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L&#39;inflation aux États-Unis a encore augmenté en mars, dépassant les attentes des économistes et décevant les investisseurs qui s&#39;attendaient à des réductions imminentes des taux d&#39;intérêt de la Fed.



Le taux

Inflation augmente plus que prévu à 3,5% en mars, anéantissant les espoirs de baisse des taux en juin.

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INVSC DB US DOLLAR INDEX BULLISH ETF

JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. analysts indicate that the fate of the U.S. dollar could swing dramatically depending on the outcome of <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/2024-election">the upcoming presidential elections. </a>
A Donald Trump victory with Republicans gaining full control of Congress could drive the dollar up by as much as 7.3%, while a victory of Kamala Harris with a divided Congress might lead to a drop of over 5% in the dollar's trade-weighted index (TWI), according to a report released last week.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">The impact of a Trump victory on the dollar</h3>
If Donald Trump returns to the White House, JPMorgan predicts a series of aggressive trade policies that could propel the dollar.
In particular, Trump has already threatened to hike tariffs on Chinese imports to 60% and suggested the possibility of introducing a 10% tariff on all U.S. imports. 
The return of Trump's protectionist trade policies would likely lead to a tariff-heavy approach that, according to JPMorgan's estimates, could bolster the dollar significantly.
&#8220;There is precedent for what the combination of fiscal stimulus and tariffs can do for FX; it is well known that the dollar benefited from both of these channels throughout 2018- 2019,&#8221; JPMorgan wrote. 
In a "Republican sweep" scenario, the dollar is expected to rally significantly, with the trade-weighted dollar index—tracked by the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>)—projected to gain 7.3%. In this case, the greenback could see its strongest gains against the Swedish krona (SEK), rising by 10.8%, and the euro (EUR), with an anticipated increase of 8.4%.
Conversely, if Harris wins with a split Congress, JPMorgan expects the dollar to experience its steepest decline, with the trade-weighted dollar index potentially dropping by 5.4%. This outcome would likely lead to a weaker dollar as trade tensions ease and economic priorities shift.
The table below highlights JPMorgan&#8217;s projected currency movements over the next one to two quarters under various election outcomes, providing forex traders with insights into how the 2024 U.S. election could shape the dollar&#8217;s trajectory.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Election Scenario</th>
<th>USD TWI Change</th>
<th>USD vs. CNY</th>
<th>USD vs. EUR</th>
<th>USD vs. CAD</th>
<th>USD vs. CAD</th>
<th>USD vs. AUD</th>
<th>USD vs. SEK</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Republican Sweep</td>
<td>+7.3%</td>
<td>+4.4%</td>
<td>+8.4%</td>
<td>+4.7%</td>
<td>+6.1%</td>
<td>+7.9%</td>
<td>+10.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Trump w/ Split Congress</td>
<td>+3.3%</td>
<td>+3.0%</td>
<td>+4.3%</td>
<td>+3.3%</td>
<td>-5.4%</td>
<td>+4.6%</td>
<td>+5.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Harris w/ Split Congress</td>
<td>-5.4%</td>
<td>-2.7%</td>
<td>-3.9%</td>
<td>-4.0%</td>
<td>-4.0%</td>
<td>-2.9%</td>
<td>-5.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Democratic Sweep</td>
<td>-3.9%</td>
<td>-2.0%</td>
<td>-3.1%</td>
<td>-2.5%</td>
<td>-0.7%</td>
<td>-1.4%</td>
<td>-4.6%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Source: J.P. Morgan Global FX Strategy</figcaption></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Why could Trump&#8217;s tariffs trigger a dollar rally?</h3>
Economists at JPMorgan, the world's largest investment bank, estimate that the tariffs imposed during Trump's first term raised inflation by about 0.3% and shaved 0.4% off GDP growth. 
However, analysts at JPMorgan warn that a second Trump administration could cause even greater economic disruptions if tariffs are ramped up further.
"In the event of a Trump 2.0 administration, the impact from a tariff war 2.0 could be much higher," the JPMorgan team stated. 
They project that a 60% tariff on all Chinese imports would raise U.S. consumer prices by 1.1%, while a universal 10% tariff on all imports could push inflation up by as much as 1.5%.
In a worst-case scenario—where both a 60% tariff on Chinese goods and a 10% universal tariff are imposed—inflation could spike by 2.4%, putting significant pressure on American consumers and businesses.
This inflationary surge would likely force the Federal Reserve to shift back to a more hawkish stance, reversing any plans to ease monetary policy. 
Higher interest rates would be necessary to counteract the inflationary impact of tariffs, which could create a stronger monetary policy divergence between the U.S. and other economies.
For the dollar, this scenario would represent a tailwind. Rising interest rates make U.S. assets, like Treasuries, more attractive to foreign investors due to their higher yields. This increased demand for U.S. assets, driven by yield differentials, would boost demand for dollars, strengthening the greenback further in the face of escalating trade tensions.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/24/10/41455013/how-us-elections-could-impact-us-dollar-goldman-sachs-expects-greenback-will-remain-stronger-for-lon">How US Elections Could Impact US Dollar: Goldman Sachs Expects Greenback Will Remain &#8216;Stronger For Longer&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>

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Economics

If Trump And Republicans Sweep, Dollar May Climb 7% — But Harris Win Could Bring 5% Drop, Says JPMorgan

On Friday, November 1st, U.S. markets closed higher, rebounding from Thursday&#8217;s drop as Amazon&#8217;s strong earnings provided a boost despite weak October job growth in the U.S.
Amazon&#8217;s solid retail sales helped offset investor worries, while Apple faced pressure due to declining China sales. Other tech giants, including Meta and Microsoft, had reported earnings with caution over AI infrastructure costs, impacting the Nasdaq earlier.
Economic data showed that the U.S. economy added 2,000 jobs, a notable drop from the revised 223,000 positions added in September and falling short of the anticipated 113,000. Average hourly wages rose by 0.4% to $35.46, while the unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%.
The majority of S&amp;P 500 sectors ended down Friday, led by losses in utilities, energy, and real estate, while consumer discretionary and tech stocks closed higher.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.69% to close at 42,052.19, the S&amp;P 500 rose 0.41% to 5,728.80, and the Nasdaq Composite increased 0.80% to finish at 18,239.92.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>Japan Markets closed for the Culture Day holiday.</li>
<li>On Monday, Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 gained 0.56% and ended the day at 8,164.60, led by gains in the IT, Utilities, and Telecoms Services sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 traded lower by 1.29% at 23,989.65, and the Nifty 500 was down 1.38% at 22,508.65.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite rose 1.17% to close at 3,310.21, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 gained 1.41%, finishing the day at 3,944.76.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng gained 0.30% and closed the session at 20,567.52.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05.45 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.27%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX gained 0.15%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC rose 0.40%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.63%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05.45 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 2.33% at $71.10/bbl, and Brent was up 2.19% at $74.70/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices rose as OPEC+ postponed its planned output increase, signaling support amid weak demand. This gain occurs as markets prepare for a significant week, with the U.S. presidential election, potential Federal Reserve rate cuts, and key economic decisions from China&#8217;s Congress.</li>
<li>Natural Gas declined 1.01% at $2.636.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.07% at $2,751.15, Silver gained 0.65% to $32.883, and Copper rose 0.87% to $4.4095.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05.45 AM ET
Dow futures were up 0.09%, S&amp;P 500 futures gained 0.22%, and Nasdaq 100 Futures rose 0.21%.
Forex at 05.45 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. dollar index fell 0.54% to 103.72, the USD/JPY was down 0.76% to 151.82, and the USD/AUD gained 0.30% to 1.5169.</li>
<li>The dollar fell as markets reacted to a surprise poll showing Kamala Harris leading, boosting investor sentiment for continuity. Uncertainty surrounding the close U.S. election and potential Fed rate cut also contributed to caution in currency markets.</li>
</ul>
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

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Asia Mixed, Europe Market Gains In US Election Week; Crude Oil Up 2% - Global Markets Today While US Slept

On Thursday, October 31st, U.S. markets closed lower as Microsoft and Meta highlighted rising AI-related costs that could affect future earnings, dampening optimism for megacap stocks that have driven this year&#8217;s rally. Meta and Microsoft shares both slipped despite beating earnings estimates, while Amazon and Apple reported strong quarterly results after market close, bolstered by growth in cloud services and iPhone sales, respectively.
According to economic data, U.S. initial jobless claims fell by 12,000 to 216,000 for the week ending October 26th, while the personal consumption expenditure price index rose by 0.2% in September, up from a 0.1% increase in August.
S&amp;P 500 sectors fell, led by information technology, consumer discretionary, and real estate, while utilities and energy stocks closed higher.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.90% to close at 41,763.46, the S&amp;P 500 declined 1.86% to 5,705.45, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 2.76% to finish at 18,095.15.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Friday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 closed lower by 2.79% at 38,009.50, led by losses in the Transportation Equipment, Rubber, and Pharmaceutical Industry sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 declined 0.50% and ended the day at 8,118.80, led by losses in the Transportation Equipment, Rubber, and Pharmaceutical Industry sectors.</li>
<li>India markets are closed for the Diwali Holiday.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite fell 0.22% to close at 3,272.57, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 slid 0.03%, finishing the day at 3,890.90.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng gained 0.93% and closed the session at 20,506.43.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 06.00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.59%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX gained 0.56%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC rose 0.52%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.56%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 06.00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 2.63% at $71.08/bbl, and Brent was up 2.40% at $74.56/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices rose over +2% amid reports of Iran preparing a retaliatory strike on Israel from Iraq. The increase was also supported by expectations that OPEC+ might delay planned production hikes.</li>
<li>Natural Gas rose 0.07% at $2.792.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.34% at $2,758.65, Silver gained 0.41% to $32.935, and Copper rose 0.60% to $4.3660.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 06.00 AM ET
Dow futures were up 0.27%, S&amp;P 500 futures gained 0.35%, and Nasdaq 100 Futures rose 0.40%.
Forex at 06.00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. dollar index rose 0.16% to 104.15, the USD/JPY rose 0.48% to 152.77, and the USD/AUD gained 0.26% to 1.5235.</li>
<li>The dollar steadied after its strongest month in two years as investors awaited U.S. jobs data. The yen softened, giving up recent gains ahead of Japan&#8217;s three-day weekend and key risk events.</li>
</ul>
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

News

Asia In Red, Europe Markets Gain; Crude Oil Rises 2.5% - Global Markets Today While US Slept

Editor&#8217;s note: This story has been updated with additional details. 
Traders faced an unwelcome Halloween threat on Thursday as the Federal Reserve&#8217;s favored inflation measure accelerated, raising some concerns on the likelihood of back-to-back interest rate cuts going into the final two monetary policy <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/economics">meetings of the year</a>. 
The PCE price index rose 2.1% year-over-year, in line with analyst forecasts. Yet the core PCE index — which strips out volatile food and energy prices and gives a better indication of underlying price pressures — rose 2.7%, slightly above the expected 2.6%.
The latter stronger-than-expected inflation figure could keep the Fed on alert as it weighs its next policy moves. While a 25-basis-point rate cut at next week's Fed meeting is widely seen as a done deal as per the CME FedWatch tool, market expectations for another cut in December could face some setbacks.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Personal Income And Outlays Report For September: Key Highlights</h3>
<ul>
<li>The PCE price index rose 0.2% month-over-month in September, matching the predicted 0.2% and accelerating from the previous 0.1%. </li>
<li>The core PCE price index rose 0.3% from the previous month, accelerating from 0.1% and matching estimates. </li>
<li>On an annual basis, the headline PCE price index surged 2.1%, down from August&#8217;s upwardly revised 2.3%. </li>
<li>The core PCE price index held at 2.7% year-over-year, as in August. </li>
<li>Personal income increased by $71.6 billion, or 0.3%, in September, matching expectations of 0.3% and above the previous month&#8217;s 0.2% growth. </li>
<li>Personal saving&nbsp;rate eased from 4.8% to 4.6%, with personal savings down from $1.05 trillion to $1 trillion in September.</li>
<li>Personal spending increased by $105.8 billion, or 0.5%, surpassing estimates of 0.4% and accelerating from the previous 0.2%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reactions</h3>
Markets showed minimal reaction to the latest PCE inflation report, with the U.S. dollar index (DXY), tracked by the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>), largely maintaining its morning losses of 0.2%.
Treasury yields were steady, with the two-year yield, sensitive to rate changes, holding at 4.17%.
As of 8:50 a.m. in New York, S&amp;P 500 futures were down 0.6%, while Nasdaq 100 contracts also dipped by 0.6%. Yet, both held broadly steady after the inflation data release. 
On Wednesday, the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) fell 0.3%, ending a two-day winning streak. 
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41649350/as-microsoft-meta-slide-after-earnings-calls-jim-cramer-says-hyperscalers-are-not-w">As Microsoft, Meta Slide After Earnings Calls, Jim Cramer Says &#8216;Hyperscalers Are Not Warning About Worsening AI Losses&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
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Fed's Favorite Inflation Metric Accelerates In September, Personal Income Rises More Than Expected (UPDATED)

On Wednesday, October 30th, U.S. markets closed in red, weighed down by declines in chip stocks as investors awaited a wave of corporate earnings. Microsoft and Meta reported earnings post-close, both exceeding revenue estimates, while Alphabet gained after surpassing third-quarter revenue and profit expectations earlier in the week.
U.S. economic data showed third-quarter GDP grew at a 2.8% annualized rate, slightly below the forecasted 3.0%. U.S. private payrolls exceeded expectations, adding 233,000 jobs in October.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.22% to close at 42,141.54, the S&amp;P 500 declined 0.33% to 5,813.67, and the Nasdaq Composite fell 0.56% to finish at 18,607.93.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Thursday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 closed lower by 0.59% at 39,099.50, led by losses in the Transportation Equipment, Rubber, and Pharmaceutical Industry sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 declined 0.25% and ended the day at 8,160.00, led by losses in the Consumer Staples, Utilities and Materials sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 traded lower by 0.42% at 24,238.50 and Nifty 500 was down 0.19% at 22,707.45.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite rose 0.42% to close at 3,279.82, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 gained 0.04%, finishing the day at 3,891.04.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng declined 0.31% and closed the session at 20,317.33.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 06.00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.76%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX declined 0.51%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC fell 0.81%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded lower by 0.71%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 06.00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.38% at $68.87/bbl, and Brent was up 0.39% at $72.44/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices rose, extending a rally fueled by optimism about U.S. fuel demand following unexpected drops in crude and gasoline inventories.</li>
<li>Natural Gas fell 1.86% at $2.792.</li>
<li>Gold was trading lower by 0.53% at $2,786.20, Silver declined 1.27% to $33.645, and Copper rose 0.02% to $4.3515.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 06.00 AM ET
Dow futures were down 0.46%, S&amp;P 500 futures fell 0.78%, and Nasdaq 100 Futures declined 1.05%.
Forex at 06.00 AM ET
The U.S. dollar index slid 0.05% to 103.95, the USD/JPY was down 0.68% to 152.36, and the USD/AUD gained 0.07% to 1.5221.
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Asia Ex-China And Europe Markets Dip; Crude Extends Gains While Dollar Softens - Global Markets Today While US Slept

The U.S. economy grew at an annualized rate of 2.8% in the third quarter, according to official <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s">advance estimates released Wednesday.</a>
This marks a slowdown from the 3% growth recorded in the second quarter and fell short of the anticipated 3%. The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model forecasted a 3.3% increase prior to the release.
In a separate release, the ADP National Employment report showed that private payrolls surged by 233,000 in October, sharply accelerating from 143,000 in September and well above economist expectations of 115,000, as tracked by TradingEconomics. 
The ADP data — which uses anonymized payroll data of more than 25 million U.S. employees – offers encouraging insights ahead of Friday&#8217;s official jobs report, suggesting the U.S. economy likely maintained robust job growth throughout the month, despite the hurdles posed by recent hurricanes and uncertainties surrounding the U.S. elections.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">US GDP Rises By 2.8% In Q3, Misses Estimates</h2>
Consumer spending increased due to rises in both goods and services. 
Key contributors within goods included nondurable goods, notably prescription drugs, and motor vehicles and parts. For services, health care — primarily outpatient services — and food services and accommodations drove the growth.
The rise in exports was largely driven by capital goods (excluding automotive), while the increase in federal government spending was led by defense expenditures. Imports rose, mainly due to a surge in capital goods (excluding automotive).
The slower real GDP growth in the third quarter compared to the second was mainly due to a decline in private inventory investment and a larger drop in residential fixed investment.
These were partially offset by stronger exports, consumer spending and federal government spending. Imports also saw an uptick.
The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index&nbsp;increased 1.5%, compared with an increase of 2.5% previously. Core PCE prices advanced at 2.2% pace, decelerating from 2.8% and above expectations of 2.1%.
<h2 class="wp-block-heading">October&#8217;s ADP National Employment Report Positively Surprises </h2>
<ul>
<li>In October, goods-producing industries saw an increase of 22,000 jobs, up from the 8,000 added in September.</li>
<li>Manufacturing lost 19,000 positions, a sharper decline compared to the 12,000 layoffs in the prior month, while construction added 37,000 jobs.</li>
<li>Service-providing industries experienced strong growth, adding 211,000 jobs, a significant jump from the 81,000 hired in September. </li>
<li>Education and health services gained 53,000 positions; trade, transportation, and utilities added 51,000; and leisure and hospitality grew by 37,000.</li>
<li>Annual pay growth for employees staying in their roles fell to 4.6%, extending a two-year decline, while pay gains for job switchers slowed to 6.2%.</li>
<li>&#8220;Even amid hurricane recovery, job growth was strong in October. As we round out the year, hiring in the U.S. is proving to be robust and broadly resilient,&#8221; said Nela Richardson, chief economist at ADP.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reactions</h3>
The dollar gained traction on Thursday morning trading, with the U.S. dollar index (DXY) – as tracked by the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>) – rising 0.3% after the economic releases. 
The greenback showed a stronger reaction to employment statistics before consolidating its gains following the GDP release.
Short-dated yields surged as expectations for a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve diminished. Yields on the 2-year Treasury bond rose by 4 basis points to 4.14%. 
While a 25-basis-point rate cut next week is nearly certain, implied odds for a similar move in December dropped to 70% from 75% according to CME FedWatch.
Major U.S. index futures slipped after the data release, with S&amp;P 500 futures steady and Nasdaq 100 futures down 0.1% as of 08:55 a.m. in New York.
The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) ended Tuesday up 0.2%, less than a percentage point below its all-time high.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/10/41621194/us-stocks-likely-to-open-higher-as-investors-eye-gdp-print-strong-alphabet-results-to-kick-off-mag-">US Stocks Likely To Open Higher As Investors Eye GDP Print, Strong Alphabet Results To Kick Off &#8216;Mag 7&#8217; Earnings Week: Strategist Flags November As &#8216;Best Month Of The Year&#8217; For Markets</a></li>
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Photo via Shutterstock.

US Economy Grows Less Than Expected In Q3, Yet Private Employment Soars By 233,000 In October

On Tuesday, October 29, U.S. markets closed mixed: the Nasdaq reached a record high, the S&amp;P 500 gained, and the Dow declined as investors evaluated earnings reports. Alphabet&#8217;s strong revenue, along with upcoming results from other &#8220;Magnificent Seven&#8221; tech giants, will determine if Wall Street&#8217;s optimism for AI and tech can sustain recent index gains.
Economic data showed the S&amp;P CoreLogic Case-Shiller index rose 5.2% year-over-year in August, down from July&#8217;s 5.9%. U.S. wholesale inventories dipped 0.1% in September, while the trade deficit widened to $108.2 billion from $94.2 billion.
S&amp;P 500 sectors closed lower, led by losses in energy, consumer staples, and utilities, while information technology and communication services stocks outperformed.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.36% to close at 42,233.05, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.16% to 5,832.92, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.78% to finish at 18,712.75.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Wednesday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 closed higher by 1.16% at 39,332.00, led by gains in the Shipbuilding, Finance &amp; Investment and Banking sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 declined 0.83% and ended the day at 8,180.40, led by losses in the Consumer Staples, Consumer Discretionary, and Healthcare sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 traded lower by 0.48% at 24,350.30 and Nifty 500 was down 0.20% at 22,750.05.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite fell 0.61% to close at 3,266.24, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 fell 0.90%, finishing the day at 3,889.45.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng declined 1.55% and closed the session at 20,380.64.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 06.00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.88%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX declined 0.59%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC fell 1.09%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded lower by 0.22%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 06.00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.76% at $67.69/bbl, and Brent was up 0.71% at $71.22/bbl.</li>
<li>Natural Gas fell 0.21% at $2.853.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.58% at $2,797.30, Silver gained 0.03% to $34.453, and Copper slid 0.09% to $4.3567.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 06.00 AM ET
Dow futures were up 0.03%, S&amp;P 500 futures rose 0.19%, and Nasdaq 100 Futures increased 0.14%.
Forex at 06.00 AM ET
The U.S. dollar index slid 0.18% to 104.12, the USD/JPY was down 0.30% to 152.91, and the USD/AUD fell 0.37% to 1.5186.
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Asia Ex-Japan And Europe Markets Dip; Gold Clocks New High, Dollar Softens - Global Markets Today While US Slept

On Monday, October 28th, U.S. markets closed higher, driven by anticipation for a wave of earnings reports from major tech companies and relief that energy supplies remained steady despite geopolitical tensions. Key stocks like Alphabet, Meta, and Apple gained ahead of their earnings, with investors focused on AI spending and 2024 capital expenditure plans.
Economic data showed that the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas reported that Texas' manufacturing business activity index improved to -3 in October, up from -9 in September.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors closed higher, led by gains in financials, materials, and utilities, while tech and energy declined.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.65% to close at 42,387.57, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.27% to 5,823.52, and the Nasdaq Composite was up 0.26% and ended the session at 18,567.19.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Tuesday, Japan's Nikkei 225 closed higher by 0.60% at 38,882.50, led by gains in the Pharmaceutical Industry, Automobiles &amp; Parts and Precision Instruments sectors.</li>
<li>Australia's S&amp;P/ASX 200 gained 0.34% and ended the day at 8,249.20,  led by gains in the Gold, Consumer Discretionary and IT sectors.</li>
<li>India's Nifty 50 traded higher by 0.51% at 24,463.75 and Nifty 500 was up 0.65% at 22,796.95.</li>
<li>China's Shanghai Composite fell 1.08% to close at 3,286.41 and the Shenzhen CSI 300 slid 1.00%, finishing the day at 3,924.65.</li>
<li>Hong Kong's Hang Seng gained 0.49% and closed the session at 20,701.14.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05.45 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.55%.</li>
<li>Germany's DAX gained 0.53%.</li>
<li>France's CAC rose 0.74%.</li>
<li>U.K.'s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.42%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05.45 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.68% at $67.85/bbl, and Brent was up 0.66% at $71.49/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices edged higher after a 6% drop in the previous session, with support from a U.S. plan to purchase oil for the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. However, ongoing concerns about weak demand growth and limited Middle East escalation weighed on prices.</li>
<li>Natural Gas fell 1.26% at $2.827.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.27% at $2,763.45, Silver rose 0.67% to $34.233, and Copper gained 1.05% to $4.4088.</li>
</ul>
US Futures at 05.45 AM ET
Dow futures were up 0.01%, S&amp;P 500 futures rose 0.01%, and Nasdaq 100 Futures increased 0.06%.
Forex at 05.45 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. Dollar Index slid 0.07% to 104.23, USD/JPY was up 0.08% at 153.40 and USD/AUD gained 0.15% to 1.5212.</li>
<li>Asian markets were mixed as investors awaited key U.S. tech earnings and jobs data. The dollar hovered near a three-month high, supported by strong U.S. economic indicators and election expectations. Japanese yen stabilized post-election, while crude prices remained low amid reduced Middle East conflict concerns.</li>
</ul>
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Asia Markets Mixed, Europe Up, While Crude Oil Rebounds - Global Markets Today While US Slept

On Friday, October 25th, U.S. markets closed mixed, with the Nasdaq ending higher, boosted by megacap stocks such as Tesla, Amazon, Apple, and Microsoft, as investors looked ahead to key earnings reports.
Tesla&#8217;s upbeat sales forecast rekindled optimism in tech stocks, while chip giant Nvidia briefly surpassed Apple in market value. Rising Treasury yields and upcoming employment data fueled speculation on potential Fed rate cuts.
According to economic data, U.S. consumer sentiment rose to 70.5 in October, while durable goods orders fell 0.8% to $284.8 billion in September, matching August&#8217;s decline.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors closed lower, led by declines in financials, real estate, and utilities, while information technology and communication services outperformed, ending the session higher.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.61% to close at 42,114.40, the S&amp;P 500 slid 0.03% to 5,808.10, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.56% to finish at 18,518.61.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Monday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 closed higher by 2.01% at 38,650.50, led by gains in the Manufacturing, Textile and Electrical/Machinery sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 gained 0.12% and ended the day at 8,221.50,  led by gains in the I.T., Consumer Discretionary, and Metals &amp; Mining sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 traded higher by 0.65% at 24,339.15 and Nifty 500 was up 0.67% at 22,649.95.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite rose 0.68% to close at 3,322.20, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 gained 0.20%, finishing the day at 3,964.16.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng gained 0.04% and closed the session at 20,599.36.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 06.00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.25%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX gained 0.12%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC rose0.47%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 traded lower by 0.06%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 06.00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading lower by 6.38% at $67.23/bbl, and Brent was down 6.03% at $71.06/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices dropped sharply on Monday after Israel&#8217;s airstrikes bypassed critical oil and nuclear sites, alleviating immediate supply concerns. Reduced geopolitical risk played a key role, shifting the focus to potential delays in OPEC+ production quotas due to weaker market fundamentals.</li>
<li>Natural Gas fell 3.17% to $2.994.</li>
<li>Gold was trading lower by 0.45% at $2,742.30, Silver declined 0.70% to $33.550, and Copper slid 0.34% to $4.3555.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 06.00 AM ET
Dow futures were up 0.53%, S&amp;P 500 futures rose 0.65%, and Nasdaq 100 Futures increased 0.85%.
Forex at 06.00 AM ET
The U.S. Dollar Index slid 0.01% to 104.25, USD/JPY was up 0.30% at 152.76, and USD/AUD gained 0.12% to 1.5147.
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Oil Prices Drop Over 6% As Supply Fears Ease; Asia And Europe market Up - Global Markets Today While US Slept

With less than two weeks until the U.S. presidential election, economic policy is once again a focal point, especially as concerns around <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/tariffs">tariffs and inflation resurface. </a>
Gita Gopinath, deputy managing director of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), issued a warning about economic risks associated with tariffs, underscoring how they can drive up prices and potentially harm growth.
In a clear message that appears to counter former President Donald Trump's pro-tariff stance, Gopinath cautioned, "What we do know is that tariffs are inflationary."
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Tariffs Are Inflationary: Gopinath's Warning To Policymakers</h1>
In an interview with Bloomberg on Thursday, Gopinath emphasized tariffs have a proven track record of raising prices for both businesses and consumers.
&#8220;Tariffs put pressure on prices — that&#8217;s usually what we see in the data looking at past episodes of tariffs that have been put in place,&#8221; she said.
Her remarks are particularly timely, as inflation remains a persistent concern in the U.S., even as the Federal Reserve works to bring it down.
The U.S. economy has been grappling with elevated inflation since the COVID-19 pandemic, and while inflation is now trending downward, prices remain much higher than pre-pandemic levels.
"The price level now is much higher than it was a couple of years ago," Gopinath stated, explaining why inflation is still a top issue for many American households.
The IMF believes additional tariffs could reverse recent progress in controlling inflation. When tariffs are imposed on imported goods, production costs are raised and prices often increase down the supply chain. The impact is particularly severe for sectors that rely heavily on imported components, such as electronics, automotive and machinery industries.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Market Implications Of Tariffs</h1>
Tariffs could have significant detrimental consequences for both sides of the Atlantic. "An increase in tariffs on Europe would push down European growth versus the U.S. and push up U.S. inflation versus Europe," according to George Cole, an analyst at Goldman Sachs. 
Tariffs could add new challenges to the Federal Reserve's fight against inflation, creating upward pressure on prices and potentially forcing the Fed to consider even tighter monetary policy. 
This risk comes as Goldman Sachs highlights another emerging trend: U.S. Treasury yields have surged sharply in recent weeks, mirroring the rise in Donald Trump's election odds. Higher yields reflect investor concerns about inflationary pressures and future fiscal policy. 
The race between Trump and Harris remains razor-thin in most polls, underscoring a polarized electorate. Betting markets reveal a clearer lean toward Trump, with implied odds showing him at <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/sports-betting/24/10/41534317/if-trump-wins-2024-election-in-landslide-bettors-could-make-5x-20x-their-bets-at-uk-sports">60.02% chance of winning, compared to Harris's 39.98%</a>.
Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar is gaining momentum. The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), as tracked by the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>), has climbed for four consecutive weeks, reaching its highest level since late July.
Read Now:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41502146/30-year-treasury-yield-tops-4-50-raising-red-flags-for-markets-bond-vigilantes-are-">30-Year Treasury Yield Tops 4.50%, Raising Red Flags For Markets: &#8216;Bond Vigilantes Are Voting Early,&#8217; Says Veteran Investor</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Global

'Tariffs Are Inflationary': IMF Deputy Chief Rejects Trump's Trade Policies As Elections Loom

On Thursday, Oct. 25, U.S. markets closed mixed. The Nasdaq and S&amp;P 500 gained on Tesla&#8217;s surge and optimistic earnings forecast, adding $140 billion to its market cap.
Despite easing Treasury yields, sentiment remained cautious as other sectors declined on mixed corporate results.
According to the economic data, U.S. initial jobless claims fell by 15,000 to 227,000 for the week ending Oct. 19, below the expected 242,000. October&#8217;s S&amp;P Global flash manufacturing PMI rose to 47.8, while services PMI increased to 55.3.
The S&amp;P 500&#8217;s sectors closed largely negative, with materials, industrials, and utilities seeing the biggest losses. However, consumer discretionary and communication services stocks defied the trend, closing higher.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.33% to close at 42,374.36, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.21% to 5,809.86, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.76% to finish at 18,415.49.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Friday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 closed lower by 0.76% at 37,889.00, led by losses in the Power, Paper &amp; Pulp, and Communication sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 gained 0.06% and ended the day at 8,211.30, led by gains in the IT, Healthcare and Metals &amp; Mining sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 traded lower by 0.77% at 24,207.00 and Nifty 500 was down 1.16% at 22,523.50.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite rose 0.59% to close at 3,299.70, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 gained 0.70%, finishing the day at 3,956.42.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng gained 0.49% and closed the session at 20,590.15.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 06.00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.11%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX gained 0.11%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC fell 0.03%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 traded higher by 0.07%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 06.00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.47% at $70.53/bbl, and Brent was up 0.47% at $74.72/bbl.</li>
<li>Natural Gas fell 0.44% at $2.511.</li>
<li>Gold was trading lower by 0.54% at $2,733.85, Silver declined 1.27% to $33.370, and Copper slid 0.28% to $4.3390.</li>
</ul>
US Futures at 06.00 AM ET
Dow futures were up 0.19%, S&amp;P 500 futures rose 0.24%, and Nasdaq 100 Futures increased 0.27%.
Forex at 06.00 AM ET
The U.S. Dollar Index slid 0.01% to 104.06, USD/JPY was up 0.10% at 151.97, and USD/AUD gained 0.15% to 1.5082.
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Asia Mixed, Europe Up; Dollar Index Steady While Oil Ticks Higher - Global Markets Today While US Slept

The U.S. labor market continues to exhibit signs of strength, with initial jobless claims falling sharply for the week ending Oct. 19. The number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits dropped more than expected, signaling a robust job market as Americans approach a presidential election in <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/labor-market">less than two weeks. </a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Jobless Claims Slow</h3>
Initial jobless claims came in at 227,000 last week, a decline of 15,000 from the previous week. This marked the largest week-over-week drop since August 2024 and came in below economist forecasts of 242,000. The sharp decline is a sign that fewer Americans are being laid off, further reflecting the labor market&#8217;s resilience.
The four-week moving average for initial claims, which helps smooth out volatility, rose slightly to 238,500, up from 236,500 the previous week. This marked the highest level since early August.
A less optimistic signal flashed in continuing jobless claims — a metric that tracks the number of people still receiving unemployment benefits after an initial filing.
For the week ending Oct. 12, continuing claims increased to 1.897 million, up from 1.869 million in the previous week. This is the highest level seen since mid-November 2021 and significantly higher than the expected 1.880 million, suggesting that some individuals are finding it harder to transition back into employment.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Economist Insights: What Does It Mean?</h3>
Michael Gayed, CFA, anticipated on Wednesday that the U.S. labor market remains incredibly tight, a factor that could have wider economic implications. &#8220;The labor market is at a level that the central bank has traditionally called full employment,&#8221; Gayed said. 
&#8220;That's good for growth, and I think that's generally being reflected in forward-looking GDP forecasts, but it also creates another set of problems. We may be seeing yields rise as investors remain risk-on and the negative correlation between stocks &amp; bonds returns. But I also think it has a lot to do with inflation risk,&#8221; he added.
Gayed also indicated the current environment of solid growth, a tight labor market and greater liquidity is likely contributing to upward pressure on interest rates.
&#8220;Fiscal and monetary conditions could ignite a further boom in risk asset prices, but subsequent inflation and negative credit conditions could still usher in the big credit event after that.&#8221;
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reactions</h3>
U.S. equity markets reacted positively to the latest labor market data in premarket trading on Thursday. Futures on the S&amp;P 500 climbed 0.5% by 8:45 a.m. in New York, signaling a potential rebound after Wednesday's losses. 
On Wednesday, the S&amp;P 500, as tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), declined by 0.9%, marking the third consecutive day of losses.
Contracts on the Nasdaq 100 surged 0.9%, driven by strong earnings from Tesla, which helped buoy the tech-heavy index. The EV giant was up 15%. Futures on the Dow Jones Industrial Average were relatively flat.
In the currency markets, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the dollar's strength against a basket of other currencies and is tracked by the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>), weakened slightly by 0.2%, 
In the bond market, Treasury yields softened slightly on Thursday, with the 10-year Treasury yield falling to 4.22%, though yields remained elevated for the week. 
Gold prices, as tracked by the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>), rebounded 0.9%, after dropping 1.2% in Wednesday's trading.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/10/41513078/us-stocks-set-to-open-higher-as-teslas-strong-profit-margins-win-over-wall-street-wharton-economist">US Stocks Set To Open Higher As Tesla&#8217;s Strong Profit Margins Win Over Wall Street: Wharton Economist Says &#8216;Under-Loved&#8217; Bull Market Could See &#8216;Significant Upside&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Photo via Shutterstock.

Analyst Color

Jobless Claims Fall More Than Expected, Continuing Benefits Surge To Nearly 3-Year Highs: Labor Market At 'Full Employment,' Analyst Says

The latest BRICS summit in Kazan, Russia has intensified discussions around de-dollarization, potentially impacting several major currency-focused exchange-traded funds and raising concerns among U.S. investors about the dollar&#8217;s long-term <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/23/09/34269752/jp-morgan-warns-de-dollarization-can-make-us-lose-key-economic-crisis-tool">dominance in global trade</a>.
What Happened: Russian President Vladimir Putin&#8216;s push for an alternative international payments system at the expanded BRICS summit has put dollar-denominated <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/08/40293239/new-world-currency-not-so-fast-brics-nations-analyst-says-de-dollarization-is-a-myth">assets under renewed scrutiny</a>. 
Notable ETFs that could face pressure include the Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>) and the WisdomTree Bloomberg U.S. Dollar Bullish Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USDU#NYSE">USDU</a>).
&#8220;The dollar is being used as a weapon. We really see that this is so. I think that this is a big mistake by those who do this,&#8221; Putin stated at the summit, highlighting that nearly 95% of Russia-China trade is now conducted in rubles and yuan, <a href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/oct/23/putin-world-economy-bloc-brics-summit">reported</a> The Guardian.
Market analysts suggest that while immediate impacts may be limited, the long-term implications for dollar-based investments deserve attention. The Invesco DB USD Index Bearish ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UDN#NYSE">UDN</a>) has seen increased trading volume as investors hedge against potential currency risks.
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41509995/kamala-harris-economic-policies-more-robust-more-sustainable-says-nobel-winning-economist-daren-acem">Kamala Harris&#8217; Economic Policies &#8216;More Robust, More Sustainable,&#8217; Says Nobel Winning Economist Daren Acemoglu As He Is Endorses Vice President With 22 Others</a>
However, currency experts emphasize the dollar&#8217;s entrenched position. According to Agathe Demarais, a sanctions specialist at the European Council of Foreign Relations, &#8220;More than 80% of global trade transactions are invoiced in U.S. dollars, which also accounts for nearly 60% of central banks reserves.&#8221;
Why It Matters:&nbsp;The summit&#8217;s outcomes suggest limited immediate progress on alternative payment systems, despite Russia&#8217;s efforts to bypass the SWIFT network. Brazil and India&#8217;s resistance to anti-Western positioning within BRICS indicates that wholesale changes to the global financial system face significant hurdles.
The expanded BRICS bloc, now including 12 new members such as Turkey, Indonesia, and Nigeria, represents a growing challenge to dollar hegemony. However, market fundamentals suggest any transition away from the dollar would be gradual rather than immediate.
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/10/41507397/bitcoin-ethereum-dogecoin-sink-amid-stocks-decline-treasury-yields-climb-analyst-sees-prom">Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin Sink Amid Stocks Decline, Treasury Yields Climb: Analyst Sees &#8216;Promising Signs&#8217; — Retest &#8216;Successful&#8217; If King Crypto Stays Above This Level</a></li>
</ul>
Image Via Unsplash 
Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.

PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bearish Fund

BRICS Summit 2024: Russian President Calls For De-Dollarization, Here's How It Could Impact US Investors

On Wednesday, October 24th, U.S. markets closed in red as rising Treasury yields weighed on mega-cap stocks and dampened hopes for significant Federal Reserve rate cuts. Corporate news impacted McDonald&#8217;s and Coca-Cola, while 10-year U.S. Treasury yields hit a three-month high.
Economic data shows that U.S. existing home sales fell by 1% in September compared to the previous month, bringing the annualized rate to 3.84 million.
S&amp;P 500 sectors closed lower Wednesday, led by losses in consumer discretionary, tech, and communication services, while real estate and utilities ended higher.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.96% to close at 42,514.95, the S&amp;P 500 slipped 0.92% to 5,797.40, while the Nasdaq Composite fell 1.60% to finish at 18,276.65
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Thursday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 closed higher by 0.26% at 38,177.50, led by gains in the Transport, Rubber, and Paper &amp; Pulp sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 declined 0.12% and ended the day at 8,206.30, led by losses in the I.T., Gold and Metals &amp; Mining sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 traded lower by 0.12% at 24,406.45 and Nifty 500 was down 0.22% at 22,790.15.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite fell 0.68% to close at 3,280.26, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 declined 1.12%, finishing the day at 3,928.83.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng slipped 1.30% and closed the session at 20,489.62.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05.45 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.66%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX gained 0.47%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC rose 0.66%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.64%.</li>
<li>European stock markets edged higher as investors focused on third-quarter earnings and regional economic data. Investors are closely watching eurozone PMI readings amid concerns about growth, with weak data potentially pushing the ECB toward further rate cuts.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05.45 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 2.09% at $702.25/bbl, and Brent was up 2.00% at $76.46/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices rose over 2%, recovering from previous losses, as geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and reports of North Korean troops aiding Russia in Ukraine kept traders cautious.</li>
<li>Natural Gas rose 1.54% at $2.378.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.72% at $2,748.95, Silver gained 1.70% to $34.413, and Copper rose 0.96% to $4.3780.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05.45 AM ET
Dow futures were down 0.10%, S&amp;P 500 futures rose 0.42%, and Nasdaq 100 Futures increased 0.76%.
Forex at 05.45 AM ET
The U.S. dollar index slid 0.25% to 104.19, the USD/JPY was down 0.52% to 151.97, and the USD/AUD declined 0.31% to 1.5028.
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Asia Mixed, Europe Gains, Crude Oil Jumps 2% On Geopolitical Concerns, Gold Advances - Global Markets Today While US Slept

Wall Street is on track for its third consecutive day of losses as investors grow cautious about risky assets, awaiting more clarity on U.S. fiscal and monetary policies and scrutinizing the latest <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/earnings">batch of corporate earnings.</a>
Both equities and commodities took a hit on Wednesday, while the U.S. dollar gained strength, attracting investor flows as traders moved to safer cash positions.
The U.S. dollar index, as tracked by the the&nbsp;Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>), rose 0.5%, reaching levels last seen in late July. 
At midday in New York, the S&amp;P 500 was down 0.7%, attempting to hold support around the 5,800-point level. The Dow Jones also dropped 0.7%, and tech stocks, along with small caps, fared worse, sliding by 0.9%.
On the data front, mortgage applications declined for the fourth straight week, reflecting continued pressure <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/10/41488744/mortgage-applications-fall-for-fourth-straight-week-as-high-rates-squeeze-homebuy">from elevated borrowing costs.</a>
Existing home sales fell by 1% in September to a seasonally adjusted annualized rate of 3.84 million, the lowest level since October 2010. This follows an upwardly revised 3.88 million in August and missed forecasts of 3.9 million.
Despite weak housing data, real estate stocks showed surprising resilience. The Vanguard Real Estate ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VNQ#NYSE">VNQ</a>) and the SPDR Homebuilders ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XHB#NYSE">XHB</a>) moved higher after two straight sessions of losses.
Gold prices, as tracked by the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>), fell more than 1%, pulling mining stocks down with it. Silver plummeted over 3%, retreating from 12-year highs reached on Tuesday.
Oil prices slipped by 1%, while Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) tumbled 2%. 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day %chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,815.02</td>
<td>-0.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,625.59</td>
<td>-0.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,213.10</td>
<td>-0.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,196.24</td>
<td>-0.9%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated 12:00 p.m. ET </figcaption></figure>
According to <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent102224&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a> data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) fell 0.6% to $579.72.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;inched 0.7% lower to $426.41.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) fell 1% to $491.16.</li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) fell 0.7% $219.80.</li>
<li>The Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLRE#NYSE">XLRE</a>) outperformed, up 0.6%. The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) lagged, down 1%.</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h1>
<ul>
<li>Boeing Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>) fell 2.4% after reporting a worse-than-expected losses<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/10/41486950/boeing-q3-earnings-revenue-and-profit-decline-cultural-challenges-ceo-ortberg-vows-transformation"> last quarter</a>.</li>
</ul>
Other stocks reacting to earnings included:
<ul>
<li>Texas Instruments Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TXN#NASDAQ">TXN</a>), up 3.5%.</li>
<li>Baker Hughes Co. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BKR#NASDAQ">BKR</a>), up 3.9%.</li>
<li>Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STX#NASDAQ">STX</a>), down over 7%.</li>
<li>Packaging Corporation of America (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PKG#NYSE">PKG</a>), up over 6%.</li>
<li>Manhattan Associates Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MANH#NASDAQ">MANH</a>), down over 7%.</li>
<li>East West Bancorp. Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWBC#NASDAQ">EWBC</a>), up over 7%.</li>
<li>Enphase Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ENPH#NASDAQ">ENPH</a>), down over 13%.</li>
<li>Coca-Cola Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KO#NYSE">KO</a>), down 2.2%. </li>
<li>Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TMO#NYSE">TMO</a>), down 2.9%.</li>
<li>NextEra Energy Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NEE#NYSE">NEE</a>), down 0.1%. </li>
<li>AT&amp;T Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/T#NYSE">T</a>), up 3.8%. </li>
<li>Boston Scientific Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BSX#NYSE">BSX</a>), down 3.7%. </li>
<li>CME Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CME#NASDAQ">CME</a>), down 0.9%. </li>
<li>GE Vernova Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GEV#NYSE">GEV</a>), down 1.6%. </li>
<li>Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HLT#NYSE">HLT</a>), down 2.6%. </li>
<li>Vertiv Holdings LLC (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VRT#NYSE">VRT</a>), down 2.8%. </li>
<li>Old Dominion Freight Line Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ODFL#NASDAQ">ODFL</a>), down 4.8%. </li>
</ul>
Large-cap companies reporting earnings after the close include Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>), T-Mobile US Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TMUS#NASDAQ">TMUS</a>), International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBM#NYSE">IBM</a>), ServiceNow Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOW#NYSE">NOW</a>), Lam Research Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LRCX#NASDAQ">LRCX</a>), Newmont Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NEM#NYSE">NEM</a>), United Rentals Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/URI#NYSE">URI</a>), Las Vegas Sands Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LVS#NYSE">LVS</a>), Raymond James Financial Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RJF#NYSE">RJF</a>). 
Read Now:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/bonds/24/10/41455678/gold-on-track-for-best-year-since-1979-veteran-investor-says-sell-bonds-buy-gold">Gold On Track For Best Year Since 1979: Veteran Investor Says &#8216;Sell Bonds, Buy Gold&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>

Equities

Large Cap

Mid Cap

Sector ETFs

Tech

$BTC

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust

ENPH

EWBC

LRCX

MANH

ODFL

TMUS

TSLA

XLRE

Select Sector SPDR-Consumer Discretionary

Wall Street Slumps For Third Straight Day As Investor Sentiment Fades, Dollar Strength Resumes, Boeing Disappoints: What's Driving Markets Wednesday?

On Tuesday, October 22nd, U.S. markets closed mixed as investors focused on rising Treasury yields and anticipated upcoming earnings reports to gauge the health of American companies.
The Nasdaq eked out a modest gain, while the Dow and S&amp;P 500 saw slight declines. Treasury yields, particularly the 10-year note, reached 4.222%, their highest since July, as markets reassessed the Federal Reserve&#8217;s policy path.
According to the economic data, the composite manufacturing index for the U.S. Fifth District was reported at -14 in October, an improvement from the previous month&#8217;s reading of -21.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors ended lower, with industrials, materials, and utilities suffering the biggest losses and consumer staples and communication services gaining.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average dipped 0.02% to close at 42,924.89, the S&amp;P 500 slipped 0.05% to 5,851.20, while the Nasdaq Composite edged up 0.18% to finish at 18,573.13.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Wednesday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 closed lower by 0.85% at 38,079.50, led by losses in the Shipbuilding, Power, and Banking sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 gained 0.13% and ended the day at 8,216.00, led by gains in the Consumer Staples, Gold, and Consumer Discretionary sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 traded lower by 0.20% at 24,422.30, while Nifty 500 was up 0.06% at 22,829.80.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite rose 0.52% to close at 3,302.80, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 gained 0.39%, finishing the day at 3,973.21.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng gained 1.27% and closed the session at 20,760.15.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05.45 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.23%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX declined 0.01%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC fell 0.36%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 traded lower by 0.20%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05.45 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading lower by 1.13% at $70.92/bbl, and Brent was down 1.08% at $75.22/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices fell after U.S. crude inventories rose more than expected, though futures remain up this week due to the ongoing Middle East conflict.</li>
<li>Natural Gas fell 1000% at $2.288.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.19% at $2,765.15, Silver declined 0.74% to $34.782, and Copper slipped 0.86% to $4.3432.</li>
<li>Gold prices surged to a record high, driven by investor demand amid Middle East tensions, despite a strong dollar and rising U.S. Treasury yields.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05.45 AM ET
Dow futures were down 0.40%, S&amp;P 500 futures fell 0.18%, and Nasdaq 100 Futures slid 0.27%.
Forex at 05.45 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. dollar index rose 0.25% to 104.33, the USD/JPY rose 1.10% to 152.72, and the USD/AUD gained 0.37% to 1.5022.</li>
<li>The U.S. dollar surged to near three-month highs, driven by rising Treasury yields, diminished expectations for Fed rate cuts, and increased confidence in a Trump election victory, boosting safe-haven demand.</li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock

Asia Markets Mixed, Europe Slips, Oil Falls On Inventory Surge, Dollar Gains To 3-Month High - Global Markets Today While US Slept

Wall Street traded lower for the second consecutive day on Tuesday, as investor sentiment turned cautious with the U.S. presidential election <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/2024-elections">just two weeks away. </a>
Concerns over U.S. fiscal policies and potential shifts in economic direction fueled the pause in risk-taking.
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) upgraded its U.S. growth forecasts for 2024 and 2025 in the latest World Economic Outlook, while also flagging rising concerns about the country's debt trajectory, warning that with current large fiscal deficits, &#8220;the U.S. public debt is not stabilized.&#8221;
Commodities were the standout performers on Tuesday, with both metals and energy experiencing notable gains.
Gold, tracked by the SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>), rose 0.8%, pushing further into record territory. This increase extended its year-to-date performance to 34%, positioning gold for its strongest <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/bonds/24/10/41455678/gold-on-track-for-best-year-since-1979-veteran-investor-says-sell-bonds-buy-gold">annual gain since 1979.</a> Gold miners, as represented by the VanEck Gold Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GDX#NYSE">GDX</a>), rallied for the ninth consecutive session, hitting their highest levels in over four years.
Silver, tracked by the iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>), surged 2.8%, reaching levels not seen since October 2012.
Oil prices rallied nearly 3%, building on a 2% surge from Monday. U.S. Treasury yields ticked up modestly on Tuesday following Monday's spike, with the 10-year yield settling at 4.21%.
Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), tracked by the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>), climbed past the 104 mark, continuing its steady ascent and eyeing a fourth consecutive week of gains.
In the cryptocurrency market, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) fell 0.5%, dipping to around $67,000 and marking its second consecutive day of declines.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Performance In US Major Indices, ETFs</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day %change</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,907.57</td>
<td>-0.1 %</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,840.39</td>
<td>-0.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,291.15</td>
<td>-0.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,228.60</td>
<td>-0.5%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:35 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent102224&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a> data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) fell 0.3% to $581.79.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;inched 0.1% lower to $429.14.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) fell 0.4% to $493.29.</li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) fell 0.5% $221.04.</li>
<li>The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) outperformed, up 0.6%. The Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLI#NYSE">XLI</a>) lagged, down 1.1%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Stock Performers</h3>
General Motors Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GM#NYSE">GM</a>) surged 9%, on track for its strongest session in nearly a year, after reporting stronger-than-expected earnings and announcing an additional $5 billion share buyback program extending into next year.
Other stocks reacting to earnings include: 
<ul>
<li>Southern Copper Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCCO#NYSE">SCCO</a>), up 1.5%</li>
<li>Nucor Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NUE#NYSE">NUE</a>), down 6%</li>
<li>W.R. Berkley Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WRB#NYSE">WRB</a>), down 4.6%</li>
<li>Zion Bancorp. N.A. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ZION#NASDAQ">ZION</a>), up 6.8%</li>
<li>Wintrust Financial Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>), up 1.6%</li>
<li>Philip Morris International Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PM#NYSE">PM</a>), up 8.8%</li>
<li>GE Aerospace (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GE#NYSE">GE</a>), down over 8%</li>
<li>Danaher Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DHR#NYSE">DHR</a>), down 3%</li>
<li>Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VZ#NYSE">VZ</a>), down 4.4%</li>
<li>RTX Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>), down 0.4%</li>
<li>Lockheed Martin Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>), down 5.8%</li>
<li>Fiserv Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FI#NYSE">FI</a>), down 0.4%</li>
<li>Moodys Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MCO#NYSE">MCO</a>) down 4.5%</li>
<li>3M Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MMM#NYSE">MMM</a>), down 0.9%</li>
<li>Freeport-McMoran Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCX#NYSE">FCX</a>), up 1.4%</li>
<li>Kimberly-Clark Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KMB#NYSE">KMB</a>), down 4%</li>
<li>PulteGroup Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PHM#NYSE">PHM</a>), down 5.7%</li>
</ul>
Large-cap companies reporting earnings after the close include Texas Instruments Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TXN#NASDAQ">TXN</a>), Baker Hughes Co. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BKR#NASDAQ">BKR</a>), Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STX#NASDAQ">STX</a>), Packaging Corporation of America (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PKG#NYSE">PKG</a>), Manhattan Associates Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MANH#NASDAQ">MANH</a>), East West Bancorp. Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EWBC#NASDAQ">EWBC</a>) and Enphase Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ENPH#NASDAQ">ENPH</a>)
Now Read:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/24/10/41455013/how-us-elections-could-impact-us-dollar-goldman-sachs-expects-greenback-will-remain-stronger-for-lon">How US Elections Could Impact US Dollar: Goldman Sachs Expects Greenback Will Remain &#8216;Stronger For Longer&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Shutterstock

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Market Vectors ETF Trust Market Vectors Gold Miners

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ZION

Stocks Fall, GM Eyes Best Day In A Year, Gold Breaks Records, Silver Hits 12-Year Highs: What's Driving Markets Tuesday?

As the 2024 U.S. presidential election approaches, financial markets are bracing for its potential impact <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/currency-etfs">on the U.S. dollar. </a>
Past elections have triggered periods of dollar depreciation. This time, Michael Cahill, foreign exchange strategist at Goldman Sachs, explains the risks now point toward continued dollar strength in most scenarios, whether the election outcome favors Vice President Kamala Harris or Ex-President Donald Trump. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Republican Sweep</h3>
Cahill explains that a Republican sweep provides &#8220;the widest potential for broad tariff changes."
Goldman Sachs&#8217; China economics team estimates that a 60% tariff on all U.S. imports of Chinese goods, for example, would raise about $250 billion in revenue. They also estimate that a &#8220;10% across-the-board tariff, in addition to higher tariffs on China,&#8221; could widen rate differentials between the United States and Europe, leading to an 8-10% depreciation of the euro against the dollar.
According to Cahill, those higher tariffs — especially on Chinese goods — could shift the terms of trade in favor of the dollar, driving it higher. Higher tariffs would raise the cost of imports, cut demand for foreign goods and potentially benefit domestic producers who raise prices.
The expert added that "the Republican platform has proposed using revenue from a baseline tariff to cut domestic taxes," which would they say will stimulate domestic spending and support the dollar.
<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41416571/paul-krugman-warns-trumps-tariff-plan-could-rewind-economic-progress-90-years-and-ignite-global-conf">Economists generally disagree</a>. Higher U.S. tariffs, they say, may reduce demand for foreign goods, but they also hurt U.S. consumers by raising living costs by about 3 to 4%. This disproportionately affects middle- and lower-income families and does not boost American manufacturing or reduce the trade deficit. It could also harm the economy by increasing global poverty and creating market fragmentation
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41434510/us-economy-eyes-3-4-growth-in-q3-is-a-soft-landing-turning-into-a-reacceleration">US Economy Eyes 3.4% Growth In Q3: Is Soft Landing Turning Into Reacceleration?</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">And If Trump Wins But Congress Is Divided?</h3>
A scenario where Trump wins with a split Congress could still lead to dollar strength, albeit to a lesser degree, according to Goldman Sachs&#8217; Cahill.
Some tariffs could be raised by executive action alone, but a lack of unified Congressional support might limit the scope of policy changes.
Cahill expects &#8220;a narrower, smaller Dollar rally in response to a divided Republican government outcome.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">How Would A Harris Victory Impact the Dollar?</h3>
If Harris wins the election, Cahill predicts this &#8220;would result in some initial Dollar downside.&#8221; Markets will likely adjust to the prospect of looser trade policies and potential tariff reductions.
Such a scenario would hold in both a&nbsp;Democratic sweep&nbsp;or&nbsp;divided Democratic government, according to Cahill.
However, the expert highlights that any major dollar weakness could be short-lived as markets would quickly refocus on broader economic conditions, including U.S. growth differentials with the rest of the world, which still favor the dollar.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Could Global Growth Challenge The Dollar?</h3>
While U.S. election outcomes are crucial, global growth prospects could counterbalance the dollar's strength. Cahill points out that stronger-than-expected growth in China or Europe could drive investment away from U.S. assets, putting downward pressure on the dollar. 
This occurred in 2017 and 2021, when global growth optimism led to dollar depreciation despite U.S. elections.
Tariffs are one of the key channels through which political outcomes will affect currency markets. Historical examples of tariffs show that the dollar strengthened by about 0.7% against the Chinese yuan for each $10 billion in implied tariff revenue.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">A Stronger For Longer Greenback?</h3>
Bottom line, Goldman Sachs forecasts that the risks favor continued dollar strength, especially under a Republican-led government.
&#8220;With mounting evidence that &#8216;US exceptionalism&#8217; is still very much intact, we still think the risks are in favor of the Dollar being stronger for longer,&#8221; Cahill wrote. 
Keep Reading:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/10/41447996/us-stocks-remains-on-edge-ahead-of-flurry-of-earnings-from-lockheed-martin-gm-and-others-this-is-st">US Stocks Remains On Edge Ahead Of Flurry Of Earnings From Lockheed Martin, GM And Others: This Is Still A &#8216;Buy The Dip&#8217; Market, Says Expert</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Unsplash

Government

How US Elections Could Impact US Dollar: Goldman Sachs Expects Greenback Will Remain 'Stronger For Longer'

On Monday, October 21st, U.S. markets closed mixed, with the Dow and S&amp;P 500 declining. This ended a six-week winning streak as rising Treasury yields and high valuations raised investor caution ahead of key earnings reports. Nvidia boosted the Nasdaq, while Tesla and other rate-sensitive tech stocks slipped.
Boeing surged as news emerged that <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41433623/boeing-stock-rises-ahead-of-wednesdays-union-vote-will-investors-breathe-a-sigh-of-relief" rel="noreferrer noopener">workers might vote</a> on a deal to end a costly five-week strike, while Spirit Airlines <a target="_blank" href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/10/41432467/why-spirit-airlines-stock-is-taking-off-monday" rel="noreferrer noopener">soared after securing an agreement</a> to extend its debt refinancing deadline by two months.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors closed lower on Monday, with real estate, health care, and financials leading the losses. Meanwhile, tech stocks outperformed, finishing higher.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.80% and closed at 42,931.60. The S&amp;P 500 ended the day lower by 0.18% at 5,853.98, while the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.27%, finishing the session at 18,540.01.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Tuesday, Japan&#8217;s Nikkei 225 closed lower by 1.60% at 38,405.50, led by 38,405.50, led by losses in the Chemical, Petroleum &amp; Plastic, Rubber and Power sectors.</li>
<li>Australia&#8217;s S&amp;P/ASX 200 declined 1.68% and ended the day at 8,205.70, led by losses in the Healthcare, A-REITs and Consumer Discretionary sectors.</li>
<li>India&#8217;s Nifty 50 traded lower by 1.25% at 24,472.10, and Nifty 500 was down 1.93% at 22,814.45.</li>
<li>China&#8217;s Shanghai Composite rose 0.54% to close at 3,285.87, and the Shenzhen CSI 300 gained 0.57%, finishing the day at 3,957.78.</li>
<li>Hong Kong&#8217;s Hang Seng gained 0.10% and closed the session at 20,498.95.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 06.00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was down 0.47%.</li>
<li>Germany&#8217;s DAX declined 0.22%.</li>
<li>France&#8217;s CAC fell 0.80%.</li>
<li>U.K.&#8217;s FTSE 100 traded lower by 0.74%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 06.00 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.94% at $70.69/bbl, and Brent was up 0.82% at $74.90/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices steadied as U.S. diplomatic efforts to push for a Middle East ceasefire and weak demand growth in China weighed on the market.</li>
<li>Natural Gas was up 1.60% at $2.348.</li>
<li>Gold was trading higher by 0.27% at $2,746.15, Silver rose 0.92% to $34.392, and Copper gained 0.67% to $4.3885.</li>
<li>Gold prices rose near record highs amid uncertainty about the U.S. election, Middle East tensions, and expected interest rate cuts.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 06.00 AM ET
Dow futures were down 0.47%, S&amp;P 500 futures fell 0.01%, and Nasdaq 100 Futures slid 0.65%.
Forex at 06.00 AM ET
The U.S. Dollar Index slid 0.02% to 104.00, USD/JPY was down 0.01% at 150.81, and USD/AUD declined 0.39% to 1.4960.
Photo by Pavel Bobrovskiy via Shutterstock

Asia Mixed, Europe Slips, Gold Near Record High - Global Markets Today While US Slept

U.S. major indices fell on Monday as rising Treasury yields and a strengthening dollar dampened risk sentiment. Investors are reassessing the economic outlook and weighing potential risks tied to the Federal Reserve&#8217;s <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/interest-rates">next interest rate moves.</a>
Yields on the 10-year Treasury note surged 9 basis points to 4.18%, reaching their highest level since late July. Meanwhile, 30-year Treasury bond yields climbed to 4.5%. The spike in yields pushed the iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>) down by 1.4%, reflecting renewed pressure on long-duration bonds.
A gauge of the greenback, as tracked by Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>), rose 0.5%. 
On Monday, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan hinted that gradual rate cuts are on the cards if the economy meets forecasts. Market-implied expectations for a 25-basis-point rate cut in November dipped slightly from 90% to 85%, according to CME FedWatch.
The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), commonly known as Wall Street's "fear gauge," jumped 5% on Monday, marking its largest surge in two weeks.
The S&amp;P 500 traded 0.5% lower at midday trading in New York, with all its 11 sectors in the red. The Dow Jones Industrial Average shed 0.9%, while the Russell 2000, which tracks small-cap stocks, tumbled 1.7%. Technology stocks experienced minor losses. 
Despite the negative session, NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) gained over 2%, hitting $141.80 per share and notching fresh all-time highs.
In commodities, gold took a breather after four consecutive sessions of gains, while oil prices rebounded 1.6%, driven by renewed supply concerns. Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) fell sharply, losing 2.8%. 
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day %chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,290.48</td>
<td>-0.2%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,840.64</td>
<td>-0.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,904.60</td>
<td>-0.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,237.90</td>
<td>-1.6%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:55 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent101824&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a> data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) fell 0.3% to $582.24.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;fell 0.7% to $429.46.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) eased 0.2% to $493.66.</li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) dipped to $222.12.</li>
<li>The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLC#NYSE">XLC</a>) outperformed, up 0.9%. The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) lagged, down 0.6%.</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h1>
<ul>
<li>Boeing Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>) surged over 3% after the company reached a preliminary agreement with its employees to end a five-week strike. Adding to the momentum, Emirates SkyCargo placed an order for five additional Boeing 777 freighters. </li>
<li>Kenvue Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KVUE#NYSE">KVUE</a>) shares jumped 6.5% following reports that activist investor Starboard Value has acquired a substantial stake in the company.</li>
<li>Cigna Group (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CI#NYSE">CI</a>) extended its losses on Monday, falling nearly 5% after a 5% decline on Friday, as investors continued to react negatively to reports of a potential merger with Humana Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HUM#NYSE">HUM</a>). Oppenheimer analysts weighed in on the situation, recommending that Cigna remain independent amid skepticism about the merger's strategic value and regulatory feasibility.</li>
</ul>
Read Now:
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</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

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In this video, Ira Epstein reviews the activity in the Financial Markets after the day that just ended, Monday, November 4.

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