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The Trust seeks to achieve its investment objective by holding a portfolio of the common stocks that are included in the index (the Portfolio), with the weight of each stock in the Portfolio substantially corresponding to the weight of such stock in the index.

Apple Inc

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Nvidia Corp.

Amazon.Com Inc

Meta Platforms, Inc.

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Alphabet Holding Company Inc.

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iShares MSCI Israel Capped Investable Market Index Fund

ISRA

U.S. Did Not Have Advanced Warning Of Israeli Strike, Defense Secretary Austin Spoke To His Israeli Counterpart As It Was Ongoing

Macro Economic Events

Econ #s

Economics

U.S. Baker Hughes Oil Rig Count -4 To 484 Vs 488 Prior; U.S. Baker Hughes NatGas Rig Count +3 To 99; U.S. Baker Hughes Total Rig Count 587 Vs 588 Prior

Hezbollah's Al-Manar TV Reports At Least One Killed And 50 Wounded In Israeli Strikes On Southern Suburbs Of Beirut

- Reuters Citing White House Official

Biden Administration Officials Meeting With USMX On Friday To Deliver Message After Earlier Talks With Union; Aiming To Head Off Port Strike, Told Union, Employers They Need To "Be At The Table Negotiating"

Global

Iran's Tasnim News Agency Reports That Lebanon's Hezbollah Chief Nasrallah Is Safe, No Official Comment From Group

Politics

Garland Says U.S. Tracking Iran's Plotting Against Current And Former U.S. Officials Including Trump; Seeing Increasingly Aggressive Iranian Cyber Activity During This Election Cycle; Justice Department Charged Three Hackers Working For Iranian Government For Roles In Cyber Attacks; Hackers Were Trying To Undermine Trump's Campaign

U.S. Treasury Dept Says Iranian State-sponsored Actors Undertook Malicious Cyber Activities In Bid To Undermine Confidence In U.S. Election Processes, Interfere With Political Campaigns

<a href="https://www.axios.com/2024/09/27/israel-airstrike-hezbollah-hq-beirut">https://www.axios.com/2024/09/27/israel-airstrike-hezbollah-hq-beirut</a>
&nbsp;
Israel conducted an air strike on Friday targeting <a href="https://www.axios.com/2023/10/27/hezbollah-israel-hamas-war-invasion-gaza-iran">Hezbollah's</a> central headquarters in Beirut in an apparent attempt to kill the group's leadership.
Why it matters: This was the biggest Israeli strike in Beirut since the 2006 war in <a href="https://www.axios.com/2024/09/23/us-israel-lebanon-american-citizens-safety-evacuation">Lebanon</a>, and an Israeli source said the primary target was Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah. The strike also reportedly hit residential buildings, though there has been no word yet on civilian casualties.
Driving the news: Israeli officials say senior Hezbollah officials were at the headquarters at the time of the attack. There has been no official response as yet from Hezbollah on the attack or on Nasrallah's status.
<ul>
<li>Hezbollah-affiliated al-Manar Television reported that four buildings in southern Beirut were hit in the attack.</li>
<li>Israel Defense Forces spokesperson Adm. Daniel Hagari described the attack as a "precise strike on the central HQ of Hezbollah which was intentionally built under residential buildings in Beirut in order to use them as human shields."</li>
<li>Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin <a href="https://www.axios.com/2024/09/27/netanyahu-lebanon-ceasefire-walks-back-comments">Netanyahu</a> abruptly left a press briefing at the UN after receiving an update from his military adviser.</li>
</ul>

'Israel Conducts Massive Strike Targeting Hezbollah HQ In Beirut' - Axios

Legal

NYC Mayor Eric Adams Pleads Not Guilty To Federal Fraud Charges

Treasury Department Says U.S. Issues Fresh Iran Related Sanctions Over Interference In U.S. Election

Vice President Harris Visits Border For The First Time In 3 Years

To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large is-resized"><img decoding="async" src="https://thearorareport.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/2024-09-27_08h59_50.png" alt="" style="width:624px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Spending Disappointment</h3>
Please <a href="https://thearorareport.com/chart-analysis-stock-market-spending-disappointment-boj-carry-trade-smci-mc-09272024">click here</a> for an enlarged chart of Super Micro Computer Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMCI#NASDAQ">SMCI</a>).
Note the following:
<ul>
<li>This article is about the big picture, not an individual stock. The chart of SMCI stock is being used to illustrate the point.</li>
<li>A fortune is to be made in artificial intelligence, but it is not going to be in a straight line. At times, it is going to be treacherous.  It is important to not make mistakes by getting carried away with the momo crowd and listening to momo gurus who have a vested interest that is not your best interest.</li>
<li>The chart shows that momo crowd favorite SMCI fell yesterday on the news of a Department of Justice (DOJ) probe due to allegations of accounting irregularities. A DOJ probe is a serious matter as it is often a criminal probe.</li>
<li>The chart shows that the enthusiasm was at its peak right after SMCI stock was added to S&amp;P 500.</li>
<li>The chart shows from the peak to the low, the stock lost 69% of its value.</li>
<li>The chart shows that the day S&amp;P 500 added SMCI stock, The Arora Report made a bold call. The Arora Report call was that SMCI was worth only $442 &#8211; $486 in the best case. The stock peaked at $1229.  As of this writing in the premarket, SMCI stock is trading at $400.95.  All Arora Report calls are 100% transparent, traceable, and auditable. Members have access to over ten years of archives, including the winners and losers – no cherry picking.</li>
<li>Right now, the momo crowd is sitting on massive losses in SMCI stock. The momo crowd was not able to distinguish between NVIDIA Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) and Super Micro Computer – the prevailing belief among the momo crowd was that NVDA and SMCI were the same.</li>
<li>The U.S. economy is 70% consumer based. For this reason, prudent investors pay attention to personal income and personal spending.  Just released personal income and spending data is disappointing.  Here are the details of the new personal income and spending data:
<ul>
<li>Personal income came at 0.2% vs. 0.4% consensus.</li>
<li>Personal spending came at 0.2% vs. 0.3% consensus.</li>
</ul>
</li>
<li>PCE is the Fed&#8217;s favorite inflation gauge.&nbsp; Here are the details:
<ul>
<li>PCE came at 0.1% vs. 0.1% consensus.</li>
<li>Core PCE came at 0.1% vs. 0.2% consensus.</li>
<li>In The Arora Report analysis, the data is in line with expectations. As such, this data should have no impact on the stock market.</li>
<li>Even though the stock market pays a lot of attention to PCE, in The Arora Report analysis, economists have become really good at projecting PCE.&nbsp; As such, investors&#8217; expectations, in general, should be that PCE will come in line with consensus.</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Japan</h3>
Bank of Japan (BOJ) actions are very important for U.S. investors. The reason is the carry trade.  In carry trade, funds borrow in yen and invest in the U.S. stock market. Lately, they have been buying AI stocks. Japan's ruling party LDP has chosen Shigeru Ishiba as its new leader. Ishiba is the next prime minister of Japan. In The Arora Report analysis, yen is rallying on the news as Ishiba is a supporter of BOJ.
In The Arora Report analysis, this development is negative for the carry trade and positive for the yen position using ETF Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FXY#NYSE">FXY</a>) in The Arora Report&#8217;s ZYX Allocation.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Magnificent Seven Money Flows</h3>
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Apple Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAPL#NASDAQ">AAPL</a>), Alphabet Inc Class C (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GOOG#NASDAQ">GOOG</a>), Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MSFT#NASDAQ">MSFT</a>), and Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Amazon.com, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMZN#NASDAQ">AMZN</a>), Meta Platforms Inc (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/META#NASDAQ">META</a>), and NVDA.
In the early trade, money flows are positive in SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) and Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks</h3>
Investors can gain an edge by knowing money flows in SPY and QQQ.  Investors can get a bigger edge by knowing when smart money is buying stocks, gold, and oil.  The most popular ETF for gold is SPDR Gold Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GLD#NYSE">GLD</a>).  The most popular ETF for silver is iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SLV#NYSE">SLV</a>).  The most popular ETF for oil is United States Oil ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USO#NYSE">USO</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bitcoin</h3>
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) is on track to have the best September ever.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Protection Band And What To Do Now</h3>
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider a protection band consisting of cash or Treasury bills or short-term tactical trades as well as short to medium term hedges and short term hedges. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.&nbsp; The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.&nbsp; If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
A protection band of 0% would be very bullish and would indicate full investment with 0% in cash.&nbsp; A protection band of 100% would be very bearish and would indicate a need for aggressive protection with cash and hedges or aggressive short selling.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.&nbsp; When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.&nbsp; High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Traditional 60/40 Portfolio</h3>
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of five year duration or less.&nbsp; Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
The Arora Report is known for its accurate calls. The Arora Report correctly called the big artificial intelligence rally before anyone else, the new bull market of 2023, the bear market of 2022, new stock market highs right after the virus low in 2020, the virus drop in 2020, the DJIA rally to 30,000 when it was trading at 16,000, the start of a mega bull market in 2009, and the financial crash of 2008. Please click here to sign up for a free forever <a href="https://thearorareport.com/generate-wealth-newsletter-benzinga">Generate Wealth Newsletter</a>.

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Personal Income And Spending Disappoint, Super Micro Computer Lesson, BOJ Supporter As Japan PM

Multiple Blasts Heard In Beirut, According To Reuters Witness, 'Massive Thick Clouds Of Smoke' Rising From City

Friday's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index report showed lower inflation in August than expected, which has economists cheering the results and their positive impact for<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/econ-s/24/09/41066122/feds-preferred-inflation-gauge-comes-in-below-expectations-for-august-easing-concerns-about-rising-p"> consumers and the stock market.</a>
What Happened: The Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index is <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/inflation">the preferred inflation gauge</a> used by the Federal Reserve and may help determine if and when additional rate cuts will happen.
The PCE increased 2.2% year-over-year in August. The figure came in below the 2.3% estimate from analysts and below the 2.5% year-over-year increase reported in July.
Core PCE, which excludes food and energy from the data, was up 2.7% year-over-year in August, which was in line with estimates from analysts and 0.1% above the July figure.
Disposable personal income was up $34.2 billion (0.2%) and personal consumption expenditures were up $47.2 billion (0.2%) in August, according to the report.
Did You Know?
<ul>
<li>Congress Is Making Huge Investments. <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/gov-trades/?utm_source=BZprocontent092724">Get Tips On What They Bought And Sold Ahead Of The 2024 Election With Our Easy-to-Use Tool</a></li>
</ul>
Economists Reactions: Friday's preferred inflation metric showed the lowest reading since 2021, RSM US LLP Chief Economist Joseph Brusuelas <a href="https://x.com/joebrusuelas/status/1839651540019138854">tweeted </a>after the report.
"Lower inflation and the Fed's easing cycle will bring down the weighted average cost of capital going forward as the central bank reduces the policy rate to 3% over the next year," Brusuelas said.
The economist said the lower weight average cost of capital will result in "rising private sector investment" in items that support productivity improvements. The investments could support hiring at higher salary levels ($100k to $150k) that will help provide "stable employment conditions," the economist added.
"The significant upward revisions to GDP/GDI along with the disinflation that one can observe in the data are the signals amidst the noise induced by pandemic era residual seasonality and the election."
Brusuelas <a href="https://x.com/joebrusuelas/status/1839646197835079913">said </a>the 2.2% figure nearly hits the Fed's 2% target and opens the door for a "less restrictive policy stance." The data also supports a 50-basis point rate cut in November, the economist said.
"This is what an economic expansion looks like at full employment."
PCE inflation data coming in at or below expectations should be "marginally good for markets," Independent Advisor Alliance Chief Investment Officer Chris Zaccarelli said.
"The more important fact is that it is lower than the prior month showing that inflation is receding," Zaccarelli said. &nbsp;
Zaccarelli said with inflation under control and trending in the right direction, the Fed can now focus more on the labor market.
"As the Fed cuts rates – especially in the absence of recessionary growth – it is a great tailwind for both stock and bond markets and should eventually provide some relief for those consumers that are more interest-rate sensitive."
Friday's PCE report supports the Fed's decision to "go big" with a 50-basis point rate cut in September, LPL Financial Chief Global Strategist Quincy Krosby said.
"The core year-over-year at 2.7% suggests that another round of 50 basis points needs to come under careful scrutiny unless the labor market suggests weakness," Korsby said.
With inflation near the 2% goal, the Fed can get closer to declaring victory on inflation, but it is not there yet, Krosby added.
Harris Financial Group Managing Partner Jamie Cox said Friday's PCE data shows the Federal Reserve may have been right about their rate cut decision earlier this month.
"If you were second guessing the Fed going .50 in September, you aren't now," Cox said.
Cox said a 50-basis point rate cut in November is likely.
"Inflation is no longer the story in the PCE data for the Fed. It's now all about spending and keeping the economy strong."
SPY Price Action: The SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) is up 0.11% Friday to $572.92 on the heels of the PCE report. The ETF hit new 52-week highs earlier in the week and has a 52-week trading range of $409.22 to $574.71, as seen on the <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent092724&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro chart </a>below. 
<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent092724&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="995" height="501" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/27095900/Screenshot-189.png" alt="" class="wp-image-569873" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/27095900/Screenshot-189.png 995w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/27095900/Screenshot-189-300x151.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/09/27095900/Screenshot-189-768x387.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 995px) 100vw, 995px" /></a></figure>
Read Next: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/broad-u-s-equity-etfs/24/09/40928301/interest-rates-in-free-fall-what-it-means-for-mortgages-credit-cards-and-your-wallet-a">Interest Rates In Free-Fall: What It Means For Mortgages, Credit Cards And Your Wallet As The Federal Reserve Springs Into Action For First Time In 4 Years</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Federal Reserve

Inflation Decline Strengthens Confidence In Fed's Interest Rate Cut: 'If You Were Second Guessing The Fed... You Aren't Now'

Former Trump Says Has A Very Good Relationship With Zelensky, And Russia's Putin Too; Says Would Work On Ending Ukraine War Before He Takes Presidency In January If Elected

Michigan 1-Year Inflation Expectations For September 2.7% Vs 2.7% Est.; 2.8% Prior

Michigan Consumer Sentiment For September 70.1 Vs 69.0 Est.; 67.9 Prior

Benzinga Market Summary: August PCE Inflation Slows, Oil On Watch As Hurricane Helene And Middle East Tensions Cause Supply Uncertainty, Chinese Stocks Continue Higher On Stimulus

Yemen's Houthis Say They Targeted 3 U.S. Warships In The Red Sea

The Federal Reserve&#8217;s preferred measure of inflation in August came in below expectations, showing a decline from <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/08/40650834/feds-preferred-inflation-gauge-falls-short-of-expectations-in-july-personal-spend">July&#8217;s inflation rate.</a>
According to government data released Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index increased by 2.2% in August compared to the same period last year. The reading was below the 2.3% analysts were expecting and a drop from July&#8217;s 2.5%. 
The core PCE, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, was 2.7% year-over-year in August, matching analyst expectations and 0.1% higher than July&#8217;s number.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Personal Income And Outlays For August: Key Highlights</h3>
<ul>
<li>Personal income increased by $50.5 billion (0.2%) in August, with disposable personal income up $34.2 billion (0.2%) and personal consumption expenditures up $47.2 billion (0.2%).</li>
<li>The PCE price index rose 0.1% in August, with a 0.1% increase in core inflation excluding food and energy. Real DPI and real PCE both increased by 0.1%.</li>
<li>Goods spending decreased by $7.6 billion, while services spending surged by $54.8 billion, primarily in housing and financial services. Motor vehicle purchases saw the largest decline in goods.</li>
<li>The PCE price index is up 2.2% year-over-year, with a 2.7% increase excluding food and energy. Energy prices fell by 5%, while food prices rose by 1.1%.</li>
<li>Personal saving rate stood at 4.8%, with personal saving totaling $1.05 trillion in August. Personal outlays increased by $48.3 billion.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Market Reactions</h3>
The U.S dollar index, as tracked by the Invesco DB USD Index Bullish Fund ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UUP#NYSE">UUP</a>), rose 0.2% after the release. 
Futures on major U.S. equity indices soared in premarket trading Friday. Contracts on the S&amp;P 500, as tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), were 0.22% higher. Futures on the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 rose 0.3%, while futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average, tracked by the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>), were 0.17% higher premarket.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Services Drive Inflation Upward</h3>
In August, the key drivers of inflation primarily stemmed from an increase in the cost of services, particularly in the housing, financial services, and insurance sectors. These categories saw the most significant price growth, contributing to the overall PCE index rise. Spending on services continued to rise, reflecting both higher demand and increasing service costs. On the other hand, goods experienced a slight decline in prices, which somewhat balanced out the overall inflationary pressure.
Energy prices, particularly for gasoline and other energy-related goods, continued their downward trend in August, moderating overall inflation. Energy prices fell significantly compared to the same time last year, which helped to temper the impact of rising prices in other categories. This was in stark contrast to earlier periods when energy costs had been a more substantial inflationary driver.
Food prices saw a modest increase in August, though their contribution to inflation was relatively mild compared to other categories. The food sector&#8217;s price rise was driven mainly by off-premises consumption, such as groceries, while restaurant and dining prices remained more stable. These food price increases, while noticeable, did not have as large of an impact on overall inflation as the service sector did.
Core inflation, which excludes the volatile categories of food and energy, remained steady. This was largely due to persistent price increases in durable goods, like automobiles, and ongoing inflation in service categories. Even though goods prices decreased slightly, the overall inflationary trend was influenced by steady price pressures in essential service sectors, contributing to the sustained core inflation rate in August.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/previews/24/09/41054701/inflation-data-will-be-watched-like-a-hawk-friday-after-feds-interest-rate-cuts">Inflation Data &#8216;Will Be Watched Like A Hawk&#8217; Friday After Fed&#8217;s Interest Rate Cuts</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock.

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The Federal Reserve only has control over the short end of the yield curve, and as one moves further out on the curve, the Fed's control diminishes.

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