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President-elect Donald Trump has picked hedge fund executive Scott Bessent as the U.S. Treasury Secretary.
What Happened: Bessent, 62 and founder of Key Square Group, was a leading candidate, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/11/42091821/could-donald-trumps-potential-treasury-secretary-be-out-of-his-depth-on-crypto-policy-polymarket-traders-just-cant-decide-on-a-favorite">competing with</a> former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh and private equity executive Marc Rowan.
While sharing the decision on Friday via his social media platform Truth Social, Trump lauded Bessent as "one of the World's foremost International Investors and Geopolitical and Economic Strategists."
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img decoding="async" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/22205557/Screenshot-2024-11-23-at-7.25.49%E2%80%AFAM-900x1024.png" alt="" class="wp-image-661913" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Source: Truth Social</figcaption></figure>
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/legal/24/11/42147981/trumps-hush-money-sentencing-delayed-as-legal-immunity-debate-escalates">Trump&#8217;s Hush Money Sentencing Delayed As Legal Immunity Debate Escalates</a>
Bessent is known for his support of gradual tariffs and deregulation, aligning with Trump&#8217;s economic vision, which includes reviving manufacturing and achieving energy independence.
Despite his previous role as chief investment officer for George Soros' fund, Trump expressed confidence in Bessent&#8217;s ability to improve U.S. competitiveness and address trade imbalances.
Why It Matters: As Treasury Secretary, Bessent will replace outgoing Secretary Janet Yellen, overseeing financial institutions and combating financial crimes at a time when <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/42140842/sp-500-faces-volatile-2025-as-inflation-boom-could-return-bank-of-america-strategist">the national debt has ballooned to $36 trillion</a>.
According to <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/regulations/24/11/41909846/trumps-treasury-pick-frontrunner-scott-bessent-could-shift-wall-street-crypto">betting markets</a>, Bessent was a frontrunner with an 82% probability of securing the nomination. His appointment could significantly impact Wall Street and the crypto sector.
In October, Bessent assured that a new Trump administration would <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/10/41308042/trump-adviser-defends-ex-presidents-economic-policies-strong-dollar-would-natural">support a strong dollar</a>, countering previous suggestions of a weaker dollar to boost exports.
Despite Elon Musk&#8217;s support for Howard Lutnick, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/24/11/42044642/trump-appears-frustrated-as-elon-musk-chimes-in-on-treasury-secretary-adds-more-names-to-a-list-of-potential-picks">Trump favored Bessent&#8217;s</a> business-as-usual approach.
In July, Bessent gained attention for his optimistic stance on cryptocurrency, suggesting he might support digital assets if confirmed. &#8220;Crypto is about freedom and the crypto economy is here to stay,&#8221; he stated at the time.
The latest 13F filing from Bessent&#8217;s Key Square Group fund shows a highly concentrated portfolio, with equal investments in two banking-focused ETFs: the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) and the SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KBE#NYSE">KBE</a>), each making up 50% of the fund.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/24/11/42146895/are-you-rich-enough-to-benefit-from-trumps-tax-breaks-heres-how-much-youd-need-to-be-part-of-the-top-5">Are You Rich Enough To Benefit From Trump&#8217;s Tax Breaks? Here&#8217;s How Much You&#8217;d Need To Be Part Of The Top 5%</a></li>
</ul>
Disclaimer:&nbsp;This content was partially produced with the help of&nbsp;<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/author/benzinga-neuro" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Benzinga Neuro</a>&nbsp;and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
Photo courtesy: Shutterstock

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Trump Picks Hedge Fund Exec Scott Bessent As Treasury Secretary: What President-Elect's Choice Means For America's Economic Future

Prominent macro hedge fund manager Scott Bessent is emerging as the frontrunner for Treasury Secretary in <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump">President-elect Donald Trump's administration.</a>
According to betting markets, Bessent has surged well ahead of other contenders, positioning him as a top pick for the critical role at the Treasury.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Betting Markets Favor Bessent For Treasury</h3>
As of Nov. 12, betting odds on CFTC-regulated platform Kalshi show Bessent with an 82% probability of securing the nomination, followed by John Paulson at 7% and Jay Clayton at 3%. 
Bessent's background as a successful hedge fund manager with a macroeconomic focus appears to resonate with Trump's key advisers.
Bessent currently leads Key Square Group, a Connecticut-based hedge fund with assets under management (AUM) of approximately $307 million. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bessent's Take On Crypto: &#8216;Crypto Is About Freedom&#8217;</h3>
In July, Bessent made headlines with his bullish views on cryptocurrency, signaling he could be an advocate for digital assets if appointed. 
Speaking on Fox Business, he praised crypto for attracting a new generation of investors, especially those disillusioned by traditional markets after the 2008 financial crisis.
<figure class="wp-block-embed is-type-rich is-provider-twitter wp-block-embed-twitter"> 
<div class="wp-block-embed__wrapper">
<blockquote class="twitter-tweet" data-width="500" data-dnt="true">Here are the full comments on <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/crypto?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#crypto</a> and <a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/bitcoin?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#bitcoin</a> Bessent made on <a href="https://twitter.com/FoxBusiness?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">@FoxBusiness</a> in July. <a href="https://t.co/3O09jKZLJD">https://t.co/3O09jKZLJD</a> <a href="https://t.co/ggeLHs5JVc">pic.twitter.com/ggeLHs5JVc</a>
&mdash; Eleanor Terrett (@EleanorTerrett) <a href="https://twitter.com/EleanorTerrett/status/1856204133901963512?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">November 12, 2024</a></blockquote>
<script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script></div>
</figure>
"Crypto is about freedom and the crypto economy is here to stay," Bessent said.
"One of the most exciting things about Bitcoin is it's bringing in young people, people who haven't participated in markets before. A strong market culture in the U.S., with people believing the markets work for them, is a cornerstone of capitalism."
With Bessent at the Treasury, crypto advocates might hope for a more favorable regulatory environment. 
His positive views could align with policies that encourage innovation in digital assets, potentially supporting the growth and the rate of penatration of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) and other cryptocurrencies.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Wall Street Impact: Bessent&#8217;s Banking Playbook</h3>
Bessent's investment portfolio at Key Square Group offers insights into his potential impact on Wall Street. 
According to Key Square&#8217;s latest 13F filing, the fund held highly concentrated positions in two banking-focused ETFs: the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) and the SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KBE#NYSE">KBE</a>), each representing 50% of the fund&#8217;s portfolio.
Since the election results indicated a Trump victory and Republican control of Congress, the KRE ETF has rallied by 15.2%, and the KBE ETF has surged 13.5%, reflecting optimism about banking-friendly policies under the incoming administration.
Year-to-date, the KRE ETF is up 27%, while KBE has gained 34%.
For Wall Street, Bessent&#8217;s appointment might signal a Treasury more open to financial innovation, deregulation, and support for small and mid-sized banks. 
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/federal-reserve/24/11/41900128/trump-vs-powell-dec-18-fed-meeting-sets-stage-for-new-tensions">Trump Vs. Powell: Dec. 18 Fed Meeting Sets Stage For New Tensions</a></li>
</ul>
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Trump's Treasury Pick Frontrunner Scott Bessent Could Shift Wall Street, Crypto

The &#8220;Trump-related everything rally&#8221; reignited across markets on Monday, with heightened focus on last week's top performers like small caps, financials, Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>), and cryptocurrencies, all surging as the <a href="https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&amp;source=web&amp;rct=j&amp;opi=89978449&amp;url=https://www.benzinga.com/markets&amp;ved=2ahUKEwiQxOXV7NSJAxWUTKQEHQWeNCEQFnoECB8QAQ&amp;usg=AOvVaw1FmExYgZnKyK1W0mkY7TrX">new trading week began.</a>
The Russell 2000 Index outperformed major large-cap indices, nearing a retest of its all-time high from November 2021.
Financials shone brightest again, with both large and regional banks posting strong gains. The SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) surged 3.9%, reaching levels last seen in August 2022.
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) also dominated headlines, surpassing the $85,000 milestone and fueling widespread gains across other crypto assets.
Major crypto-related stocks, including Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COIN#NASDAQ">COIN</a>), rallied nearly 22%, hitting highs last seen in late November 2021. MARA Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MARA#NASDAQ">MARA</a>) soared 25%, with Riot Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RIOT#NASDAQ">RIOT</a>) and CleanSpark Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CSLK#NASDAQ">CSLK</a>) both up by 21%.
Within tech, Tesla continued its rally, while the rest of the sector lagged, weighed down by sharp declines in semiconductors following new AI-related export restrictions to China, impacting Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSM#NYSE">TSM</a>).
Elsewhere, the U.S. dollar extended its gains, while Treasury yields held steady, with the 10-year yield hovering around 4.3%.
Prices tumbled in commodities, with the exception of natural gas, which rose roughly 10%. Gold dropped over 2%, and oil fell by 3%.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, ETF</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Index</th>
<th>Price</th>
<th>% chg (1 day)</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,437.75</td>
<td>1.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>44,328.14</td>
<td>0.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>6,001.80</td>
<td>0.1%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>21,060.25</td>
<td>-0.3%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:47 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to&nbsp;<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent111124&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a>&nbsp;data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) held steady at $598.43.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;rose 0.7% to $443.23.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy&nbsp;Invesco QQQ Trust Series&nbsp;(NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) inched 0.3% lower to $512.45.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;iShares Russell 2000 ETF&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) rose 1.6% to $242.00.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;Financials Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) outperformed, rising 1.8%. The&nbsp;Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>) lagged, down 0.8%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Monday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
Stocks reacting to earnings reports were Monday.com ltd (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AMDY#NASDAQ">AMDY</a>) down 15% and Aramark (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ARMK#NYSE">ARMK</a>), up 1%.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41883820/trump-trade-sparks-biggest-financial-stock-inflows-in-2-years">Trump Trade Sparks Biggest Financial Stock Inflows In 2 Years</a></li>
</ul>
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Small Caps, Financials Rally As Bitcoin Blasts Past $85,000: What's Driving Markets Monday?

Financial stocks are basking in a post-election rally after Donald Trump's election win as investors anticipate a friendlier regulatory landscape for banks, brokers and<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets"> consumer finance companies</a>.
With expectations of deregulation and possible tax cuts, traders are piling into financials at levels not seen in years.
The Financials Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) jumped over 5% last week, hitting fresh record highs, while weekly inflows surged to $1.573 billion—the highest in over two years. 
Regional banks, in particular, were on fire, with the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) skyrocketing nearly 11% and seeing $1.09 billion in inflows, marking its largest influx of money since March 2023.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Key Drivers: Deregulation, Tax Cuts Fuel Investor Optimism</h3>
Investors are betting on a wave of Trump-favored financial reforms that could benefit the sector. 
Richard Ramsden, a Goldman Sachs analyst, highlighted that "the market is pricing in the potential for changes to a number of proposed regulations, a step up in capital markets activity, as well as the potential for a reduction in the corporate tax rate."
Potential regulatory changes under Trump could include:
<ol>
<li>401K Reform: Opening up retirement plans to private investments could attract a flood of new capital.</li>
<li>Relaxed Antitrust Regulations: A more lenient antitrust stance may spark increased mergers and acquisitions (M&amp;A) activity.</li>
<li>Reduced SEC Oversight: There is limited clarity on whether the SEC will continue probing brokers' sweep pricing practices.</li>
<li>Crypto-Friendly Policies: Financial firms with crypto exposure may benefit from a more favorable regulatory environment and higher digital asset prices.</li>
</ol>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Goldman Sachs's Top Picks Among Financials Stocks</h3>
In anticipation of these shifts, Ramsden and his team have identified several top picks across the financial sector. 
Here's where they see the biggest potential gains:
<ul>
<li>Large Banks: Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>), JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>), and Wells Fargo &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>).</li>
<li>Consumer Finance: Bread Financial Holdings (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BFH#NYSE">BFH</a>), Synchrony Financial (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SYF#NYSE">SYF</a>), and Capital One Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COF#NYSE">COF</a>).</li>
<li>Capital Markets: Blackstone Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BX#NYSE">BX</a>), Apollo Global Management Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/APO#NYSE">APO</a>), KKR &amp; Co. Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KKR#NYSE">KKR</a>), LPL Financial Holdings (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LPLA#NASDAQ">LPLA</a>), Tradeweb Markets Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TW#NASDAQ">TW</a>), Evercore Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EVR#NYSE">EVR</a>), and PJT Partners Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PJT#NYSE">PJT</a>).</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Steeper Yield Curve Expected to Boost Regional Banks</h3>
As markets react to potential economic stimulus and reduced regulatory pressure, analysts anticipate a steeper yield curve, which could be a windfall for banks with heavy exposure to fixed-rate assets. 
Around 60% of both regional and large banks' balance sheets consist of fixed-rate holdings, positioning them to profit as long-term rates rise.
Ramsden's picks for banks that stand to gain the most from a steeper yield curve include:
Regional Banks: 
<ul>
<li>Citizens Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>)</li>
<li>Comerica Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CMA#NYSE">CMA</a>)</li>
<li>First Hawaiian Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FHB#NASDAQ">FHB</a>)</li>
<li>Zions Bancorporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ZION#NASDAQ">ZION</a>)</li>
<li>Truist Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TFC#NYSE">TFC</a>)</li>
<li>Huntington Bancshares Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HBAN#NASDAQ">HBAN</a>)</li>
<li>Regions Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/RF#NYSE">RF</a>)</li>
<li>PNC Financial Services Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNC#NYSE">PNC</a>)</li>
<li>Ally Financial Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ALLY#NYSE">ALLY</a>).</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Surge in Capital Velocity: M&amp;A and Trading Boost Expected</h3>
Trump's pro-business stance is also expected to accelerate capital velocity in the M&amp;A and equity capital markets, providing a strong backdrop for trading activity. 
According to Ramsden, large banks like Morgan Stanley (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MS#NYSE">MS</a>) could be the biggest beneficiaries, while among regional banks,&nbsp;KeyCorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KEY#NYSE">KEY</a>)&nbsp;and&nbsp;Citizens Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>)&nbsp;stand out.
Investment banks could also see a boost, with&nbsp;Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JEF#NYSE">JEF</a>),&nbsp;Moelis &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MC#NYSE">MC</a>),&nbsp;PJT Partners Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PJT#NYSE">PJT</a>), and&nbsp;Piper Sandler Companies (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PIPR#NYSE">PIPR</a>)&nbsp;positioned to capitalize on a more active M&amp;A market. 
In the alternative asset management space,&nbsp;Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CG#NASDAQ">CG</a>),&nbsp;KKR,&nbsp;Apollo,&nbsp;TPG Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TPG#NASDAQ">TPG</a>), and&nbsp;Ares Management Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ARES#NYSE">ARES</a>)&nbsp;are expected to benefit from an uptick in private equity deal flow.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Tax Cut Hopes Could Supercharge Regional Banks</h3>
Financial stocks are uniquely positioned to benefit from any corporate tax reductions, given that 90% of their earnings come from the U.S. and are currently taxed at an average rate of 23%. After the 2017 tax reform slashed the corporate tax rate from 35% to 21%, financials saw their effective tax rate drop by 10 percentage points.
Ramsden estimates that if the Trump administration pursues another tax cut, regional banks would likely see the most significant upside. 
His top tax-cut beneficiaries include&nbsp;Moelis &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MC#NYSE">MC</a>),&nbsp;American Express Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AXP#NYSE">AXP</a>),&nbsp;Evercore Inc.,&nbsp;Bread Financial Holdings,&nbsp;Piper Sandler,&nbsp;First Citizens BancShares Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCNCA#NASDAQ">FCNCA</a>),&nbsp;Synovus Financial Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SNV#NYSE">SNV</a>), and&nbsp;Western Alliance Bancorporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WAL#NYSE">WAL</a>).
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Insurers to Benefit from Steeper Curve, P&amp;C Pricing Power</h3>
The insurance sector may also stand to gain under Trump's pro-business policies. Ramsden expects potential increases in claim costs but sees positive momentum for property and casualty pricing.
Insurers with substantial U.S. exposure and a favorable position on the yield curve could see tailwinds.
Ramsden's picks in the insurance space include&nbsp;W.R. Berkley Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WRB#NYSE">WRB</a>),&nbsp;Hartford Financial Services Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HIG#NYSE">HIG</a>), and&nbsp;The Travelers Companies Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TRV#NYSE">TRV</a>), which he believes are better positioned than brokers to benefit from these trends.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/global/24/11/41857487/exclusive-trump-victory-triggers-reshoring-rally-as-supply-chain-security-outweighs-cost">EXCLUSIVE: Trump Victory Triggers &#8216;Reshoring&#8217; Rally As Supply Chain Security Outweighs Cost</a></li>
</ul>
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ZION

Trump Trade Sparks Biggest Financial Stock Inflows In 2 Years

Donald Trump&#8216;s election as the 47th president of the United States sent Wall Street into a frenzy, driving major stock indexes to once <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41807254/trump-election-raises-odds-of-roaring-2020s-scenario-veteran-wall-street-investor-s">again break record highs.</a>
Investors are betting that Trump&#8217;s potential policies — such as lower corporate and individual taxes, coupled with deregulation in the financial sector — will spur growth for corporate America. They may be underestimating the impact of higher deficits <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/24/11/41695926/a-republican-sweep-might-be-the-most-inflationary-election-outcome-economists-warn">and tariffs on inflation.</a>
Among mega-cap companies, Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) stood out, soaring about 30% this week, which significantly boosted <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/11/41813356/elon-musks-net-worth-soars-by-26-5-billion-in-single-day-after-tesla-stock-surges-post-trump-vic">Elon Musk's wealth</a> in the wake of Trump's victory.
Small- and mid-sized stocks outperformed large caps, driven by expectations that trade restrictions could favor domestic businesses over global corporations. The Russell 2000 index, as tracked by the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>), recorded its strongest week since April 2020, while regional banks – tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) – rallied to levels last seen before <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/24/11/41788181/regional-bank-stocks-notch-strongest-day-in-4-years-why-analysts-expect-several-tailwinds-from-t">the March 2023 crisis.</a>
Cryptocurrencies were another major winner post-election, with Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) hitting new all-time highs as traders anticipate a favorable regulatory landscape for digital assets in a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/11/41832345/bitcoin-ethereum-rise-dogecoin-steady-after-fed-cuts-rate-analyst-predicts-apex-cryptos-ne">second Trump term.</a>
On Thursday, the <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/41820253/fed-cuts-interest-rates-to-lowest-since-february-2023-sticks-to-data-driven-path">Federal Reserve cut interest rates</a> by 25 basis points to a target range of 4.5%-4.75%, as anticipated. This move further bolstered investor risk appetite, propelling the combined market valuation of the Magnificent Seven tech giants past the $17 trillion mark, setting a new record.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Powell Vs. Trump</h3>
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell downplayed Trump's threat of his removal, though economists anticipate the new president may not extend Powell's term beyond its 2026 expiration. Powell adopted a dovish tone, minimizing concerns over rising Treasury yields, which markets attribute <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41849984/powell-brushes-off-trumps-removal-threat-economists-say-2026-could-be-his-last-stand">to renewed inflation expectations.</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Trump&#8217;s Tech Threat</h3>
A Trump victory could stall growth in the tech and EV sectors and slow the pace of AI advancements. Analysts warn that policies under Trump might limit innovation, affecting industries that rely on technology <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41755274/trump-win-could-hinder-tech-ev-sector-growth-slow-the-pace-of-ai-revolution-analyst">and sustainability-focused investments.</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Performance By Sector Under Trump</h3>
Analyzing S&amp;P 500 sector performance during Trump's first term reveals technology and consumer discretionary sectors outperformed, while energy lagged. In the first three months following Trump&#8217;s 2016 election,<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/politics/24/11/41783357/how-did-s-p-500-sectors-perform-during-trumps-first-term-could-this-time-be-different"> financials stocks outperformed.</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Consumer Sentiment Rises</h3>
U.S. consumer morale hit a six-month high, surpassing forecasts, and inflation expectations dropped to a four-year low, according to a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/11/41848568/us-consumer-sentiment-rises-more-than-predicted-to-6-month-highs-inflation-expectations-hit-4-year-low">University of Michigan survey</a> released Friday.
Illustration created using artificial intelligence via MidJourney.

Bonds

Treasuries

Federal Reserve

Movers

Trump's Win Sends Wall Street To Record Highs; Small Caps, Tesla Outperform, Fed Cuts Interest Rates: This Week In The Market

Financial stocks have surged ahead of tech in year-to-date performance, fueled by a Trump-led rally on Wednesday that lifted banks and brokers amid investor expectations of a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump">deregulation-friendly political landscape ahead.</a>
The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) has risen by 30% in 2024, outpacing the Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLK#NYSE">XLK</a>), which is up 26% this year. 
Small and mid-sized banks, tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>), have also seen strong performance, with a 13% jump following election results, bringing them in line with tech sector gains. 
Financial stocks, which have lagged behind technology for six of the past seven years, are now catching up, propelled by renewed optimism for deregulation and M&amp;A activities.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Analysts Expect M&amp;A Activity to Heat Up</h1>
With the Trump administration&#8217;s return to the White House, analysts are projecting a significant uptick in mergers and acquisitions (M&amp;A) in the financial sector.
&#8220;Under the upcoming Trump II administration, we expect a more favorable backdrop for M&amp;A which could lead to additional activity in the space after having been quiet for the past few years,&#8221; said Anthony Elian, CFA, analyst at JPMorgan.
Lower regulatory barriers could pave the way for consolidation among smaller banks, while larger financial institutions are expected to benefit from a more active capital markets environment. 
Read also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/etfs/sector-etfs/24/11/41788181/regional-bank-stocks-notch-strongest-day-in-4-years-why-analysts-expect-several-tailwinds-from-t">Regional Bank Stocks Notch Strongest Day In 4 Years: Why Analysts Expect &#8216;Several Tailwinds&#8217; From Trump Policies</a>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">A Lighter Regulatory Touch Boosts FinTech and Digital Assets</h1>
Devin Ryan, analyst at Citizens JMP Securities, highlighted that a Trump-led "sweep of Congress" could significantly ease regulatory pressures for the broader financial and fintech sectors.
&#8220;The &#8216;Trump Trade&#8217; had already been underway in the market in recent weeks, but the resounding presidential win, and perhaps more importantly, likely sweep of Congress, is adding fuel to the fire in stock moves,&#8221; Ryan explained.
For fintech firms, this shift could relieve recent regulatory scrutiny, particularly in areas such as connectivity with traditional banks and practices overseen by the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB). Companies involved in digital assets stand to benefit even more, as regulatory clarity would open the door for new market entrants and increase industry participation.
"Digital assets could arguably be the biggest winner of them all," said Ryan, who sees sentiment in the space "improving materially from here." 
Ryan indicates the political climate has shifted to one more favorable for cryptocurrencies, as policymakers begin to recognize the economic and electoral weight of pro-crypto sentiment.
The expert is particularly bullish on several key players in the financial sector. 
Among asset managers and retail brokers poised to capitalize on the deregulation wave, Citizens JMP Securities&#8217; top picks are:
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Company</th>
<th>Price Target</th>
<th>Sector</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Perella Weinberg Partners (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PWP#NASDAQ">PWP</a>)</td>
<td> $26</td>
<td> Investment Banking</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Blue Owl Capital Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OWL#NYSE">OWL</a>)</td>
<td> $25</td>
<td> Alternative Asset Mgmt</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Carlyle Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CG#NASDAQ">CG</a>)</td>
<td> $60</td>
<td> Private Equity</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>LPL Financial (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/LPLA#NASDAQ">LPLA</a>)</td>
<td>$310</td>
<td> Wealth Management</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Charles Schwab Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCHW#NYSE">SCHW</a>)</td>
<td> $84</td>
<td> Retail Brokerage</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
In fintech, Ryan sees considerable upside for digital asset players and platforms with a strong foothold in crypto and private markets. His top picks include:
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Company</th>
<th>Price Target</th>
<th>Key Segment</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Robinhood Markets Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HOOD#NASDAQ">HOOD</a>)</td>
<td> $33</td>
<td> Retail Brokerage, Crypto</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Forge Global Holdings Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FRGE#NYSE">FRGE</a>)</td>
<td> $7</td>
<td> Private Markets</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dave Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DAVE#NASDAQ">DAVE</a>)</td>
<td> $75</td>
<td> FinTech, Consumer Finance</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COIN#NASDAQ">COIN</a>)</td>
<td> $320</td>
<td> Crypto Exchange</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
</figure>
According to Ryan, Robinhood is expected to expand its crypto offerings, potentially enhancing customer engagement, while Forge Global is poised to gain from rising sentiment in private markets.
Coinbase, the largest U.S. cryptocurrency exchange, stands to benefit from clearer regulatory guidelines and the growing acceptance of crypto assets.
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41807254/trump-election-raises-odds-of-roaring-2020s-scenario-veteran-wall-street-investor-s">Trump Election Raises Odds Of &#8216;Roaring 2020s Scenario,&#8217; Veteran Wall Street Investor Says: How High Could US Stock Market Rise?</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Fintech news covering the emerging Financial Technology services sector

Fintech

Price Target

Analyst Ratings

DAVE

FRGE

HOOD

PowerShares Exchange Traded Fund Trust Dynamic Mid Cap Value Portfolio

SCHW

9 Stocks To Watch As Bank Stocks Blow Past Tech Names In 2024: Thank The 'Trump Trade'

Shares of major U.S. banks including JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>), Bank of America Corp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>) and Wells Fargo &amp; Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>) surged on Wednesday following Donald Trump's victory in the 2024 presidential election. Investors are betting on the potential for softer regulations under a GOP-led administration. Here&#8217;s <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/24/11/41768178/donald-trump-defeats-kamala-harris-to-win-2024-election">what you need to know.</a>
What To Know: The SPDR S&amp;P Bank ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KBE#NYSE">KBE</a>) saw a rise of more than 11%, while the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>), which focuses on smaller banks, surged over 13%, both hitting new 52-week highs on Wednesday.
Following Trump's election win this week, Wall Street analysts have noted a potential shift in the regulatory environment for the banking industry, according to <a href="https://www.cnbc.com/2024/11/06/bank-stocks-advance-in-overnight-trading-as-robinhood-traders-bet-on-less-regulation-with-trump.html">CNBC</a>.
Bank of America analyst Ebrahim Poonawala called the election outcome "positive for bank stocks" and predicted a "more balanced regulatory backdrop."
See Also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/government/24/11/41783392/jamie-dimon-doesnt-plans-to-join-trump-administration-affirms-commitment-to-jpmorgan">Jamie Dimon Doesn&#8217;t Plan To Join Trump Administration, Affirms Commitment to JPMorgan</a>
Jaret Seiberg, an analyst at TD Cowen, noted that a Trump presidency could mean reduced scrutiny from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB).
&#8220;Donald Trump is the candidate where you ignore what he says and focus on what you expect him to do," Seiberg wrote in a client note, adding that Trump's regulators would likely scale back on CFPB enforcement and reassess capital requirements for big banks.
Seiberg also pointed out that banks might benefit from lower capital requirements, stable credit card fee policies and friendlier crypto regulations. However, he cautioned that Trump's stance on tariffs and immigration could create inflationary pressures.
Price Action: JPMorgan Chase shares closed Wednesday up 11.5% at $247.06, Bank of America shares closed up 8.38% at $45.39 and Wells Fargo shares closed the day up 13.2% at $72.54 according to <a href="https://pro.benzinga.com/dashboard">Benzinga Pro.</a>
Photo: Shutterstock.

JPMorgan, Bank Of America And Wells Fargo Shares Surged Wednesday: Here's Why

Regional bank stocks surged on Wednesday, marking their strongest one-day performance in four years as investors bet on a more favorable banking sector environment when Donald Trump returns <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/donald-trump">to the White House.</a>
The SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) — which tracks a basket of 147 small- and mid-cap U.S. banks — jumped 13.4%, posting its largest rally since November 2020. Back then, the announcement of the first COVID-19 vaccine sparked a broad market rebound.
In Wednesday's trading, regional banks outshined even the biggest U.S. banks. Financials were the top-performing sector in the S&amp;P 500, with the Financials Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) rising 6%. 
Yet regional banks saw an even greater lift, driven by expectations that Trump&#8217;s policies will uniquely benefit smaller, domestic-focused institutions.
The strength in regional banks also fueled a broader rally in small-cap stocks. The Russell 2000 index, which includes a significant portion of regional banks, surged 6% as investor optimism spread across smaller, U.S.-centric companies.
Regional banks are the most representative sector of the Russell 2000 index, which soared by 6% on Wednesday. 
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Chart: Regional Banks Mark Best Day Since Covid-19 Vaccine Announcement </h4>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="501" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160718/image-65-1024x501.png" alt="" class="wp-image-633735" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160718/image-65-1024x501.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160718/image-65-300x147.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160718/image-65-768x376.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160718/image-65-1536x752.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160718/image-65.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">JPMorgan&#8217;s Elian Identifies 7 Tailwinds For Regional Banks</h3>
JPMorgan analyst Anthony Elian sees multiple factors that could fuel a strong performance for regional banks under Trump&#8217;s leadership.
&#8220;We view these results as being favorable for the regional bank sector tied to several tailwinds,&#8221; Elian wrote in a note on Wednesday. 
He highlighted seven main drivers:
<ol>
<li>Increased lending activity – A pro-business and onshoring agenda is expected to boost lending, potentially driving a revival in loan growth across the industry.</li>
<li>Lower corporate taxes – Trump&#8217;s anticipated tax cuts could enhance profitability for regional banks by reducing their tax burden.</li>
<li>Eased regulatory environment – According to Elian, &#8220;a second Trump administration would include an easier backdrop for regulation for the industry,&#8221; which could help banks reduce compliance costs and expand operations.</li>
<li>Uptick in M&amp;A activity – With a favorable regulatory climate, the sector could see an increase in mergers and acquisitions, a trend that was prevalent during Trump's first term and could benefit mid-sized banks seeking growth.</li>
<li>Attractive valuations – Elian noted that regional banks remain undervalued by historical standards, suggesting &#8220;there is still material upside on the table.&#8221;</li>
<li>Steep Treasury yield curve, Fed still in easing mode – With the Treasury yield curve in a steep pattern and the Federal Reserve to keep lowering rates, regional banks could benefit from improved net interest margins (NIMs) and net interest income (NII), boosting their earnings and profitability over time.</li>
<li>Underweight positioning – Elian highlighted that investors are still largely underweight on regional bank stocks, indicating room for increased demand as sentiment shifts.</li>
</ol>
JPMorgan&#8217;s Elian identified a few standout names in the regional banking space. Among his top picks are First Citizens BancShares, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCNCA#NASDAQ">FCNCA</a>) and Western Alliance Bancorporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WAL#NYSE">WAL</a>), both of which are well-positioned to take advantage of the expected uptrend in the sector.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Trump&#8217;s 2016 Win Offers Historical Context For Sector Rally</h3>
The market's optimism is further bolstered by historical precedent. Regional bank stocks were among the biggest early beneficiaries following Trump's 2016 election victory.
Between Nov. 9, 2016, and Jan. 10, 2017, the KRE ETF surged nearly 20%, significantly outperforming other sectors during that period.
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Chart: Performance Of Regional Bank ETF (Nov. 9, 2016 &#8211; Jan. 10, 2017) </h4>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="501" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160352/image-64-1024x501.png" alt="" class="wp-image-633728" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160352/image-64-1024x501.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160352/image-64-300x147.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160352/image-64-768x376.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160352/image-64-1536x752.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/06160352/image-64.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /></figure>
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/general/politics/24/11/41783357/how-did-s-p-500-sectors-perform-during-trumps-first-term-could-this-time-be-different">How Did S&amp;P 500 Sectors Perform During Trump&#8217;s First Term? Could This Time Be Different?</a></li>
</ul>
Image: Midjourney

Regional Bank Stocks Notch Strongest Day In 4 Years: Why Analysts Expect 'Several Tailwinds' From Trump Policies

An &#8220;everything rally&#8221; powered Wall Street on Wednesday after the 2024 election results, with Donald Trump emerging as the clear presidential winner. The Republican Party reclaimed control of the Senate, while the House of Representatives leans Republican <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/11/41778433/s-p-500-dow-hit-record-highs-after-trump-win-fear-index-drops-20">but remains undecided.</a>
The major U.S. equity indices – the S&amp;P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq 100 – surged to record highs in early trading, as investor optimism grew on expectations of more favorable tax policies. 
The S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow posted gains of 2.3%, 2.4%, and 3.3%, respectively.
However, the real standouts were small caps and bank stocks, with investors turning to domestic businesses and U.S. banks in anticipation of potential tariff protections and further financial deregulation. 
The Russell 2000 jumped 5.5%, marking its largest single-day increase in two years. 
Large-cap bank stocks climbed 6%, while regional banks tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) soared 13%—both seeing their biggest one-day gains since November 2020, when the first COVID-19 vaccine was announced.
Clean energy stocks were among the day's worst performers, with the Invesco Solar ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TAN#NYSE">TAN</a>) plunging 11% for its steepest drop since March 2020, as investors braced for potential rollbacks on green initiatives under the Trump administration.
In the foreign exchange market, the U.S. dollar initially rallied nearly 2% before paring gains to 1.4% as traders awaited a Federal Reserve interest rate cut on Thursday.
Treasury yields spiked as expectations rose for larger budget deficits under Republican fiscal policies and higher inflation due to potential tariffs. The 10-year Treasury yield climbed 14 basis points to 4.41%, reaching a four-month high.
Gold prices fell 2.8%, silver dropped over 4%, while natural gas rose 3.8%. Oil prices remained steady.
In the cryptocurrency market, risk appetite thrived, with Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) rising over 8% to reach a record high of $75,000. Ethereum (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/eth/usd">ETH</a>) gained 10%, and Dogecoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/doge/usd">DOGE</a>) surged 14%, the strongest performance among the top 10 cryptocurrencies.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Performance In Major US Indices, Sectors</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day % chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,388.20</td>
<td>5.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>43,739.86</td>
<td>3.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,740.09</td>
<td>2.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,922.98</td>
<td>2.4%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 1:30 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<thead>
<tr>
<th>Sector</th>
<th>1-day % chg</th>
</tr>
</thead>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Financials</td>
<td>6.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Energy</td>
<td>4.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Industrials</td>
<td>3.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cons. Discretionary</td>
<td>2.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Technology</td>
<td>2.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Communications</td>
<td>1.9%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Materials</td>
<td>1.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Health Care</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Utilities</td>
<td>-0.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Cons. Staples</td>
<td>-1.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Real Estate</td>
<td>-3.3%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 1:30 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent110624&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a> data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) rose 2.4% to $590.30.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;rallied 3.5% to $437.05.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) soared 2.5% to $504.69.</li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) spiked 5.6% to $236.23.</li>
<li>The Financials Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) outperformed, rising 6%. The Real Estate Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLRE#NYSE">XLRE</a>) lagged, down 3.3%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
Stocks reacting to earnings reports were: 
<ul>
<li>Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ADM#NYSE">ADM</a>), up 2%, </li>
<li>Devon Energy Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DVN#NYSE">DVN</a>), up 1.8%, </li>
<li>Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SMCI#NASDAQ">SMCI</a>), down 22%, </li>
<li>CVS Health Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CVS#NYSE">CVS</a>), up 12%,</li>
<li>DBA Sempra (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SRE#NYSE">SRE</a>), up 5.8%, </li>
<li>American Electric Power Company Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AEP#NASDAQ">AEP</a>), down 3%, </li>
<li>Cencora Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COR#NYSE">COR</a>), up 5.5%, </li>
<li>Howmet Aerospace Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HWM#NYSE">HWM</a>), up 10.7%, </li>
</ul>
Major companies moving in reaction to election results were: 
<ul>
<li>Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>), up 14.8%, </li>
<li>Capital One Financial Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COF#NYSE">COF</a>), up 14.4%, </li>
<li>Morgan Stanley (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MS#NYSE">MS</a>), up 13.1%, </li>
<li>Wells Fargo &amp; Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>), up 13.1%, </li>
<li>The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>), up 12.9%. </li>
</ul>
The rallies in the stock and crypto markets drove shares of Robinhood Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/HOOD#NASDAQ">HOOD</a>) and Coinbase Global Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COIN#NASDAQ">COIN</a>) up by 18% and 26%, respectively.
Major losers among clean energy stocks included Enphase Energy Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ENPH#NASDAQ">ENPH</a>) and First Solar Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FSLR#NASDAQ">FSLR</a>), down 16.7% and 10.5%, respectively. 
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/trading-ideas/technicals/24/11/41781115/stock-of-the-day-trump-media-technology-hits-resistance-reverses-and-trends-lower">Stock Of The Day: Trump Media &amp; Technology Hits Resistance, Reverses And Trends Lower</a></li>
</ul>
Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

Earnings

Commodities

Forex

$DOGE

$ETH

ENPH

FSLR

SMCI

XLRE

Select Sector SPDR-Consumer Discretionary

Trump's Win Sends Indices To Record Highs; Financials, Small Caps Surge, Bitcoin Tops $75,000: What's Driving Markets Wednesday?

- American Bankers Association Event, <a href="https://www.aba.com/training-events/conferences/annual-convention/program" title="https://www.aba.com/training-events/conferences/annual-convention/program">https://www.aba.com/training-events/conferences/annual-convention/program</a>

U.S. Treasury's Yellen Says Have Been Hearing From Banks That Burdens Of Regulatory Compliance Have Become Quite Extraordinary; Predisposed Towards Robust Capital And Liquidity Requirements To Ensure That Banking System Can Support The Economy; Sound Banking System Helped U.S. To Weather Covid-Related Financial Turbulence; Hopes Tailoring Of Regulations Can Help Reduce Compliance Burdens For Smaller Banks

The U.S. regional <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/banks">banking sector is showing resilience</a> as several mid- and small-cap banks delivered stronger-than-expected third-quarter earnings, according to JPMorgan analyst Anthony Elian.
In a note on the sector's third-quarter earnings season, Elian highlighted widespread earnings beats and favorable outlooks, suggesting that regional bank stocks have room for <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/regional-banks">further upside into 2025. </a>
In addition to strong earnings reports, the Fed&#8217;s expected gradual rate cuts, the yield curve de-inverting, easing credit quality concerns, potential capital returns, and underweight positioning by investors all lead Elian to say he is &#8220;encouraged about the direction of regional banks.&#8221;
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Earnings Beats Drive Outperformance</h3>
One week into the earnings season, seven regional banks in JPMorgan's coverage universe have reported results, with five of them beating core earnings-per-share (EPS) estimates. The primary driver behind these beats was stronger-than-expected net interest margins (NIM) and net interest income (NII).
As a result, regional bank stocks, represented by the SPDR Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>), have outperformed the broader market, as gauged by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), so far this month.
&#8220;With more beats than misses and 4Q24 outlooks generally trending better than prior consensus expectations, regional banks are outperforming through earnings season so far,&#8221; Elian noted.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Banking Sector&#8217;s Third-Quarter Trends</h3>
Several fundamental trends emerged for U.S. banks during the quarter. 
Average deposits increased at a 7% annualized rate, while average loans grew by 2% annually. On a period-end basis, deposits rose at an even stronger 11% annualized pace, and loans increased by 3% annually. Importantly, NII expanded at a robust 12% annualized rate. 
Despite some concerns over office loans, credit quality remained stable overall, though a few banks reported increases in non-performing assets (NPAs) related to office loans.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bullish Outlook For Fourth Quarter And Beyond</h3>
Looking ahead, the outlook for the fourth quarter remains largely positive. 
Many banks are guiding for modest growth across key metrics such as loan growth, NII, and fee income, while expense growth is expected to remain controlled. 
Despite near-term headwinds, most banks in Elian's coverage universe expressed optimism about the NII trajectory into 2025, particularly as the Federal Reserve is expected to reduce interest rates further.
With &#8220;the Fed continuing to reduce the funds rate, this outlook should be further supported by an eventual rebound in commercial loan demand across the industry,&#8221; Elian said.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Regional Banks&#8217; Valuation And Investment Outlook</h3>
Regional banks are still trading below historical valuations. JPMorgan&#8217;s coverage universe is currently priced at 1.3x 2025 estimated tangible book value (TBV), compared to the historical range of 1.8x to 2.0x.
This indicates substantial upside potential for a re-rating of the sector, particularly as investors remain underweight regional bank stocks. &#8220;Expect the sector to re-rate higher as investors recognize their improved financial health and earnings potential,&#8221; Elian noted.
Elian&#8217;s top picks for the sector include First Citizens BancShares Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCNCA#NASDAQ">FCNCA</a>), Western Alliance Bancorp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WAL#NYSE">WAL</a>), and Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNFP#NASDAQ">PNFP</a>), all of which are well-positioned to capitalize on favorable market dynamics and potential earnings growth into 2025.
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/10/41488744/mortgage-applications-fall-for-fourth-straight-week-as-high-rates-squeeze-homebuy">Mortgage Applications Fall For Fourth Straight Week As High Rates Squeeze Homebuyers</a></li>
</ul>
Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

PNFP

3 Regional Bank Stock Picks From JPMorgan: Analyst 'Encouraged' After Solid Q3

U.S. banks are preparing to slash interest payments on corporate deposits as the Federal Reserve&#8217;s recent <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/interest-rates">rate cuts take effect. </a>
Following the Fed's decision in September to lower its benchmark rate by 50 basis points, the first reduction in over four years, U.S. financial institutions are focusing on corporate deposits as a key area to maintain profit margins amid declining interest levels, according to a report from the <a href="https://www.ft.com/content/1056329a-9500-468f-89b7-1834ba6e6090">Financial Times</a>.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Corporate Deposit Rates Come Under Pressure</h3>
In the wake of the Federal Reserve&#8217;s rapid rate hikes through 2022 and early 2023, banks increased interest payments on deposits to retain customers.
As benchmark interest rates soared to 23-year highs, corporate depositors, in particular, saw rates on their accounts rise sharply with Fed policy, the FT reported. These accounts became a significant tool for banks to attract and retain capital, preventing businesses from shifting funds into higher-yielding alternatives like money market funds.
With the recent rate cuts and more expected in the coming months, U.S. banks are now focusing on reducing the costs associated with these corporate deposits.
Several industry executives have echoed this sentiment. Bruce Van Saun, CEO of Citizens Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>), told the FT that banks are actively pricing down deposits in corporate accounts since &#8220;they were demanding every penny on the way up.&#8221;
This trend is likely to continue, with projections indicating that the Fed&#8217;s rates could fall from 5% to around 3% by 2026.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Banks Leverage Flexibility Amid Weak Loan Demand</h3>
The environment of lower interest rates has also coincided with a downturn in loan demand. 
While this has pressured banks&#8217; net interest income, it has provided more flexibility when it comes to adjusting deposit rates. 
Jason Goldberg, a research analyst at Barclays, told the FT: "it's still very early in the cycle, but you certainly have started to see banks take action a little bit prior to this Fed cut in mid-September."
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Small, Midsized Banks Eye Margin Protections</h3>
Mid-sized and smaller U.S. banks have been under significant pressure to raise the interest rates they offer on savings accounts in order to prevent customers from moving their money elsewhere. 
This competition has been especially tough for regional banks, while larger institutions like JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>) and Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>) have had an advantage. Nearly one-third of JPMorgan deposits earn no interest, the FT report said. 
Citizens Financial, which holds approximately $175 billion in deposits, is among the regional players employing sophisticated models to balance customer retention with deposit rate cuts. 
Van Saun reportedly said the bank takes a &#8220;very, very scientific&#8221; approach to pricing deposits, ensuring that rates are high enough to keep corporate clients satisfied but not so high as to erode profitability.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Implications For Bank Stocks </h3>
Shares of major U.S. financial institutions, tracked by the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>), are trading at record highs following a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41331839/financial-sector-hits-record-highs-as-goldman-sachs-bank-of-america-citi-beat-q3-ea">robust third-quarter earnings season. </a>
Major banks like JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co., Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>) , Bank of America, Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>), Morgan Stanley (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MS#NYSE">MS</a>) and Wells Fargo &amp; Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>) all exceeded earnings expectations, brightening the outlook for their shareholders.
For these large institutions, the planned cuts in corporate deposit rates could further bolster their profit margins, or at the very least help them maintain profitability. Their scale and perceived safety make it unlikely that such moves will result in significant withdrawals, providing a strategic advantage.
In contrast, smaller and mid-sized banks, represented by the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>), have less flexibility to cut interest rates on corporate deposits without risking customer attrition. 
With heightened competition in the sector, these banks are in a more precarious position — overly aggressive cuts could prompt corporate depositors to move their funds elsewhere. As a result, these institutions may face pressure on their profit margins to keep depositors satisfied.
A silver lining could exist: for regional banks: lower interest rates might stimulate loan demand, which could help offset the pressure on deposit funding costs by increasing lending volumes.
Read now: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41402089/goldman-sachs-highlights-20-top-short-squeeze-opportunities-for-q3-earnings-season">Goldman Sachs Highlights 20 Top Short-Squeeze Opportunities For Q3 Earnings Season</a></li>
</ul>
Photo via Shutterstock.

Media

US Banks Plan Sharp Cuts In Corporate Deposit Returns As Fed Lowers Interest Rates: Could Financial Stocks Take A Hit?

The Russell 2000 Index, a benchmark for small-cap stocks, is on the verge of a significant technical breakout that could push it to levels not seen <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/small-cap">since late November 2021. </a>
On Wednesday, the index is testing a crucial resistance zone around the 2,300-point level, a ceiling last reached on July 31.
While the S&amp;P 500, Dow Jones and Nasdaq 100 have set fresh all-time highs in 2024, the Russell 2000, as tracked by the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>), still remains 6.7% below its peak.
Market participants are now closely watching whether small-cap stocks can rally to catch up large-cap counterparts on the back of economic growth resilience and lower interest rates. 
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="496" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16115917/image-122-1024x496.png" alt="" class="wp-image-598678" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16115917/image-122-1024x496.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16115917/image-122-300x145.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16115917/image-122-768x372.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16115917/image-122-1536x744.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16115917/image-122.png 1768w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Chart: <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent101624&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a></figcaption></figure>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Strong Economy, Lower Interest Rates Could Propel Small Caps</h1>
&#8220;Small caps have been stuck in a consolidation range over the last few months as investors questioned the likelihood of a soft-landing scenario and the path of monetary policy. Small caps tend to be more sensitive to economic conditions and interest rates versus their larger cap peers,&#8221; commented Adam Turnquist, chief technical strategist at LPL Financial. 
The outlook for small caps has brightened amid strong economic data and optimism surrounding Federal Reserve policy. 
The U.S. economy continues to show resilience, with the Atlanta Fed GDPNow model forecasting 3.2% GDP growth for the fourth quarter of 2024, marking an acceleration from 3% growth in the third quarter. 
Additionally, the U.S. labor market has recently outperformed even the rosiest expectations, with 254,000 jobs added in September, marking the strongest monthly job growth in six months. This was a substantial increase from the 159,000 jobs added in August, far surpassing forecasts of 140,000. The unemployment rate fell to 4.1%, while wage growth also accelerated.
Turnquist highlighted, &#8220;With the growth outlook recently improving — underpinned by better-than-feared labor market conditions — and increased visibility into Fed rate cuts, the Russell 2000 has rallied off the lower end of its rising price channel.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Bank Stocks Bolster Small-Cap Performance</h1>
The banking sector has been a key driver behind the recent surge in small-cap stocks, fueled by solid earnings from major financial heavyweights.
Leading U.S. banks — including JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>), Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>), Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>), Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>), Wells Fargo &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>), Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BK#NYSE">BK</a>), and Charles Schwab Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCHW#NYSE">SCHW</a>) — all reported better-than-expected thrid-quarter earnings, sparking investor optimism in <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41331839/financial-sector-hits-record-highs-as-goldman-sachs-bank-of-america-citi-beat-q3-ea">the broader financial sector.</a>
The bullish momentum on large banks has had a ripple effect on regional banks, which make up the largest sector of the Russell 2000. 
The SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) extended its rally to six consecutive days, fully rebounding from the banking crisis triggered in March 2023 by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Signature Bank.
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="501" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16120439/image-123-1024x501.png" alt="" class="wp-image-598691" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16120439/image-123-1024x501.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16120439/image-123-300x147.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16120439/image-123-768x376.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16120439/image-123-1536x752.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/16120439/image-123.png 1748w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Chart: <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent101624&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a></figcaption></figure>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Russell 2000: Technical Outlook</h1>
&#8220;Technically, a close above 2,275 would confirm a breakout from its current symmetrical triangle and leave the 2021 highs as the next resistance hurdle to clear. Momentum indicators have also recently turned bullish, adding to the evidence of a topside breakout,&#8221; Turnquist explained.
However, it&#8217;s important to note that despite recent improvements, the Russell 2000&#8217;s relative performance against the S&amp;P 500 — tracked by the IWM/SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) ratio — remains in a downtrend. 
The ratio is still below its declining 200-day moving average, signaling that small caps have yet to fully outperform their large-cap counterparts. 
&#8220;A close above the July highs would validate a trend reversal in favor of small caps outperforming,&#8221; Turnquist added.
Read Now:
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</ul>
Photo: IConcept via Shutterstock

Technicals

Trading Ideas

Russell 2000 Poised For Major Technical Breakout: Analyst Eyes 'A Trend Reversal In Favor Of Small Caps Outperforming' S&P 500

Small-cap stocks outperformed large caps in Wednesday's session, with the Russell 2000 Index surging to test July 2024 highs on the back of expectations for interest rate cuts and a <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/topic/regional-banks">strong rally in regional banks. </a>
Financial stocks continued their upward momentum, buoyed by strong earnings reports. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MS#NYSE">MS</a>) significantly beat expectations, propelling its stock up by 8% to new all-time highs.
Regional banks, as tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>), rallied 2.1%, hitting levels last seen in early March 2023, prior to the fallout of Silicon Valley Bank.
Airlines also soared, with United Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>) posting an 11% rally. The surge lifted the entire industry, as tracked by the U.S. Global Jets ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JETS#NYSE">JETS</a>), which reached its highest level since July 2023.
The tech sector lagged, weighed down by weak performance in semiconductors. The industry was still reeling from ASML Holding N.V. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ASML#NASDAQ">ASML</a>)&#8217;s earnings shock on Tuesday, after the company slashed its 2025 revenue outlook, triggering a broad selloff in chipmakers.
Both the Nasdaq 100 and semiconductor stocks remained flat on Wednesday.
In the currency market, the U.S. Dollar Index was poised to log its 12th positive day in the last 13 sessions. Treasury yields edged lower. Oil prices saw a slight decline of 0.6%, with West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude falling below $70 per barrel.
Precious metals offered positive signals, with gold set to close its fifth consecutive day of gains, while silver rose 0.8%.
In the cryptocurrency space, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) advanced 1%, reaching $68,000 — its highest level since late July 2024.
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day % change</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,289.65</td>
<td>1.8%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,981.53</td>
<td>0.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,830.29</td>
<td>0.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,131.29</td>
<td>-0.1%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:30 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent101624&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a> data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) rose 0.2% to $580.82.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;inched 0.6% higher to $429.93.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) fell 0.2% to $489.94.</li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) rallied 1.8% to $226.77.</li>
<li>The Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLU#NYSE">XLU</a>) outperformed, up 1.4%. The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLC#NYSE">XLC</a>) lagged, down 0.3%.</li>
</ul>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Wednesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h3>
<ul>
<li>Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBKR#NASDAQ">IBKR</a>) fell over 3% after missing earnings estimate. </li>
<li>Other stocks reactive to company earnings included United Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>), up 11.5%, J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JBHT#NASDAQ">JBHT</a>), up 3.5%, Abbott Laboratories (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ABT#NYSE">ABT</a>), up 1.7%, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MS#NYSE">MS</a>), up 7.6%, U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USB#NYSE">USB</a>), up 4.7% and Citizens Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CFG#NYSE">CFG</a>).</li>
<li>ASML Holding N.V. fell over 5% after dropping 17% on Tuesday in reaction to dismal revenue outlook. </li>
<li>Companies set to report their earnings after the close include CSX Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CSX#NASDAQ">CSX</a>), Kinder Morgan Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KMI#NYSE">KMI</a>), Discover Financial Services (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DFS#NYSE">DFS</a>), Equifax Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/EFX#NYSE">EFX</a>), Steel Dynamics Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STLD#NASDAQ">STLD</a>) and Alcoa Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AA#NYSE">AA</a>). </li>
</ul>
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/10/41356469/mortgage-demand-sees-sharpest-weekly-drop-since-april-2020-as-rates-climb-above-6">Mortgage Demand Sees Sharpest Weekly Drop Since April 2020 As Rates Climb Above 6.5%</a></li>
</ul>
Photo via Shutterstock.

ASML

IBKR

JBHT

JETS

STLD

Tech Stocks Stall, Small Caps Surge As Regional Banks Rally, Airlines Rocket: What's Driving Markets Wednesday?

A wave of market-relevant news fueled an active trading session on Wall Street Tuesday, with large-cap indices falling due to sharp declines in tech and energy stocks, while small-caps outperformed, led by gains in regional banks.
At the forefront of the headlines is the massive plunge in ASML Holding NV (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ASML#NASDAQ">ASML</a>) shares. The Dutch chipmaker&#8217;s stock nosedived over 16% after a technical error prematurely revealed its third-quarter earnings, originally scheduled for Wednesday, <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/equities/24/10/41339229/asml-earnings-leak-sparks-broad-semiconductor-sell-off-sector-down-sharply-as-dutch-chipmaker-lo">on the company&#8217;s website. </a>
The report disclosed weaker-than-expected guidance for 2025, leading to the worst single-day drop in ASML stock since it went public in 2002.
ASML&#8217;s collapse sent shockwaves across the semiconductor sector, with the iShares Semiconductor ETF (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SOXX#NASDAQ">SOXX</a>) falling more than 4%, marking its worst performance since early September. Key semiconductor players were hit hard, with NVIDIA Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NVDA#NASDAQ">NVDA</a>) down 5% and Arm Holdings PLC-ADR (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/ARM#NASDAQ">ARM</a>) tumbling 7%.
Another underperforming sector was energy. Oil prices plunged 5%, setting up their <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/asia/24/10/41336413/oil-prices-take-largest-plunge-in-over-a-year-as-israel-vows-to-spare-iranian-facilities-energy-stoc">worst trading day in over a year. </a>
The sell-off followed a Monday&#8217;s report from The Washington Post, which revealed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu assured the Biden administration Israel would refrain from targeting Iranian oil and nuclear facilities in any retaliatory military actions.
Meanwhile, the financial sector surged, extending its all-time highs as Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>), Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>), and Charles Schwab Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCHW#NYSE">SCHW</a>) all posted <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41331839/financial-sector-hits-record-highs-as-goldman-sachs-bank-of-america-citi-beat-q3-ea">stronger-than-expected quarterly earnings.</a>
Gains also spread to more economically sensitive regional banks, with the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) jumping over 3%, lifting the broader Russell 2000 index by 1%.
In other markets, both the U.S. dollar and Treasury yields remained steady, as there were no major updates on interest-rate expectations. Gold edged up by 0.6%, while Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) continued its recent momentum, climbing 1.3% after a 5.1% surge on Monday.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>Chg (1-day) %</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,272.05</td>
<td>1.0%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,942.79</td>
<td>-0.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,842.20</td>
<td>-0.3%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,221.22</td>
<td>-1.1%</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:45 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent101524&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a> data:
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>) fell 0.4% to $581.82.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;inched 0.3% down to $429.46.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) fell 1.1% to $491.72.</li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) rose 1% to $222.52.</li>
<li>The Financials Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) outperformed, up 1%. The Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLE#NYSE">XLE</a>) lagged, down 2.3%.</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Tuesday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h1>
<ul>
<li>Airlines and cruise lines rallied in reaction to lower oil prices. American Airlines Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AAL#NASDAQ">AAL</a>) rose 2.2%, United Airlines Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UAL#NASDAQ">UAL</a>) gained 2.2%. Carnival Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/CCL#NYSE">CCL</a>) and Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/NCLH#NYSE">NCLH</a>) rallied 7.7% and 5.5%, respectively. </li>
<li>Charles Schwab rose 7.5% after reporting stronger-than-expected quarterly results. </li>
<li>Other stocks reacting to earnings were UnitedHealth Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UNH#NYSE">UNH</a>), down 7.4%; Johnson &amp; Johnson (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JNJ#NYSE">JNJ</a>), up 1.8%; Bank of America Corp., up 1.9%; Goldman Sachs Group Inc., down 0.3%; Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>), down 4%; PNC Financial Services Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNC#NYSE">PNC</a>), up 4%; State Street Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/STT#NYSE">STT</a>), up 0.6% and Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WBA#NASDAQ">WBA</a>), up 13%</li>
<li>Companies slated to report earnings after the close include Interactive Brokers Group Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IBKR#NASDAQ">IBKR</a>), United Arlines Holdings Inc., Omnicon Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/OMC#NYSE">OMC</a>) and J.B. Hunt Transport Services Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JBHT#NASDAQ">JBHT</a>). </li>
</ul>
Read Now:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/cryptocurrency/24/10/41336897/3-reasons-why-a-bitcoin-all-time-high-before-the-election-is-back-in-play">3 Reasons Why A Bitcoin All-Time High Before The Election Is Back In Play</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

Guidance

NCLH

NVDA

iShares PHLX SOX Semiconductor Sector Index Fund

SOXX

Chipmaker Stocks Sink On ASML Earnings Leak, Oil Eyes Worst 1-Day Drop This Year, Small Caps Rally: What's Driving Markets Tuesday?

A basket of major U.S. bank stocks, as measured by the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>), is poised to extend its record highs following a wave of strong <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/earnings">third-quarter earnings reports. </a>
The fund rose nearly 0.7% in premarket trading, continuing its upward momentum from last week's rally. Gains also spilled over to regional banks, as SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) rose 0.5%.
On Tuesday, top financial firms including Goldman Sachs Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>), Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>), Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>), and Charles Schwab Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SCHW#NYSE">SCHW</a>) all exceeded analyst expectations, reinforcing investor confidence in the sector's health.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Goldman Sachs Q3 2024: Major Revenue Beat Drives Stock To Record Highs</h3>
Goldman Sachs posted a robust third-quarter performance, significantly beating Wall Street's earnings estimates. The bank reported earnings per share (EPS) of $8.40, surpassing the expected $6.88. Revenue came in at $12.7 billion, topping the $11.7 billion consensus estimate, with standout results in several key segments.
<ul>
<li>Equities sales &amp; trading revenue surged to $3.5 billion, well above the $2.95 billion estimate.</li>
<li>Global banking and markets net revenue hit $8.55 billion, beating the forecast of $7.65 billion.</li>
<li>Total deposits grew 2.8% quarter-over-quarter to $445 billion.</li>
<li>Assets under management (AUM) reached $3.1 trillion, exceeding expectations of $2.99 trillion.</li>
</ul>
Stock Reaction: Shares of Goldman Sachs jumped nearly 3% in premarket trading, reaching a new record high of $537.50.
Read also: <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/10/41329766/goldman-sachs-q3-earnings-investment-banking-fees-surges-20-asset-wealth-management-up-16-but-fixed">Goldman Sachs Q3 Earnings: Investment Banking Fees Surges 20%, Asset &amp; Wealth Management Up 16%, But Fixed Income Falters</a>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Bank of America Q3 2024: Solid Growth in Investment Banking and Trading</h3>
Bank of America also delivered a strong set of earnings, with an EPS of $0.81, beating the $0.76 consensus. Revenue totaled $25.34 billion, slightly above expectations of $25.25 billion, driven by solid growth in its investment banking and trading operations.
<ul>
<li>Net interest income (NII) rose to $13.97 billion, surpassing the $13.9 billion forecast.</li>
<li>Investment banking revenue reached $1.4 billion, exceeding the $1.24 billion estimate.</li>
<li>Trading revenue, excluding debt valuation adjustments, hit $4.94 billion, beating the $4.57 billion consensus.</li>
</ul>
Richard Ramsden, equity analyst at Goldman Sachs, indicated that Bank of America delivered &#8220;another well-rounded beat,&#8221; highlighting that NII was 0.5% above the Street due to higher earning assets, loans, and trading balances.
Stock Reaction: Bank of America shares climbed 2% to $42.79 following the earnings report.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Citigroup Q3 2024: Strong Gains in Trading and Wealth Management</h3>
Citigroup outpaced analyst expectations, reporting an EPS of $1.51, beating the consensus of $1.31. Revenue for the quarter came in at $20.32 billion, ahead of the $19.86 billion estimate.
<ul>
<li>FICC sales &amp; trading revenue reached $3.58 billion, in line with forecasts, while equities sales &amp; trading revenue surged to $1.24 billion, far above the $1.03 billion estimate.</li>
<li>Wealth management revenue was a bright spot, hitting $2 billion compared to the $1.8 billion forecast.</li>
<li>Markets revenue totaled $4.82 billion, topping estimates of $4.6 billion.</li>
</ul>
Citi's investment banking revenue also surpassed expectations, coming in at $934 million versus the anticipated $874.5 million. This marks a solid quarter for Citigroup as it continues to streamline operations while growing its core business lines.
Stock Reaction: Citigroup shares rose 2.4% to $67.50, reaching levels not seen since mid-July.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Charles Schwab Q3 2024: Shares Skyrocket On Earnings Beat</h3>
Charles Schwab also joined the list of financial firms delivering upbeat Q3 results. The company reported an EPS of $0.77, exceeding the $0.75 consensus, with revenue of $4.847 billion, just above the $4.786 billion estimate.
This marks a strong recovery for Schwab, which faced pressure earlier this year. The bank benefited from steady client engagement and favorable market conditions.
Stock Reaction: Charles Schwab shares rocketed 9% to $73.78 in premarket trading, putting the stock on track for its best session since July 2023.
Read more: 
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/10/41326823/wall-street-on-edge-as-nasdaq-nears-record-high-oil-prices-plummet-strategist-says-theres-opportuni">Wall Street On Edge As Nasdaq Nears Record High, Oil Prices Plummet: Strategist Says There&#8217;s Opportunity If Resilience Continues</a></li>
</ul>
Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

Financial Sector Hits Record Highs As Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Citi Beat Q3 Earnings Expectations

Friday's trading session saw another robust rally on Wall Street, with the S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average both reaching new record highs, fueled by better-than-expected third-quarter earnings <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/10/41293190/us-banks-top-q3-earnings-estimates-jpmorgan-delivers-robust-beat-financial-sector-stocks-hit-record">from major U.S. banks.</a>
The S&amp;P 500 surged past 5,800 points, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average climbed above 42,800.
Leading the charge were top U.S. financial institutions, which kicked off the earnings season with strong results. JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>), Wells Fargo &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>), Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BK#NYSE">BK</a>), and BlackRock Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BLK#NYSE">BLK</a>) all beat analysts&#8217; earnings expectations. The upbeat results from these banking giants triggered a rally in financial stocks, pushing the sector to an all-time high. 
Furthermore, gains spilled over to regional banks and the broader small-cap universe, as the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) and the Russell 2000 rallied 2.7% and 1.7%, respectively. 
Meanwhile, Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TSLA#NASDAQ">TSLA</a>) plunged by 8%, on track for its worst session in more than a month, with analysts expecting further declines after the lack of clear business plans for robotaxis and no updates on the lower-cost production vehicle, following the highly anticipated Robotaxi <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41295072/tesla-robotaxi-day-event-more-fanfare-than-substance-8-analysts-on-cybercab-optimus">Day on Thursday.</a>
On the macroeconomic front, inflation remains in focus. Following Thursday&#8217;s hotter-than-expected Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, Friday's Producer Price Index (PPI) data also came in above forecasts, indicating a setback <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/10/41290382/producer-inflation-rises-more-than-expected-in-september-as-food-transportation-c">in the disinflationary narrative.</a>
Despite the inflation uptick, market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut in November remained largely unchanged. According to CME's FedWatch tool, there is still an 85% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut next month.
In the commodities space, oil prices steadied after surging 3.5% on Thursday, amid a lack of relevant news from the Middle East front. Gold advanced 1.2%, while silver gained 1.4%.
Bitcoin (CRYPTO: <a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/quote/btc/usd">BTC</a>) also posted notable gains, rising over 3% in response to the strong earnings report from BlackRock, which showed higher-than-expected fund inflows. Investors appear optimistic about continued institutional interest in cryptocurrencies.
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Friday&#8217;s Performance In Major U.S. Indices, ETFs</h1>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Major Indices</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day %chg</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Russell 2000</td>
<td>2,223.00</td>
<td>1.7%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Dow Jones</td>
<td>42,727.13</td>
<td>0.6%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>S&amp;P 500</td>
<td>5,807.71</td>
<td>0.5%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Nasdaq 100</td>
<td>20,259.87</td>
<td>0.1 %</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 12:35 p.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
According to <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent101124&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a> data: 
<ul>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>)&nbsp;rose 0.4% to $578.52.</li>
<li>The&nbsp;SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average&nbsp;(NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>)&nbsp;rose 0.6% to $427.37.</li>
<li>The tech-heavy Invesco QQQ Trust Series (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/QQQ#NASDAQ">QQQ</a>) held steady at $492.55.</li>
<li>The iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/IWM#NYSE">IWM</a>) rose 1.6% to $220.38.</li>
<li>The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) outperformed, up 1.9%. The Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLY#NYSE">XLY</a>) lagged, down 0.4%.</li>
</ul>
<h1 class="wp-block-heading">Friday&#8217;s Stock Movers</h1>
<ul>
<li>Uber Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UBER#NASDAQ">UBER</a>) rose 9.1% in reaction to the dismal Robotaxi event. </li>
<li>Shares of JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. rose 4.8% in reaction to upbeat quarterly earnings. </li>
<li>Other banks reacting to earnings reports were Wells Fargo &amp; Co., up 6.1%, BlackRock Inc., up 2.4%, and Bank of New York Mellon, down 1.8%. </li>
<li>Fastenal Company (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FAST#NASDAQ">FAST</a>) rallied 9.1% after reporting stronger-than-expected earnings. </li>
<li>Shares of Affirm Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AFRM#NASDAQ">AFRM</a>) rallied over 10% after Wells Fargo upgraded the stock from Equal Weight to Overweight.</li>
</ul>
Read Now:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/analyst-ratings/analyst-color/24/10/41295766/kinder-morgans-core-business-is-robust-now-bofa-upgrades-stock">Kinder Morgan&#8217;s &#8216;Core Business Is Robust Now,&#8217; BofA Upgrades Stock</a></li>
</ul>
Photo: Shutterstock

AFRM

FAST

UBER

Wall Street Marks New Highs As Bank Stocks Rally, Tesla Tumbles As Robotaxi Disappoints: What's Driving Markets Friday?

A remarkable rally in financial stocks boosted bullish sentiment across Wall Street on Friday, propelling both the S&amp;P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average<a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/10/41293190/us-banks-top-q3-earnings-estimates-jpmorgan-delivers-robust-beat-financial-sector-stocks-hit-record"> to new record levels.</a>
Strong earnings from major U.S. banks helped fuel the broader market, with investors brushing aside mixed economic data released <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/economics/macro-economic-events/24/10/41290382/producer-inflation-rises-more-than-expected-in-september-as-food-transportation-c">earlier in the day.</a>
The S&amp;P 500, as tracked by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>), surged past the 5,800-point mark, gaining 0.7% on the day and pushing year-to-date returns to nearly 23%. 
Simultaneously, the Dow Jones Industrial Average, tracked by the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/DIA#NYSE">DIA</a>), rose 0.8%, hitting 42,780 points and smashing previous records set in late September.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Chart: S&amp;P 500, Dow Jointly Mark All-Time Highs As US Banks Top Q3 Earnings Forecasts</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="443" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/11105849/image-91-1024x443.png" alt="" class="wp-image-591486" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/11105849/image-91-1024x443.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/11105849/image-91-300x130.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/11105849/image-91-768x332.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/11105849/image-91-1536x665.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/11105849/image-91.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Image: <a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent101124&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1">Benzinga Pro</a> </figcaption></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Financial Stocks Drive Wall Street Rally</h3>
The financial sector was the primary driver of Friday's market gains. 
The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>) rallied 1.9%, marking its strongest session since November 2023 and hitting a fresh record high. 
The rally came as a wave of U.S. banks reported better-than-expected third-quarter earnings, reinforcing confidence in the sector&#8217;s resilience.
JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>) delivered a robust performance, with Q3 earnings per share (EPS) of $4.37, exceeding the $4.00 consensus. 
Shares surged over 4% by mid-morning trading in New York. Goldman Sachs analyst Richard Ramsden highlighted a &#8220;robust beat across every line,&#8221; for the largest U.S. bank.
Wells Fargo &amp; Co (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>) saw its shares soar 6.2% after posting an EPS of $1.42, beating expectations despite cautious guidance on net interest income for the year.
Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BK#NYSE">BK</a>) also delivered stronger-than-expected results, with BK shares rising 1.8%. 
BlackRock Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BLK#NYSE">BLK</a>) gained 3.4% after upbeat earnings and revenue, as performance fees sharply surprised estimates. BlackRock shares hit a new record high. 
Other major banks participated in the rally, with Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>), Citigroup (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>), Goldman Sachs Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>), and Morgan Stanley (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MS#NYSE">MS</a>) climbing between 2% and 4.8%. Morgan Stanley also set new all-time highs. 
The strength in large-cap banks spilled over to regional players, with the SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) rallying 3.5%. This helped lift the Russell 2000 index, which gained 1.3% and outperformed large-cap counterparts. 
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Mixed Economic Data Overshadowed by Strong Earnings</h3>
Friday's economic data included a higher-than-expected Producer Price Index (PPI) and a weaker-than-expected Michigan Consumer Sentiment report for October. 
The headline PPI came in at 1.8% year-over-year in September, down from an upwardly revised 1.9% in August, but above expectations of 1.6%. Core producer prices – which exclude energy and food – sharply increased from 2.6% to 2.8% year-on-year, surpassing expectations of 2.7%. 
According to preliminary estimates, the University of Michigan&#8217;s U.S. consumer sentiment index fell to 68.9 in October 2024, down from a five-month high of 70.1 in September and missing forecasts of 70.8.
Year-ahead inflation expectations rose slightly from 2.7% to 2.9%, while the five-year outlook dipped from 3.1% to 3%.
&#8220;Consumers continue to express frustration over high prices. Still, long run business conditions lifted to its highest reading in six months, while current and expected personal finances both softened slightly&#8221;, Surveys of Consumers Director Joanne Hsu said. 
Despite the mixed economic signals, investors focused on the strong bank earnings and remained optimistic about the upcoming corporate earnings season.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">S&amp;P 500&#8217;s Top 5 Performers On Friday</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Stock</td>
<td>Sector</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day Return (%)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Uber Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/UBER#NASDAQ">UBER</a>)</td>
<td>Industrials</td>
<td>84.21</td>
<td>8.07%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Fastenal Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FAST#NYSE">FAST</a>)</td>
<td>Industrials</td>
<td>75.13</td>
<td>7.34</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Wells Fargo &amp; Company</td>
<td>Financials</td>
<td>60.99</td>
<td>5.61</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>WW. Grainger, Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GWW#NYSE">GWW</a>)</td>
<td>Industrials</td>
<td>1,079.38</td>
<td>5.29</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Bank of America Corporation</td>
<td>Financials</td>
<td>41.97</td>
<td>4.99</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 10:50 a.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Dow&#8217;s Top 5 Performers On Friday </h3>
<figure class="wp-block-table is-style-stripes"> 
<table>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td>Stock</td>
<td>Sector</td>
<td>Price</td>
<td>1-day Return (%)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. </td>
<td>Financials</td>
<td>221.99</td>
<td>4.30</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>The Boeing Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BA#NYSE">BA</a>)</td>
<td>Industrials</td>
<td>150.55</td>
<td>2.68</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.</td>
<td>Financials</td>
<td>513.51</td>
<td>1.94</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>Intel Corporation (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/INTC#NASDAQ">INTC</a>)</td>
<td>Information Technology</td>
<td>23.63</td>
<td>1.78</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td>American Express Company (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/AXP#NYSE">AXP</a>)</td>
<td>Financials</td>
<td>274.73</td>
<td>1.58</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Updated at 10:50 a.m. ET</figcaption></figure>
Read Next:
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<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/10/41289783/jpmorgan-chase-q3-earnings-investment-banking-revenue-soars-29-raises-fy24-net-interest-income-outl">JPMorgan Chase Q3 Earnings: Investment Banking Revenue Soars 29%, Largest Bank Raises Net Interest Income Outlook</a></li>
</ul>
Image created using artificial intelligence via Midjourney.

INTC

S&P 500, Dow Jones Hit New Record Highs As Financial Stocks Soar On Upbeat Earnings

The third-quarter earnings season for U.S. banks will officially kick off this Friday, with major financial institutions like JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/JPM#NYSE">JPM</a>), Wells Fargo Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WFC#NYSE">WFC</a>), and Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BK#NYSE">BK</a>) set <a href="https://www.benzinga.com/news/earnings/24/10/41216873/us-banks-earnings-preview-soft-landing-hopes-interest-rate-cuts-key-catalysts-for-stocks">to report their results. </a>
The following Tuesday will see additional earnings releases from mega-cap players such as Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/BAC#NYSE">BAC</a>), Goldman Sachs Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/GS#NYSE">GS</a>), and Citigroup Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>), as well as some regional banks.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Banking Sector Performance So Far In 2024</h3>
<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1024" height="447" src="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/09104754/image-66-1024x447.png" alt="" class="wp-image-587909" srcset="https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/09104754/image-66-1024x447.png 1024w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/09104754/image-66-300x131.png 300w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/09104754/image-66-768x336.png 768w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/09104754/image-66-1536x671.png 1536w,https://editorial-assets.benzinga.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/09104754/image-66.png 1920w" sizes="(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Chart:<a href="https://bzresearch.myclickfunnels.com/benzinga-pro-content-webinar-registration/?utm_source=BZprocontent100924&amp;t=be2bearmibe3na1"> Benzinga Pro</a></figcaption></figure>
Thus far, in 2024, the banking sector has shown strong performance. The Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/XLF#NYSE">XLF</a>), which tracks major financial stocks, has risen 21% year-to-date, matching the performance of the broader market as represented by the SPDR S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/SPY#NYSE">SPY</a>).
However, regional banks have lagged behind their larger counterparts. The SPDR S&amp;P Regional Banking ETF (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KRE#NYSE">KRE</a>) is up just 6% year-to-date, though it has outperformed over the past three months. This recent rebound is largely due to falling inflation and increasing expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts.
With earnings season approaching, the question on many investors&#8217; minds is whether large banks will maintain their positive performance gap over regional players or if recent market developments will impact their results and outlooks. 
Here&#8217;s what Wall Street analysts are saying ahead of the bank earnings season.
<h3 class="wp-block-heading">Analyst Expectations And Top Picks</h3>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">RBC Capital Markets – Gerard Cassidy, co-head of global financials research</h4>
&#8220;We believe the set-up looks very good for banks over the next 12-18 months. We expect the Federal Reserve to cut short-term interest rates by 200-250 basis points over this period, and the finalization of the Basel III &#8216;endgame&#8217; proposal will allow banks to return excess capital through buybacks and dividends. We continue to recommend an overweight position in bank stocks.&#8221;
<ul>
<li>Top Picks (RBC holds earnings per share estimates for both above Street consensus for the third quarter)
<ul>
<li>Truist Financial Corporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/TFC#NYSE">TFC</a>)</li>
<li>KeyCorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/KEY#NYSE">KEY</a>)</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">JPMorgan Chase &amp; Co. – Anthony Elian, CFA</h4>
&#8220;As the Federal Reserve reduces rates, several industry headwinds could turn into tailwinds.&#8221; This includes:
<ol>
<li>Lower deposit costs, improving net interest margins (NIMs)</li>
<li>An uptick in commercial loan demand</li>
<li>Easing credit quality concerns, particularly for banks with commercial real estate (CRE) exposure</li>
<li>A resumption of buyback programs as reserves are released</li>
<li>Increased exit market and venture capital activity.</li>
</ol>
<ul>
<li>Top Picks:
<ul>
<li>First Citizens Bancshares Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FCNCA#NYSE">FCNCA</a>)</li>
<li>Western Alliance Bancorporation (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WAL#NYSE">WAL</a>)</li>
<li>Pinnacle Financial Partners Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNFP#NASDAQ">PNFP</a>)</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Wedbush Securities – David J. Chiaverini, CFA</h4>
&#8220;We expect mixed trends for banks in Q3, with modest loan and deposit growth, stabilizing deposit mix shifts, and NIMs benefiting from fixed asset repricing. Some banks will be more positively positioned than others in this environment.&#8221;
<ul>
<li>Top Picks:
<ul>
<li>M&amp;T Bank Corp. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MTB#NYSE">MTB</a>)</li>
<li>Wintrust Financial Corp. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/WTFC#NASDAQ">WTFC</a>)</li>
<li>Columbia Banking Systems Inc. (NASDAQ:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/COLB#NASDAQ">COLB</a>) Wedbush believes Columbia Banking Systems will benefit from a lower rate environment as it is liability-sensitive, unlike most banks that are asset-sensitive.</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Bank of America – Ebrahim H. Poonawala</h4>
&#8220;We favor regional banks over large money centers heading into Q3, given better net interest income (NII) defensibility and greater capital relief as mark-to-market losses on bond books decrease. Our top ideas going into Q3 earnings include a mix of regionals and larger financial institutions.&#8221;
<ul>
<li>Top Picks:
<ul>
<li>U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/USB#NYSE">USB</a>)</li>
<li>Western Alliance Bancorporation </li>
<li>PNC Financial Services Group Inc. (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/PNC#NYSE">PNC</a>)</li>
<li>Fifth Third Bancorp (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/FITB#NYSE">FITB</a>)</li>
<li>M&amp;T Bank Corp.</li>
<li>Truist Financial Corporation</li>
<li>Morgan Stanley (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/MS#NYSE">MS</a>)</li>
<li>Goldman Sachs Inc.</li>
<li>Bank of New York Mellon Corp.</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<h4 class="wp-block-heading">Goldman Sachs – Richard Ramsden</h4>
Goldman Sachs is particularly optimistic about Citigroup heading into Q3 earnings, citing the bank's progress toward its 2024 targets driven by strong fee growth, solid capital markets activity, and robust card volumes. 
Ramsden is above consensus on Citigroup's Q3 pre-provision net revenue (PPNR), largely due to expectations of higher fees and capital markets activity.
<ul>
<li>Top Pick:
<ul>
<li>Citigroup (NYSE:<a class="ticker" href="https://www.benzinga.com/stock/C#NYSE">C</a>)</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
Read Next:
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.benzinga.com/markets/24/10/41249837/s-p-500-earnings-season-kicks-off-why-analysts-call-this-quarter-a-stock-pickers-paradise">S&amp;P 500 Earnings Season Kicks Off: Why Analysts Call This Quarter &#8216;A Stock Picker&#8217;s Paradise&#8217;</a></li>
</ul>
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