L'intérêt à découvert pour Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF donne aux investisseurs une idée du degré auquel les investisseurs parient sur la baisse de l'action de Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF. Les données sur l'intérêt à découvert sont mises à jour toutes les deux semaines.

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PowerShares DB USD Index Bullish

The fund invests in futures contracts in an attempt to track its index. The index is calculated to reflect the changes in market value over time, whether positive or negative, of long positions in DX Contracts.

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L&#39;inflation aux États-Unis a encore augmenté en mars, dépassant les attentes des économistes et décevant les investisseurs qui s&#39;attendaient à des réductions imminentes des taux d&#39;intérêt de la Fed.



Le taux

Inflation augmente plus que prévu à 3,5% en mars, anéantissant les espoirs de baisse des taux en juin.

Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF

On Wednesday, November 20, U.S. markets closed mixed. The Nasdaq slipped, weighed down by geopolitical tensions and Target&#8217;s disappointing performance. Nvidia declined ahead of earnings, which later underwhelmed. Meanwhile, the Dow edged higher, and the S&amp;P 500 remained flat.
In economic data, U.S. mortgage applications increased by 1.7% for the week ending November 15, up from the 0.5% rise recorded the previous week.
Healthcare, energy, and materials led S&amp;P 500 gains Wednesday, while consumer discretionary and financials declined.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.32% and closed at 43,408.47, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.002% to 5,917.11, and the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.11% to finish at 18,966.14.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Thursday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 declined 0.97% and ended the session at 38,002.50, led by losses in the Insurance, Transportation Equipment, and Power sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 fell 0.04% and ended the day at 8,323.00, led by losses in the Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples, and A-REITs sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 declined 0.73% to 23,346.70, and Nifty 500 slid 0.85% closing at 21,816.45, led by losses in the Public Sector Undertakings, Oil &amp; Gas and Power sectors.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite gained 0.07% to close at 3,370.40, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 rose 0.09%, finishing the day at 3,989.30.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng fell 0.53% and closed the session at 19,601.11.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.36%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX slid 0.02%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC declined 0.43%.</li>
<li>FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.20%</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 1.70% at $69.94/bbl, and Brent was up 1.58% at $73.95/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices rose amid escalating Russia-Ukraine missile strikes, overshadowing a larger-than-expected U.S. crude inventory increase.</li>
<li>Natural Gas rose 6.45% to $3.297.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.78% at $2,672.45, Silver was up 0.35% to $31.115, and Copper fell 0.83% to $4.1210.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures declined 0.07%, S&amp;P 500 futures were down 0.24% and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.35%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
The U.S. dollar index gained 0.04% to 106.72, the USD/JPY was down 0.64% to 154.44, and the USD/AUD slid 0.08% to 1.5357.
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

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Asia And Europe Markets Mixed; Dollar Hovers Near 52-Week High - Global Markets Today While US Slept

Investor sentiment remained subdued on Wednesday as escalating geopolitical tensions weighed on risk assets ahead of the week&#8217;s most anticipated event: Nvidia Corp.&#8217;s (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) third-quarter earnings report, set to be <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/tech/24/11/42093025/will-nvidia-deliver-a-blowout-beat-in-q3-poll-says-maybe-not-but-over-half-see-stock-clearing-150">released after market close.</a>
The market mood deteriorated further after multiple outlets confirmed Ukraine&#8217;s deployment of U.K.-made Storm Shadow missiles into Russian territory, a day after launching U.S.-supplied ATACMS missiles.
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), widely regarded as a barometer of market anxiety, spiked over 9%, underscoring rising apprehension among investors. 
Major U.S. indices were in the red, with the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 leading losses as technology stocks bore the brunt of the sell-off.
The U.S. dollar resumed its upward trajectory, with the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>), a proxy for the greenback&#8217;s strength, climbing 0.7%. Safe-haven demand also bolstered gold, which advanced 0.7%, reflecting investors&#8217; flight to safety.
Meanwhile, natural gas emerged as the standout performer among commodities, surging over 6% on the day.
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) defied the risk-off sentiment, climbing over 2% to hit a fresh intraday all-time high of $94,989. This propelled its year-to-date gains to an astonishing 123%. 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Performance In Major Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices </td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day % chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>43,198.51</td>
<td>-0.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,886.96</td>
<td>-0.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,311.30</td>
<td>-0.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,544.18</td>
<td>-0.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>CBOE VIX</td>
<td>17.94</td>
<td>9.7%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:30 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent111924&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) fell 0.5% to $587.21.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;fell 0.2% to $432.04.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) fell 0.6% to $500.28.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) fell 0.5% to $229.57.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Health Care Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLV#NYSE">XLV</a>) outperformed, falling 1%. The&nbsp;Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLP#NYSE">XLP</a>) lagged, down 1%.</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h1>
<ul>
<li>Target Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TGT#NYSE">TGT</a>) fell 22% in reaction to a negative earnings report. </li>
<li>Other stocks reacting to earnings included Keysight Technologies Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KEYS#NYSE">KEYS</a>), up 5.7%; XP Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XP#NASDAQ">XP</a>), down 6%; Dolby Laboratories (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DLB#NYSE">DLB</a>), up 14%; TJX Companies Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TJX#NYSE">TJX</a>), down 0.3% and Williams-Sonoma Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WSM#NYSE">WSM</a>), up 30%.</li>
<li>Apart Nvidia, other large-cap tech companies releasing earnings results after the call are Palo Alto Networks Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PANW#NASDAQ">PANW</a>) and Snowflake Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNOW#NYSE">SNOW</a>). </li>
</ul>
Read Now:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/large-cap/24/11/42094649/nvidia-stock-historically-drops-in-december-after-q3-earnings">Nvidia Stock Historically Drops In December After Q3 Earnings</a></li>
</ul>
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TSX:XL

Stocks Fall Ahead Of Nvidia Earnings, Dollar Resumes Gains, Bitcoin Reaches New Record Highs: What's Driving Markets Wednesday?

On Tuesday, November 19th, U.S. markets ended mixed. Nasdaq rose over 1%, and the S&amp;P 500 closed higher, driven by technology gains as Nvidia surged 4.9% ahead of earnings. Walmart climbed after raising forecasts. Losses eased after Moscow downplayed nuclear tensions. The Dow ended lower.
According to economic data, U.S. housing starts fell 3.1% to 1.311 million in October, down from 1.353 million in September, while building permits dropped 0.6% to an annual rate of 1.416 million.
The majority of S&amp;P 500 sectors rose, led by energy, communication services, and consumer discretionary, while industrials lagged and closed lower.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.28% and closed at 43,268.94, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.40% to 5,917.00, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.04% to finish at 18,987.47.
Asia Markets Today
On Wednesday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 declined 0.08% and ended the session at 38,373.50, led by losses in the Paper &amp; Pulp, Gas &amp; Water, and Transport sectors.
Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 fell 0.57% and ended the day at 8,326.30, led by losses in the Telecoms Services, Industrials, and Consumer Discretionary sectors.
India Markets closed for Assembly Elections in Maharashtra state.
China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite gained 0.66% to close at 3,367.99, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 rose 0.22%, finishing the day at 3,985.77.
Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng gained 0.21% and closed the session at 19,705.01.
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.47%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX rose 0.47%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC gained 0.34%.</li>
<li>FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.22%</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.38% at $69.47/bbl, and Brent was up 0.26% at $73.51/bbl.</li>
<li>Natural Gas rose 2.00% to $3.058.</li>
<li>Gold was trading lower by 0.14% at $2,627.60, Silver fell 0.98% to $30.957, and Copper rose 0.31% to $4.1550.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures gained 0.15%, S&amp;P 500 futures were up 0.06% and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.01%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. dollar index gained 0.40% to 106.63, the USD/JPY rose 0.74% to 155.80, and the USD/AUD rose 0.40% to 1.5370.</li>
<li>The U.S. dollar rebounded from a one-week low as safety-haven demand eased, while the yen fell to a three-month low, raising speculation about BOJ intervention.</li>
</ul>
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Asia Mixed, Europe Markets Gain; Gold Slips And Dollar Gains Against Yen - Global Markets Today While US Slept

On Monday, November 18, U.S. markets ended mixed, partially recovering losses as investors awaited Nvidia&#8217;s highly anticipated Q3 earnings, seen as a key gauge of AI-driven market momentum. 
Tesla shares climbed on optimism over potential policy shifts under the incoming Trump administration. While analysts note a widening focus beyond Nvidia, its influence on market sentiment remains significant.
In economic data, the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index rose to 46 in November, marking its highest level in seven months, up from 43 in October.
S&amp;P 500 sectors rose Monday, led by energy, communication services, and consumer discretionary stocks, while industrials declined.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.13% and closed at 43,389.60, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.39% to 5,893.62, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.60% to finish at 18,791.81.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Tuesday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 gained 0.45% and ended the session at 38,405.00, led by gains in the Paper &amp; Pulp, Steel, and Warehousing sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 rose 0.89% and ended the day at 8,374.00, led by gains in the Gold, IT, and Telecoms Services sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 closed 0.07% higher at 23,470.45, and Nifty 500 up 0.23% at 21,950.85, led by gains in the Auto, Real Estate and Consumer Durables sectors.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite gained 0.67% to close at 3,346.01, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 rose 0.67%, finishing the day at 3,976.89.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng gained 0.44% and closed the session at 19,663.67.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 1.47%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX slid 1.07%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC fell 1.32.</li>
<li>FTSE 100 index traded lower by 0.50%</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading lower by 0.88% at $68.56/bbl, and Brent was down 0.75% at $72.75/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices dipped as Norway&#8217;s Johan Sverdrup oilfield resumed production, offsetting geopolitical tensions and Kazakhstan&#8217;s output cut. A stronger U.S. dollar also pressured prices while investors monitored escalating Russia-Ukraine tensions and weakening market structure signals.</li>
<li>Natural Gas rose 0.30% to $2.982.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.94% at $2,639.20, Silver gained 0.92% to $31.508, and Copper fell 0.45% to $4.1015.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures declined 0.53%, S&amp;P 500 futures were down 0.38% and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.27%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
The U.S. dollar index gained 0.14% to 106.42, the USD/JPY was down 0.66% to 153.63, and the USD/AUD rose 0.17% to 1.5391.
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Asia Up, Europe Markets Slip; Oil Prices Pressured While Gold Strengthens - Global Markets Today While US Slept

On Friday, November 15, U.S. markets closed lower, with the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq recording their steepest losses in two weeks. The decline was fueled by worries over delayed interest rate cuts, reactions to economic data, and Trump&#8217;s cabinet picks, including Robert F. Kennedy Jr., raising vaccine policy concerns.
Related: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42013119/whats-going-on-with-large-european-and-us-vaccine-makers" rel="noreferrer noopener">European And U.S. Vaccine Stocks Are Under Pressure &#8211; Here&#8217;s Why</a>
According to economic data, U.S. export prices rose by 0.8% in October, while import prices increased by 0.3%. Retail sales grew 0.4% month-over-month, exceeding market expectations of 0.3% but lower than September&#8217;s revised 0.8% gain.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors fell, led by losses in tech, communication services, and healthcare, while utilities and financials gained, defying the broader market trend.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.47% and closed at 43,750.86, the S&amp;P 500 declined 0.50% to 5,949.17, and the Nasdaq Composite slid 0.64% to finish at 19,107.65.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Monday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 declined 1.05% and ended the session at 38,232.50, led by losses in the Real Estate, Shipbuilding, and Financial Services sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 rose 0.18% and ended the day at 8,300.20, led by gains in the Consumer Staples, Utilities and Gold sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 closed 0.50% lower at 23,462.70, and Nifty 500 down 0.28% at 21,901.10, led by losses in the Technology, Oil &amp; Gas, and Fast Moving Consumer Goods sectors.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite declined 0.21% to close at 3,323.85, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 fell 0.46%, finishing the day at 3,950.38.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng gained 0.77% and closed the session at 19,576.61.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.27%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX slid 0.08%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC fell 0.00%.</li>
<li>FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.30%</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.70% at $67.39/bbl, and Brent was up 0.73% at $71.56/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices rose amid the escalating Russia-Ukraine conflict. However, market gains were tempered by weak demand in China and a global oil surplus forecast. U.S. support for Ukrainian strikes against Russia increased geopolitical risks.</li>
<li>Natural Gas rose 2.34% to $2.888.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.99% at $2,595.80, Silver gained 1.27% to $30.820, and Copper rose 0.46% to $4.0830.</li>
<li>Gold prices rose, supported by a slowing dollar rally. Investors await Federal Reserve comments amid strong U.S. economic data reducing expectations for December rate cuts.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures declined 0.22%, S&amp;P 500 futures up 0.02%, and Nasdaq 100 futures gained 0.35%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. dollar index gained 0.02% to 106.70, the USD/JPY rose 0.41% to 154.97, and the USD/AUD rose 0.08% to 1.5484.</li>
<li>The dollar strengthened against the yen as Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda signaled potential future rate hikes without confirming timing.</li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock

Asia And Europe Markets Mostly Lower, Dollar's Uptrend Continues - Global Markets Today While US Slept

On Thursday, Nov. 14, U.S. markets ended lower after Fed Chair Jerome Powell dampened hopes for an interest rate cut, citing steady economic growth, a strong job market, and persistent inflation. Traders reduced bets on a December cut, leading to declines in the Dow, S&amp;P 500, and Nasdaq.
Powell&#8217;s remarks followed data showing a rise in producer prices for October, slightly higher than expected.
Related: <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/treasuries/24/11/41993899/powells-hawkish-remarks-shake-markets-stocks-fall-dollar-rockets-bitcoin-dips" rel="noreferrer noopener">Powell&#8217;s Hawkish Remarks Shake Markets: Stocks Fall, Dollar Rockets, Bitcoin Dips</a>
Economic data showed that U.S. jobless claims fell by 4,000 to 217,000 for the week ending Nov. 9, beating estimates of 223,000. Producer prices increased by 0.2% in October, matching market expectations after a revised 0.1% rise in September.
The majority of S&amp;P 500 sectors fell, led by consumer discretionary, industrials, and healthcare. However, tech and energy stocks ended higher.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.47% and closed at 43,750.86, the S&amp;P 500 declined 0.50% to 5,949.17, and the Nasdaq Composite slid 0.64% to finish at 19,107.65.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Friday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 declined 0.35% and ended the session at 38,637.50, led by gains in the Warehousing, Shipbuilding, and Trading sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 rose 0.74% and ended the day at 8,285.20, led by gains in the Utilities, Gold, and Financials sectors.</li>
<li>India Markets were closed for the Guru Nanak Jayanti holiday.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite declined 1.45% to close at 3,330.73, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 fell 1.75%, finishing the day at 3,968.83.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng slipped 0.09% and closed the session at 19,426.34.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.23%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX gained 0.14%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC fell0.04%.</li>
<li>UK&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.02%.</li>
<li>European stocks were mixed after weak U.K. growth data, higher French inflation, and hawkish Fed remarks.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading lower by 1.35% at $67.78/bbl, and Brent was down 1.28% at $71.63/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices declined, heading for a weekly loss amid concerns over weakening Chinese demand and fewer anticipated U.S. rate cuts. Lower refinery output and slowing factory growth in China added pressure.</li>
<li>Natural Gas declined 2.44% to $2.717.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.04% at $2,573.80, Silver gained 0.16% to $30.610, and Copper rose 1.6% to $4.1420.</li>
</ul>
US Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures decreased 0.44%, S&amp;P 500 futures were down 0.63%, and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.88%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. Dollar Index declined 0.15% to 106.51, USD/JPY was down 0.60% at 155.30, and USD/AUD slid 0.25% to 1.5453.</li>
<li>The U.S. dollar hit near one-year highs after Fed Chair Powell&#8217;s hawkish comments boosted Treasury yields, pressuring equities. The dollar&#8217;s surge weighed on the euro, gold, and oil prices.</li>
</ul>
Image via Pexels

Asia And Europe Markets Mixed; Fed's Hawkish Comments Boost Dollar - Global Markets Today While US Slept

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's unexpectedly hawkish remarks on Thursday sent markets into a tailspin. Major U.S. equity indices closed in the red, and the dollar soared for <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/interest-rates">a fifth consecutive session</a>.
In a speech to Dallas business leaders, Powell highlighted the remarkable strength of the U.S. economy, indicating that there's no need for the Fed to &#8220;be in a hurry to lower rates.&#8221;
He reiterated the central bank's commitment to reaching its 2% inflation target, stressing the need for careful decision-making as inflation remains above desired levels.
He highlighted productivity gains, which he said have &#8220;grown faster over the past five years than at any point in the two decades preceding the pandemic,&#8221; positioning the U.S. economy as &#8220;the best-performing among major economies.&#8221;
Addressing the October <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/41971830/producer-inflation-rises-more-than-expected-in-october-should-traders-rethink-interest-rate-cut-path">producer price index (PPI) uptick</a>, Powell labeled it &#8220;more than an upward bump&#8221; but maintained confidence in the trajectory toward the 2% inflation goal.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Markets Reassess Interest Rate Path: Traders Are Less Confident On A December Cut</h3>
Powell&#8217;s comments impacted the interest-rate market, with fed futures now reflecting a reduced likelihood of a 25-basis-point cut in December. 
The CME FedWatch tool shows the odds of such a move dropped to 58%, sharply down from around 80% earlier in the day.
The S&amp;P 500, tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), closed down 0.6%, fully erasing gains from last week&#8217;s rate cut. Energy was the only sector in positive territory, rising 0.4%, while industrials and health care led declines, each down 0.7%.
Top performers in the S&amp;P 500 included Tapestry Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TPR#NYSE">TPR</a>), Wynn Resorts Ltd. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WYNN#NASDAQ">WYNN</a>), and First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FSLR#NASDAQ">FSLR</a>), which rose 12.8%, 8.7%, and 7.2%, respectively. Among the laggards were Leidos Holdings Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LDOS#NYSE">LDOS</a>) and Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMCI#NASDAQ">SMCI</a>), down 13.6% and 11.4%, respectively.
Tech stocks, as tracked by the Invesco QQQ Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), declined 0.7%, marking a fourth consecutive loss. Blue chips followed by the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>) slipped 0.5%, while small caps in the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) underperformed, falling 1.3%.
The dollar continued to attract liquidity, with the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>) logging a fifth consecutive gain, reaching levels last seen in late October 2023.
Treasury yields also rose, with the 10-year yield closing at 4.46%. Gold, tracked by the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>), marked its fifth straight loss.
In crypto markets, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) was 1.7% lower in the past 24 hours to $88,013 at 5:21 p.m. ET, on track for its worst day in November.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/41984852/trumps-red-wave-pushes-emerging-market-stocks-to-2-month-lows-volatility-expected-to-remain-elevated">Trump&#8217;s Red Wave Pushes Emerging Market Stocks To 2-Month Lows: Volatility &#8216;Expected To Remain Elevated&#8217; </a></li>
</ul>
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Powell's Hawkish Remarks Shake Markets: Stocks Fall, Dollar Rockets, Bitcoin Dips

Producer inflation in October came slightly higher than anticipated Thursday, casting doubts on whether the U.S. economy's broader disinflationary trend will hold through <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/inflation">the year&#8217;s final quarter.</a>
Compared to October 2023, the Producer Price Index (PPI) surged to 2.4% last month, up from upwardly revised 1.9% and surpassing projections of 2.3% as tracked by TradingEconomics data. It marks the first increase in the annual PPI inflation rate after three straight months of declines. 
On a monthly basis, the PPI for final demand increased by 0.2%, accelerating the previous 0.1% reading and matching economic estimates of 0.2%. 
When excluding energy and food items, core PPI was up by 0.3% from a month earlier, accelerating from the previous 0.2% but matching estimates. On an annual basis, core PPI surged from 2.8% to 3.1%, topping expectations of 3%, marking the third straight month of gains. 
&#8220;Over one-third of the rise in the index for final demand services can be traced to prices for portfolio management, which advanced 3.6%,&#8221; the Bureau of Labor Statistics said. 
On Wednesday, consumer inflation data also showed an increase in October, matching expectations. 
Prior to Thursday&#8217;s PPI report, traders assigned a 79% of chance on a 25-basis-point rate cut in December.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Jobless Claims Below Expectations</h3>
Concurrently, unemployment claims rose by 217,000 in the week ending Nov. 9, down from the previous 221,000 and below estimates of 223,000.
Continuing claims fell to 1.873 million, down from 1.892 million and below the predicted 1.88 million.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reactions</h3>
Interest rate futures showed no major reactions following Thursday&#8217;s data releases, with speculators assigning a 77% chance of a 0.25% cut in December, as per CME FedWatch Tool. 
The higher-than-expected PPI report pushed Treasury yields slightly higher, with the 10-year yield reaching 4.48%. 
The dollar continued to hammer all other currencies, with the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – as tracked by the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>) – strengthening to levels last seen in October 2023. The greenback is also on track for a fifth straight session of gains. 
U.S. equity futures were mostly flat at 8:50 a.m. in New York. 
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41955977/trump-ignites-investor-optimism-for-growth-small-caps-us-dollar-bank-of-america-survey">Trump Ignites Investor Optimism For Growth, Small Caps, US Dollar: Bank Of America Survey</a></li>
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Macro Economic Events

Producer Inflation Rises More Than Expected In October: Should Traders Rethink Interest Rate Cut Path?

On Wednesday, November 13th, U.S. markets ended mixed. The Dow and S&amp;P 500 edged higher while the Nasdaq dipped. October CPI data met expectations, supporting bets on a December Fed rate cut. Core CPI rose 0.3%. Consumer discretionary stocks gained, driven by optimism over potential rate cuts.
According to economic data, the annual U.S. inflation rate increased to 2.6% in October, up from 2.4% in September, matching market expectations. The consumer price index (CPI) climbed 0.2% on a monthly basis in October.
Consumer discretionary, energy and real estate led S&amp;P 500 gains Wednesday, while tech and communication services stocks declined.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.11% and closed at 43,958.19, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.02% to 5,985.38, and the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.26% to finish at 19,230.72.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Thursday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 declined 0.61% and ended the session at 38,504.00, led by losses in the Precision Instruments, Automobiles &amp; Parts, and Power sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 rose 0.37% and ended the day at 8,224.00, led by gains in the IT, Financials and Consumer Discretionary sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 traded lower by 0.02% at 23,555.50, and Nifty 500 was up 0.30% at 21,981.65, led by losses in the Fast Moving Consumer Goods, Healthcare, and Public Sector Undertakings sectors.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite declined 1.73% to close at 3,379.84, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 fell 1.73%, finishing the day at 4,039.62.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng slipped 1.96% and closed the session at 19,435.81.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 1.27%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX gained 1.27%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC rose 0.86%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.20%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.18% at $68.55/bbl, and Brent was up 0.19% at $72.44/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices steadied as a strong U.S. dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields pressured the market.</li>
<li>Natural Gas declined 1.24% to $2.946.</li>
<li>Gold was trading lower by 1.43% at $2,549.60, Silver declined 2.42% to $29.922, and Copper slipped 1.83% to $4.0088.</li>
<li>Gold fell to a two-month low as a stronger dollar and sticky U.S. inflation data weighed on prices. Copper hit a three-month low on weak Chinese stimulus and tariff concerns.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures increased 0.13%, S&amp;P 500 futures up 0.10% and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.08%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. dollar index gained 0.52% to 107.03, the USD/JPY rose 0.45% to 156.16, and the USD/AUD rose 0.40% to 1.5481.</li>
<li>The U.S. dollar reached a one-year high, driven by inflation data and Trump&#8217;s election win. Yen neared intervention levels as USD/JPY surged.</li>
</ul>
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Dollar Hits One-Year High; China Falls, Gold Hits Two-Month Low - Global Markets Today While US Slept

The U.S. dollar surged past 155.60 yen on Wednesday, hitting levels unseen <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/us-dollar">in nearly four months</a>.
What Happened: Investors piled back into yen-dollar carry trades. The speculation is that the incoming Trump administration will aggressively hike tariffs on imports.
Economists expect the planned tariffs to reshape currency markets and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/inflation">stoke U.S. inflationary pressures.</a>
The greenback&#8217;s strength against the yen in six of the past seven weeks reverses early August losses tied to weak U.S. jobs data. Bank of Japan interventions also triggered an abrupt unwind of yen-dollar carry trade positions.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Inflation Data As Expected, Dollar Momentum Unshaken</h3>
On Wednesday, the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/41938762/october-inflation-rate-rises-to-2-6-as-expected-december-interest-rate-cut-remains-uncertain">U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report</a> showed inflation accelerating to 2.6% year-over-year in October 2024, meeting economists&#8217; expectations. Core CPI inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, stood at 3.3% for the third straight month, also aligning with forecasts.
This in-line inflation data helped quell concerns that the Federal Reserve might consider an interest-rate pause in December. Instead, speculators are now heavily betting on a 25-basis-point rate cut. Market-implied probabilities are rising to over 80%, as per CME FedWatch.
Yet, even an in-line CPI report fueling rate-cut bets wasn't enough to hold back the dollar's momentum.
The Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>), a trade-weighted gauge tracking the dollar, soared to its highest point in over a year as investors continued to flock to the greenback.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Tariff Speculation Drives Greenback Surge</h3>
Much of the dollar's recent strength can be attributed to Trump's proposed tariffs. During his campaign, Trump floated the idea of tariffs as high as 60% on Chinese goods. Additional hikes of 10% to 20% on imports from other countries are also expected.
Tariffs could curb U.S. demand for foreign goods, reducing the need for American companies to buy foreign currencies—a shift that would likely boost the dollar.
Additionally, tariffs might <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/10/41545408/tariffs-are-inflationary-imf-deputy-chief-rejects-trumps-trade-policies-as-elections-loom">drive up domestic inflation</a>. That could prompt the Fed to rethink its dovish stance on rate cuts, adding even more fuel to the dollar&#8217;s rally.
George Vessey, a forex strategist at Convera, said, "Trump's policies of a trade war in which the U.S. is less exposed and more-fiscally stimulative policies are expected to boost U.S. near-term economic outperformance vs. its G10 peers further. Economic momentum has shifted back in favor of the U.S.&#8221;
As global investors recalibrate to the new political environment, expectations for the U.S. dollar have jumped.
In the Bank of America Fund Manager Survey conducted before the election, 31% of respondents expected the dollar to be a top performer in 2025, slightly behind the yen at 32%. 
After the election, the dollar shot up to the top spot, with 45% of respondents naming it as their favored currency for 2025, while the yen fell to 20%.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/24/11/41722178/if-trump-and-republicans-sweep-dollar-may-climb-7-but-harris-win-could-bring-5-drop-says-jpmorgan">JPMorgan's pre-election analysis</a> suggested that a "Republican sweep" scenario — a GOP majority in the House and Senate — would lead to substantial dollar gains. In this scenario, the trade-weighted dollar index is projected to gain 7.3%, with some of the biggest moves expected against the Swedish krona (SEK) at +10.8% and the euro (EUR) at +8.4%.
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Election Scenario</th>
<th>USD TWI Change</th>
<th>USD vs. CNY</th>
<th>USD vs. EUR</th>
<th>USD vs. CAD</th>
<th>USD vs. CAD</th>
<th>USD vs. AUD</th>
<th>USD vs. SEK</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Republican Sweep</td>
<td>+7.3%</td>
<td>+4.4%</td>
<td>+8.4%</td>
<td>+4.7%</td>
<td>+6.1%</td>
<td>+7.9%</td>
<td>+10.8%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
David Morrison, senior market analyst at Trade Nation, highlighted the role of rising U.S. bond yields in supporting the dollar. "The jump in U.S. bond yields has been a major factor in the dollar's resurgence, as investors bet that the Trump presidency will, thanks to promises of tax cuts and deregulation, lead to increased economic growth. This should continue to surpass anything remotely achievable by the sclerotic economies across Europe and the UK," he said.
The prospect of new U.S. tariffs has European leaders on edge. French President Emmanuel Macron highlighted on Wednesday escalating risks for global supply chains if the U.S., Europe and China re-enter a trade war. 
American tariffs are likely to hit European exports of machinery and pharmaceuticals hard, creating potential economic headwinds for an already weak European economies.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41950023/us-stock-markets-equity-risk-premium-disappears-should-you-sell-now">US Stock Market&#8217;s Equity Risk Premium Disappears: Should You Sell Now?</a></li>
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Dollar Powers To 4-Month Highs Against Yen: Trump Tariff Expectations Spark Carry Trade Frenzy

Wall Street saw a modest rebound on Wednesday, spurred by an in-line inflation report that reinforced expectations for a December rate cut. The U.S. dollar continued to gain strength, buoyed by potential tariff tailwinds under <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump">the new Trump administration.</a>
Bitcoin again captured headlines as it surged past $93,000, lifting its market capitalization to $1.8 trillion and fueling a wave of enthusiasm across crypto markets, with Dogecoin up over 12%.
The Consumer Price Index met expectations in October, with the annual headline rate increasing to 2.6% and the core <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/41938762/october-inflation-rate-rises-to-2-6-as-expected-december-interest-rate-cut-remains-uncertain">rate steady at 3.3%. </a>
The report alleviated concerns over a potential rate pause in December, driving market odds for a 25-basis-point cut from 58% to 82%, as per the CME FedWatch tool. Treasury yields eased slightly in response to the report.
By midday in New York, all major U.S. equity indices were in slightly positive territory, although with the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 underperforming. Leading sectors included consumer discretionary and real estate, while utilities and health care lagged.
In political developments, U.S. Sen. John Thune (R-SD) was elected as the new majority leader in a secret ballot.
The U.S. dollar, tracked by the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>), hit its highest level since November 2023, marking a fresh one-year high.
Gold dipped 0.6%, on track for a fourth consecutive loss.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, ETFs</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day %chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>44,084.11</td>
<td>0.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,401.00</td>
<td>0.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>6,002.13</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>21,073.91</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:30 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent111224&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) rose 0.3% to $598.42.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;rose 0.4% to $440.97.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) flattened at $513.06.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) inched 0.3% higher to $238.1.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) outperformed, rising 1%. The&nbsp;Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>) lagged, down 0.3%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Rivian Automotive Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RIVN#NASDAQ">RIVN</a>) rallied over 18% after the company announced a joint venture launch with Volkswagen valued at&nbsp;up to $5.8 billion.</li>
<li>Albemarle Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALB#NYSE">ALB</a>) rose 6% after Berenberg raised the stock price target from $81 to $102.</li>
<li>Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMD#NASDAQ">AMD</a>) fell 2.4% after the company announced a 4% cut to its global workforce.</li>
</ul>
Stocks reacting to earnings report were: 
<ul>
<li>Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPOT#NYSE">SPOT</a>), up 12%</li>
<li>Occidental Petroleum Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OXY#NYSE">OXY</a>), down 1.2%</li>
<li>Flutter Entertainment plc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FLUT#NYSE">FLUT</a>), up 6.5%</li>
<li>Natera Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NTRA#NASDAQ">NTRA</a>), up 22%,</li>
<li>CAVA Group Inc., up 6.5%</li>
<li>CyberArk Software Ltd. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CYBR#NASDAQ">CYBR</a>), down 0.3%</li>
<li>Loar Holdings Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LOAR#NYSE">LOAR</a>), down 6%</li>
</ul>
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Photo via Shutterstock.

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Stocks Edge Higher, Dollar Hits 1-Year Peak, Bitcoin Soars To $93,000: What's Driving Markets Wednesday?

On Tuesday, November 12, U.S. markets ended lower as investors took profits after a post-election rally, anticipating upcoming inflation data. Worries over Trump&#8217;s inflationary policies, rising Treasury yields, and weak European markets intensified the decline.
According to economic data, U.S. consumer inflation expectations eased to 2.9% in October, down from 3% in the prior four months. The RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism Index jumped 13.4% in November to 53.2.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors declined, led by materials, health care, and real estate, while tech and communication services rose against the trend.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 0.86% and closed at 43,910.98, the S&amp;P 500 fell 0.29% to 5,984.00, and the Nasdaq Composite declined 0.09% to finish at 19,281.40.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Wednesday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 declined 1.55% and ended the session at 38,740.50, led by losses in the Transportation Equipment, Shipbuilding, and Trading sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 fell 0.75% and ended the day at 8,193.40, led by losses in the Metals &amp; Mining, Financials and Industrials sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 traded lower by 1.36% at 23,559.05, and the Nifty 500 was down 1.67% at 21,957.50, led by losses in the Real Estate, Capital Goods and Metals sectors.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite rose 0.51% to close at 3,439.28, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 rose 0.61%, finishing the day at 4,110.89.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng slipped 0.12% and closed the session at 19,823.45.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.08%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX gained0.12%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC rose0.10%.</li>
<li>U.K.'sU.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.12%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.88% at $68.70/bbl, and Brent was up 0.82% at $72.48/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices rose due to supply tightness but remained near two-week lows after OPEC cut its demand forecasts for 2024 and 2025, citing weakness in China.</li>
<li>Natural Gas declined 1.17% to $2.873.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.33% at $2,615.40, Silver gained 0.92% to $31.040, and Copper slipped 0.07% to $4.1338.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures decreased 0.12%, S&amp;P 500 futures were down 0.15%, and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.15%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
The U.S. dollar index is up 0.02% to 105.97, the USD/JPY rose 0.22% to 154.94, and the USD/AUD rose 0.10% to 1.5321.
Image via Shutterstock

Asia Markets Down, Europe Up, Dollar Makes 5-Month High - Global Markets Today While US Slept

On Monday, November 11th, U.S. markets closed higher, driven by stocks poised to benefit from Trump&#8217;s potential fiscal policies. Tesla surged, reaching a $1.1 trillion valuation, while crypto stocks rallied as Bitcoin hit a record $87,000. Traders are watching inflation data and potential Fed rate cuts closely.
Stocks approach year-end on strong gains, with the S&amp;P 500 up 26% YTD, boosted by AI optimism and Fed rate cuts. Traders await U.S. inflation data and Fed speakers, including Chair Powell, for insights on economic health and rate outlook.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors rose, led by consumer discretionary, financials, and industrials, while tech and real estate stocks declined.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.69% and closed at 44,293.13, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.10% to 6,001.35, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.06% to finish at 19,298.76.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Tuesday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 declined 0.48% and ended the session at 39,350.50, led by losses in the Transportation Equipment, Shipbuilding, and Trading sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 fell 0.13% and ended the day at 8,255.60, led by losses in the Gold, Energy and Resources sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 traded lower by 1.23% at 23,845.10, and Nifty 500 was down 1.33% at 22,290.05, led by losses in the Power, Public Sector Undertakings, and Capital Goods sectors.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite fell 1.39% to close at 3,421.97, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 slid 1.10%, finishing the day at 4,085.74.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng slipped 2.84% and closed the session at 19,846.88.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 06:00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.88%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX declined 0.82%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC fell 1.16%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded lower by 0.95%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 06:00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.91% at $68.65/bbl, and Brent was up 0.84% at $72.44/bbl.</li>
<li>Natural Gas declined 0.38% to $2.909.</li>
<li>Gold was trading lower by 0.60% at $2,602.00, Silver fell 0.63% to $30.422, and Copper slipped 1.87% to $4.1493</li>
</ul>
US Futures at 06:00 AM ET
Dow futures decreased 0.05%, S&amp;P 500 futures were down 0.16%, and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.15%.
Forex at 06:00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. dollar index increased by 0.25% to 105.81, the USD/JPY rose by 0.16% to 153.95, and the USD/AUD rose by 0.47% to 1.5282.</li>
<li>The U.S. dollar hit a four-month high as investors bet on Trump&#8217;s pro-crypto and tariff-heavy agenda, lifting Bitcoin to a new peak.</li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock

Asia And Europe Markets Cool Off, Dollar Strengthens To 4-month High - Global Markets Today While US Slept

On Friday, November 8, U.S. markets rallied, with the S&amp;P 500 briefly surpassing the 6,000 mark and posting its most substantial weekly gain in a year. The surge was driven by Donald Trump&#8217;s election win, expectations of pro-business policies, and an anticipated Fed rate cut. Optimism over a potential Republican sweep in Congress boosted investor sentiment, pushing the Nasdaq to record highs and securing the S&amp;P&#8217;s 50th record close of the year.
According to economic data, the University of Michigan&#8217;s consumer sentiment index increased to 73 in November, marking its highest level in seven months. This figure surpassed both October&#8217;s reading of 70.5 and market expectations of 71.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors gained, led by consumer staples, utilities, and real estate, while materials and communication services lagged.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.59% and closed at 43,988.99, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.38% to 5,995.54, and the Nasdaq Composite gained 0.09% to finish at 19,286.78.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Monday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 gained 0.18% and ended the session at 39,539.50, led by gains in the Shipbuilding, Railway &amp; Bus, and Services sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 fell 0.35% and ended the day at 8,266.20, led by losses in the Metals &amp; Mining, Resources and Materials sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 traded lower by 0.11% at 24,122.10 and Nifty 500 was down 0.32% at 22,572.70.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite rose 0.51% to close at 3,470.07, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 gained 0.66%, finishing the day at 4,131.13.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng fell 1.45% and closed the session at 20,426.93.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 1.24%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX gained 1.37%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC rose1.20%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.90%.</li>
<li>European markets opened on a positive note, lifted by record highs on Wall Street and a recent Fed rate cut. Gains were seen across major indices, although political uncertainty lingers due to Trump&#8217;s reelection and instability within Germany&#8217;s coalition government.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading lower by 1.06% at $69.31/bbl, and Brent was down 1.29% at $72.92/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices remained steady as concerns over U.S. storm disruptions eased and China&#8217;s stimulus plan disappointed investors. Weak demand growth in China and expectations of increased U.S. output under Trump&#8217;s administration further weighed on the market outlook.</li>
<li>Natural Gas gained 6.18% to $2.834.</li>
<li>Gold was trading lower by 0.71% at $2,675.60, Silver rose 0.36% to $31.562 and Copper slipped 0.24% to $4.2945</li>
</ul>
US Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures gained 0.37%, S&amp;P 500 futures up 0.27%, and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 0.22%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. dollar index increased by 0.26% to 105.27, the USD/JPY rose by 0.73% to 153.75, and the USD/AUD rose by 0.01% to 1.5180.</li>
<li>The U.S. dollar strengthened to three-month high, continuing gains from Trump&#8217;s election win, which raised expectations of inflationary policies and slower Fed rate cuts. Despite a recent rate reduction, the dollar retained most of its gains, with the focus shifting to upcoming inflation data.</li>
</ul>
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Asia Mixed And Europe Up, Dollar Gains To 3-Month High - Global Markets Today While US Slept

On Thursday, November 8th, U.S. markets ended mixed after the Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points, citing an eased job market and progress toward the 2% inflation target. Optimism over President-elect Donald Trump&#8217;s return lifted the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq to record highs, with global markets rallying in response.
Financials led declines among S&amp;P sectors, reversing strong gains from the previous session as bank stocks fell sharply.
The Federal Reserve cut rates by 0.25 points to a 4.5%-4.75% range, slowing the pace of easing from September&#8217;s 0.5% cut.
In economic data, U.S. initial jobless claims rose to 221,000 in late October, while Q3 nonfarm productivity increased by 2.2% and unit labor costs grew by 1.9%. Wholesale inventories fell 0.2% in September, and natural gas stocks climbed by 69 billion cubic feet to 3.932 trillion.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was flat and closed at 43,729.34, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.74% to 5,973.10, and the Nasdaq Composite soared 1.51% to finish at 19,269.46.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Friday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 gained 0.19% and ended the session at 39,468.50, led by gains in the Textile, Shipbuilding and Steel sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 rose 0.84% and ended the day at 8,295.10, led by gains in the Gold, IT, and Consumer Discretionary sectors.     </li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 traded lower by 0.21% at 24,148.20, and Nifty 500 was down 0.70% at 22,645.65.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite slid 0.53% to close at 3,452.30, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 declined 1.00%, finishing the day at 4,104.05.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng fell 1.7% and closed the session at 20,728.19.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 1.09%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX declined 0.99%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC fell 1.13%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded lower by 0.72%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading lower by 1.64% at $71.19/bbl, and Brent was down 1.35% at $74.62/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices edged lower as Hurricane Rafael&#8217;s impact on U.S. output eased and markets assessed Trump&#8217;s potential policies on global supply.</li>
<li>Natural Gas gained 0.63% to $2.710.</li>
<li>Gold was trading lower by 0.49% at $2,692.00, Silver fell 1.11% to $31.503, and Copper slipped 2.30% to $4.3290.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:30 AM ET
Dow futures slipped 0.04%, S&amp;P 500 futures were down 0.03%, and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.14%.
Forex at 05:30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. dollar index declined 0.02% to 104.49, the USD/JPY was down 0.39% to 152.37, and the USD/AUD rose 0.68% to 1.5072.</li>
<li>The U.S. dollar edged higher this week, buoyed by &#8220;Trump trades&#8221; but tempered by policy uncertainty. The yen rose, and the Australian dollar logged solid weekly gains.</li>
</ul>
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Asia Markets Mixed, Europe, Crude Oil, Gold And Dollar Cool Off - Global Markets Today While US Slept

On Wednesday, November 6th, U.S. markets closed at record highs as Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election. Investors anticipated lower taxes, deregulation, and Trump&#8217;s active stance on economic matters. The Dow, S&amp;P 500, and Nasdaq surged, while bitcoin also reached new highs.
Tesla shares surged, fueled by CEO Elon Musk&#8217;s endorsement of Trump, alongside gains in Trump Media &amp; Technology Group. Treasury yields rose amid expectations that higher tariffs could drive up inflation and expand the U.S. deficit.
According to economic data, U.S. mortgage applications dropped 10.8% last week, while crude oil inventories rose by 2.149 million barrels, exceeding the forecast of 1.8 million.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors closed higher, led by consumer discretionary, industrials, and financials, while consumer staples and real estate lagged.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 3,57% to close at 43,729.93, the S&amp;P 500 rose 2.53% to 5,929.04, and the Nasdaq Composite soared 2.95% to finish at 18,983.47.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Thursday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 declined 0.09% and ended the session at 39,394.00, led by losses in the Fishery, Marine Transport, and Food sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 rose 0.33% and ended the day at 8,226.30, led by gains in the Energy, Industrials and Financials sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 traded lower by 1.18% at 24,194.60 and Nifty 500 was down 1.02% at 22,796.95, losses in the Metals, Power and Real Estate sectors.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite gained 2.57% to close at 3,470.66, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 soared 3.02%, finishing the day at 4,145.70.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng rose 2.02% and closed the session at 20,953.34.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05.45 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.67%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX gained 1.27%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC rose 0.58%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 traded higher by 0.08%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05.45 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading lower by 0.88% at $71.06/bbl, and Brent was down 0.71% at $74.41/bbl.</li>
<li>Natural Gas slid 0.07% to $2.745</li>
<li>Gold was trading lower by 0.08% at $2,674.70, Silver fell 0.29% to $31.245, and Copper gained 2.28% to $4.3430.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05.45 AM ET
Dow futures climbed 0.22%, with S&amp;P 500 futures up 0.19% and Nasdaq 100 futures rising 0.21%.
Forex at 05.45 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. dollar index declined 0.19% to 104.89, the USD/JPY was down 0.40% to 154.00, and the USD/AUD fell 0.89% to 1.5086.</li>
<li>Global stocks rose, led by optimism over potential U.S. fiscal expansion under Trump&#8217;s presidency and anticipated rate cuts from the Fed and other central banks. U.S. Treasury yields increased, while the dollar eased slightly after Wednesday&#8217;s surge.</li>
</ul>
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

US Futures, European Stocks Rally Post-Trump Victory While Crude Oil And Gold Decline - Global Markets Today While US Slept

The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) recorded its sharpest one-day rally in over eight years on Wednesday as Donald Trump secured victory in <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/41772701/trumps-historic-return-7-ways-his-second-term-could-impact-the-us-economy">the 2024 presidential election. </a>
This currency-weighted gauge of the dollar – as tracked by the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>) – jumped nearly 1.8% in early New York trading, marking the steepest rise since June 24, 2016, when the British pound plummeted following the Brexit referendum, sparking a similar dollar spike.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="501" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06083511/image-50-1024x501.png" alt="" class="wp-image-632773" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06083511/image-50-1024x501.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06083511/image-50-300x147.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06083511/image-50-768x376.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06083511/image-50-1536x752.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06083511/image-50.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Global Forex Markets Face Wild Moves As Trump Return To White House</h3>
The dollar surged across the board, with notable gains against the euro, Chinese yuan and Mexican peso amid market concerns over potential U.S. trade tariffs under the Trump administration.
The euro, tracked by the Invesco CurrencyShares Euro Currency Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FXE#NYSE">FXE</a>), fell below $1.07, down over 2.1% in its worst session since March 2020. 
Last week, JPMorgan had projected that <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/24/11/41741466/if-trump-and-republicans-sweep-dollar-may-climb-7-but-harris-win-could-bring-5-drop-says-jpmorgan">a Republican clean sweep could weaken the euro</a> by as much as 8.4%, with analysts citing a potential widening in the U.S.-EU monetary policy gap. Higher inflation in the U.S. may prompt the Federal Reserve to maintain or hike interest rates, while the European Central Bank (ECB) could face pressure to cut rates, analysts said.
The Chinese yuan also took a hit, declining 1.2%, hitting 7.1960 — its largest drop in two years. Trump's promise to impose tariffs as high as 60% on Chinese imports fueled concerns of escalating trade tensions.
&#8220;The 7.2000 level is a critical psychological threshold, which, if breached, could prompt intervention by Chinese monetary authorities," highlighted Luca Cigognini, market strategist at Banca IMI.
The Mexican peso was another major losers, slumping 2.7% to its lowest level since August 2022. 
"We anticipate that some pragmatism will prevail, with partial reversals in the medium term," said Alejandro Cuadrado, chief market strategist at BBVA.
Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar, though down 0.8% against the greenback, outperformed other major currencies. 
"A Republican clean sweep bodes well for U.S. economic growth and Canadian exporters," said Francesco Pesole, foreign exchange analyst at ING Group, adding that Canada's currency remains relatively insulated from U.S.-China tariff dynamics and geopolitical risks under a Trump presidency.
Below is a snapshot of U.S. dollar movements against major currencies as of Wednesday morning:
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>USD vs.</td>
<td>Last</td>
<td>1-day chg (%)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Mexican Peso (MXN)</td>
<td>20.62843</td>
<td>2.61%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Euro (EUR)</td>
<td>0.9339</td>
<td>2.10%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Japanese Yen (JPY)</td>
<td>154.201</td>
<td>1.71%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Swiss Franc (CHF)</td>
<td>0.87582</td>
<td>1.50%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>British Pound (GBP)</td>
<td>0.77760</td>
<td>1.42%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Chinese Yuan (CNH)</td>
<td>7.193730</td>
<td>1.32%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Australian Dollar (AUD)</td>
<td>1.5230</td>
<td>1.14%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>New Zealand Dollar (NZD)</td>
<td>1.6818</td>
<td>1.04%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Brazilian Real (BRL)</td>
<td>5.7947</td>
<td>0.76%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Canadian Dollar (CAD)</td>
<td>1.39276</td>
<td>0.75%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 9:15 a.m. ET </figcaption></figure>
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/11/41769412/dow-nasdaq-futures-race-higher-as-trump-wins-white-house-djt-tesla-shares-surge-veteran-investor-pr">Dow, Nasdaq Futures Race Higher As Trump Wins White House: DJT, Tesla Shares Surge — Veteran Investor Predicts US Economy Could &#8216;Take Off&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Dollar Index Sees Biggest 1-Day Rally Since Brexit On Trump Victory

Donald Trump has won in the 2024 U.S. presidential election, making him the 47th president and the first to secure a non-consecutive second term since Grover Cleveland <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/11/41768178/donald-trump-defeats-kamala-harris-to-win-2024-election">in the late 1800s. </a>
The Republican Party also regained control of the Senate and holds a lead in the House of Representatives, with 198 seats to the Democrats&#8217; 180 as of early Wednesday morning.
Trump's victory paves the way for a significant shift in U.S. economic policy, highlighting the stark contrast between his and Kamala Harris's proposed approaches during the campaign. Trump&#8217;s policy direction includes ambitious tax cuts, higher trade tariffs, and potential rollbacks in climate initiatives, which could have significant economic implications for everything from inflation to the national debt.
Here's a breakdown of the seven key economic areas affected by the election outcome — and what was at stake had the results gone the other way.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">1) Taxes</h2>
Tax policy was a major dividing line in the 2024 election.
Trump campaigned on a promise to extend and expand his 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA), with additional reductions for corporations and the restoration of the state and local tax (SALT) deduction. Trump also proposed exempting some forms of income from taxation and repealing green energy tax credits, aiming to attract more business investment and spur economic growth.
&#8220;Trump's plan to lower corporate taxes is likely to give a boost to the economy at the expense of a greater budget deficit. The U.S. economy certainly doesn't seem to need it at this point, and there's a risk of overheating,&#8221; said ABN Amro senior economist Rogier Quaedvlieg.
By contrast, Harris supported tax increases targeting corporations and high-income households.
Harris's proposals included raising the corporate tax rate from 21% to 28% and increasing the top individual income tax rate to 39.6% on income above $400,000 for single filers and $450,000 for joint filers. 
Harris also advocated taxing long-term capital gains and qualified dividends at 28% for incomes above $1 million and introducing a tax on unrealized capital gains at death above a $5 million threshold.
According to the Tax Foundation, Harris's tax plan could raise approximately $4.1 trillion in revenue over the next decade but could reduce long-term GDP by 2% and cost the economy about 786,000 full-time equivalent jobs.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">2) Trade Policy</h2>
The two candidates presented vastly different visions for trade. 
Trump campaigned on a promise to impose a 60% tariff on Chinese goods and a universal 10% tariff on all imports. His rationale was to protect American manufacturing and reduce reliance on foreign imports, especially from China.
However, economists have warned that such aggressive tariffs could raise consumer prices and provoke retaliatory tariffs from U.S. trade partners.
"A full-scale implementation of Trump's tariffs will increase inflation and put the U.S. in a recession," Quaedvlieg said.
Erica York, senior economist at the Tax Foundation, highlighted that "tariffs are a particularly distortive way to raise revenue, especially as they invite foreign retaliation."
&#8220;Trade policy is the main channel by which the U.S. election could generate a global common shock,&#8221; wrote JPMorgan in a recent report.
In contrast, Harris supported a more moderate approach, which would involve targeted tariffs on specific industries to protect U.S. strategic interests, similar to the policies followed under the Biden administration.
Harris's plan focused on preserving trade relations with key U.S. allies while using tariffs selectively to support American industries. Analysts expected this approach to mitigate inflationary pressures and maintain a more stable global trade environment.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">3) National Debt</h2>
The election outcome also set the tone for U.S. fiscal policy, particularly around the national debt. 
Trump's fiscal plans, which include extending tax cuts and potentially increasing defense and infrastructure spending, are projected to add significantly to the national debt burden.
According to estimates by the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CRFB), Trump's proposals would increase the federal deficit by around $7.75 trillion in a baseline scenario between 2026 and 2035, pushing the debt-to-GDP ratio from its current level of 102% to 143%, which is 18% of GDP above current law projections.
In a high-deficit scenario, the deficit could rise to $15.55 trillion, pushing the debt-to-GDP ratio to 157%. 
Compared to Trump, Harris's fiscal plans took a more restrained approach to debt. In a baseline scenario, their proposals would have added $3.95 trillion to the national debt. This would increase the debt-to-GDP ratio to about 134% by 2035, a lower increase than Trump's plan.
In a high-deficit scenario, Kamala Harris would raise the deficit by $8.3 trillion over the same period, bringing the debt-to-GDP ratio to 144%.
"Fiscal policy is likely to be tighter under divided government than under single-party control," highlighted Goldman Sachs analyst Alex Phillips, suggesting that the elected president&#8217;s plan could face more checks and balances restricting high-deficit policies.
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/24/10/41611073/trump-vs-harris-how-their-fiscal-plans-could-add-trillions-to-the-us-national-debt">Trump Vs. Harris: How Their Fiscal Plans Could Add Trillions To The US National Debt</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">4) Inflation</h2>
Inflation was a central issue in the election, with economists projecting starkly different impacts from Trump's and Harris's policies.
Analysts broadly agreed that Trump's proposed tariffs — especially a 60% levy on Chinese imports and a 10% universal tariff — could drive up consumer prices in the U.S.
Gita Gopinath, deputy managing director of the International Monetary Fund, stated in October that &#8220;tariffs are inflationary.&#8221;
JPMorgan analysts estimate that such measures could increase inflation by as much as 2.4% in a worst-case scenario. ABN Amro also warned that Trump's tariff-driven trade policy could push inflation up by 1.7 percentage points.
Goldman Sachs chief economist Jan Hatzius projected a "sizable 1.1pp boost to U.S. inflation" under Trump's policies. 
By comparison, Harris's strategy of targeted tariffs on specific industries was intended to avoid widespread inflationary pressure, maintaining a more balanced approach to trade that would limit price increases for consumers. 
Economists saw Harris's approach as less disruptive to the broader supply chain. 
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">5) Interest Rates &amp; Fed Independence</h2>
The election result will also shape the Federal Reserve's role in monetary policy.
"The resurgence of inflation would force the Fed to raise rates again, or at least keep rates higher for longer," said Quaedvlieg.
Goldman Sachs&#8217; chief economist Hatzius suggested that Trump's policies could keep core inflation above 3% in 2025, rather than closer to the Fed's 2% target. This, Hatzius highlighted, &#8220;might well be a reason to delay cuts that might otherwise occur more quickly.&#8221;
Regarding the central bank independence role, Trump has a history of pressuring the Fed for lower interest rates, even suggesting negative rates at one point during his previous term. 
Analysts at the Brookings Institution expected that Trump's presidency could put the Fed under renewed pressure to align with his economic agenda.
Harris, in contrast, emphasized respect for the Fed's independence. "The Fed is an independent entity and as president, I would never interfere in the decisions that the Fed makes," Harris said during the campaign.
Economists indicated that Harris's stance would allow the Fed to focus on managing inflation and employment without political interference, potentially leading to a more stable and predictable monetary policy.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">6) US Dollar</h2>
The U.S. dollar is expected to strengthen under a Trump presidency, as higher inflationary pressures could prompt the Federal Reserve to adopt a more restrictive monetary policy stance.
A recent JPMorgan report suggests that a Republican sweep could boost the greenback by up to 7.3% within the first two quarters, while a Harris presidency with a divided Congress might lead to a decline of more than 5% in the dollar's trade-weighted index (TWI), as tracked by the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>). 
The table below provides JPMorgan's projections for currency movements over the next one to two quarters based on different 2024 election outcomes.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Election Scenario</th>
<th>USD TWI Change</th>
<th>USD&nbsp;vs.&nbsp;CNY</th>
<th>USD vs.&nbsp;EUR</th>
<th>USD vs. CAD</th>
<th>USD vs. CAD</th>
<th>USD vs. AUD</th>
<th>USD vs. SEK</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Republican Sweep</td>
<td>+7.3%</td>
<td>+4.4%</td>
<td>+8.4%</td>
<td>+4.7%</td>
<td>+6.1%</td>
<td>+7.9%</td>
<td>+10.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Trump w/ Split Congress</td>
<td>+3.3%</td>
<td>+3.0%</td>
<td>+4.3%</td>
<td>+3.3%</td>
<td>-5.4%</td>
<td>+4.6%</td>
<td>+5.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Harris w/ Split Congress</td>
<td>-5.4%</td>
<td>-2.7%</td>
<td>-3.9%</td>
<td>-4.0%</td>
<td>-4.0%</td>
<td>-2.9%</td>
<td>-5.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Democratic Sweep</td>
<td>-3.9%</td>
<td>-2.0%</td>
<td>-3.1%</td>
<td>-2.5%</td>
<td>-0.7%</td>
<td>-1.4%</td>
<td>-4.6%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/24/11/41722178/if-trump-and-republicans-sweep-dollar-may-climb-7-but-harris-win-could-bring-5-drop-says-jpmorgan">If Trump And Republicans Sweep, Dollar May Climb 7% — But Harris Win Could Bring 5% Drop, Says JPMorgan</a>
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">7) Foreign policy</h2>
The election outcome also has sharp implications for foreign policy, particularly around climate, energy sanctions and defense spending.
Trump pledged to withdraw from the Paris Agreement and scale back climate commitments made under the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA).
ABN Amro analysts warn that these rollbacks could harm long-term sustainability goals and impede the transition to a green economy. 
Harris, in contrast, pledged to uphold the U.S.'s climate commitments, supporting the Paris Agreement and clean energy goals set by the IRA.
According to S&amp;P Global, Trump also suggested he may relax sanctions on Russia to boost oil supply, while keeping a hard line on Iran and Venezuela.
Harris committed to maintaining sanctions on Russia, Iran, and Venezuela, aligning with the current administration's stance on energy security.
In defense, Trump emphasized shifting more responsibility to European allies. 
&#8220;A second Trump term would likely entail renewed defense and security pressures for Europe. Trump has stressed that he expects European countries to spend at least 2% of GDP on defense, as required by NATO members,&#8221; wrote Goldman Sachs economist James Moberly. 
Trump even proposed ending U.S. military aid to Ukraine, effectively transferring that burden to Europe.
In contrast, Harris indicated continued support for Ukraine and a collaborative approach with NATO allies, without reducing U.S. military commitments.
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Photo: Anna Moneymaker/Shutterstock.com

Trump's Historic Return: 7 Ways His Second Term Could Impact The US Economy

A second Donald Trump mandate could lead to marked shifts in global commodity prices, spurred by his pro-fossil fuel policies, potential tariffs, and <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump" rel="noreferrer noopener">aggressive trade stances</a>.
Oxford Economics <a target="_blank" href="https://www.oxfordeconomics.com/resource/trump-presidency-could-alter-the-trajectory-for-commodity-prices/" rel="noreferrer noopener">noted</a> that Trump has campaigned to "unleash a new ear for fossil fuels," as deregulation of the U.S. energy sector could increase the production of oil, coal, and natural gas.
They expect that accelerating the current expansion in the domestic production of energy commodities would "lower the prices and, in turn, outweigh greater demand for diesel and gas through the repeal of tax credits in the Inflation Reduction Act."
"Trump has pledged to roll back restrictions on drilling and permitting which were implemented under the Biden administration, as well as to streamline deregulation and end any [electric vehicle] mandates or green energy incentives," UK-based Gibson Shipbrokers stated, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/market-insights/latest-news/oil/102924-us-elections-trump-presidency-seen-as-bullish-for-tanker-rates-in-us-middle-east-russia-wild-card" rel="noreferrer noopener">per</a> S&amp;P Global's report.
Industrial metals and agricultural goods, including steel and soybeans, will likely feel the impact of renewed tariffs, especially in a trade showdown with China. While China sought to reduce its exposure to U.S. soybean imports by importing more from Brazil and Argentina, it still buys a notable amount of U.S. oilseed.
Futures prices reacted accordingly to the election results, with the November 2024 deliveries declining 2.01% on the CME exchange, while Soybean oil prices rose 0.42% for the same period.
Trump's proposed tariff of up to 60% would likely weaken demand for industrial commodities like copper, steel, and iron ore, all essential to China's manufacturing.
"If Trump wins, I expect we'll see a serious slowdown in demand for metals. China, the largest consumer of these resources, would be facing the toughest constraints," Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.reuters.com/markets/commodities/commodities-under-pressure-likely-trump-win-us-presidential-race-2024-11-06/" rel="noreferrer noopener">told</a> Reuters.
Such a shift could weigh on commodity-exporting nations like Australia, making it more challenging to maintain export revenues.
Matthew Durban, a former Australian Trade and Investment Commission economist, <a target="_blank" href="https://www.news.com.au/world/north-america/us-politics/increasingly-unstable-expert-claims-trump-win-would-be-calamitous-for-aussie-economy/news-story/c9e258889a0135c1f1cbbc80e3f1b234" rel="noreferrer noopener">highlighted</a> the risk for News.com.au, stating that Australia's economy would face "calamitous" consequences from reduced Chinese demand, which currently accounts for 35% of the country's exports. Tariffs would disrupt Chinese industrial activity, leading to lower demand for Australian commodities that fuel Chinese manufacturing, such as coal and iron ore.
That situation would put the country in strategic tension as it balances its close alliance with the U.S. and its economic reliance on China.
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Photo via Shutterstock

Donald Trump's Victory Could Disrupt Commodities, Put Australia In Precarious Position

Election 2024 Update: Donald Trump <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/11/41768178/donald-trump-defeats-kamala-harris-to-win-2024-election" rel="noreferrer noopener">won the 2024 election</a> over his Democratic rival Kamala Harris, the Associated Press declared. In his victory speech before the election was officially called, he praised running mate JD Vance and Elon Musk&#8217;s support.
Calling it &#8220;the greatest political movement,&#8221; Trump vowed to &#8220;fix everything about our country.&#8221;
On Tuesday, November 5th, U.S. markets closed higher, led by broad gains across sectors, as economic data signaled resilience in the services sector. Investors remain wary, however, with volatility anticipated due to the tight presidential race between Trump and Harris, which will impact both bond and currency markets.
In economic data, the September U.S. trade deficit expanded to $84.4 billion, marking its highest level since April 2022 and exceeding market expectations of $84.1 billion. ISM services PMI climbed to 56 in October, its strongest level since August 2022.
The S&amp;P 500 majority sectors ended in positive territory, led by notable gains in consumer discretionary, industrial, and utilities stocks.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 1.02% to close at 42,221.88, the S&amp;P 500 rose 1.23% to 5,782.76, and the Nasdaq Composite climbed 1.43% to finish at 18,439.17.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Wednesday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 gained 2.16% and ended the session at 39,428.50, led by gains in the Glass, Transportation Equipment, and Banking sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 rose 0.83% and ended the day at 8,199.50, led by gains in the IT, Financials and Consumer Discretionary sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 traded higher by 1.16% at 24,493.90 and Nifty 500 was up 1.61% at 23,043.90, led by gains in the Technology, Oil &amp; Gas and Capital Goods sectors.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite declined 0.09% to close at 3,383.81, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 slid 0.50%, finishing the day at 4,024.28.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng fell 2.23% and closed the session at 20,538.38.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s markets fell as Trump&#8217;s U.S. election victory raised concerns about renewed trade and tech tensions. Investors remain cautious, hedging against potential tariffs and sanctions affecting Chinese assets.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05.30 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 1.06%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX gained 1.18%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC rose 1.75%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 1.42%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 6.00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading lower by 1.17% at $71.11/bbl, and Brent was down 1.28% at $74.60/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices dropped as the dollar surged amid Trump&#8217;s projected election win and a larger-than-expected U.S. crude stock rise.</li>
<li>Natural Gas rose 0.11% to $2.673</li>
<li>Gold was trading lower by 0.55% at $2,734.40, Silver fell 1.30% to $32.350 and Copper slipped 2.68% to $4.3558.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 6.00 AM ET
Dow futures climbed 2.87%, with S&amp;P 500 futures up 2.29% and Nasdaq 100 futures rising 1.75%.
Forex at 6.00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. dollar index gained 1.38% to 104.85, the USD/JPY rose 1.58% to 154.10, and the USD/AUD rose 0.74% to 1.5176.</li>
<li>U.S. and European <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/11/41763731/bitcoin-past-73k-dollar-gold-stock-futures-rise-as-trump-harris-results-trickle-in" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">stock futures, the dollar, and bitcoin surged</a> after Trump&#8217;s projected election victory, stirring inflation concerns and lifting Treasury.</li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

Donald Trump Wins 47th Presidency -US Futures Up, Europe Up, Asia Mixed, Crude Falls And Dollar Strengthens

EUR/USD sees more downside below 1.0500 as ECB policymakers are concerned about growing risks to Eurozone economic growth.

EUR/USD Stays Under Pressure As ECB Officials Support More Rate Cuts

During my daily analysis of the GBP/USD pair, the first thing I notice is that we did try to rally, but it seems like above the 1.27 level, the sellers came in and really started to push the markets again.

GBP/USD Forecast: British Pound Gives Up Momentum

The GBP/USD exchange rate remained under pressure after the stronger UK inflation numbers published on Wednesday.

GBP/USD Forex Signal: Bearish Forecast Ahead Of UK Retail Sales Data

Ueda Lifts Yen, Leaving Euro And Sterling Pinned Near Lows

It's fascinating to observe how the U.S. dollar is strutting along a familiar path, echoing its post-election swagger from 2016.

Forex: Navigating The Digital Frenzy, FX Markets Still Pack A Punch

EUR/USD struggles below 1.0550 as headwinds mount. Oil rises amid escalating geopolitical tensions.

Two Trades To Watch: EUR/USD, Oil Forecast - Thursday, Nov. 21

The US Dollar flattens on Thursday after Fed's Williams said he sees inflation cooling and interest rates falling.

US Dollar Flattens After Fed's Williams Delivers Dovish Comments

The gains made yesterday by the GBP/USD currency pair to the resistance level of 1.2715 quickly evaporated.

GBP/USD Analysis: Struggles Near 6-Month Low Amidst Uncertainty

USD/CAD sustains above 1.3950 as the near-term outlook of the US Dollar remains firm.

USD/CAD Holds Key Support Of 1.3950 As Us Dollar Resumes Upside

The wildly underestimated escalation tensions are what‘s giving gold additional fuel to the upside. Silver and miners will fare considerably worse than gold.

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