoring multiple indicators, and keeping a close eye on market movements. Stay informed about the latest Exxon Mobil options trades with real-time alerts from <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/">Benzinga Pro</a>.

Check Out What Whales Are Doing With XOM

Crude prices surged and energy stocks rose Monday after President Donald Trump vowed to slap a sweeping 25% tariff on any country that imports Venezuelan oil, signaling renewed geopolitical tensions <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/oil">in global energy markets.</a>
West Texas Intermediate light crude, as closely tracked by the United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>), rose over 1% to $69 per barrel, touching a three-week high.
"Any country that purchases Oil and/or Gas from Venezuela will be forced to pay a Tariff of 25% to the United States on any Trade they do with our Country," Trump said, adding that enforcement would begin next month and be "registered and documented."
The statement came via a <a href="https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/114217914259825110">post </a>on Truth Social, where the former president accused Venezuela of sending violent criminals to the United States and branded the Tren de Aragua gang as a &#8220;Foreign Terrorist Organization.&#8221;
Trump added that the proposed secondary tariffs would go into effect on April 2, what he called "Liberation Day in America."
Read also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44459470/us-business-activity-rebounds-as-services-growth-outpaces-forecasts-yet-cost-pressures-intensify">US Business Activity Rebounds As Services Growth Outpaces Forecasts, Yet Cost Pressures Intensify</a>
Venezuela's oil exports have risen in recent years, and they remain a crucial revenue source for the embattled regime of Nicolás Maduro. 
According to Reuters, Venezuela exported 772,000 barrels a day of crude last year, marking a 10% increase from a year earlier. China is widely considered the largest purchaser of Venezuelan crude, though much of the oil arrives through indirect routes or intermediaries that obscure its origin to sidestep international sanctions.
Beyond geopolitics, U.S. economic data on Monday gave oil another push. Business activity surveys in March came in stronger than expected, easing recession fears but raising concerns that input costs may be accelerating again.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">US Energy Stock Reactions</h3>
The oil rally ignited gains across the energy sector. Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) rose 1.1% to $116.75 by 11:15 a.m. in New York, reaching its highest level price since early December. Chevron Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>) added 0.4%, while ConocoPhillips (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COP#NYSE">COP</a>) gained 0.6%.
The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) climbed 0.6%, extending its year-to-date gain to 7.8%—the best performance among all S&amp;P 500 sectors in 2025.
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</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Government

Large Cap

Latin America

Regulations

Oil Prices Rally, Exxon Hits 16-Week Highs As Trump Vows 25% Tariffs On Any Country Buying Venezuelan Crude

Live On CNBC, Jim Lebenthal Names Exxon Mobil His Top Energy Pick

Whales with a lot of money to spend have taken a noticeably bearish stance on Exxon Mobil.
Looking at options history for Exxon Mobil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) we detected 18 trades.
If we consider the specifics of each trade, it is accurate to state that 33% of the investors opened trades with bullish expectations and 44% with bearish.
From the overall spotted trades, 4 are puts, for a total amount of $186,970 and 14, calls, for a total amount of $602,883.
<h3>Projected Price Targets</h3>
Analyzing the Volume and Open Interest in these contracts, it seems that the big players have been eyeing a price window from $100.0 to $185.0 for Exxon Mobil during the past quarter. 
<h3>Volume &amp; Open Interest Trends</h3>
Looking at the volume and open interest is a powerful move while trading options. This data can help you track the liquidity and interest for Exxon Mobil's options for a given strike price. Below, we can observe the evolution of the volume and open interest of calls and puts, respectively, for all of Exxon Mobil's whale trades within a strike price range from $100.0 to $185.0 in the last 30 days. 
<h3>Exxon Mobil Option Volume And Open Interest Over Last 30 Days</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1742395563_0.png" alt="Options Call Chart" />
<h3>Noteworthy Options Activity:</h3>

<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Symbol</th>
<th>PUT/CALL</th>
<th>Trade Type</th>
<th>Sentiment</th>
<th>Exp. Date</th>
<th>Ask</th>
<th>Bid</th>
<th>Price</th>
<th>Strike Price</th>
<th>Total Trade Price</th>
<th>Open Interest</th>
<th>Volume</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>01/15/27</td>
<td>$0.92</td>
<td>$0.82</td>
<td>$0.9</td>
<td>$185.00</td>
<td>$80.4K</td>
<td>395</td>
<td>1.0K</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>NEUTRAL</td>
<td>01/15/27</td>
<td>$12.4</td>
<td>$12.1</td>
<td>$12.27</td>
<td>$120.00</td>
<td>$61.3K</td>
<td>907</td>
<td>55</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>01/16/26</td>
<td>$16.4</td>
<td>$16.0</td>
<td>$16.0</td>
<td>$105.00</td>
<td>$60.8K</td>
<td>2.5K</td>
<td>0</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>CALL</td>
<td>SWEEP</td>
<td>BEARISH</td>
<td>08/15/25</td>
<td>$4.85</td>
<td>$4.75</td>
<td>$4.75</td>
<td>$120.00</td>
<td>$59.8K</td>
<td>2.4K</td>
<td>217</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>XOM</td>
<td>PUT</td>
<td>TRADE</td>
<td>BULLISH</td>
<td>09/19/25</td>
<td>$7.4</td>
<td>$7.25</td>
<td>$7.3</td>
<td>$115.00</td>
<td>$56.2K</td>
<td>1.7K</td>
<td>221</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>

<h3>About Exxon Mobil</h3>
ExxonMobil is an integrated oil and gas company that explores for, produces, and refines oil worldwide. In 2023, it produced 2.4 million barrels of liquids and 7.7 billion cubic feet of natural gas per day. At the end of 2023, reserves were 16.9 billion barrels of oil equivalent, 66% of which were liquids. The company is one of the world's largest refiners, with a total global refining capacity of 4.5 million barrels of oil per day, and is one of the world's largest manufacturers of commodity and specialty chemicals.
In light of the recent options history for Exxon Mobil, it's now appropriate to focus on the company itself. We aim to explore its current performance.
<h3>Present Market Standing of Exxon Mobil</h3>
<ul>
<li>With a trading volume of 2,326,237, the price of XOM is up by 1.08%, reaching $114.87.</li>
<li>Current RSI values indicate that the stock is may be approaching overbought.</li>
<li>Next earnings report is scheduled for 37 days from now.</li>
</ul>
<h3>Expert Opinions on Exxon Mobil</h3>
1 market experts have recently issued ratings for this stock, with a consensus target price of $135.0.
Unusual Options Activity Detected: Smart Money on the Move
Benzinga Edge's Unusual Options board spots potential market movers before they happen. See what positions big money is taking on your favorite stocks. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/premium/ideas/benzinga-edge-checkout/?t=Be8be9arja3be22bz20&amp;adType=benzinga-insights&amp;ad=options-activity&amp;campaign=wallstreetadvantage">Click here for access</a>. 
&#x2A; Consistent in their evaluation, an analyst from Barclays keeps a Overweight rating on Exxon Mobil with a target price of $135. 
Trading options involves greater risks but also offers the potential for higher profits. Savvy traders mitigate these risks through ongoing education, strategic trade adjustments, utilizing various indicators, and staying attuned to market dynamics. Keep up with the latest options trades for Exxon Mobil with <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/pro/">Benzinga Pro</a> for real-time alerts.

Market Whales and Their Recent Bets on XOM Options

Oil prices tumbled Tuesday afternoon as traders reacted to President Donald Trump&#8216;s call with Russian President Vladimir Putin, which laid the groundwork for a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/ukraine">potential ceasefire in Ukraine. </a>
The West Texas Intermediate light crude, tracked by the United States Oil Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>), fell over 1% to $67 a barrel, reversing earlier session gains and snapping a two-day winning streak. 
Energy stocks, which on Monday had posted their best two-day streak since October 2022, took a breather as the market digested the geopolitical developments.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">What Was Discussed In the Trump-Putin Call?</h3>
According to a White House readout, Trump and Putin agreed to an immediate halt on attacks targeting Russian and Ukrainian energy and infrastructure sites for 30 days. Additionally, they outlined plans for negotiations in the Middle East to establish a maritime ceasefire in the Black Sea.
Trump, in a post on Truth Social, described the call as "very good and productive," adding that "many elements of a Contract for Peace were discussed." He indicated that both Putin and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy "would like to see an end of the hostility. 
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">My phone conversation today with President Putin of Russia was a very good and productive one. We agreed to an immediate Ceasefire on all Energy and Infrastructure, with an understanding that we will be working quickly to have a Complete Ceasefire and, ultimately, an END to this…
&mdash; Trump Posts on &#120143; (@trump_repost) <a href="https://twitter.com/trump_repost/status/1902070296246669480?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 18, 2025</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
&#8220;We agreed to an immediate ceasefire on all energy and infrastructure, with an understanding that we will work quickly towards a complete ceasefire and, ultimately, an end to this very horrible war,&#8221; Trump wrote.
Putin, according to Russian sources, said that any resolution must be "comprehensive, sustainable, and long-term" while addressing Russia's security concerns. The Kremlin also stated that stopping foreign military aid to Ukraine is a key condition for de-escalation.
&#8220;The key condition for preventing escalation and pursuing a diplomatic resolution is the complete cessation of foreign military assistance and intelligence-sharing with Kyiv,&#8221; the Russian statement read.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">How Energy Stocks Reacted</h3>
Energy stocks that had posted their strongest two-day rally since October 2022 paused their advance. 
The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) traded flat by 3:00 p.m. ET, though it remains up over 5% year-to-date, making it the best-performing S&amp;P 500 sector.
Among key oil equities, Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) slipped 0.2%, while Chevron Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVX#NYSE">CVX</a>) edged 0.7% higher. 
Meanwhile, natural gas stocks outperformed, with EQT Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EQT#NYSE">EQT</a>) and Antero Resources Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AR#NYSE">AR</a>) climbing 2% and 3%, respectively. Antero extended its winning streak to seven consecutive sessions. 
U.S. natural gas prices at the Henry Hub facility rose 0.9% to $4.095 per million British thermal units.
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/25/03/44379453/equity-exposure-plummets-cash-holdings-jump-as-investors-rethink-us-exceptionalism-bank-of-america-survey">Equity Exposure Plummets, Cash Holdings Jump As Investors Rethink &#8216;US Exceptionalism,&#8217; Bank Of America Survey</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Econ #s

Economics

Oil Prices Slip, Energy Stocks Pause As Trump-Putin Call Signals Ukraine Ceasefire Progress

Barclays analyst Betty Jiang maintains Exxon Mobil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) with a Overweight and lowers the price target from $137 to $135.

Barclays Maintains Overweight on Exxon Mobil, Lowers Price Target to $135

CSAN

HNRG

LTBR

NEHC

Exxon Mobil (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) has outperformed the market over the past 5 years by 7.29% on an annualized basis producing an average annual return of 24.17%. Currently, Exxon Mobil has a market capitalization of $471.53 billion. 
Buying $1000 In XOM: If an investor had bought $1000 of XOM stock 5 years ago, it would be worth $3,150.77 today based on a price of $108.67 for XOM at the time of writing.
<h3>Exxon Mobil's Performance Over Last 5 Years</h3>
<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1741907708_0.png" alt="comp_fig" />
Finally -- what's the point of all this? The key insight to take from this article is to note how much of a difference compounded returns can make in your cash growth over a period of time.
This article was generated by Benzinga's automated content engine and reviewed by an editor.

Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Exxon Mobil Stock In The Last 5 Years

In the current session, Exxon Mobil Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XOM#NYSE">XOM</a>) is trading at $108.12, after a 0.93% decrease. Over the past month, the stock decreased by 0.13%, and in the past year, by 2.95%. With performance like this, long-term shareholders are more likely to start looking into the company's price-to-earnings ratio. 

<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1741892417_0.png" alt="Past Year Chart" />

<h3>Exxon Mobil P/E Compared to Competitors</h3>
The P/E ratio is used by long-term shareholders to assess the company's market performance against aggregate market data, historical earnings, and the industry at large. A lower P/E could indicate that shareholders do not expect the stock to perform better in the future or it could mean that the company is undervalued. 
Compared to the aggregate P/E ratio of the 33.76 in the Oil, Gas &amp; Consumable Fuels industry, Exxon Mobil Inc. has a lower P/E ratio of 13.92. Shareholders might be inclined to think that the stock might perform worse than it's industry peers. It's also possible that the stock is undervalued. 

<img src="https://www.benzinga.com/files/images/story/2025/1741892417_1.png" alt="Guage" />

In conclusion, the price-to-earnings ratio is a useful metric for analyzing a company's market performance, but it has its limitations. While a lower P/E can indicate that a company is undervalued, it can also suggest that shareholders do not expect future growth. Additionally, the P/E ratio should not be used in isolation, as other factors such as industry trends and business cycles can also impact a company's stock price. Therefore, investors should use the P/E ratio in conjunction with other financial metrics and qualitative analysis to make informed investment decisions.

Intraday Update

Price Over Earnings Overview: Exxon Mobil

Having a falling stock market isn't enough.
Apparently, several commodity sectors, most notably crude oil, have decided to get in on the action as well. Oil prices have been dropping sharply over the past week, caught in the whirlwind of turmoil, drama, and just a whole mess of market-rocking stories.
Crude oil is trading on the expectation of a weakening U.S. economy, and that is absolutely a possibility. The markets are growing increasingly anxious about stagflation creeping into the United States.
Will it happen? Maybe, maybe not—but it's on the table.
&nbsp;Inflationary pressures, particularly from tariffs, are adding fuel to the fire.
&nbsp;Just ask the big three car manufacturers: if those Canadian tariffs had stayed in place, car prices in the U.S. would have skyrocketed by 25%, punishing not the folks we imposed the tariff on, but American consumers.
Tariffs tend to restrict global trade, and when you factor in the potential for mass layoffs in government sectors, you start getting a picture of an economy slowing down, even as inflation remains sticky.
That's the textbook definition of stagflation, and it's not exactly great for oil and gas demand.
The United States has been one of the primary drivers of oil and gas demand, despite some, shall we say, moderately to completely misguided policies of the previous administration when it came to energy.
Meanwhile, President Trump keeps touting his &#8220;Drill, baby, drill&#8221; strategy, promising a surge in production.
&nbsp;But here's the thing: he forgot to mention how exactly he's going to convince oil companies to abandon fiscal responsibility and ramp up production, thereby lowering commodity prices and hurting their own bottom line.
&nbsp;It doesn't quite add up.
All this uncertainty? It's hitting oil and gas stocks hard.
&nbsp;Take the VanEck Oil Services ETF, down 17% over the past year and already off another 8% this year.
&nbsp;Clearly, the market thinks nobody's ever going to work in the oil and gas patch again.
Here is &nbsp;where things get interesting. The oil services industry is ripe for consolidation, and we're going to see more of it in the months ahead.
Expect increased activist activity as well. This is something &nbsp;we will keep a close eye on.
The (Ticker: XLE) is basically flat on the year so far, but we're well off December highs of nearly $98, now trading around $86.
So, oil and gas has been in a bit of a mini bear market. It's not a full-blown oil panic just yet, but we can't rule that out either.
Of course, OPEC+ decided they wanted a piece of the action.
&nbsp;Last week, they announced an increase in oil production, the first in several years.
For a while, they had been cutting production to keep prices elevated in the aftermath of COVID and the global slowdown.
But with economic weakness persisting in Europe and China, they decided it was time to open the taps.
Speaking of China, they wrapped up their latest high-profile economic meeting, the so-called Two Sessions, and they're targeting 5% growth this year.
&nbsp;Sounds great, right?
But with their ongoing real estate crisis and internal economic difficulties, hitting that number is no sure bet. The potential for continued weak Chinese oil demand is adding more uncertainty to the global picture.
What happens if a peace agreement is reached in Ukraine? Russian oil and gas restrictions could be lifted, which would bring even more supply onto the market.
Most of that would likely flow to China, further reducing the need for imports from Western and Middle Eastern producers.
That, my friends, is yet another factor weighing on oil prices.
But despite all this bearishness, don't forget that crude oil demand is still on the rise.
We may be in the doldrums now, but long-term, supply and demand dynamics are still positive.
That said, the U.S. is not in &#8220;drill, baby, drill&#8221; mode. Oil production growth slowed significantly last year, marking one of the smallest increases in years.
While natural gas production remains strong, there's been no serious bearish talk about gas prices.
Now, here's where it gets really messy: refining.
The U.S. refining industry is built to process heavy crude. We spent decades importing it, so we set up refineries along the Gulf Coast and in California to handle the heavy, sulfur-rich stuff.
Guess what?
We're now one&nbsp; of the world's top producers of light, sweet crude, and our refining infrastructure just isn't designed for it.
Converting a refinery to handle light crude costs hundreds of millions, potentially billions—of dollars, and getting the permits to build a new one?
&nbsp;Forget it. The only thing harder than getting a new refinery approved is getting a nuclear power plant built.
Between federal, state, and local governments, plus the inevitable backlash from environmental and citizen groups, new refining capacity is a distant dream.
Most of our imported crude comes from three places: Mexico, Venezuela, and Canada. And yet, we're either not trading with them or actively engaged in trade disputes. Venezuela's output just took a hit as the Trump administration gave Chevron a 30-day notice to shut down all Venezuelan crude operations. That's 50,000 barrels a day—gone. And with Venezuela still under heavy restrictions, that oil isn't coming back anytime soon.
So, what does this all mean for crude prices? More near-term weakness, probably.
Longer-term, the fundamentals point to higher prices.
We've still got tension in the Middle East, and Ukraine-Russia negotiations could fall apart in an instant. In fact, just last week, Russia ramped up military activity, attacking Ukrainian energy infrastructure with drones and airstrikes.
We're not out of the woods.
Historically, insider purchases in oil and gas firms have been highly predictive of subsequent rebounds. During previous downturns such as the 2008–2009 financial crisis, the 2014–2016 oil crash, and the COVID-19 collapse in early 2020, insiders stepped up their buying, signaling confidence in the long-term fundamentals despite widespread market pessimism.
Empirical evidence backs this up. During the 2014–2016 oil crash, when crude prices plunged from ~$100 to below $30 per barrel, energy executives aggressively bought shares.
Companies like Occidental Petroleum (Ticker: OXY), Diamondback Energy (Ticker: FANG), and Pioneer Natural Resources later posted double-digit annualized returns from 2016–2018.
A similar pattern emerged in 2020, when oil briefly went negative—insiders at companies like Apache (Ticker: APA), Devon Energy (Ticker: DNV), and ExxonMobil (Ticker: XOM) made significant purchases, and their stocks multiplied several-fold over the next 12–18 months.
We are starting to see that kind of insider activity in the oilpatch once again
&nbsp;Over at Permian Resources (Ticker: PR), board member William J. Quinn just bought 750,000 shares or$9.5 million worth. Quinn also picked up 300,000 shares last September.
Permian Resources is the biggest operator in the Delaware Basin and has been on a buying spree. They picked up Earthstone in 2023, financed entirely with equity, and expect to add over $225 million in annual cost savings. They have $2.5 billion in liquidity, and their debt was just upgraded by Moody's, S&amp;P, and Fitch.
The stock is trading under book value and at a single-digit P/E. That's the kind of setup we like.
Meanwhile, Dorchester Minerals (Ticker: DMLP), one of my favorite royalty trusts, is seeing insider buying. CEO Bradley Ehrman just added to his stake, and the Dorchester Minerals Operating Company has been steadily buying shares.
This trust collects royalties on oil and gas production, with no operational costs. The dividend yield should end up around 10% this year.
Northern Oil and Gas (Ticker: NOG) has also seen a shift.
&nbsp;For most of the last year insiders were selling&nbsp; small amounts of stock.
That changed last week. Directors Bahram Akhradi and Stuart Lasher just bought over $1.6 million worth of stock.
The stock is down to $27.88 from last year's high of $44.
With 11,000 wells across top basins, a focus on free cash flow, and a 6.5% dividend yield, this is another one that looks positioned for an eventual rebound.
Oil stocks have taken a beating.
But if you follow the insiders, they're telling you something: prices have fallen too far. And when oil bounces back—and it will—these companies are set up to win.

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