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The Trust seeks to achieve its investment objective by holding a portfolio of the common stocks that are included in the index (the Portfolio), with the weight of each stock in the Portfolio substantially corresponding to the weight of such stock in the index.

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The Santa Rally refers to a seasonal stock market trend where equities historically see stronger gains during the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42269611/dollar-enters-its-most-bearish-month-of-the-year-could-december-2024-be-any-different">final stretch of December. </a>
This phenomenon, often fueled by holiday cheer, year-end portfolio rebalancing, and investor optimism, has been a recurring pattern for decades.
 But what makes December stand out, and which stocks have historically outperformed during this period? 
Let's dig into the numbers.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">December: A Seasonal Sweet Spot For Stocks</h3>
After a strong rally in November, with the S&amp;P 500 – as tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) – rallying 6%, &#8220;momentum could continue for stocks as historically it has been a good month for stock market seasonals,&#8221; said George Smith, portfolio strategist at LPL Financials. 
Since 1950, December ranks as the second-best month for the S&amp;P 500, delivering an average return of 1.6%. Only November performs better, with a historical average of 1.8%. 
Smith also highlighted that the second half of December has typically delivered the lion's share of these gains, generating the so-called &#8220;Santa Rally&#8221; effect. 
Historically, stocks tend to stall or even decline slightly during the first half of the month before momentum builds around mid-December. Data suggests that the upward trajectory starts gaining steam near the 11th trading day of the month and accelerates as Christmas approaches.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Top 10 S&amp;P 500 Stocks With Strong Christmas Seasonality</h3>
For investors looking to capitalize on the Santa Rally, certain stocks have a history of delivering outsized gains in the back half of December. 
Looking back at the last 20 years of data, here are the top 10 S&amp;P 500 stocks that have historically shown the strongest average returns between Dec. 12 and Dec. 31:
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Rank</th>
<th>Stock</th>
<th>Average Return</th>
<th>Median Return</th>
<th>Max Profit</th>
<th>Max Loss</th>
<th>Win Ratio</th>
<th>Sharpe Ratio</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>1</td>
<td>Illumina, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ILM#NASDAQ">ILM</a>)</td>
<td>+4.94%</td>
<td>+5.17%</td>
<td>+19.39%</td>
<td>-10.98%</td>
<td>75%</td>
<td>4.27</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>2</td>
<td>Invesco Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IVZ#NYSE">IVZ</a>)</td>
<td>+4.34%</td>
<td>+3.04%</td>
<td>+23.10%</td>
<td>-5.10%</td>
<td>80%</td>
<td>3.72</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>3</td>
<td>Valero Energy Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VLO#NYSE">VLO</a>)</td>
<td>+3.78%</td>
<td>+4.37%</td>
<td>+12.89%</td>
<td>-8.52%</td>
<td>80%</td>
<td>3.70</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>4</td>
<td>Western Digital Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WDC#NASDAQ">WDC</a>)</td>
<td>+3.73%</td>
<td>+3.84%</td>
<td>+24.23%</td>
<td>-13.26%</td>
<td>70%</td>
<td>2.75</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>5</td>
<td>Mohawk Industries, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MHK#NYSE">MHK</a>)</td>
<td>+3.47%</td>
<td>+2.19%</td>
<td>+20.26%</td>
<td>-4.35%</td>
<td>70%</td>
<td>3.18</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>6</td>
<td>Freeport-McMoRan Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCX#NYSE">FCX</a>)</td>
<td>+3.34%</td>
<td>+4.60%</td>
<td>+25.84%</td>
<td>-15.06%</td>
<td>75%</td>
<td>2.03</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>7</td>
<td>BlackRock, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BLK#NYSE">BLK</a>)</td>
<td>+3.32%</td>
<td>+3.62%</td>
<td>+11.64%</td>
<td>-1.69%</td>
<td>80%</td>
<td>3.49</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>8</td>
<td>Global Payments Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GPN#NYSE">GPN</a>)</td>
<td>+3.30%</td>
<td>+3.35%</td>
<td>+12.38%</td>
<td>-8.28%</td>
<td>80%</td>
<td>3.44</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>9</td>
<td>CBRE Group, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CBRE#NYSE">CBRE</a>)</td>
<td>+3.20%</td>
<td>+3.24%</td>
<td>+13.27%</td>
<td>-7.11%</td>
<td>75%</td>
<td>2.22</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>10</td>
<td>Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RCL#NYSE">RCL</a>)</td>
<td>+3.14%</td>
<td>+1.80%</td>
<td>+36.95%</td>
<td>-14.54%</td>
<td>55%</td>
<td>2.36</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Data: Seasonax</figcaption></figure>
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/entertainment/24/12/42278850/why-this-streaming-giant-could-be-decembers-best-stock-pick-backed-by-20-years-of-data">Why This Streaming Giant Could Be December&#8217;s Best Stock Pick, Backed By 20 Years Of Data</a></li>
</ul>
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Santa Rally: 10 S&P 500 Stocks That Outperform In December's Second Half

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Tsunami Warning Cancelled After California Earthquake

U.S. National Tsunami Center Says Tsunami Warning Issued After 7.5 Magnitude Earthquake Strikes California

Wall Street experienced subdued trading on Thursday morning, with major indices remaining near the flatline as investors awaited further confirmation of potential interest rate cuts from the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/12/42346164/november-jobs-report-preview-will-it-seal-the-deal-for-a-fed-interest-rate-cut">upcoming November jobs report.</a>
The S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq 100 edged up by 0.1%, extending their record-high levels, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.3%. Small-cap stocks underperformed, with the Russell 2000 declining 0.8%.
Airline stocks emerged as a standout industry, buoyed by American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAL#NASDAQ">AAL</a>), which surged by a staggering 16% after the company raised its quarterly growth forecast on robust travel demand. 
Shares of United Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>) gained 5%, while Delta Air Lines Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DAL#NYSE">DAL</a>) climbed 4.3%. The broader sector, tracked by the U.S. Global Jets ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JETS#NYSE">JETS</a>), advanced 4%, reaching levels unseen since June 2021.
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) added more than 3%, touching highs last seen in March 2022 after Bank of America raised its 12-month price target on the stock from $350 to $400, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/12/42344440/teslas-path-to-400-bank-of-america-highlights-ev-ai-growth">citing improving growth prospects.</a>
The U.S. dollar softened by 0.4%, while Treasury yields held steady, with little movement across the curve.
Gold dropped 0.9%, while copper and silver retreated 0.4% and 0.7%, respectively, reflecting broader weakness in metals.
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) was up 2.4% to trade around $101,000. The leading cryptocurrency briefly touched $103,650 by 10:00 a.m. ET before retreating slightly amid high volatility.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Thursday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, ETFs</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day %chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>6,090.78</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>21,497.32</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>44,829.20</td>
<td>-0.4%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,407.36</td>
<td>-0.8%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:45 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent120224&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) inched 0.1% up to $608.06.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;eased 0.3% to $449.43.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) inched 0.1% up to $523.76.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) fell 0.8% to $239.12.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) outperformed, rising 1%; the&nbsp;Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLB#NYSE">XLB</a>) lagged, down 1.5%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Thursday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Synopsys Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNPS#NASDAQ">SNPS</a>) fell over 11% in reaction to the company&#8217;s latest earnings report. </li>
<li>Other stocks reacting to earnings included SentinelOne Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/S#NYSE">S</a>), down 10.3%, PVH Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PVH#NYSE">PVH</a>), down 0.7%, Five Below Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FIVE#NASDAQ">FIVE</a>), up 12%, Kroeger Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KR#NYSE">KR</a>), up 1.3%, and Dollar General Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DG#NYSE">DG</a>), down 3%. </li>
<li>Companies slated to report their earnings after the close are DocuSign Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DOCU#NASDAQ">DOCU</a>), Ulta Beauty Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ULTA#NASDAQ">ULTA</a>), Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LULU#NASDAQ">LULU</a>), Veeva Systems Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/VEEV#NYSE">VEEV</a>), Samsara Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IOT#NYSE">IOT</a>), and Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HPE#NYSE">HPE</a>). </li>
</ul>
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/12/42336184/exclusive-bitcoin-crossing-100000-is-a-defining-moment-experts-say">EXCLUSIVE: Bitcoin Crossing $100,000 Is A &#8216;Defining Moment,&#8217; Experts Say</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Coverage of Bitcoin, Etherum, Ripple and all the latest digital currencies.

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Select Sector SPDR-Consumer Discretionary

US Stocks Hold Steady, Travel Demand Fuels Airlines, Tesla Reaches 32-Month Highs: What's Driving Markets Thursday?

<a href="https://www.ft.com/content/c0b76557-4200-40f6-8511-56b021e481a8" title="https://www.ft.com/content/c0b76557-4200-40f6-8511-56b021e481a8">https://www.ft.com/content/c0b76557-4200-40f6-8511-56b021e481a8</a>

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'Will Washington Need To Step Up To Support Intel?' - Financial Times

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Pentagon Halts Planning For U.S. Defense Secretary Austin To Travel To South Korea

Leading cryptocurrency <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/bitcoin-price-prediction">Bitcoin </a>(CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) smashed through the $100,000 milestone Wednesday, Dec. 4, adding to the list of all-time highs the crypto has passed since the<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/11/41778425/bitcoins-all-time-high-a-groundbreaking-milestone-and-strong-post-election-rally-coming-ex"> 2024 presidential election.</a>
What Happened: Many cryptocurrency investors and analysts were <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/12/42331507/happy-bitcoin-100k-day-heres-how-nayib-bukele-brian-armstrong-and-peter-schiff-reacted-to-the-historic-milestone">quick to celebrate</a> Bitcoin reaching the $100,000 milestone, a key moment in the history of the sector.
One of the names that voiced their opinion on the milestone was economist Peter Schiff.
"It's ironic that #Bitcoin only hit $100k by buying off politicians and getting in bed with government. Without expected government intervention, this milestone never would have been hit. What couldn't be done in a free market was achieved through the cohesive power of the state," Schiff <a href="https://x.com/PeterSchiff/status/1864506441232744577">tweeted</a>.
The tweet received a Community Note on X with users pointing out that government intervention has influenced crypto and Bitcoin for years both positively and negatively.
"Schiff's claims are biased speculation. The SEC specifically is facing legal action for market suppression, directly counter to Peter's claim," the Community Note says.
For those unfamiliar, Schiff has been one of the most outspoken critics of Bitcoin and is a key supporter of gold.
Schiff later replied that "intervention may not have been the best term" and that bailout could have been more accurate.
"I'm referring to the much-hyped Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, where the government would use public money, taken by force, to buy Bitcoin."
Schiff famously tweeted about the $100,000 milestone back in 2019.
"Keep dreaming. Bitcoin is never going to hit $100,000!" Schiff <a href="https://x.com/PeterSchiff/status/1192802503856984064">told </a>a user on X back on Nov. 8, 2019.
Over the years, users have been quick to respond to Schiff's claims that Bitcoin will never reach certain milestones and fall in value. Some Bitcoin supporters, like Mark Yusko, have even challenged Schiff, pitting the return of Bitcoin versus gold going forward.
On Wednesday, Dec. 4, Bitcoin passed the $100,000 milestone and reached a new all-time high of $103,900.47. 
Read Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/12/42336184/exclusive-bitcoin-crossing-100000-is-a-defining-moment-experts-say">EXCLUSIVE: Bitcoin Crossing $100,000 Is A &#8216;Defining Moment,&#8217; Experts Say</a>
Investing $1,000 in Bitcoin: Investors who went against Schiff's famous tweet in 2019 are likely smiling as the cryptocurrency has increased in value substantially.
Bitcoin hit a high of $9,272.76 on Nov. 8, 2019. A $1,000 investment at the time could have purchased 0.1078 BTC. The $1,000 investment would be worth $11,084.51 today, up 1,008.5% over the last five years, based on a price of $102,824.78 for Bitcoin at the time of writing. 
Compare that return to the S&amp;P 500 and a leading gold ETF. The same $1,000 invested in the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), which tracks the S&amp;P 500, could have bought 3.24 SPY shares. The investment would be worth $1,968.82 today, up 96.9%.
The same $1,000 invested in the SPDR Gold Trust ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>) could have bought 7.23 GLD shares. The investment would be worth $1,768.96 today, up 76.9%.
Schiff believes that Bitcoin will not be valuable in the long run, but perhaps he should have followed the idiom "never say never."
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/24/11/42125880/if-you-bought-1-worth-of-bitcoin-at-launch-heres-how-much-youd-have-today-2">If You Bought $1 Worth Of Bitcoin At Launch, Here&#8217;s How Much You&#8217;d Have Today</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: <a href="https://www.flickr.com/photos/gageskidmore/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Gage Skidmore</a> on Flickr and Midjourney.

Social Media

Education

If You Invested $1,000 In Bitcoin When Peter Schiff Said BTC Would Never Hit $100K, Here's How Much You'd Have Now

<a href="https://www.axios.com/2024/12/05/trump-rfk-jr-pfizer-lilly">https://www.axios.com/2024/12/05/trump-rfk-jr-pfizer-lilly</a>
&nbsp;
<a href="https://www.axios.com/politics-policy/donald-trump">President-elect Trump</a> hosted the chief executives of Pfizer, Eli Lilly and PhRMA Wednesday night at Mar-a-Lago, where they discussed how the public and private sectors can collaborate on finding cures for cancer, among other topics, Axios has learned.
Why it matters: The patio dinner is a potential indication that Trump's administration will see the pharmaceutical industry as a partner — not just an adversary — for parts of its <a href="https://www.axios.com/2024/11/14/maha-movement-federal-health-agencies">"Make America Healthy Again"</a> agenda.
<ul>
<li>There's been much speculation about how Trump's team will deal with the industry, given Trump's<a href="https://www.axios.com/2023/06/30/pharma-another-term-without-friend-white-house"> tough talk</a> during the campaign and his pick of vaccine skeptic Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as Health and Human Services secretary.</li>
<li>Last month, <a href="https://www.axios.com/2024/11/14/vaccine-stocks-fall-trump-rfk-health-secretary-hhs">drugmakers' share prices</a> dropped after Trump announced the nomination of Kennedy, who was at Wednesday's dinner along with Dr. Mehmet Oz, Trump's pick to run the Centers for Medicare &amp; Medicaid Services.</li>
</ul>
Pfizer CEO Albert Bourla, Lilly CEO David Ricks were at the dinner. Steve Ubl, CEO of the Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America (PhRMA) represented the industry at the table. Trump's incoming chief of staff, Susie Wiles, also attended.
Zoom out: In his first term, Trump worked in concert with the private sector as part of <a href="https://www.axios.com/2020/08/11/moderna-vaccine-coronavirus-trump">Operation Warp Speed</a> to accelerate the development and delivery of COVID-19 vaccines and therapeutics.
<ul>
<li>But drugmakers are still reeling from Democrats' new law allowing <a href="https://www.axios.com/2023/01/11/medicare-drug-price-negotiation-hhs-process">Medicare to negotiate the price of drugs</a>. During the presidential campaign, both President <a href="https://www.axios.com/politics-policy/joe-biden">Biden</a> and <a href="https://www.axios.com/politics-policy/donald-trump">Trump</a> promised even harsher crackdowns on the industry.</li>
</ul>
&nbsp;
Zoom in: The meeting at Mar-a-Lago included a pre-dinner reception and lasted nearly three hours.
<ul>
<li>As dinner was winding down, Trump entertained his guests by playing D.J. with his <a href="https://www.axios.com/2024/04/04/donald-trump-news-mar-a-lago">Spotify playlist</a>.</li>
</ul>
Go deeper: Biden made <a href="https://www.axios.com/2022/02/02/biden-relaunch-cancer-death-rate-moonshot">finding a cure for cancer</a> a central plank of his health care agenda, reviving the "moon shot" research program he spearheaded as vice president.
What they're saying: Trump's transition team and a Lilly representative did not immediately respond to a request for comment. Spokespeople for Pfizer PhRMA declined to comment.

Biotech

MRNA

"Scoop: Trump, RFK Jr. Dine With Pfizer And Lilly Execs" - Axios

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Crypto
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/12/42338347/bitcoin-to-emerge-as-premier-store-of-value-asset-hit-1-million-by-2033-says-bernstein">Bitcoin To Emerge As &#8216;Premier Store Of Value Asset,&#8217; Hit $1 Million By 2033, Says Bernstein</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/12/42337522/bitcoin-crosses-100000-this-trader-predicted-it-at-the-16000-bottom-in-november-2022">Bitcoin Crosses $100,000 — This Trader Predicted It At The $16,000 Bottom In November 2022</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/12/42336184/exclusive-bitcoin-crossing-100000-is-a-defining-moment-experts-say">Bitcoin Crossing $100,000 Is A &#8216;Defining Moment,&#8217; Experts Say</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/entertainment/24/12/42333397/hawk-tuah-girl-accused-of-scamming-crypto-buyers-after-newly-launched-meme-coin-pumps-and-dumps-victims-contemplate-legal-action">&#8216;Hawk Tuah&#8217; Girl Accused Of Scamming Crypto Buyers After Newly-Launched Meme Coin Pumps And Dumps, Victims Contemplate Legal Action</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42332276/coinbase-targets-southeast-asias-crypto-future-with-stablecoin-push-bringing-local-currency-onchain-makes-it-faster-and-cheaper-says-exec">Coinbase Targets Southeast Asia Crypto Expansion By Supporting Development Of Baht, Peso Stablecoins: &#8216;Literally The Same Money But Just Faster&#8217;</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42331990/dogecoin-follows-bitcoins-100k-flourish-with-9-rally-bullish-predictions-galore-but-watch-out-for-the-lofty-ones">Dogecoin Follows Bitcoin&#8217;s $100K Flourish With 9% Rally As Bullish Predictions Rise, But Here&#8217;s What You Should Know</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/12/42331507/happy-bitcoin-100k-day-heres-how-nayib-bukele-brian-armstrong-and-peter-schiff-reacted-to-the-historic-milestone">Happy Bitcoin $100K Day: Here&#8217;s How Nayib Bukele, Brian Armstrong, And Peter Schiff Reacted To The Historic Milestone</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/12/42331483/michael-saylors-bitcoin-strategy-drives-microstrategys-490-surge-hedge-fund-cio-says-its-an-extreme-example-of-volatility-monetization">Michael Saylor&#8217;s Bitcoin Strategy Drives MicroStrategy&#8217;s 490% Surge, Hedge Fund CIO Says It&#8217;s An &#8216;Extreme Example&#8217; Of Volatility Monetization</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42330939/bitcoin-ethereum-dogecoin-jump-on-jerome-powells-bullish-btc-take-paul-atkins-sec-nomination-analyst-highlights-where-would-eth-be-by-may-2025">Bitcoin, Ethereum, Dogecoin Jump On Jerome Powell&#8217;s Bullish BTC Take, Paul Atkins SEC Nomination: Analyst Highlights Impressive 320% Upside For ETH By May</a></li>
</ul>
US Markets­­­­­­­­
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/12/42334954/us-stocks-likely-to-see-tepid-opening-as-bitcoin-blasts-through-103000-investors-eye-jobless-claims-data-while-blackrock-expects-us-exceptionalism-to-power-earnings-in-2025">US Stocks Likely To See Tepid Opening As Bitcoin Blasts Through $103,000: Investors Eye Jobless Claims Data While BlackRock Expects &#8216;US Exceptionalism&#8217; To Power Earnings In 2025</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42332881/dow-settles-above-45000-for-first-time-investor-sentiment-improves-fear-greed-index-in-greed-zone">Dow Settles Above 45,000 For First Time As Salesforce, Marvell Surge: Investor Sentiment Improves, Fear Index In &#8216;Greed&#8217; Zone</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/12/42332759/kroger-five-below-and-3-stocks-to-watch-heading-into-thursday">Kroger, Five Below And 3 Stocks To Watch Heading Into Thursday</a></li>
</ul>
US Politics
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/tech/24/12/42333921/elon-musk-lauds-ro-khanna-calls-him-a-sensible-moderate-after-california-democrat-calls-out-gavin-newsoms-exclusion-of-tesla-from-ev-credit-policy">Elon Musk Lauds Ro Khanna, Calls Him A &#8216;Sensible Moderate&#8217; After California Democrat Calls Out Gavin Newsom&#8217;s Exclusion Of Tesla From EV Credit Policy</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/12/42331892/trump-eyes-shyam-sankar-for-pentagon-role-while-palantir-gains-from-border-crisis-contracts-analyst-says-this-is-a-win-for-the-stock">Trump Eyes Shyam Sankar For Pentagon Role While Palantir Gains From Border Crisis Contracts — Analyst Says, &#8216;This Is A Win For The Stock&#8217;</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/media/24/12/42331420/jeff-bezos-optimistic-about-trumps-second-term-wants-to-help-streamline-rules-we-do-have-too-many-regulations-in-this-country">Jeff Bezos Optimistic About Trump&#8217;s Second Term, Wants To Help Streamline Rules: &#8216;We Do Have Too Many Regulations In This Country&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
World Politics
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42333675/fbi-warns-of-ongoing-china-backed-telecom-hacks-heres-how-encrypted-messaging-could-be-your-last-line-of-defense">FBI Warns Of Ongoing China-Backed Telecom Hacks: Here&#8217;s Why Encrypted Messaging Could Be Your Last Line Of Defense</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/eurozone/24/12/42330913/mohamed-el-erian-calls-michel-barniers-ouster-an-example-of-messy-politics-notes-greek-and-french-bonds-achieving-historic-parity">Mohamed El-Erian Calls Michel Barnier&#8217;s Ouster An Example Of &#8216;Messy Politics,&#8217; Notes Greek And French Bonds Achieving Historic Parity</a></li>
</ul>
World Economy
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42334819/asia-markets-mixed-europe-gains-oil-prices-up-while-dollar-weakens-bitcoin-hits-100k-global-markets-today-while-us-slept">Asia And Europe Markets Gains; Dollar Slips While Bitcoin Hits $100K &#8211; Global Markets Today While US Slept</a></li>
</ul>
Tech
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42337936/meta-unveils-10-billion-ai-data-center-in-louisiana-a-game-changer-for-tech-and-jobs">Meta Readies $10 Billion AI Data Center in Louisiana, Its Largest Facility Globally</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42336843/wall-streets-most-accurate-analysts-give-their-take-on-3-tech-stocks-with-over-3-dividend-yields">Wall Street&#8217;s Most Accurate Analysts Give Their Take On 3 Tech Stocks With Over 3% Dividend Yields</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42336825/nvidia-could-become-taiwan-semis-3rd-us-plant-customer">Nvidia Could Become Taiwan Semi&#8217;s Third US Plant Customer, But With A Catch</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/24/12/42336741/elon-musks-xai-to-expand-colossus-supercomputer-tenfold-challenging-google-openai-and-jeff-bezos-backed-anthropic">Elon Musk&#8217;s xAI To Expand Colossus Supercomputer Tenfold, Challenging Google, OpenAI And Jeff Bezos-Backed Anthropic</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/12/42333575/microstrategy-shares-rise-813-in-pre-market-as-bitcoin-surpasses-100k-driving-institutional-interest-and-490-gains-this-year">MicroStrategy Shares Rise Over 8% In Pre-Market As Michael Saylor Prepares For &#8216;Party&#8217; After Bitcoin Touches Historic $102K Mark</a></li>
</ul>
Electric Vehicle
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42333041/teslas-bitcoin-holdings-criticized-by-gary-black-calls-them-irrelevant-to-tsla-stock-price-and-urges-focus-on-ev-growth-and-capital-allocation">Gary Black Says Tesla&#8217;s Bitcoin Holdings Not &#8216;Relevant&#8217; To TSLA&#8217;s Stock Price, Urges Focus On EV Expansion And Share Buybacks</a></li>
</ul>
Consumer
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42332335/dollar-general-gears-up-for-q3-print-here-are-the-recent-forecast-changes-from-wall-streets-most-accurate-analysts">Dollar General Gears Up For Q3 Print; Here Are The Recent Forecast Changes From Wall Street&#8217;s Most Accurate Analysts</a></li>
</ul>
&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; Communication
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/entertainment/24/12/42330923/espn-lands-on-disney-in-major-content-fusion-heres-what-it-actually-means">ESPN Lands On Disney+ in Major Content Fusion: Here&#8217;s What It Actually Means</a></li>
</ul>
Industrial
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42336864/this-ge-vernova-analyst-begins-coverage-on-a-bullish-note-here-are-top-5-initiations-for-thursday-2">This GE Vernova Analyst Begins Coverage On A Bullish Note; Here Are Top 5 Initiations For Thursday</a></li>
</ul>
Financial
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/real-estate/24/12/42336280/rising-housing-prices-once-benefited-boomers-now-theyre-struggling-with-retirement-housing-costs-and-stuck-in-unsuitable-homes">Rising Housing Prices Once Benefited Boomers – Now They&#8217;re Struggling With Retirement Housing Costs And Stuck In Unsuitable Homes</a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/12/42334991/as-bitcoin-hits-100k-for-the-first-time-ark-invests-cathie-wood-calls-it-a-much-bigger-idea-than-gold-and-that-it-is-still-is-in-early-innings">As Bitcoin Hits $100K For The First Time, Ark Invest&#8217;s Cathie Wood Calls It &#8216;A Much Bigger Idea Than Gold&#8217; And That It Is &#8216;Still Is In Early Innings&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
General
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/12/42335531/jeff-bezos-counters-elon-musk-led-doge-cost-cutting-plan-says-america-needs-growth-orientation-heres-what-the-amazon-founder-said-to-tackle-national-debt">Jeff Bezos Counters Elon Musk-Led DOGE Cost-Cutting Plan, Says America Needs &#8216;Growth Orientation:&#8217; Here&#8217;s What The Amazon Founder Said To Tackle National Debt</a></li>
</ul>
Space
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/space/24/12/42333605/elon-musks-spacex-completes-first-starlink-satellite-constellation-for-cell-phones">Elon Musk&#8217;s SpaceX Completes First Starlink Satellite Constellation For Cell Phones</a></li>
</ul>
Energy
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/12/42334888/rio-tinto-ceo-defends-london-listing-outlines-future-growth-plans">Rio Tinto CEO Defends London Listing, Outlines Future Growth Plans</a></li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock

$ETH

Dogecoin Surges 9% Following Bitcoin's $100K Milestone; Meta Plans $10 Billion AI Data Center In Louisiana; Nvidia May Become Taiwan Semi's Third US Plant Customer - Top Headlines Today While US Slept

USA Continuing Jobless Claims 1,871K Vs 1,910K Est.; 1,896K Prior

USA Initial Jobless Claims 224K Vs 215K Est.; 215K Prior

Challenger Job Cuts For Nov. 57.73K Vs 55.6K Prior

U.S. stocks could open on a weak note on Thursday after the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42332881/dow-settles-above-45000-for-first-time-investor-sentiment-improves-fear-greed-index-in-greed-zone">averages closed at a record high on Wednesday</a>. Futures of all three major indices were marginally down on Thursday, pointing to cautious sentiment on Wall Street.
The tentativeness in U.S. futures comes after Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell tried to downplay expectations of swift rate cuts, citing a strong economy and uncertainty about inflation.
"The labor market is better, and the downside risks appear to be less in the labor market. Growth is definitely stronger than we thought, and inflation is coming [out] a little higher," Powell said during an interview at the New York Times' DealBook Summit on Wednesday.
"So, the good news is that we can afford to be a little more cautious as we try to find neutral."
However, CME Group's FedWatch <a href="https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html">tool</a> shows that expectations of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December stand at 74%, up from 66.5% a week ago.
On Thursday, Bitcoin surged past $103,000 for the first time, with the cryptocurrency trading at $102,407 at the time of writing, according to data from <a href="http://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro. </a>
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Futures</td>
<td>Performance (+/-)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>-0.10%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>-0.02%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>-0.01%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>R2K</td>
<td>0.06%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
In premarket trading on Thursday,&nbsp;the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) fell 0.03% to $607.46 and the&nbsp;Invesco QQQ ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) declined 0.10% to $522.72, according to&nbsp;<a href="https://benzinga.grsm.io/lxquj26b2sag" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Pro data</a>.
Cues From Last Session:
U.S. stocks closed on a positive note on Wednesday, with all three major indices registering healthy gains. The Dow Jones settled above 45,000 for the first time, while the S&amp;P 500 and Nasdaq solidified their gains.
Crude oil prices edged up on Thursday ahead of OPEC+ decision on production.
Treasury yields rose after jobs data revealed private payrolls came in lower than expected.
On the economic data front, U.S. private businesses added 146K workers to their payrolls for the month of November compared to a revised 184K gain in October, versus market estimates of 150K. U.S. factory orders rose by 0.2% from the previous month to $586.7 billion in October. The ISM services PMI fell to 52.1 in November compared to 56 in October and down from market estimates of 55.5.
Most sectors on the S&amp;P 500 closed on a negative note, with energy, materials, and financial stocks recording the biggest losses on Wednesday.
However, consumer discretionary and information technology stocks bucked the overall market trend, closing the session higher.
<figure class="wp-block-table"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Index</td>
<td>Performance (+/-)</td>
<td>Value</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq Composite</td>
<td>1.30%</td>
<td>19,735.12</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>0.61%</td>
<td>6,086.49</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>0.69%</td>
<td>45,014.04</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>0.42%</td>
<td>2,426.56</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
Insights From Analysts:
Analysts at BlackRock Investment Institute expect American companies to register growth in the upcoming year.
"Currently, across all the scenarios in the outlook, the platform is gravitating towards the US corporate strength scenario, which is another way of calling for US exceptionalism," said BlackRock Investment Institute's chief investment strategist Wei Li at a media roundtable on Wednesday, according <a href="https://finance.yahoo.com/news/blackrock-sees-exceptionalism-powering-us-stocks-higher-in-2025-100025443.html">to</a> Yahoo Finance.
BlackRock strategists are not alone in their bullish outlook on US equities going into 2025.
Wells Fargo strategists also expect a bull run in 2025, giving a target of 7,007 for the S&amp;P 500.
"On balance, we expect the Trump Administration to usher in a macro environment that is increasingly favorable for stocks at a time when the Fed will be slowly reducing rates," said Wells Fargo&#8217;s Christopher Harvey and his team of strategists.
Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist at Carson Group, explained why bears shouldn't bet against equities in December.
"When the S&amp;P 500 was up 20% or more for the year heading into the final month, December has been up nine of the past 10 times," said Detrick in his latest note.
Detrick's analysis shows that big gains in November set equities on a path for a rally in the new year, too.
"Do big monthly gains matter? We'd say yes, as the S&amp;P 500 is up an average of 13.5% a year later and higher nearly 84% of the time after a calendar month gain of more than 5%."
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/money/how-to-trade-futures">How To Trade Futures</a>
Upcoming Economic Data
Thursday's economic calendar includes the release of initial jobless claims data for November and U.S. trade deficit data for October will be released at 8:30 a.m. ET.
Stocks In Focus:
<ul>
<li>MicroStrategy Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSTR#NASDAQ">MSTR</a>) <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/12/42333575/microstrategy-shares-rise-813-in-pre-market-as-bitcoin-surpasses-100k-driving-institutional-interest-and-490-gains-this-year">stock surged over 8%</a> in premarket trading on Thursday, while Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COIN#NASDAQ">COIN</a>) surged over 3% after Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) hit the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42331261/bitcoin-hits-historic-100000-milestone-michael-saylor-gets-ready-for-party">much-awaited $100,000</a> mark for the first time in its history late night on Wednesday.</li>
<li>SentinelOne Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/S#NYSE">S</a>) stock plunged 15% in premarket trading after the company <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/12/42327667/whats-going-on-with-sentinelone-stock-after-hours">missed earnings expectations</a>.</li>
<li>Synopsys Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNPS#NASDAQ">SNPS</a>) stock fell over 7% in premarket after the software provider's guidance missed estimates.</li>
<li>Five Below Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FIVE#NASDAQ">FIVE</a>) stock surged over 13% in premarket after the company raised guidance following strong Black Friday sales and a new CEO announcement.</li>
<li>Investors are awaiting earnings results from Dollar General Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DG#NYSE">DG</a>), Kroger Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KR#NYSE">KR</a>), and Lululemon Athletica Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LULU#NASDAQ">LULU</a>) today.</li>
</ul>
Commodities, Bonds And Global Equity Markets:
Crude oil futures surged in the early New York session, gaining 0.50% to hover around $68.88 per barrel.
The 10-year Treasury note yield edged up to 4.207%.
Major Asian markets ended mixed on Thursday, while European markets were in the green in early trading.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42333041/teslas-bitcoin-holdings-criticized-by-gary-black-calls-them-irrelevant-to-tsla-stock-price-and-urges-focus-on-ev-growth-and-capital-allocation">Gary Black Says Tesla&#8217;s Bitcoin Holdings Not &#8216;Relevant&#8217; To TSLA&#8217;s Stock Price</a></li>
</ul>
Photo courtesy: Wikimedia

Earnings

Futures

Pre-Market Outlook

Markets

Movers

Trading Ideas

COIN

MSTR

US Stocks Likely To See Tepid Opening As Bitcoin Blasts Through $103,000: Investors Eye Jobless Claims Data While BlackRock Expects 'US Exceptionalism' To Power Earnings In 2025

On Wednesday, December 4th, U.S. markets closed higher, boosted by strong tech earnings from Salesforce and optimistic comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. Powell's remarks on the economy and inflation, along with expectations of a rate cut, helped lift market sentiment.
According to economic data, U.S. private businesses added 146K jobs in November, which is below estimates. Factory orders rose 0.2% to $586.7B, while the ISM services PMI fell to 52.1, missing expectations.
Most S&amp;P 500 sectors declined, with energy, materials, and financials seeing the biggest losses, while consumer discretionary and technology stocks ended higher.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.69% and closed at 45,014.04, the S&amp;P 500 gained 0.61% to 6,086.49, while the Nasdaq Composite soared 1.30% to finish at 19,735.12.
Asia Markets Today
<ul>
<li>On Thursday, Japan's Nikkei 225 gained 0.38% and ended the session at 39,382.50, led by gains in the Shipbuilding, Retail and Warehousing sectors.</li>
<li>Australia's S&amp;P/ASX 200 rose 0.15% and ended the day at 8,474.90, led by gains in the Gold, IT and Consumer Discretionary sectors.</li>
<li>India's Nifty 50 rose 0.94% to 24,696.45, and the Nifty 500 gained 0.75%, closing at 23,273.50. Gains in the Technology, Banking, and Consumer Durables sectors led the index.</li>
<li>China's Shanghai Composite gained 0.13% to close at 3,368.86, while the Shenzhen CSI 300 fell 0.23%, finishing the day at 3,921.59.</li>
<li>Hong Kong's Hang Seng was down 0.92% and closed the session at 19,560.44.</li>
</ul>
Eurozone at 05:15 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The European STOXX 50 index was up 0.65%.</li>
<li>Germany's DAX rose 0.64%.</li>
<li>France's CAC gained 0.44%.</li>
<li>U.K.'s FTSE 100 index traded higher by 0.09%.</li>
</ul>
Commodities at 05:15 AM ET
<ul>
<li>Crude Oil WTI was trading higher by 0.34% at $68.78/bbl, and Brent was up 0.29% at $72.54/bbl.</li>
<li>Oil prices edged up ahead of an OPEC+ meeting. Investors await decisions on extending supply cuts, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add uncertainty.</li>
<li>Natural Gas gained 1.91% to $3.102.</li>
<li>Gold was trading lower by 0.18% at $2,671.49, Silver was down 0.01% to $31.913, and Copper rose 0.23% to $4.2110.</li>
</ul>
U.S. Futures at 05:15 AM ET
Dow futures were up 0.02%, S&amp;P 500 futures slid 0.02% and Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.10%.
Forex at 05:15 AM ET
<ul>
<li>The U.S. Dollar Index slipped 0.14% to 106.17, USD/JPY was down 0.21% at 150.28, and USD/AUD fell 0.14% to 1.5529.</li>
<li>Bitcoin <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42331261/bitcoin-hits-historic-100000-milestone-michael-saylor-gets-ready-for-party" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">surged past $100,000</a> on Thursday, driven by expectations of a friendly U.S. regulatory shift, particularly with Trump's SEC nomination. Meanwhile, world stocks hit record highs, buoyed by positive remarks from Fed Chief Powell.</li>
</ul>
Image via Shutterstock

Asia

Emerging Markets

Eurozone

Forex

ADIV

AGOV

ASHR

BBEU

BOIL

CQQQ

PowerShares DBmmodity Index Optimum Yield Diversified Fund

EEMA

FLAX

CurrencyShares British Pound Sterling Trust

IEMG

IEUR

KraneShares Trust KraneShares S&P Pan Asia Dividend Aristocrats Index ETF

KDIV

SPEM

USDU

PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish Fund

Asia And Europe Markets Gains; Dollar Slips While Bitcoin Hits $100K - Global Markets Today While US Slept

Reuters Reported OPEC+ Will Delay Oil Output Hike At Its Meeting On Thursday, Citing Sources

The <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/education/24/07/39717220/warren-buffett-indicator-sounds-alarm-stock-market-levels-now-surpass-dot-com-bubble-great-fina">Buffett Indicator</a> &#8211; a market valuation measure &#8211; is signaling potential danger as it surpasses levels witnessed during the Dot-Com Bubble and the Great Financial Crisis.
What Happened: This indicator, attributed to&nbsp;Berkshire Hathaway Inc&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BRK#NYSE">BRK</a>) (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BRK#NYSE">BRK</a>) CEO Warren Buffett, compares&nbsp;the market capitalization of stocks&nbsp;to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to determine if&nbsp;equities are overvalued or undervalued. 
The total market index,&nbsp;tracked by the Wilshire 5000,&nbsp;and the U.S. GDP are used to calculate this ratio. The Wilshire 5000, a market-cap-weighted index, tracks&nbsp;all U.S. publicly traded companies,&nbsp;which includes more than 3,000 firms. The higher the ratio, the more overvalued the market is deemed to be.
Data from Longtermtrends <a href="https://www.longtermtrends.net/market-cap-to-gdp-the-buffett-indicator/">reveals</a> that the current Wilshire 5000-to-GDP ratio stands at approximately 208%, surpassing levels seen prior to both the Dot-Com Bubble and the Great Financial Crisis. 
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/24/12/42309028/sp-500s-record-breaking-streak-in-2024-could-signal-caution-for-investors-in-2025-warn-analysts-stocks-do-not-go-up-forever">S&amp;P 500&#8217;s Record-Breaking Streak In 2024 Could Signal Caution For Investors In 2025, Warn Analysts: &#8216;Stocks Do Not Go Up Forever&#8217;</a>
For context, during the height of the Internet stock frenzy in 2000, the Buffett Indicator reached 140%. In 2007, just before the subprime mortgage crisis disrupted global markets, the ratio was around 110%.
In a Fortune <a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/chuckjones/2016/06/21/warren-buffetts-gdp-to-market-cap-ratio-signaling-low-returns/">article</a> from 2001, Buffett characterized this level as &#8220;playing with fire&#8221; alluding to the dotcom bubble.
&#8220;Nearly two years ago the ratio rose to an unprecedented level,&#8221; Buffett wrote.
&#8220;That should have been a very strong warning signal.&#8221;
Why It Matters: Berkshire&nbsp;has been offloading stocks and <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/42153356/is-warren-buffett-preparing-for-a-market-downturn-with-berkshire-hathaways-325b-cash-pile-analyst-says-internet-bubble-and-2008-crash-may-have-lessons">bolstering its cash reserves</a> recently. This could be a sign of Buffett&#8217;s wariness of an overpriced market, or it could be setting the stage&nbsp;for potential acquisitions. Buffett has&nbsp;previously expressed that Berkshire would be receptive to such opportunities.
Despite this warning, some analysts remain optimistic about the stock market's future.&nbsp;Bank of America analysts&nbsp;have predicted&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/12/42276232/bank-of-america-eyes-sp-500-at-6666-in-2025-we-are-expecting-another-good-year-for-equities" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">a positive outlook for stocks in 2025</a>, with the S&amp;P 500 Index expected to reach 6,666 by the end of 2025, marking a 10% increase from current levels. This forecast is based on confidence in productivity gains, resilient corporate earnings, and strategic sector rotation.
Ark Invest's Cathie Wood&nbsp;has also expressed&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/12/42262916/ark-invests-cathie-wood-says-stock-market-will-broaden-out-under-trump-but-growth-wont-be-linear-nothing-goes-up-in-a-straight-line" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">her positive outlook</a>&nbsp;for the stock market under President-elect Donald Trump's administration. She believes that the market is already starting to anticipate a shift, indicating potential future growth.
According to data from <a href="http://pro.benzinga.com">Benzinga Pro</a>, the S&amp;P 500 index, which is tracked by SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), has gained 28.33% so far this year. During the same period, the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100, which is tracked by Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>), is up 29.91%. 
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/12/42331812/trumps-antitrust-chief-pick-gail-slater-signals-difficult-days-ahead-for-google-heres-why-jim-cramer-sounds-the-alarm">Jim Cramer Says Google Could Be In Hot Water As Trump Taps Gail Slater For Antitrust Position: &#8216;Not A Friend Of Big Tech&#8217;</a></li>
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Warren Buffett Labeled It 'Playing With Fire' When The Indicator Named After Him Reached 140% — Cut To Today And It's Over 200%: Is A Market Downturn Looming?

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