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To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-21_08h52_20.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Nvidia Dips Aggressively Bought</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-nvidia-earnings-nvda-mc-11212024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock.&nbsp; The chart of NVDA stock is being used to illustrate the point. As full disclosure, NVDA is part of The Arora Report&#8217;s ZYX Buy Model Portfolio.</li>
<li>The chart shows the dip in NVDA stock has been aggressively bought.</li>
<li>The chart shows that NVDA stock dipped into the support zone after earnings.&nbsp; The buying in NVDA this morning has been extremely aggressive as illustrated by the fact that NVDA traded as high as $149.40 vs. the prior high of $149.77.</li>
<li>The chart shows the NVDA bounced from the support zone to the resistance zone.</li>
<li>As of this writing, NVDA stock is very volatile.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, a tell for the stock market will be to see if NVDA stock breaks out or retraces back to the support zone.</li>
<li>Nvidia reported earnings better than the consensus numbers, better than some whisper numbers, but less than the top end of the whisper numbers.</li>
<li>Overheating was a big concern going into earnings.&nbsp; It appears that most of the overheating issues have been resolved.&nbsp; Here are the key points from Nvidia earnings:
<ul>
<li>Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang said, "The age of AI is in full steam, propelling a global shift to Nvidia computing."</li>
<li>Blackwell demand is likely to exceed supply in FY26.</li>
<li>Hopper demand is also very strong.</li>
<li>Nvidia is working on the next data center architecture that will improve production yields.</li>
<li>Nvidia expects enterprise AI, industrial AI, and robotics to continue to increase.</li>
<li>Nvidia beat on revenue.
<ul>
<li>Data center revenue and automotive revenue hit records.</li>
<li>Gaming revenue increased 15% from last year.</li>
<li>Professional visualization revenue increased 17% from last year.</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>The fact that NVDA dips are being aggressively bought is helping the overall stock market.</li>
<li>Also helping the stock market this morning is Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) approaching $100K.</li>
<li>Sentiment is extremely positive.</li>
<li>Investors are buying stocks and cryptos with total abandon.&nbsp; If it was not for the positive seasonality and year end chase, this kind of reckless buying would have resulted in increasing the protection band because extreme positive sentiment is historically a sell signal.&nbsp; However, The Arora Report call remains to buy the dips because the year end chase is likely to trump all other factors.&nbsp; In year end chase, even bearish money managers aggressively buy stocks to keep up with their benchmarks.</li>
<li>Initial jobless claims came at 213K vs. 221K consensus.&nbsp; This indicates that the job market is very strong.&nbsp; This is another data point that shows that the Fed should not have been cutting interest rates as aggressively as it did. In the short term, the Fed's actions have poured gasoline over the fire to aggressively buy stocks and cryptos.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">First ICBM Fired</h3>
The first operational intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) was developed by Russia in 1957, followed by development by the U.S. in 1959.&nbsp; To the best of our knowledge, Russia has fired the first ICBM in battle since its invention.&nbsp; This is Russia's response to Ukraine firing U.S. and British long range missiles on Russian territory.
In The Arora Report analysis, both Russia and Ukraine are escalating the conflict to gain an advantage before Trump stops the war.&nbsp; These developments have major implications for investors.&nbsp;
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Problem For India</h3>
Gautam Adani is the most important industrialist in India.&nbsp; He is also very closely allied with India&#8217;s Prime Minister Modi.&nbsp; The U.S. Department of Justice has just indicted Adani for bribes in solar contracts.
The Indian stock market has fallen on the news.  In The Arora Report analysis, some foreign money is going to flow out of India on this development.  The Arora Report call has been to steadily take partial profits on India positions Fairfax India Holdings Corp (OTC:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FFXDF#OTC">FFXDF</a>), WisdomTree India Earnings Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EPI#NYSE">EPI</a>), iShares MSCI India Small-Cap ETF (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMIN#BATS">SMIN</a>), and VanEck India Growth Leaders ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLIN#NYSE">GLIN</a>).  The Arora Report&#8217;s call yesterday evening was to take more partial profits on India positions.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), and NVDA.
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin is approaching $100K.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Coverage of Bitcoin, Etherum, Ripple and all the latest digital currencies.

Cryptocurrency

Market Summary

News

General

$BTC

AAPL

AMZN

FFXDF

GLIN

GOOG

MSFT

NVDA

SMIN

TSLA

Nvidia Aggressively Bought, Russia Fires First Intercontinental Ballistic Missile, Adani Indicted

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-19_07h56_39.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">New Russian Nuclear Doctrine</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-russian-nuclear-doctrine-walmart-breakout-wmt-mc-11192024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of Walmart Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WMT#NYSE">WMT</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock.&nbsp; The chart of WMT is being used to illustrate the point.</li>
<li>The U.S. economy is 70% consumer based.&nbsp; Walmart is the largest retailer in the U.S.&nbsp; For this reason, prudent investors pay attention to Walmart's earnings.</li>
<li>The chart shows WMT stock gapped up after earnings.</li>
<li>The chart shows that WMT stock also gapped up on earnings in the prior two quarters.</li>
<li>Walmart reported earnings better than the whisper numbers.&nbsp; Stocks move based on the difference between reported numbers and whisper numbers.&nbsp; Whisper numbers are the number analysts privately share with their best clients.&nbsp; Whisper numbers are different from the numbers the same analysts publish for public consumption.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, the following are the most important points from Walmart earnings:
<ul>
<li>Higher end consumers continue to shift to Walmart.</li>
<li>E-commerce at Walmart, especially quick delivery, is growing rapidly.</li>
<li>Margins are expanding.</li>
<li>Walmart is gaining market share.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, as good as Walmart is doing, investors need to be mindful of the very high valuation for a retailer.&nbsp; Walmart is trading at a trailing PE of 43.&nbsp; However, as Walmart's earnings are growing, forward PE is 30, which is still expensive for a retailer.</li>
<li>As full disclosure, Walmart is in The Arora Report&#8217;s ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio from an average price of $19.25.&nbsp;</li>
<li>Prudent investors also watch earnings from home improvement retailer Lowe&#8217;s Companies Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LOW#NYSE">LOW</a>).&nbsp; Lowe's earnings are a reflection of the consumer, especially remodeling of existing homes.&nbsp; Lowe's earnings are slightly below whisper numbers. &nbsp; As full disclosure, LOW is also in The Arora Report&#8217;s ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio and is long from an average of $81.85.</li>
<li>In the early trade, markets are responding to the new Russian doctrine.
<ul>
<li>Stocks are being sold.</li>
<li>Gold and silver are being bought.</li>
<li>Oil is being bought.</li>
<li>The dollar is being bought.</li>
<li>The yen is being bought.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>The new Russian doctrine brings the world closer to World War III.&nbsp; The new doctrine is in response to the U.S. allowing Ukraine to fire U.S. manufactured long range missiles on targets inside Russia.</li>
<li>Prudent investors should note the following three elements of the new Russian doctrine.
<ul>
<li>An attack on Russia by any country supported by a nuclear power will be considered a joint attack on Russia.</li>
<li>A massive aerial attack could trigger a nuclear response from Russia.&nbsp;</li>
<li>In reference to NATO, an aggression by a member of the coalition will be viewed as aggression by the entire bloc.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, the new Russian doctrine is squarely directed at the U.S.&nbsp; The purpose appears to be to persuade Trump to stop supporting Ukraine and force Ukraine to cede territory in Eastern Ukraine to Russia.&nbsp; Further, in The Arora Report analysis, the ultimate solution is likely going to be the U.S. forcing Ukraine to give Eastern Ukraine to Russia as per Russian wishes.&nbsp; This has been a long standing Arora call.</li>
<li>For the first time ever, Ukraine has attacked a warehouse inside Russia using long range missiles manufactured by the U.S. &nbsp; The missile attack was conducted with Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS).&nbsp; The missiles are manufactured by Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>), a major U.S. defense contractor.&nbsp; The targeted warehouse housed ammunition and missiles from North Korea.&nbsp; North Korea is promising 100K troops to fight for Russia in Ukraine.</li>
<li>There is no change in the protection band at this time, but we are keeping a close eye on the situation.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Housing</h3>
New housing is beginning to weaken.&nbsp; Here is the just released data:
<ul>
<li>Housing starts came at 1.311M vs. 1.34M consensus.</li>
<li>Building permits came at 1.416M vs. 1.441M consensus.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), and Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is range bound.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Markets

Not World War III But New Russian Nuclear Doctrine Brings Selling In Stocks, Walmart Breaks Out

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-18_08h07_41-scaled.jpg" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">The Trump Trade</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-trump-tesla-dogecoin-xbi-mc-11182024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart comparing SPDR S&amp;P Biotech ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XBI#NYSE">XBI</a>) to Dogecoin to United States Dollar (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/doge/usd">DOGE</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>The chart shows that biotech XBI has lost 5.35% since Trump's election.&nbsp; Companies in this ETF are producing innovative life saving drugs, employ brilliant scientists, own significant intellectual property, and are often bought out at large premiums.</li>
<li>The chart shows that Dogecoin has gained 48.78% since Trump's election.&nbsp; Dogecoin was initially developed as a joke.&nbsp; At one time, it was endorsed by Elon Musk; its name is the same as the acronym of Trump's Department of Government Efficiency.&nbsp; The main use of Dogecoin is speculation by the meme crowd.&nbsp; Dogecoin has an active meme crowd community behind it.</li>
<li>The contrast between the performance of XBI and Dogecoin shown on the chart is emblematic of, in large part, what investors are buying and selling in the wake of Trump's re-election.</li>
<li>On top of investors rushing into speculative assets, sentiment is extremely positive.&nbsp; Historically, extremely positive sentiment is a contrary indicator.&nbsp; In plain English, it means sell.&nbsp; As we have previously stated, sentiment is not a precise timing indicator.</li>
<li>In spite of all the warning signals, The Arora Report call remains to buy the dips.&nbsp; There are two main reasons:
<ul>
<li>There is an old saying on Wall Street that no one has ever been fired for losing clients' money.&nbsp; However, money managers get fired for lagging far behind their benchmarks.&nbsp; No money manager, irrespective of his/her view of the market, wants to commit career suicide by not chasing the market at the year end. Bearish money managers who have missed out on this rally are likely to buy the dips and chase the stock market into the year end.</li>
<li>Right now, hopium is at an extreme.&nbsp; There is nothing in the way of hopium.&nbsp; Since Trump is not yet president, there is no reality to confront hopium.&nbsp; Right now, the momo crowd is buying based on the best case of all of the positives that may come out of Trump's policies, and they are ignoring all of the negatives.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>The plan is to start taking profits on new buys before hopium meets reality between Christmas and Trump's inauguration.&nbsp;</li>
<li>As a note of caution, this is not a call for wholesale buying.&nbsp; This is a call to buy on the margin based on the protection band.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>Trump's transition team is starting the work to help those who helped Trump get elected.&nbsp; An example is the Trump team wanting to change the rules around self-driving cars in the U.S. to help Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).&nbsp; Musk has been a big supporter of Trump.&nbsp; Over a period of time, expect many such moves from Trump's team.&nbsp; As a full disclosure, The Arora Report gave a signal to buy TSLA after Trump's win.&nbsp; The trade has been nicely profitable.&nbsp; The system has also triggered a signal for a trade around position in TSLA, but publication of the signal may be delayed because TSLA stock has gapped up significantly.</li>
<li>Trump has appointed Chris Wright as the next Department of Energy Secretary.&nbsp; Wright is the CEO of Liberty Energy Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LBRT#NYSE">LBRT</a>).&nbsp; Liberty Energy is engaged in fracking. Wright is also on the board of smart modular reactor company Oklo Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OKLO#NYSE">OKLO</a>) that is backed by OpenAI founder Sam Altman.&nbsp; Money is flowing into gas and nuclear stocks on Wright's appointment.</li>
<li>The most important event for the market this week is NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) earnings that will be released on Wednesday after the close.&nbsp; This morning, NVDA is seeing aggressive selling because of a report of Blackwell chips heating up in data centers.</li>
<li>In the early trade, retail investors are aggressively buying Trump stocks based on the weekend pump.&nbsp; Professional investors are front running retail investors as they hope to sell at higher prices to retail investors later.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), TSLA, and Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>) and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in NVDA.
In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.&nbsp; Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.&nbsp; The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (ASCA:USO).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is range bound.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Trading Ideas

ETFs

$DOGE

LBRT

OKLO

A Must See Chart For Prudent Investors, Trump To Help Tesla Dominate, Nvidia Heat Problem

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-15_08h38_46.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Powell Speaks The Truth</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-powell-speech-trump-appointments-spy-mc-11152024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&amp;P 500 (SPX).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>It is worth a reminder that The Arora Report is politically agnostic.&nbsp; Our sole job is to help our members extract the maximum amount of money out of the markets with the least possible risk.</li>
<li>The price action on the chart shows that the rip roaring Trump rally is taking a breather.</li>
<li>The chart shows that the stock market is still above the breakout line.</li>
<li>RSI on the chart shows that the stock market has pulled back, reflecting a loss of momentum. The stock market is still overbought.</li>
<li>The chart shows that the volume remains low.&nbsp; This indicates that institutional investors are not rushing to buy stocks.</li>
<li>Yesterday, Powell spoke that truth – the market did not like it.&nbsp; Powell said, "The economy is not sending any signals that we need to be in a hurry to lower rates."&nbsp; Powell elaborated, "The strength we are currently seeing in the economy gives us the ability to approach our decisions carefully."</li>
<li>Powell's remarks brought some selling into stocks and bonds.</li>
<li>This morning, in the early trade, selling continues.</li>
<li>The reason for some selling is that the prevailing wisdom on Wall Street has been that another rate cut in December was a sure thing.&nbsp; The Arora Report has been questioning Wall Street's wisdom and sharing with you that the data does not support another rate cut.</li>
<li>Some conservative commentators are upset believing that the reason Powell started rate cuts with a 50 bps cut was to help Kamala Harris get elected.&nbsp; Now that Trump has been elected, Powell is in no hurry to cut rates.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, even though the data does not support a rate cut in December, Powell is going to feel pressure from Trump and Republicans to cut rates.&nbsp; There is also a significant amount of data between now and the December Fed meeting.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, based on a 360 degree view, including the political pressure and the pressure from Wall Street to cut rates, the probability of a rate cut in December is now about 60%.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>There is consternation about several Trump picks.&nbsp; Impacting the market most are Trump's picks of RKF Jr, Matt Gaetz, and Pete Hegseth.&nbsp; These picks are bringing selling in vaccine makers such as Moderna Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRNA#NASDAQ">MRNA</a>), BioNTech SE ADR (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BNTX#NASDAQ">BNTX</a>), Novavax Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVAX#NASDAQ">NVAX</a>), Merck &amp; Co Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MRK#NYSE">MRK</a>), and Pfizer Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PFE#NYSE">PFE</a>).&nbsp; There is also selling in other healthcare stocks, including weight loss drug companies Eli Lilly And Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LLY#NYSE">LLY</a>) and Novo Nordisk A/S (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVO#NYSE">NVO</a>), and packaged food stocks such as The Kraft Heinz Co (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KHC#NASDAQ">KHC</a>).&nbsp; There is also selling in defense stocks such as Boeing Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>), Lockheed Martin Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LMT#NYSE">LMT</a>), Northrop Grumman Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NOC#NYSE">NOC</a>), and Rtx Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RTX#NYSE">RTX</a>).&nbsp; There is also selling in big tech stocks.</li>
<li>The latest economic data is strong.&nbsp; The U.S. economy is about 70% consumer based.&nbsp; For this reason, prudent investors pay attention to retail sales.&nbsp; Here are the details of the just released data:
<ul>
<li>Retail sales came at 0.4% vs. 0.3% consensus.</li>
<li>Retail sales ex-auto came at 0.1% vs. 0.2% consensus.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>There are hundreds of indicators.&nbsp; At The Arora Report, the system has been refined through decades of research to share with you only those indicators that matter.&nbsp; Normally, we do not mention the NY Fed Empire State Manufacturing Index.&nbsp; Today, we are mentioning it due to its exceptional strength.&nbsp; The index came at 31.2 vs. 3.3 consensus.&nbsp; This indicates that manufacturing in the New York area has picked up steam. &nbsp; If similar strength is happening in the rest of the country, that would argue against further cutting interest rates. The problem for investors is that stock valuations are so high that to sustain them, rate cuts are needed.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), and NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in S&amp;P 500 ETF (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Even the slightest dips in Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) are being bought.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Politics

Federal Reserve

BNTX

MRNA

NVAX

Powell Speaks The Truth - Market Does Not Like It, Consternation About Kennedy, Gaetz, And Hegseth

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-13_08h38_15.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Extreme Sentiment</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-inflation-data-cpi-government-efficiency-tlt-mc-11132024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, bonds have the potential to spoil the stock market's party.&nbsp; Prudent investors need to keep an eye on bonds.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>The chart shows that yields are pulling back in the early trade after the release of the Consumer Price Index.</li>
<li>The chart shows that on Trump's win, TLT approached the high band of the support zone.</li>
<li>The chart shows that the momo crowd ran TLT up back into the bottom resistance zone.</li>
<li>The chart shows that TLT failed to breakout above the bottom resistance zone and has now pulled back below the bottom band of the resistance zone.</li>
<li>The chart shows two spot on Arora calls:
<ul>
<li>Contrary Arora call that bonds will fall when the Fed cut rates. This call was made at a time when everyone was buying bonds.</li>
<li>Arora call on the impact of the election on bonds</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Inflation data came inline with consensus. &nbsp;Here are the details:
<ul>
<li>Headline CPI came at 0.2% vs. 0.2% consensus.</li>
<li>Core CPI came at 0.3% vs. 0.3% consensus.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, prudent investors should pay attention to the fact that the 0.3% core inflation rate is 3.6% annualized.&nbsp; The Fed's stated target is 2%.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>The extreme positive sentiment is evident from the following this morning in the early trade:
<ul>
<li>Bonds rose and yields fell on inflation data.</li>
<li>Stock futures were lower prior to the data. Aggressive buying came into stocks after the data.&nbsp; Buying is aggressive in Trump linked stocks such as Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).</li>
<li>&nbsp;Bitcoin was pulling back before CPI was released.&nbsp; Aggressive buying came in after the release of the data.</li>
<li>None of the foregoing would make sense based on the data alone, but Wall Street's thinking is that the Fed will be under pressure from Trump to cut rates in December – the fact that the data does not support a rate cut does not matter because of the political pressure.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Momo gurus are already out with a new reason to buy stocks – inflation was hot but not worse than expected.</li>
<li>Trump has announced that Musk and Ramaswamy will head the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE).&nbsp; On a lighter note, Doge is the crypto coin that was developed as a joke and subsequently championed by Musk.&nbsp; An indication of extreme sentiment is that the joke coin is now worth more than Ford Motor Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/F#NYSE">F</a>).&nbsp; On a serious note, if Musk is truly able to cut $2T out of the federal budget, expect a recession and a 20% &#8211; 40% drop in the stock market.&nbsp; In The Arora Report analysis, the primary driving force behind this stock market rise is the excess money in the system.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>Initial jobless claims and Producer Price Index will be released tomorrow at 8:30am ET and maybe market moving.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">China</h3>
There is a sigh of relief in Chinese and Asian markets in that even though Trump is appointing China hawks, he has not appointed extreme China hawks so far.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>), and TSLA.
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>),&nbsp;Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>) and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is seeing aggressive buying.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

iShares Trust Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund

Buying In Stocks On Inflation Data, Musk And Ramaswamy Doge

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-12_08h12_50.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Incredible Gain</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-tesla-gains-trump-appointments-tsla-mc-11122024">click here </a>for an enlarged chart of Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock.&nbsp; The chart of TSLA stock is being used to illustrate the point.</li>
<li>The chart shows TSLA stock broke out on Trump's election.</li>
<li>As full disclosure, the chart shows the Arora buy signal that was given in the premarket after Trump's election.</li>
<li>The chart shows that TSLA stock hit the low band of the resistance zone.</li>
<li>The chart shows that this morning TSLA stock is backing off.&nbsp; This is an early indication that the Trump rally may be slowing.</li>
<li>Tesla's CEO Elon Musk spent $130M supporting Trump.&nbsp; Since Trump's election, TSLA stock has added $344B in market value.&nbsp; This is an incredible gain.&nbsp; There are additional gains in the private market value of Musk's SpaceX.</li>
<li>&nbsp;Wall Street believes that Musk's relationship with Trump will yield substantial gains for both Tesla and SpaceX.</li>
<li>As full disclosure, TSLA has been added to The Arora Report&#8217;s ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio. &nbsp; The TSLA position is suitable for aggressive investors.&nbsp; Those who are not aggressive may consider a smaller quantity.</li>
<li>RSI on the chart shows that TSLA is overbought and may pullback.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, markets across the globe are now focused on Trump's appointments for key positions.&nbsp;&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Trump appears to be picking China hawks.&nbsp; As a result, stocks in Hong Kong fell 2.8%.</li>
<li>Trump appears to be picking Iran hawks who are very pro-Israel.&nbsp; This is causing markets in Asia and Europe to fall.&nbsp; This is also bringing buying into oil and gold.&nbsp;</li>
<li>Trump appears to be picking deportation hawks.&nbsp; This is impacting markets in Mexico and South America.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, the rally yesterday was driven primarily by retail investors after the weekend pump on social media.&nbsp; Prudent investors need to be careful that the gurus who pump on social media often dump into the rallies caused by their followers buying.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), and NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in TSLA.
In the early trade, money flows are negative in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) rally is slowing as it approaches $90,000.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Musk Spends $130M – Tesla Gains $344B On Trump Election, Stock Market Focusing On Trump Appointments

As cryptocurrency prices hover around <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/11/41888686/bitcoin-blasts-through-87000-as-market-euphoria-regulatory-optimism-take-hold">record levels</a>, investors have been keen on adding them to their portfolios. This is evident by the rise in various Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) ETF levels. However, gold prices have declined by nearly 1% in the morning hours as cryptocurrency prices surged. While silver prices have been down too, Peter Schiff, the chairman of SchiffGold.com and chief economist and global strategist at Europac.com suggests that investors should go for silver over Bitcoin as the precious yellow metal declines.
What Happened: Schiff suggests that &#8220;typically&#8221; silver prices should drop to about half the rate of gold. However, with silver prices holding steady amid market fluctuations, he views this resilience as a &#8220;silver lining.&#8221; Schiff believes this unusual performance makes silver an attractive investment alternative to Bitcoin and gold ETFs, given its relative stability in the current market.
Also read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/11/41888686/bitcoin-blasts-through-87000-as-market-euphoria-regulatory-optimism-take-hold">Bitcoin Blasts Through $88,000 As Market &#8216;Euphoria,&#8217; Regulatory Optimism Take Hold</a>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="889" height="322" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12054246/peter-tweet.png" alt="" class="wp-image-642454" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12054246/peter-tweet.png 889w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12054246/peter-tweet-300x109.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12054246/peter-tweet-768x278.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 889px) 100vw, 889px" /></figure>
Why It Matters: Comparing the ETFs of all three assets, we see that gold and silver ETFs have underperformed bitcoin ETFs. Gold spot rates (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XAU#NASDAQ">XAU</a>) were down 1.05% at $2,591.34 per ounce, Silver spot rates (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XAG#NASDAQ">XAG</a>) were down by 1.25% at $30.30 per ounce and Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) trading at $87,504.28 per coin at the time of publication.
Also read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/24/11/41882342/heres-how-much-100-in-dogecoin-today-could-be-worth-if-doge-hits-new-all-time-highs-2">Here&#8217;s How Much $100 In Dogecoin Today Could Be Worth If DOGE Hits New All-Time Highs</a>
The iShares Bitcoin Trust (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBIT#NASDAQ">IBIT</a>) was up by 13.5% as of Monday&#8217;s close. Additionally, the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (BATS:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FBTC#BATS">FBTC</a>) and the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GBTC#NYSE">GBTC</a>) ETFs rose by 13.4% on Monday, as per <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a> data.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="251" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12060631/Gold-ETFs-G-1024x251.png" alt="" class="wp-image-642494" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12060631/Gold-ETFs-G-1024x251.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12060631/Gold-ETFs-G-300x74.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12060631/Gold-ETFs-G-768x188.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12060631/Gold-ETFs-G-1536x377.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12060631/Gold-ETFs-G.png 1822w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
According to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a>, Franklin Responsibility Sourced Gold ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FGDL#NYSE">FGDL</a>) declined 2.25% as of Monday&#8217;s close, whereas the SPDR Gold MiniShares Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLDM#NYSE">GLDM</a>) was down by 2.35% on the same day. iShares Gold Trust Micro Shares (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IAUM#NYSE">IAUM</a>) declined by 2.39% on Monday.
Also Read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/specialty-etfs/24/11/41888750/gold-etf-hit-with-1-billion-outflow-investors-dump-safe-haven-asset-after-trump-win">Gold ETF Hit With $1 Billion Outflow: Investors Dump Safe Haven Asset After Trump Win</a>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="250" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12054737/Gold-ETFs-Final-1024x250.png" alt="" class="wp-image-642465" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12054737/Gold-ETFs-Final-1024x250.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12054737/Gold-ETFs-Final-300x73.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12054737/Gold-ETFs-Final-768x188.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12054737/Gold-ETFs-Final-1536x375.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12054737/Gold-ETFs-Final.png 1809w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
While the gold ETFs fell by over 2% on Monday, silver ETFs were down too. As per <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro</a> data, iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>) was down 1.79% on Monday. Similarly, Global X Silver Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SIL#NYSE">SIL</a>) and Amplify ETF Trust Amplify Junior Silver Miners ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SILJ#NYSE">SILJ</a>) were down by 4.39% and 5.77% as of Monday&#8217;s close.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="245" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12055151/Silver-ETFs-1024x245.png" alt="" class="wp-image-642475" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12055151/Silver-ETFs-1024x245.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12055151/Silver-ETFs-300x72.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12055151/Silver-ETFs-768x184.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12055151/Silver-ETFs-1536x368.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/12055151/Silver-ETFs.png 1819w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
Also read: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/41886697/two-ideas-famed-stock-market-forecasters-agree-on-for-2025">Why Trump&#8217;s Win Has 2 Market Experts Betting On Small Caps, Financials</a>
Image Via Shutterstock

Commodities

Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund

FBTC

FGDL

GBTC

GLDM

IAUM

IBIT

SILJ

Economist Peter Schiff Sees 'A Silver Lining' As Gold Plummets, While Investors Rush To Snap Up Bitcoin Gains: 'Typically…Silver Would Be Down Twice As Much'

Macro Economic Events

WIIM

Economics

Silver is lower amid a rise in the US dollar.

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-11_08h27_15.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Trump Trade Rolls On&nbsp;</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-gold-money-flows-bitcoin-soars-mc-11112024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>The Arora Report&#8217;s call on bitcoin has proven spot on. &nbsp; <a href="https://blog.thearorareport.com/stock-market-110924/">On Friday, we wrote</a>:</li>
</ul>
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is being bought on hope that whales will take advantage of low liquidity during the weekend to run bitcoin up over $80,000.
</blockquote>
<ul>
<li>The chart shows that bitcoin has moved to $81,866 as of this writing.</li>
<li>RSI on the chart shows that bitcoin is overbought.&nbsp; However, in The Arora Report analysis, the RSI pattern shown on the chart is setting up for a higher bitcoin price, perhaps after a shallow pullback.&nbsp; The next target for bitcoin is $100,000.</li>
<li>The chart shows the support zone for bitcoin.</li>
<li>The chart shows that bitcoin broke out on Trump's election.&nbsp; Trump has said he wants to be the crypto president.&nbsp; As full disclosure, The Arora Report also gave a signal on Trump's election to buy bitcoin via ETF iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBIT#NASDAQ">IBIT</a>).&nbsp; Bitcoin is also in The Arora Report&#8217;s ZYX Allocation Model Portfolio.</li>
<li>Money is flowing out of gold and other commodities, such as oil, and into cryptos.  For the first time iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) has become bigger than iShares Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IAU#NYSE">IAU</a>).  On Trump's election, a record $1.4B money inflow took place in IBIT.</li>
<li>When looking at gold and bitcoin, investors need to understand that the gold market is not being manipulated, while bitcoin can easily be manipulated.&nbsp; Anytime an asset can be easily manipulated, it can be driven higher than you would think.</li>
<li>Other crypto tokens are also moving. Dogecoin, created as a joke, has gone up 40% since Friday.&nbsp; The meme crowd is going all in on smaller coins.</li>
<li>Sentiment has reached the extreme zone.&nbsp; When sentiment reaches extreme positive, it is traditionally a sell signal.&nbsp; However, sentiment is not a precise timing signal.&nbsp; Also, this time is different because of the momentum from Trump's election.&nbsp; The Arora Report's sentiment indicator is a 360 degree view and is very comprehensive.&nbsp; Investors looking for a short cut may at this time look at bitcoin as an indication of sentiment.</li>
<li>Investors need to understand that this is as pure of a momentum market as it gets.&nbsp; Momentum is great as long as it is going up.&nbsp; However, a break in momentum can cause major losses, especially in popular stocks.&nbsp; </li>
<li>Based on the weekend pump, there is aggressive buying in stocks by retail investors in the early trade.&nbsp; Buying is extremely aggressive in Trump stocks, such as Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>). TSLA stock is up over 6% in the premarket, after moving up 8.2% on Friday.&nbsp; Tesla CEO Elon Musk is expected to be the most influential person in Trump's administration, but without an official appointment.</li>
<li>Trump's election is impacting markets across the globe.&nbsp; Please see below for examples.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">China</h3>
There is disappointment in the markets about China's stimulus.
China&#8217;s trade surplus is set to hit a record of almost $1T.&nbsp; Trump is likely to focus on this record.&nbsp;
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">India</h3>
The Reserve Bank of India is likely to let the Indian currency rupee weaken to compete with the Chinese yuan after Trump's election.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Japan</h3>
The Bank of Japan failed to bolster the yen after Trump's election.&nbsp; The yen has weakened.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Europe</h3>
There are reports that Trump and Putin have spoken in a bid to settle the Ukraine war.&nbsp; Russia is denying the report.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>), and Tesla (TSLA).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>) and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
The momo crowd is aggressively buying stocks in the early trade.&nbsp; Smart money is inactive in the early trade.
Note for new members: Smart money often sells into the strength generated by momo crowd buying and buys into the weakness generated by momo crowd selling.&nbsp; Over a long period of time, investors come out ahead by adopting smart money's ways.&nbsp; The exception is in a raging bull market – for very short term trades, consider following the momo crowd and not smart money.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Very Very Short-Term Indicator</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Please see above.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Money Flows Out Of Gold Into Bitcoin, Next Bitcoin Stop $100,000, Aggressive Buying In Tesla

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-08_08h12_07.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Nvidia As An Indicator</h4>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-trump-hopium-nvidia-indicator-china-stimulus-nvda-mc-11082024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock.&nbsp; The chart of NVDA stock is being used to illustrate the point.</li>
<li>The chart shows that NVDA has broken out.</li>
<li>RSI on the chart shows that NVDA has room to run.</li>
<li>Nvidia will report earnings on Nov. 20 after the market close.&nbsp; Historically, NVDA stocks sees heavy buying before earnings. As full disclosure, in addition to the core position in NVDA, which is long from $12.55, The Arora Report also has a trade around position in NVDA in The Arora Report&#8217;s ZYX Buy.</li>
<li>The chart shows the top support zone.&nbsp; This top support zone is very significant as an indicator for the entire market, not just NVDA stock.</li>
<li>For the time being, as a simple short cut, investors can use Nvidia as an indicator.&nbsp; As long as NVDA stock does not break below the top support zone, investors' stance towards the stock market should be bullish.&nbsp; The short cut is helpful but consider relying on the highly sophisticated, adaptive, <a href="https://thearorareport.com/ALLOCATION%2BMODELS.htm">ZYX Asset Allocation Model </a>with inputs in 10 categories.</li>
<li>The Arora Report call is to scale in by buying stocks and ETF's, not just NVDA, as they dip in the buy zones until a time when Trump hopium comes close to meeting reality.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, the time to take profits will be just before the Trump hopium comes close to meeting reality.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>The stock market is moving based on the difference between Wall Street positioning going into the election and the election result.&nbsp; In The Arora Report analysis, the main cause of the rip roaring rally after the election is two-fold:
<ul>
<li>Wall Street was not positioned for the margin of Trump's victory.</li>
<li>Wall Street was not positioned for a potential red sweep.&nbsp; As of this writing, there is a high probability of a red sweep, but it is not yet confirmed.&nbsp; A red sweep will take place if Republicans take control of the House.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Based on anecdotal evidence, it is difficult for many investors to put their arms around the current rally and The Arora Report's call to buy the dips.&nbsp; </li>
<li>In the early trade, the Trump rally is taking a breather for two reasons:
<ul>
<li>Investors' disappointment from China stimulus first impacted Asian markets, then moved to Europe, and now to the U.S.&nbsp; See the section below for details.</li>
<li>In the very very short term, the stock market is overbought.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment &#8211; Prelim will be released at 10am ET.&nbsp; It may be market moving.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, consumer sentiment has moved up significantly after Trump's election.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Big China Stimulus</h4>
China has announced a big stimulus of $1.4T.&nbsp; The stimulus will provide swaps for debt ridden local governments' off balance sheet liabilities.&nbsp; The size of the stimulus is greater than the consensus.&nbsp; For this reason, it should have been positive, but in The Arora Report analysis, investors are reacting negatively because the stimulus did not include any fiscal measures to boost the economy.&nbsp;&nbsp;
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h4>
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) and Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), and NVDA.
In the early trade, money flows are negative in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h4>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.&nbsp; Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.&nbsp; The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (ASCA:USO).
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h4>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is being bought on hope that whales will take advantage of low liquidity during the weekend to run bitcoin up over $80,000.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h4>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.  The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.  The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h4>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Scale In On Trump Hopium Dips – Watch Nvidia As An Indicator, Big China Stimulus

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-07_08h30_03.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bonds Fall On Trump Win</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-market-fed-interest-rate-bonds-support-zone-tlt-mc-11072024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>After Trump's win, bonds are front and center.</li>
<li>The chart shows when the contrary Arora call was made that bonds would fall.&nbsp; That call was made at a time when everyone was predicting that bonds would rise.&nbsp;</li>
<li>The chart shows when the Arora call was made about the election.&nbsp; We wrote in the <a href="https://blog.thearorareport.com/rising-yields-100824/">Morning Capsule on October 8</a>, "In the event of a one party sweep, TLT can potentially fall to the bottom support zone."</li>
<li>The chart shows that the second Arora call on bonds has proven accurate after Trump's win.</li>
<li>The chart shows when Trump won the election.</li>
<li>The chart shows that on Trump's win, TLT gapped down and opened close to the top and of the bottom support zone.&nbsp; Yesterday's bar does not show premarket data.&nbsp; In the premarket, TLT touched the top band of the support zone.&nbsp; On The Arora Report charts, premarket data is included on the current day, but not on the previous days.&nbsp; This methodology provides the most clarity.</li>
<li>The FOMC will announce its rate decision at 2pm ET, followed by Powell's press conference at 2:30pm ET.</li>
<li>The consensus is that the Fed will cut rates by 25 bps.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, the Fed could not possibly be happy about the large drop in bonds after the last rate cut.&nbsp; We will be paying careful attention to what Powell says about the drop in bonds in his press conference.&nbsp; If Powell says anything about this subject, it will be the most important new information that can be gleaned today.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>Most institutional investors and many retail investors have suffered massive losses in bonds. &nbsp;It is important to remember that the largest amount of money is still managed using the 60/40 portfolio as a starting point.&nbsp; This means 60% in stocks and 40% in bonds.&nbsp; The Arora Report has long shown that following the protection band is heads and shoulders above following the 60/40 portfolio.&nbsp; Nonetheless, the dogma of 60/40 remains popular.&nbsp; This is the reason we publish information on 60/40 portfolios.&nbsp; For those following the 60/40 portfolio, The Arora Report call has been to limit the duration to less than five years.&nbsp; The Arora Report call on duration has been consistent at a time when a vast majority of money managers were significantly increasing duration. The longer the bond duration, the larger the losses investors have suffered.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, after Trump's election the Fed is faced with two important issues:
<ul>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, depending upon how Trump implements his tariff plan, it may add 0.5% &#8211; 1% to inflation.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>According to the nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget, Trump's tax plans will increase the national deficit by $7.8T over the next 10 years.&nbsp; All of this deficit will have to be financed by borrowing.&nbsp; This will increase the supply of Treasuries.&nbsp; A higher supply of Treasuries will lead to higher interest rates on the long end, unless the Fed decides to manipulate it with quantitative easing or some other artificial method.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>At a time when the stock market is at an all time high and bonds are suffering major losses, there is not good news on the economic data front.&nbsp;&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Unit labor costs are spiking.&nbsp; Q3 Unite Labor Costs &#8211; Preliminary came at 1.9% vs. 0.5% consensus.</li>
<li>As of this writing, the momo crowd is oblivious.  However, expect smart money to pay attention to this important, highly inflationary data. Also expect the Fed to pay attention to this data.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Initial jobless claims came at 221K vs. 222K consensus.&nbsp; This indicates that the employment picture remains strong, especially at the low end.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, there is another important question that the Fed will have to face.  Trump plans to deport undocumented immigrants.  According to the Department of Homeland Security, there are about 11M undocumented immigrants in the U.S. What happens to labor supply at the low end if 11M workers are taken out of the workforce?  What does it do to inflation?  What does it do to economic growth, and in turn the stock and bond markets? </li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">England</h3>
The Bank of England has cut interest rates.&nbsp; The key interest has been reduced to 4.75% from 5%.
This is the first cut by a major central bank after Trump's election. &nbsp; Investors should keep an eye on how the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan act after Trump's election.&nbsp; Remember, the U.S. economy is intertwined with the global economy.&nbsp;&nbsp;
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), and NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is range bound.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Bonds And Fed Front And Center As Bonds Approach Bottom Support Zone After Trump Win

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-06_08h51_37.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Deploy Cash And Reduce Hedges</h4>
In addition to Trump winning the presidency, here are the key points:
<ul>
<li>Republicans have won control of the Senate.</li>
<li>Mainstream media is calling control of the House too close to call.&nbsp; However, betting markets are at a 90% probability of Republicans winning the House.</li>
<li>If Republicans win the House, there will be a complete red sweep, allowing Trump to more easily implement his agenda.</li>
<li>Trump is on track to win the popular vote. If Trump wins the popular vote, he will use that to overcome objections from Democrats.</li>
<li>The prevailing wisdom is that Trump's agenda will be highly inflationary.&nbsp; However, in The Arora Report analysis, there are several things that Trump can easily do to prevent inflation from surging again while growing the economy and bringing manufacturing back to the U.S.</li>
<li>On the other hand, if Trump embarks on a $2T cut in the Federal budget as he and Elon Musk said on the campaign trail, there is a 70% probability of a recession and the stock market falling 20% &#8211; 30%.&nbsp; Trump has said that he would appoint Musk as the efficiency czar.&nbsp; However, the probability of Trump embarking on such a program that he campaigned on is low.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, investors will need to pay attention to how Trump implements his agenda.&nbsp; The method of execution can be the difference between a 20% rise in the stock market versus a 20% drop in the stock market.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
Consider deploying cash and reducing hedges.&nbsp; Consider making these moves slowly, taking advantage of opportunities that the market may present by scaling in.&nbsp; 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Opportunities</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-market-deploy-cash-investing-opportunities-spy-mc-11062024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) which represents the benchmark stock market index S&amp;P 500 (SPX).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>The chart shows in the early trade the stock market is technically breaking out.&nbsp; The Arora Report will be carefully watching to see if the breakout is sustained or if it fails.</li>
<li>RSI on the chart shows there is room for the stock market to run higher.</li>
<li>Investors need to be cognizant that after the initial euphoria of Trump's win wears off, there may be a ‘sell the news' reaction.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, if there is a late ‘sell the news' reaction, the dip should be bought.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>Here are the money flows in various asset classes in the early trade after Trump's victory:
<ul>
<li>Extremely positive in the dollar</li>
<li>Extremely positive in stocks</li>
<li>Very positive in bitcoin</li>
<li>Extremely negative in bonds</li>
<li>Negative in gold</li>
<li>Negative in oil</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Instead of acting out of emotion, consider taking a measured approach.&nbsp; There are many short term opportunities, but they are suitable only for aggressive investors.&nbsp; There have been a number of posts in the Real Time Feeds giving signals from both the long and short sides.&nbsp; If you are not aggressive, be patient; there will be plenty of opportunities for investors who are not aggressive.</li>
<li>In addition to short term opportunities, plenty of long term opportunities are developing.&nbsp; There is no need to rush for long term opportunities.&nbsp; Consider being patient and waiting for dips in the buy zones.</li>
<li>The FOMC is meeting.&nbsp; The Fed decision is ahead and may have a significant impact on the markets.&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>), and Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are extremely positive in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is seeing buying.&nbsp; Crypto bulls are targeting $100,000 bitcoin in a short time.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Deplay Cash And Reduce Hedges, Short Term Opportunities At Hand, Prepare For Long Term Opportunties

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-05_08h17_44.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">The Plan</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-market-election-opportunitites-tlt-mc-11052024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TLT#NASDAQ">TLT</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>Going into the election, the most important chart is that of the bond market.&nbsp; The reason is the reaction to the election from the bond market is likely to be correct compared to the first reaction from the stock market.</li>
<li>The chart shows the contrary Arora call that bonds would fall when the Fed cut interest rates by 50 bps.&nbsp; At the time of the contrary Arora call, everyone was predicting that bonds would go up.</li>
<li>The chart shows that the Arora call has proven spot on.</li>
<li>The chart shows that bonds are now at the bottom band of the top support zone.</li>
<li>Consider keeping this chart handy and see if bonds rally above the top band of the top support zone or they break down and move towards the bottom support zone.</li>
<li>In addition to understanding the chart of the bond market, the following is the essential foundation of how to capture opportunities after the election.
<ul>
<li>Wall Street positioning.&nbsp; Positioning is an important Wall Street mechanic.</li>
<li>Retail investor positioning</li>
<li>Your positioning</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Wall Street is positioned for the following:
<ul>
<li>A significant rally in stocks, bonds, gold, and the dollar after the election</li>
<li>Senate control switching from Democrats to Republicans</li>
<li>House control switching from Republicans to Democrats</li>
<li>An even probability of a Trump win or a Harris win.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Here is the positioning of retail investors:
<ul>
<li>Republican retail investors are heavily positioned in the Trump trade.</li>
<li>Democrat retail investors are heavily positioned in the Harris trade.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>The problem with positioning of retail investors is that if their candidate wins, they will do fine.&nbsp; However, if the other candidate wins, they will incur massive losses. This is not the way to maximize the wealth you generate over your lifetime. It is important to keep your politics separate from your investing.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, Wall Street is oblivious to the simple fact that the stock market has been front running the election.&nbsp;&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>Historically, there is anxiety and a pullback before the election in September and October.&nbsp; Historically, when the election is over, the overhang of anxiety lifts irrespective of who wins, and the stock market rallies.</li>
<li>This time is different because there has not been any anxiety, and there was not a pullback in September and October.&nbsp; The reason is that Wall Street has been front running the election.</li>
<li>There is no recent historical precedent of Wall Street front running the election.</li>
<li>Historically smart money uses a combination of hedging and lightening up positions before the election.&nbsp; This time is different in that smart money has been aggressively hedging, more than any other recent election, but has not been lightening up positions.</li>
<li>Even though there is no precedent of election front running, there are hundreds of precedents of Wall Street front running less important events.&nbsp; A typical reaction after the event is over is to sell the news.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, prudent investors should be aware that there is a fair probability of a sell the news reaction.&nbsp; However, the probability of a rally is higher because of the power of the momo crowd.&nbsp;</li>
<li>Going into the election, investors should be very cognizant of the positioning of their own portfolios.&nbsp; The Arora Report portfolios are well balanced between the Harris trade and the Trump trade.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>The Arora Report portfolios are also sufficiently protected with the protection band and there is sufficient cash to take advantage of new opportunities.&nbsp; Investors who are not holding enough cash will not be able to take advantage of new opportunities.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>), and Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>) and Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is range bound.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.&nbsp; The proprietary protection band from The Arora Report is very popular.&nbsp; The protection band puts all of the data, all of the indicators, all of the news, all of the crosscurrents, all of the models, and all of the analysis in an analytical framework that is easily actionable by investors.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Bonds

Here Is How Investors Can Capture Opportunities From The Election

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/2024-11-04_08h03_50.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Cash Is Not Trash</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-market-warren-buffett-apple-trump-trade-nvidia-djia-brk-b-mc-11042024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of Warren Buffett's company Berkshire Hathaway Inc Class B (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BRK#NYSE">BRK</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock.&nbsp; The chart of BRK.B is being used to illustrate the point.</li>
<li>Warren Buffett is one of the best investors.&nbsp; Prudent investors should pay attention to his actions.</li>
<li>The chart shows BRK.B stock has pulled back to the top of the mini support zone.</li>
<li>The chart shows that BRK.B stock has experienced a decent pullback from the resistance zone.</li>
<li>At a time when the stock market is near an all time high and the momo crowd is not only fully invested but is also nearly fully margined, Berkshire Hathaway's cash pile hits a record high of $325B.&nbsp; Clearly, Warren Buffett is not listening to momo gurus who have convinced their followers that cash is trash.</li>
<li>Buffett did not buy back any BRK.B stock in the third quarter.&nbsp; In The Arora Report analysis, this indicates that Buffett thinks the stock is too expensive.&nbsp; Investors have been running up BRK.B stock not on fundamentals but on sentiment.&nbsp;</li>
<li>Berkshire Hathaway cut its stake in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) by 25%.&nbsp; Instead of buying AAPL stock, Buffett has chosen to reduce the position and pay billions of dollars in taxes.&nbsp; Clearly, Buffett is not persuaded that Apple's efforts in AI are about to deliver big results.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, Buffett is likely looking at the valuation of Apple and the China risk.&nbsp;&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>AAPL stock is trading at a forward PE of approximately 30.&nbsp; The 10 year average PE is 20.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>About 20% of Apple's sales come from China.&nbsp; If Trump is elected, there is a fair probability that Apple may become a pawn in geopolitical maneuvers.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>At The Arora Report, we understand and acknowledge that investors love AAPL stock. As full disclosure, AAPL is in The Arora Report&#8217;s ZYX Buy Model Portfolio.&nbsp; Before sending hate mail for not writing positively about Apple in this article, keep in mind two facts:
<ul>
<li>Buffett has praised Apple, but due to slowing growth and the high valuation, Buffett is being prudent.</li>
<li>The Arora Report's recommendation of AAPL stock has an average price of&nbsp; $4.68.&nbsp; AAPL is trading at $221.40 as of this writing in the premarket.&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Nvidia holders are celebrating.&nbsp; NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) will be added to the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) on November 8, and&nbsp;Intel Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INTC#NASDAQ">INTC</a>) will be removed.&nbsp; Also being added is paint maker Sherwin-Williams Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SHW#NYSE">SHW</a>) and Dow Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DOW#NYSE">DOW</a>).&nbsp; Investors should note the following:
<ul>
<li>On the average, a stock loses about 4.8% one year after being added to DJIA.</li>
<li>Very little money is tied to DJIA in a passive manner.&nbsp; As such, these additions and deletions do not have the same impact as additions and deletions to S&amp;P 500.</li>
<li>Typically, only the momo crowd buys on additions to DJIA.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>We understand that just like AAPL, investors love NVDA.&nbsp; As full disclosure, NVDA is in The Arora Report&#8217;s ZYX Buy Model Portfolio. Before sending us hate mail for not writing positively about Nvidia in this article, keep in mind that The Arora Report's recommendation of NVDA has an average price of $12.55.&nbsp; &nbsp;</li>
<li>The Trump trade is pulling back on recent polling data indicating Harris could take Iowa, traditionally a red state.&nbsp; Investors should remember to separate their politics from their investing to maximize returns.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Nvidia (NVDA).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>), and AAPL.
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is seeing selling as bitcoin is part of the Trump trade.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

INTC

Pay Attention To Warren Buffett Actions, Nvidia Celebration, Trump Trade Pulling Back

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/2024-10-31_08h08_50.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Unrealistic Expectations</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-market-unrealistic-expectations-big-tech-earnings-msft-mc-10312024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock.&nbsp; The chart of MSFT stock is being used to illustrate the point.</li>
<li>The chart shows when Microsoft earnings were released.</li>
<li>The chart shows MSFT stock initially spiked higher on earnings better than the consensus and whisper numbers.</li>
<li>The chart shows when MSFT stock dropped on comments of slower Azure growth during Microsoft's conference call.
<ul>
<li>Azure growth came at 34% vs. 31% consensus.</li>
<li>Azure growth is expected to slow to 31% &#8211; 32%.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, investors are selling MSFT stock because their expectations were unrealistically high.&nbsp; Regarding Azure growth, investors are ignoring the following:
<ul>
<li>Azure growth should pick up in the second half of 2025.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>Microsoft is capacity constrained.&nbsp; In due course, capacity will increase as supply of NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) chips increases.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>Generative AI contributed 12% to Azure.</li>
<li>Generative AI is expected to exceed a $10B run-rate in Q2 2025.&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>The Arora Report's proprietary VUD indicator shows net supply of MSFT stock yesterday afternoon leading into and during the earnings release.</li>
<li>Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>) reported great earnings.&nbsp; Investors are overlooking the great earnings and focusing on the high spending.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, Meta's capital expenditure is not out of line with its ambitious AI goals.
<ul>
<li>Meta anticipates 2024 capital expenditure to be $38B &#8211; $40B from prior $37B &#8211; $40B.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Initial jobless claims came at 216K vs. 229K consensus.&nbsp; This indicates that the jobs picture remains strong.</li>
<li>The U.S. economy is 70% consumer based.&nbsp; For this reason, prudent investors pay attention to personal income and personal spending. &nbsp;Personal spending is strong.&nbsp; Here are the details of the new personal income and spending data:
<ul>
<li>Personal income came at 0.3% vs. 0.4% consensus.</li>
<li>Personal spending came at 0.5% vs. 0.4% consensus.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>PCE is the Fed&#8217;s favorite inflation gauge.&nbsp; The core data is hotter than expected.&nbsp; Here are the details:
<ul>
<li>PCE came at 0.2% vs. 0.2% consensus.</li>
<li>Core PCE came at 0.3% vs. 0.2% consensus.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>The official jobs report will be released tomorrow at 8:30am ET.&nbsp; It is an important data point for the state of the jobs market ahead of the FOMC meeting next week.</li>
<li>Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>) and Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) report earnings today after the close.</li>
<li>As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the protection band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. &nbsp; Please scroll down to see the protection band. The protection band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in AAPL and Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), META, AMZN, NVDA, and MSFT.
In the early trade, money flows are negative in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.&nbsp; Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.&nbsp; The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (ASCA:USO).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is range bound.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Tech

Here Is Why Investors Do Not Like Good Earnings From Microsoft And Meta, Hotter Inflation Data

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/2024-10-30_07h53_04.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Strong ADP Data</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-market-tech-earnings-nvidia-software-amd-mc-10302024">click here </a>for an enlarged chart of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMD#NASDAQ">AMD</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of AMD stock is being used to illustrate the point.</li>
<li>The chart shows the momo crowd buying AMD stock yesterday ahead of the earnings release.</li>
<li>The chart shows when earnings were released.</li>
<li>The chart shows the drop in AMD stock after earnings.</li>
<li>The chart shows the proprietary Arora Report VUD indicator changed to orange when earnings were released and continues to be orange today in the premarket.&nbsp; This indicates a net supply of AMD stock.</li>
<li>AMD reported earnings inline with the consensus and provided decent guidance.&nbsp; Why did the stock fall?&nbsp; The reason is that the whisper numbers for AI GPU guidance were approaching $6B.&nbsp; AMD guided above $5B for 2024 – this was inline with consensus.&nbsp; As we have been sharing with you, stocks move based on the difference between reported numbers and whisper numbers.</li>
<li>The reason that AMD was not able to meet the whisper numbers is that even though AMD chips for AI are excellent, AMD does not have the software and the whole system like NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).&nbsp; This limits AMD's market even though AMD is offering cheaper price points compared to Nvidia.&nbsp; AMD has recently bought a systems company in an attempt to catch up to NVDA.&nbsp; However, in The Arora Report analysis, it will take a long time for AMD to catch up with NVDA.&nbsp; Nvidia's CUDA is a parallel computing platform and programming model.&nbsp; Thousands of developers have been using CUDA to harness the power of AI for years.</li>
<li>Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>) reported earnings yesterday after the close.&nbsp; Alphabet earnings show data center growth.&nbsp; Data center growth means AI growth.&nbsp; However, in The Arora Report analysis, there is risk in GOOG stock because Google has over 90% of the search market.&nbsp; It is hard to see Google gaining share from here.&nbsp; Even a drop of a few percentage points will substantially hit earnings.</li>
<li>Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>) and Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>) earnings are ahead after the close.&nbsp; In The Arora Report analysis, stocks will move based not only on the earnings but how well the companies are able to monetize AI.</li>
<li>The Arora Report shared early on that AI was real and a fortune was to be made from AI.&nbsp; We have also been sharing with you that it is important to develop deep knowledge because at times it will be treacherous.&nbsp; We have illustrated the treacherousness of following the momo crowd in AI with the example of Super Micro Computer Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMCI#NASDAQ">SMCI</a>).&nbsp; When everyone was bullish and SMCI was trading above $120, The Arora Report call was that SMCI was worth only $44 &#8211; $48 at best.&nbsp; SMCI is falling about 33% to about $32 as of this writing in the premarket on the news that its independent auditor resigned.</li>
<li>Just released GDP data shows that the economy is strong even though the numbers are less than the consensus.&nbsp; GDP is a lagging indicator.&nbsp; The Arora Report system focuses on leading indicators.&nbsp; Here are the details of the GDP data:
<ul>
<li>Q3 GDP-Adv came at 2.8% vs. 3.0% consensus.</li>
<li>Q3 Chain Deflator-Adv came at 1.8% vs. 2.3% consensus.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Automatic Data Processing Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ADP#NASDAQ">ADP</a>) data indicates a strong jobs picture.&nbsp; ADP is the largest payroll processor in the country and uses its data to give an advanced glimpse of the jobs picture ahead of the official jobs report that will be released on Friday at 8:30am ET.&nbsp; In The Arora Report analysis, if the official jobs report also shows a strong jobs picture, it will decrease the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates at the next meeting.&nbsp;&nbsp;
<ul>
<li>ADP employment change came at 223K vs. 105K consensus.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>ADP data is one more data point that has gone against the reason the Fed gave to cut interest rates by 50 bps in September.&nbsp; As we have been writing, almost all of the data has gone against the Fed's reasoning for cutting rates by 50 bps.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>In a major setback, Eli Lilly And Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LLY#NYSE">LLY</a>) missed the earnings consensus.&nbsp; LLY stock has fallen about 10% as of this writing in the premarket.&nbsp; In sympathy, the stock of Novo Nordisk A/S (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVO#NYSE">NVO</a>) is also falling.&nbsp; LLY and NVO stocks have been riding high on weight loss drugs.&nbsp; As full disclosure, LLY stock is in The Arora Report&#8217;s ZYX Buy Core Model Portfolio, long from $318.45.&nbsp; As of this writing, LLY stock is trading at $807.</li>
<li>Jobless claims, personal income and spending, and &nbsp;Fed&#8217;s favorite inflation gauge PCE will all be released tomorrow at 8:30am ET.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), MSFT, GOOG, and META.
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>), and NVDA.
In the early trade, money flows are negative in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.&nbsp; Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.&nbsp; The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (ASCA:USO).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is range bound.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

SMCI

AMD Earnings Show Power Of Nvidia Software, ADP Data Defies Expectations

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/2024-10-29_08h48_24.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Aggressive Retail Investor Bets</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-market-google-meta-search-competition-goog-mc-10292024">click here </a>for an enlarged chart of Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>The Morning Capsule is about the big picture, not an individual stock.&nbsp; The chart of GOOG stock is being used to illustrate the point.</li>
<li>This stock market has been highly concentrated in the Mag Seven stocks.</li>
<li>The stock market has been ignoring the risks in the Mag Seven.</li>
<li>Here is an illustration of the risks to the Mag Seven stocks.&nbsp; Google has dominated search with over 90% of the market share.</li>
<li>Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>) Bing has only nominal market share.&nbsp; Microsoft has been gearing up to challenge Google with its Copilot.&nbsp; Many newcomers such as OpenAI and Perplexity are also going after Google.&nbsp; Now, Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>) the parent of Facebook and Instagram, plans to go after Google with its own web crawler.&nbsp;</li>
<li>The chart shows GOOG stock is nowhere near the high it made back in July.&nbsp; This has occurred at a time when S&amp;P 500 has made a new high (SPX).</li>
<li>The chart shows that GOOG stock has been struggling to even get into the lower resistance zone.</li>
<li>The chart shows that yesterday GOOG stock broke into the lower resistance zone above the lower band of the resistance zone.&nbsp; The chart shows the attempt failed.</li>
<li>The sum total of the foregoing for investors is that as dominant as the Mag Seven stocks are, there are challenges ahead for the Mag Seven.  It is important for investors to diversify beyond the Mag Seven stocks. The easiest way to properly construct your portfolio is to take a close look at The Arora Report Model Portfolios.</li>
<li>Alphabet reports earnings after the close.</li>
<li>Even though the election outcome is uncertain, retail investors are aggressively betting their money that Trump will be the winner.  Retail investors are rushing into the Trump trade. An example of a Trump stock is Trump Media &amp; Technology Group Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DJT#NASDAQ">DJT</a>). DJT stock is up about 16% as of this writing in the premarket after jumping 21.59% yesterday.  Another example of Trump trade is cryptos.</li>
<li>The momo crowd has been rushing into home builder stocks in anticipation of lower rates.&nbsp; However, as a member of The Arora Report, you knew ahead of everyone else that our call was that rates would rise.&nbsp; To the dismay of the momo crowd, the largest home builder in the U.S. DR Horton Inc (NYSE: DHI) sees FY25 revenues of $36B &#8211; $37.5B vs. $39.41B consensus.&nbsp; DHI is falling about 12% as of this writing in the premarket, causing huge losses for the momo crowd.&nbsp; DHI stock has been heavily promoted by momo gurus.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>Earnings from five Mag Seven stocks are ahead.&nbsp; Also ahead is important economic data.</li>
<li>As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the protection band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents.  Please scroll down to see the protection band. The protection band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Alphabet (GOOG) and Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Microsoft Corp (MSFT), and Meta (META).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>) and NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is trading over $71,000 on aggressive retail investor bets that Trump will win.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Retail Investors Betting Money On A Trump Win, Meta To Challenge Google Search Dominance

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/2024-10-28_08h29_14.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Fate Of Nasdaq 100</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-market-nasdaq-100-big-tech-earnings-israel-attack-qqq-mc-10282024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>The chart shows that QQQ is in the resistance zone.&nbsp; As a reference, S&amp;P 500 has broken out, but QQQ has lagged.</li>
<li>QQQ is dominated by the Magnificent Seven stocks.&nbsp; Five of the Magnificent Seven stocks are reporting earnings this week: Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), and Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>)</li>
<li>RSI on the chart shows that it is easy for QQQ to break out.&nbsp; All it needs is a little spark from big tech earnings.</li>
<li>This is the busiest earnings week.&nbsp; About one half of S&amp;P 500 companies are reporting this week.&nbsp; To date, about 75% of the companies have reported above consensus. This is slightly below the five year average of 77%.</li>
<li>The stock market is front running the election.&nbsp; The historical pattern is for the stock market to run up after the election.&nbsp; However, since the market has been front running the election this year, the historical pattern may not be as strong or may not even hold this year.</li>
<li>In the early trade this morning, there is aggressive momo crowd buying as the momentum from front running the election continues.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Japan</h3>
Japan's ruling party has lost its parliamentary majority.
<ul>
<li>The yen is falling against the dollar.</li>
<li>Long term Japanese government bonds are falling.</li>
<li>Japanese stocks are rising on a weaker yen because Japan's economy is export oriented.</li>
</ul>
In The Arora Report analysis, the drop in yen may force the Bank of Japan's (BOJ) hand to intervene by buying yen or by raising interest rates.&nbsp; From a long term perspective, the yen is very undervalued.&nbsp;
Magnificent Seven Money Flows
In the early trade, money flows are positive in NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>), Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>), AMZN, MSFT, GOOG, META, and AAPL.
In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.&nbsp; Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.&nbsp; The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (ASCA:USO).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Buying in Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) continues on increasing prospects of a Trump win.&nbsp; Trump is the recipient of very large campaign contributions from the crypto industry.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Fate Of Nasdaq 100 Depends On Just Five Earnings This Week, Oil Falls On Israel Attack On Iran

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/2024-10-25_07h57_51.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Nasdaq Breakout?</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-market-tesla-earnings-tech-stocks-breakout-qqq-mc-10252024">click here</a> for a chart of Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>The chart shows QQQ is in the resistance zone.</li>
<li>The chart shows that QQQ moved up on giant Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) earnings.&nbsp; Please see yesterday's <a href="https://blog.thearorareport.com/tesla-241024/">Morning Capsule</a> for details on Tesla earnings.&nbsp; After earnings, Tesla added a giant gain of $150B to its market capitalization.</li>
<li>Bulls are hoping that giant Tesla earnings combined with a potential short squeeze today will cause QQQ to breakout above the resistance zone.</li>
<li>Prudent investors should note that while S&amp;P 500 has broken out, Nasdaq 100 has not.&nbsp; Lately, tech stocks have lagged.&nbsp; This is a reminder that it is important to diversify beyond tech stocks.</li>
<li>RSI on the chart shows that QQQ is a long way from being overbought, and thus it will be easier to push it higher.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, next week there are important big tech earnings.&nbsp; These earnings will determine how QQQ behaves.&nbsp;&nbsp;</li>
<li>This morning more buying is coming into the stock market after the release of durable goods orders.
<ul>
<li>Durable Orders came at -0.8% vs. -0.9% consensus.</li>
<li>Durable Orders Ex-Transport came at 0.4% vs. -0.1% consensus.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>University of Michigan consumer sentiment will be released at 10am ET.&nbsp; This data may be market moving.&nbsp; Consumer sentiment is important because the consumer is 70% of the U.S. economy.</li>
<li>As an actionable item, the sum total of the foregoing is in the protection band, which strikes the optimum balance between various crosscurrents. &nbsp; Please scroll down to see the protection band. The protection band is one of the large number of unique edges that are available to members of The Arora Report.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Japan</h3>
A general election will be held in Japan this Sunday.&nbsp; There is a risk of the ruling party losing control of parliament.&nbsp; In The Arora Report analysis, if the ruling party loses control of parliament, there is a fair probability that it will be negative for the yen and Japanese stocks.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Europe</h3>
The European Central Bank's (ECB) Chief Economist is out saying that inflation in Europe is expected to reach the central bank's target in 2025.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), and NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in TSLA.
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (QQQ).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is range bound.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

Will Tesla's Giant Move Help NASDAQ Break Out?

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/2024-10-24_08h26_22.png" alt="" /></figure>
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Counterbalanced Crosscurrents</h4>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-market-blowout-tesla-earnings-cybercab-tsla-mc-10242024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock.&nbsp; The chart of TSLA stock is being used to illustrate the point.</li>
<li>The chart shows that prior to the release of Tesla earnings, TSLA stock was approaching the top band of the support zone.</li>
<li>After the close, Tesla reported blowout earnings.</li>
<li>Tesla earnings are significantly better than the whisper numbers.&nbsp; Stocks move based on the difference between report numbers and whisper numbers.&nbsp; Whisper numbers are the numbers analysts provide privately to their best clients.&nbsp; These numbers are often different from the numbers the same analysts publish for public consumption.</li>
<li>The most important number in Tesla earnings is ex-credits gross margin.&nbsp; Tesla handily beat the Street consensus of 15.1%.&nbsp; Tesla reported 17.1%.</li>
<li>The chart shows that after the earnings TSLA stock is approaching the top band of the resistance zone.</li>
<li>RSI on the chart shows TSLA stock going quickly from very oversold to very overbought.&nbsp; Historically, such thrust in RSI leads to a higher stock price.</li>
<li>If the historical precedence holds and the overall stock market does not tank, the probability of TSLA stock reaching the top resistance zone shown on the chart is about 70%.&nbsp; As full disclosure, there is a new buy signal on TSLA in ZYX Buy.</li>
<li>Tesla CEO Elon Musk's comments about robotaxi deployment are adding to the optimism.&nbsp; Musk's comments about robotaxis are bringing in selling in Uber Technologies Inc (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UBER#NYSE">UBER</a>) and LYFT Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LYFT#NASDAQ">LYFT</a>).</li>
<li>NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) is the most important stock for this market.&nbsp; Yesterday, due to rising yields, the NVDA breakout was failing.</li>
<li>Tesla is one of the biggest customers of NVDA.&nbsp; Blowout earnings from TSLA are bringing in buying to NVDA stock.&nbsp; As of this writing in the premarket, NVDA has moved above the key $140 level.</li>
<li>Markets always have crosscurrents.&nbsp; We have been sharing with you that yields are rising.&nbsp; In yesterday's Morning Capsule we wrote,</li>
</ul>
<blockquote class="wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow">Ten year Treasury yield has reached 4.24% as of this writing in the premarket.&nbsp; As we wrote yesterday, when the yield crosses 4.25%, it will start catching smart money&#8217;s attention.&nbsp; This is exactly what is happening today, and it is bringing selling into the stock market.
</blockquote>
<ul>
<li>Yesterday, the yield on 10 year Treasuries reached 4.258% at its high.&nbsp; This brought selling into the stock market.</li>
<li>We have also been sharing with you in advance that for the stock market to sustain at this level earnings will have to be very robust. Tesla earnings are counterbalancing rising yields.&nbsp;</li>
<li>20 year Treasury bond reopening auction results are poor, indicating less demand than expected.&nbsp; Here are the details:
<ul>
<li>$13B 20 year Treasury bond reopening</li>
<li>High yield: 4.590% (When-Issued: 4.574%)</li>
<li>Bid-to-cover: 2.59</li>
<li>Indirect bid: 67.9%</li>
<li>Direct bid: 17.6%</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>Initial jobless claims came at 227K vs. 246K consensus.&nbsp; This indicates that the jobs picture is stronger than expected.&nbsp; This data is an additional data point that shows the Fed was overly aggressive when the Fed spiked the punch bowl with the 50 bps cut.&nbsp; Initial jobless claims is a leading indicator and carries heavy weight in our adaptive <a href="https://thearorareport.com/ALLOCATION%2BMODELS.htm">ZYX Asset Allocation Model</a> with inputs in <a href="https://thearorareport.com/unique-zyx-asset-allocation-4/">ten categories</a>.&nbsp; In plain English, adaptiveness means that the model changes itself with market conditions.&nbsp; Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/unique-zyx-asset-allocation-3/">click here</a> to see how this is achieved.&nbsp; One of the reasons behind The Arora Report's unrivaled performance in both bull and bear markets is the adaptiveness of the model.&nbsp; Most models on Wall Street are static.&nbsp; They work for a while and then stop working when market conditions change.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Europe</h3>
European stocks are seeing buying on better than expected manufacturing PMI.
<ul>
<li>Flash Manufacturing PMI came at 45.9 vs. 45.1 consensus.</li>
<li>Flash Services PMI came at 51.2 vs. 51.4 consensus.</li>
</ul>
Buying in European stocks is bringing positive sentiment to the U.S. stock market in the early trade.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), NVDA, and TSLA.
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.&nbsp; Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.&nbsp; The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).&nbsp; The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (ASCA:USO).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is seeing buying on positive sentiment created by Tesla earnings.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

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